Mississippi State
W-L: (43-20) PR = 99.3386Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 6- 5 214 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 7- 5 214 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 6- 1 217 A Eastern Michigan MA ( 1- 8, 89.2) 13- 2 218 A Eastern Michigan MA ( 1- 8, 89.2) 19- 2 220 A Youngstown State HL ( 2-10, 92.1) 9- 0 221 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 10- 0 222 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 7- 3 224 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 16- 3 227 H Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 8- 4 228 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 15- 8 301 H UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 7- 8 303 H TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 6- 7 305 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 8-11 306 A Winthrop BSO ( 6-11, 92.1) 9- 0 307 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 26- 0 310 H Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 11- 7 313 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 4- 5 314 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 7- 2 314 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 3- 7 317 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 17- 6 320 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 4- 2 321 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 7- 6 322 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 17- 7 324 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 12- 0 327 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 5- 4 328 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 6- 1 329 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 7- 1 331 H Grambling SWAC ( 0- 9, 87.5) 12- 0 402 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 9-10 403 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 1- 3 404 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 5- 8 407 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 5- 3 410 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 5- 7 411 H Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 2- 6 412 H Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 2- 7 414 A Samford SO ( 9-10, 94.7) 11- 1 417 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 5- 3 418 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 9- 0 419 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 4- 3 421 H Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 6- 2 424 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 10- 8 425 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 9- 8 426 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 13- 8 428 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 7- 3 501 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 1- 3 502 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 7- 4 503 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 6-11 505 H Nicholls SL ( 1-13, 90.0) 21- 6 507 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 10- 3 508 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 4- 5 509 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 2-13 514 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 18- 4 515 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 9-13 516 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 6- 7 520 H Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 12- 2 521 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 3- 5 529 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 10- 1 530 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 10- 5 530 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 10- 5 531 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 19- 5 606 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 12-13 607 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 9-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Hofstra 6- 5 1 8 --- -6.55
214 H Hofstra 7- 5 2 8 -- -5.55
214 H Hofstra 6- 1 5 8 - -2.55
217 A Eastern Michigan 13- 2 11 9 1.59
218 A Eastern Michigan 19- 2 17 9 ++ 4.59
220 A Youngstown State 9- 0 9 7 + 2.47
221 H Delaware 10- 0 10 8 + 2.13
222 H Delaware 7- 3 4 8 - -3.87
224 H Austin Peay 16- 3 13 7 ++ 5.75
227 H Arizona State 8- 4 4 2 1.63
228 A Virginia Tech 15- 8 7 3 + 3.63
301 H UCLA 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.60
303 H TCU 6- 7 -1 4 -- -5.09
305 A Austin Peay 8-11 -3 6 --- -8.90
306 A Winthrop 9- 0 9 7 + 2.40
307 H Lipscomb 26- 0 26 8 +++ 6.23
310 H Tulane 11- 7 4 6 -1.61
313 A Arkansas 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.15
314 A Arkansas 7- 2 5 1 + 3.85
314 A Arkansas 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.15
317 A Georgia Southern 17- 6 11 7 ++ 4.25
320 H Vanderbilt 4- 2 2 3 -0.89
321 A Memphis 7- 6 1 4 - -3.29
322 H Vanderbilt 17- 7 10 3 +++ 7.11
324 H Southern Miss 12- 0 12 3 +++ 8.61
327 A Ole Miss 5- 4 1 1 0.01
328 A Ole Miss 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.01
