Michigan State
W-L: (26-28) PR = 95.0429Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 4- 3 214 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 13- 4 215 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 1- 9 220 H Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 1- 7 221 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 1- 3 222 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 0- 4 227 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 4- 5 228 H UAlbany AE ( 1-10, 90.0) 4- 1 301 A New Haven NE ( 0- 9, 86.9) 2- 1 303 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 2- 4 304 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 1- 1 306 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 4- 2 307 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 1- 3 308 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 2-12 310 A Eastern Michigan MA ( 1- 8, 89.2) 13- 5 313 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 4- 9 314 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 9- 3 315 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 6- 8 318 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 0-18 320 H Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 2- 0 321 A UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 15- 8 321 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 3- 5 324 A Central Michigan MA ( 3- 8, 92.3) 19- 8 327 H Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 4- 3 328 H Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 13-16 329 H Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 4-11 403 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 5- 1 404 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 9-10 405 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 6- 8 408 H Navy PAT ( 3- 5, 92.1) 7- 2 410 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 2- 2 411 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 4- 6 412 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 10- 5 414 H Oakland HL ( 4-13, 91.1) 9-11 417 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 6- 4 418 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 13- 8 419 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 5- 8 422 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 2- 3 424 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 10-18 425 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 12- 4 426 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 13- 1 501 H UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 1- 4 502 H UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 3- 4 503 H UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 11-13 505 H Bowling Green MA ( 1- 7, 91.3) 12- 4 506 H Western Michigan MA ( 5- 8, 92.5) 8- 3 508 A Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 5-15 509 A Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 7- 4 510 A Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 2- 3 512 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 5- 2 514 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 10- 1 515 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 3- 5 516 H Illinois State MV ( 4-13, 90.9) 18- 8 519 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 8- 4 520 A Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 4- 3 522 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 0- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Louisville 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.83
214 A Louisville 13- 4 9 -2 +++ 10.83
215 A Louisville 1- 9 -8 -2 --- -6.17
220 H Tulane 1- 7 -6 1 --- -7.31
221 A Texas 1- 3 -2 -5 + 3.10
222 A Texas 0- 4 -4 -5 1.10
227 H Illinois 4- 5 -1 1 -1.57
228 H UAlbany 4- 1 3 6 - -2.72
301 A New Haven 2- 1 1 8 --- -6.52
303 A Georgia Tech 2- 4 -2 -6 + 3.53
304 H Charlotte 1- 1 0 2 -1.61
306 H Old Dominion 4- 2 2 2 -0.41
307 A Nebraska 1- 3 -2 -3 0.68
308 A Nebraska 2-12 -10 -3 --- -7.32
310 A Eastern Michigan 13- 5 8 5 + 2.88
313 A Rutgers 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.47
314 A Rutgers 9- 3 6 0 ++ 5.53
315 A Rutgers 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.47
318 H Delaware 0-18 -18 4 --- -17.58
320 H Iowa 2- 0 2 0 + 2.11
321 A UNC Wilmington 15- 8 7 0 +++ 6.95
321 A Bellarmine 3- 5 -2 3 -- -5.21
324 A Central Michigan 19- 8 11 2 +++ 8.97
327 H Purdue 4- 3 1 -1 1.63
328 H Purdue 13-16 -3 -1 - -2.37
329 H Purdue 4-11 -7 -1 --- -6.37
403 A Northwestern 5- 1 4 2 + 2.15
404 A Northwestern 9-10 -1 2 - -2.85
405 A Northwestern 6- 8 -2 2 - -3.85
408 H Navy 7- 2 5 4 1.34
410 A Queens University 2- 2 0 5 -- -4.59
411 H Michigan 4- 6 -2 0 -1.88
412 H Michigan 10- 5 5 0 ++ 5.12
414 H Oakland 9-11 -2 5 --- -6.58
417 A Washington 6- 4 2 0 1.51
418 A Washington 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.51
419 A Washington 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.49
422 H Notre Dame 2- 3 -1 0 -0.83
424 H Maryland 10-18 -8 1 --- -8.93
425 H Maryland 12- 4 8 1 +++ 7.07
426 H Maryland 13- 1 12 1 +++ 11.07
501 H UCLA 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.30
502 H UCLA 3- 4 -1 -3 1.70
503 H UCLA 11-13 -2 -3 0.70
505 H Bowling Green 12- 4 8 4 + 3.61
506 H Western Michigan 8- 3 5 3 1.79
508 A Ohio State 5-15 -10 -1 --- -9.34
509 A Ohio State 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.66
510 A Ohio State 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.34
512 H Arkansas State 5- 2 3 0 + 2.81
514 A Wichita State 10- 1 9 0 +++ 9.21
515 A Purdue 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.02
516 H Illinois State 18- 8 10 5 ++ 5.18
519 A Purdue 8- 4 4 -2 ++ 5.98
520 A Iowa 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.47
522 A USC 0- 7 -7 -3 - -3.87
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A Louisville 1- 9 -8 -2 --- -6.17 220 H Tulane 1- 7 -6 1 --- -7.31 301 A New Haven 2- 1 1 8 --- -6.52 308 A Nebraska 2-12 -10 -3 --- -7.32 318 H Delaware 0-18 -18 4 --- -17.58 329 H Purdue 4-11 -7 -1 --- -6.37 414 H Oakland 9-11 -2 5 --- -6.58 424 H Maryland 10-18 -8 1 --- -8.93 508 A Ohio State 5-15 -10 -1 --- -9.34 313 A Rutgers 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.47 321 A Bellarmine 3- 5 -2 3 -- -5.21 410 A Queens University 2- 2 0 5 -- -4.59 228 H UAlbany 4- 1 3 6 - -2.72 315 A Rutgers 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.47 328 H Purdue 13-16 -3 -1 - -2.37 404 A Northwestern 9-10 -1 2 - -2.85 405 A Northwestern 6- 8 -2 2 - -3.85 419 A Washington 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.49 522 A USC 0- 7 -7 -3 - -3.87 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Louisville 13- 4 9 -2 +++ 10.83 321 A UNC Wilmington 15- 8 7 0 +++ 6.95 324 A Central Michigan 19- 8 11 2 +++ 8.97 425 H Maryland 12- 4 8 1 +++ 7.07 426 H Maryland 13- 1 12 1 +++ 11.07 514 A Wichita State 10- 1 9 0 +++ 9.21 314 A Rutgers 9- 3 6 0 ++ 5.53 412 H Michigan 10- 5 5 0 ++ 5.12 418 A Washington 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.51 516 H Illinois State 18- 8 10 5 ++ 5.18 519 A Purdue 8- 4 4 -2 ++ 5.98 213 A Louisville 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.83 221 A Texas 1- 3 -2 -5 + 3.10 303 A Georgia Tech 2- 4 -2 -6 + 3.53 310 A Eastern Michigan 13- 5 8 5 + 2.88 320 H Iowa 2- 0 2 0 + 2.11 403 A Northwestern 5- 1 4 2 + 2.15 505 H Bowling Green 12- 4 8 4 + 3.61 509 A Ohio State 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.66 512 H Arkansas State 5- 2 3 0 + 2.81 520 A Iowa 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.47 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 4- 3 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.52 15.91