329 A Ole Miss 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.01
331 H Grambling 12- 0 12 13 -0.52
402 H Georgia 9-10 -1 1 - -2.07
403 H Georgia 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.07
404 H Georgia 5- 8 -3 1 -- -4.07
407 H UAB 5- 3 2 5 - -3.14
410 A Arkansas 5- 7 -2 1 - -3.15
411 H Tennessee 2- 6 -4 3 --- -7.33
412 H Tennessee 2- 7 -5 3 --- -8.33
414 A Samford 11- 1 10 4 +++ 6.08
417 A South Carolina 5- 3 2 4 - -2.11
418 A South Carolina 9- 0 9 4 ++ 4.89
419 A South Carolina 4- 3 1 4 - -3.11
421 H Memphis 6- 2 4 6 -1.64
424 H LSU 10- 8 2 3 -1.01
425 H LSU 9- 8 1 3 - -2.01
426 H LSU 13- 8 5 3 1.99
428 H Ole Miss 7- 3 4 2 1.66
501 A Texas 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.20
502 A Texas 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.80
503 A Texas 6-11 -5 -1 -- -4.20
505 H Nicholls 21- 6 15 10 + 3.98
507 H Auburn 10- 3 7 1 ++ 5.86
508 H Auburn 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.14
509 H Auburn 2-13 -11 1 --- -12.14
514 H Oklahoma State 18- 4 14 3 +++ 11.23
515 H Oklahoma State 9-13 -4 3 --- -6.77
516 A Texas A&M 6- 7 -1 0 -0.67
520 H Missouri 12- 2 10 6 ++ 4.49
521 A Georgia 3- 5 -2 0 -1.72
529 H Lipscomb 10- 1 9 8 1.23
530 H Cincinnati 10- 5 5 3 1.75
530 H Cincinnati 10- 5 5 3 1.75
531 A Louisiana 19- 5 14 4 +++ 10.42
606 A Georgia 12-13 -1 0 -0.72
607 H Georgia 9-11 -2 1 - -3.07
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Hofstra 6- 5 1 8 --- -6.55 305 A Austin Peay 8-11 -3 6 --- -8.90 411 H Tennessee 2- 6 -4 3 --- -7.33 412 H Tennessee 2- 7 -5 3 --- -8.33 509 H Auburn 2-13 -11 1 --- -12.14 515 H Oklahoma State 9-13 -4 3 --- -6.77 214 H Hofstra 7- 5 2 8 -- -5.55 303 H TCU 6- 7 -1 4 -- -5.09 314 A Arkansas 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.15 404 H Georgia 5- 8 -3 1 -- -4.07 503 A Texas 6-11 -5 -1 -- -4.20 214 H Hofstra 6- 1 5 8 - -2.55 222 H Delaware 7- 3 4 8 - -3.87 301 H UCLA 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.60 313 A Arkansas 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.15 321 A Memphis 7- 6 1 4 - -3.29 402 H Georgia 9-10 -1 1 - -2.07 403 H Georgia 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.07 407 H UAB 5- 3 2 5 - -3.14 410 A Arkansas 5- 7 -2 1 - -3.15 417 A South Carolina 5- 3 2 4 - -2.11 419 A South Carolina 4- 3 1 4 - -3.11 425 H LSU 9- 8 1 3 - -2.01 508 H Auburn 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.14 607 H Georgia 9-11 -2 1 - -3.07 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Lipscomb 26- 0 26 8 +++ 6.23 322 H Vanderbilt 17- 7 10 3 +++ 7.11 324 H Southern Miss 12- 0 12 3 +++ 8.61 414 A Samford 11- 1 10 4 +++ 6.08 514 H Oklahoma State 18- 4 14 3 +++ 11.23 531 A Louisiana 19- 5 14 4 +++ 10.42 218 A Eastern Michigan 19- 2 17 9 ++ 4.59 224 H Austin Peay 16- 3 13 7 ++ 5.75 317 A Georgia Southern 17- 6 11 7 ++ 4.25 328 A Ole Miss 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.01 329 A Ole Miss 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.01 418 A South Carolina 9- 0 9 4 ++ 4.89 507 H Auburn 10- 3 7 1 ++ 5.86 520 H Missouri 12- 2 10 6 ++ 4.49 220 A Youngstown State 9- 0 9 7 + 2.47 221 H Delaware 10- 0 10 8 + 2.13 228 A Virginia Tech 15- 8 7 3 + 3.63 306 A Winthrop 9- 0 9 7 + 2.40 314 A Arkansas 7- 2 5 1 + 3.85 502 A Texas 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.80 505 H Nicholls 21- 6 15 10 + 3.98 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 6- 5 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.46 9.47
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 7- 5 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.46 9.47
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 6- 1 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.46 9.47
3 A Eastern Michig ( 1- 8, 89.2) 13- 2 -10.65 7.78 0.68 0.46 7.76
3 A Eastern Michig ( 1- 8, 89.2) 19- 2 -10.65 7.78 0.68 0.46 7.76
3 A Youngstown Sta ( 2-10, 92.1) 9- 0 -7.77 10.66 0.68 0.46 10.41
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 10- 0 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.46 9.17
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 7- 3 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.46 9.17
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 16- 3 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.46 9.74
3 H Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 8- 4 -2.26 16.17 -0.68 0.46 14.22
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 15- 8 -4.61 13.82 0.68 0.46 13.31
3 H UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 7- 8 -1.48 16.94 -0.68 0.46 -0.50
3 H TCU (32-21, 95.9) 6- 7 -3.97 14.45 -0.68 0.46 -1.07
3 A Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 8-11 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.46 -1.48
3 A Winthrop ( 6-11, 92.1) 9- 0 -7.84 10.58 0.68 0.46 10.34
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 26- 0 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.46 9.27
3 H Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 11- 7 -5.49 12.93 -0.68 0.46 11.25