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 13- 4 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.52 15.91
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 1- 9 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.52 -0.78
3 H Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 1- 7 -5.49 12.93 -0.68 0.52 -1.59
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 1- 3 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.52 -0.06
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 0- 4 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.52 -0.06
3 H Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 4- 5 -4.75 13.67 -0.68 0.52 -1.40
3 H UAlbany ( 1-10, 90.0) 4- 1 -9.91 8.52 -0.68 0.52 8.10
3 A New Haven ( 0- 9, 86.9) 2- 1 -13.05 5.38 0.68 0.52 6.25
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 2- 4 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.52 -0.17
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 1- 1 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.52 0.00
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 4- 2 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.52 11.53
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 1- 3 -2.86 15.57 0.68 0.52 -0.56
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 2-12 -2.86 15.57 0.68 0.52 -0.56
3 A Eastern Michig ( 1- 8, 89.2) 13- 5 -10.65 7.78 0.68 0.52 8.73
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 4- 9 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.52 -1.38
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 9- 3 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.52 13.53
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 6- 8 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.52 -1.38
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 0-18 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.52 -2.18
3 H Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 2- 0 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.52 14.13
3 A UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 15- 8 -5.59 12.84 0.68 0.52 13.96
3 A Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 3- 5 -8.74 9.69 0.68 0.52 -2.08
3 A Central Michig ( 3- 8, 92.3) 19- 8 -7.57 10.86 0.68 0.52 11.92
3 H Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 4- 3 -3.56 14.87 -0.68 0.52 14.66
3 H Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 13-16 -3.56 14.87 -0.68 0.52 -1.09
3 H Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 4-11 -3.56 14.87 -0.68 0.52 -1.09
3 A Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 5- 1 -7.38 11.04 0.68 0.52 12.10
3 A Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 9-10 -7.38 11.04 0.68 0.52 -1.73
3 A Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 6- 8 -7.38 11.04 0.68 0.52 -1.73
3 H Navy ( 3- 5, 92.1) 7- 2 -7.85 10.58 -0.68 0.52 10.23
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 2- 2 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.52 0.00
3 H Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 4- 6 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.52 -1.22
3 H Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 10- 5 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.52 14.13
3 H Oakland ( 4-13, 91.1) 9-11 -8.76 9.67 -0.68 0.52 -2.44
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 6- 4 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.52 13.51
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 13- 8 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.52 13.51
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 5- 8 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.52 -1.38
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 2- 3 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.52 -1.21
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 10-18 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.52 -1.50
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 12- 4 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.52 13.05
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 13- 1 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.52 13.05
3 H UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 1- 4 -1.48 16.94 -0.68 0.52 -0.56
3 H UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 3- 4 -1.48 16.94 -0.68 0.52 -0.56
3 H UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 11-13 -1.48 16.94 -0.68 0.52 -0.56
3 H Bowling Green ( 1- 7, 91.3) 12- 4 -8.57 9.86 -0.68 0.52 9.48
3 H Western Michig ( 5- 8, 92.5) 8- 3 -7.39 11.04 -0.68 0.52 10.70
3 A Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 5-15 -4.87 13.56 0.68 0.52 -1.08
3 A Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 7- 4 -4.87 13.56 0.68 0.52 14.70
3 A Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 2- 3 -4.87 13.56 0.68 0.52 -1.08
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 5- 2 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.52 13.81
3 A Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 10- 1 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.52 14.24
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 3- 5 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.52 -0.74
3 H Illinois State ( 4-13, 90.9) 18- 8 -9.00 9.43 -0.68 0.52 9.04
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 8- 4 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.52 16.06
3 A Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 4- 3 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.52 15.53
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 0- 7 -2.41 16.02 0.68 0.52 -0.45
------
297.14
|
winning pts = 327.7773 losing points = -30.6375
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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