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 4- 5 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.46 -0.39
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 7- 2 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.46 15.35
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 3- 7 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.46 -0.39
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 17- 6 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.46 10.20
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 4- 2 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.46 13.75
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 7- 6 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.46 12.46
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 17- 7 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.46 13.75
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 12- 0 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.46 13.29
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 5- 4 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.46 15.49
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 6- 1 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.46 15.49
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 7- 1 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.46 15.49
3 H Grambling ( 0- 9, 87.5) 12- 0 -12.40 6.02 -0.68 0.46 4.91
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 9-10 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.46 -0.37
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 1- 3 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.46 -0.37
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 5- 8 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.46 -0.37
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 5- 3 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.46 11.68
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 5- 7 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.46 -0.39
3 H Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 2- 6 -3.21 15.22 -0.68 0.46 -0.89
3 H Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 2- 7 -3.21 15.22 -0.68 0.46 -0.89
3 A Samford ( 9-10, 94.7) 11- 1 -5.15 13.27 0.68 0.46 12.81
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 5- 3 -5.35 13.08 0.68 0.46 12.63
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 9- 0 -5.35 13.08 0.68 0.46 12.63
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 4- 3 -5.35 13.08 0.68 0.46 12.63
3 H Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 6- 2 -5.53 12.90 -0.68 0.46 11.22
3 H LSU (31-26, 97.0) 10- 8 -2.89 15.53 -0.68 0.46 13.64
3 H LSU (31-26, 97.0) 9- 8 -2.89 15.53 -0.68 0.46 13.64
3 H LSU (31-26, 97.0) 13- 8 -2.89 15.53 -0.68 0.46 13.64
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 7- 3 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.46 14.25
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 1- 3 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.46 -0.05
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 7- 4 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.46 17.14
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 6-11 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.46 -0.05
3 H Nicholls ( 1-13, 90.0) 21- 6 -9.90 8.53 -0.68 0.46 7.21
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 10- 3 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.46 15.36
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 4- 5 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.46 -0.39
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 2-13 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.46 -0.39
3 H Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 18- 4 -2.66 15.77 -0.68 0.46 13.86
3 H Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 9-13 -2.66 15.77 -0.68 0.46 -0.76
3 A Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 6- 7 -0.91 17.52 0.68 0.46 -0.05
3 H Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 12- 2 -5.40 13.03 -0.68 0.46 11.34
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 3- 5 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.46 -0.06
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 10- 1 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.46 9.27
3 H Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 10- 5 -3.13 15.29 -0.68 0.46 13.42
3 H Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 10- 5 -3.13 15.29 -0.68 0.46 13.42
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 19- 5 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.46 13.11
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 12-13 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.46 -0.06
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 9-11 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.46 -0.37
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504.53
|
winning pts = 513.8691 losing points = -9.3393
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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