UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Missouri
  
Missouri              
W-L: (21-31) PR = 94.5017

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Mount St. Mary's MAAC ( 1- 3, 89.2) 5- 8 214 H Mount St. Mary's MAAC ( 1- 3, 89.2) 5- 4 215 H Mount St. Mary's MAAC ( 1- 3, 89.2) 34- 3 217 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 2- 3 220 A North Dakota State SM ( 4-14, 91.9) 12- 4 221 H New Haven NE ( 0- 9, 86.9) 17- 5 222 H New Haven NE ( 0- 9, 86.9) 16- 2 224 H Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC ( 5-10, 92.4) 15- 1 225 H Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC ( 5-10, 92.4) 5- 1 227 H North Dakota State SM ( 4-14, 91.9) 11- 5 228 H North Dakota State SM ( 4-14, 91.9) 5- 3 228 H North Dakota State SM ( 4-14, 91.9) 7- 5 305 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 9- 1 307 H UIC MV ( 7-12, 92.6) 7- 0 308 H UIC MV ( 7-12, 92.6) 10- 0 310 H Southern Indiana OV ( 8- 8, 94.8) 14- 6 313 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 0- 2 314 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 3- 4 314 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 2- 9 318 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 0- 9 320 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 8- 4 321 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 2-12 322 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 1- 7 324 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 5- 1 325 A Lindenwood OV ( 4- 4, 95.1) 4-10 327 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 9-11 328 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 6-14 329 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 3-14 331 H Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 8-11 403 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 5- 4 404 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 2- 9 405 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 5- 2 407 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 5-15 409 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 1- 5 410 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 0- 5 411 H South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 4- 6 417 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 6- 9 418 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 0- 4 419 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 4- 8 421 H SIU Edwardsville OV ( 3- 8, 91.4) 5-11 423 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 4- 5 424 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 0- 6 425 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 6- 1 501 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 0- 4 502 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 3-13 503 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 4-14 509 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 8-11 510 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 4- 1 514 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 3- 3 515 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 6- 7 516 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 7-12 519 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 10- 8 520 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 2-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 H Mount St. Mary's        5- 8      -3     6    ---   -9.02
   214 H Mount St. Mary's        5- 4       1     6    --    -5.02
   215 H Mount St. Mary's       34- 3      31     6    +++    7.98
   217 H Long Beach State        2- 3      -1     2    -     -3.30
   220 A North Dakota State     12- 4       8     2    +++    6.03
   221 H New Haven              17- 5      12     8    +      3.67
   222 H New Haven              16- 2      14     8    ++     5.67
   224 H Arkansas Pine Bluff    15- 1      14     3    +++   11.23
   225 H Arkansas Pine Bluff     5- 1       4     3           1.23
   227 H North Dakota State     11- 5       6     3    +      2.68
   228 H North Dakota State      5- 3       2     3          -1.32
   228 H North Dakota State      7- 5       2     3          -1.32
   305 A Santa Clara             9- 1       8     0    +++    7.56
   307 H UIC                     7- 0       7     3    ++     4.45
   308 H UIC                    10- 0      10     3    +++    7.45
   310 H Southern Indiana       14- 6       8     0    +++    7.61
   313 H Auburn                  0- 2      -2    -4           1.70
   314 H Auburn                  3- 4      -1    -4    +      2.70
   314 H Auburn                  2- 9      -7    -4    -     -3.30
   318 H Arkansas                0- 9      -9    -2    ---   -6.66
   320 A Tennessee               8- 4       4    -3    +++    6.86
   321 H Cal State Bakersfield   2-12     -10     2    ---  -12.29
   322 A Tennessee               1- 7      -6    -3    -     -3.14
   324 H Illinois                5- 1       4     0    +      3.97
   325 A Lindenwood              4-10      -6    -1    --    -4.70
   327 H Texas A&M               9-11      -2    -4           1.82
   328 H Texas A&M               6-14      -8    -4    --    -4.18
   329 H Texas A&M               3-14     -11    -4    ---   -7.18
   331 H Kansas                  8-11      -3    -2          -1.04
   403 A Kentucky                5- 4       1    -2    +      3.09
   404 A Kentucky                2- 9      -7    -2    --    -4.91
   405 A Kentucky                5- 2       3    -2    ++     5.09
   407 A Jacksonville State      5-15     -10    -3    ---   -6.74
   409 A Oklahoma                1- 5      -4    -3          -0.77
   410 A Kentucky                0- 5      -5    -2    -     -2.91
   411 H South Carolina          4- 6      -2     1    -     -2.63
   417 A Oklahoma                6- 9      -3    -3           0.23
   418 A Oklahoma                0- 4      -4    -3          -0.77
   419 A Oklahoma                4- 8      -4    -3          -0.77
   421 H SIU Edwardsville        5-11      -6     4    ---   -9.78
   423 H Arkansas                4- 5      -1    -2           1.34
   424 H Arkansas                0- 6      -6    -2    -     -3.66
   425 H Arkansas                6- 1       5    -2    +++    7.34
   501 A Georgia                 0- 4      -4    -5           1.12
   502 A Georgia                 3-13     -10    -5    --    -4.88
   503 A Georgia                 4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.88
   509 H Vanderbilt              8-11      -3    -2          -1.05
   510 H Vanderbilt              4- 1       3    -2    ++     4.95
   514 H Houston                 3- 3       0     1          -0.58
   515 H South Alabama           6- 7      -1     0          -0.98
   516 A Texas                   7-12      -5    -6           0.64
   519 A Ole Miss               10- 8       2    -4    ++     5.84
   520 A Mississippi State       2-12     -10    -6    --    -4.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 H Mount St. Mary's        5- 8      -3     6    ---   -9.02
   318 H Arkansas                0- 9      -9    -2    ---   -6.66
   321 H Cal State Bakersfield   2-12     -10     2    ---  -12.29
   329 H Texas A&M               3-14     -11    -4    ---   -7.18
   407 A Jacksonville State      5-15     -10    -3    ---   -6.74
   421 H SIU Edwardsville        5-11      -6     4    ---   -9.78
   214 H Mount St. Mary's        5- 4       1     6    --    -5.02
   325 A Lindenwood              4-10      -6    -1    --    -4.70
   328 H Texas A&M               6-14      -8    -4    --    -4.18
   404 A Kentucky                2- 9      -7    -2    --    -4.91
   502 A Georgia                 3-13     -10    -5    --    -4.88
   503 A Georgia                 4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.88
   520 A Mississippi State       2-12     -10    -6    --    -4.49
   217 H Long Beach State        2- 3      -1     2    -     -3.30
   314 H Auburn                  2- 9      -7    -4    -     -3.30
   322 A Tennessee               1- 7      -6    -3    -     -3.14
   410 A Kentucky                0- 5      -5    -2    -     -2.91
   411 H South Carolina          4- 6      -2     1    -     -2.63
   424 H Arkansas                0- 6      -6    -2    -     -3.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Mount St. Mary's       34- 3      31     6    +++    7.98
   220 A North Dakota State     12- 4       8     2    +++    6.03
   224 H Arkansas Pine Bluff    15- 1      14     3    +++   11.23
   305 A Santa Clara             9- 1       8     0    +++    7.56
   308 H UIC                    10- 0      10     3    +++    7.45
   310 H Southern Indiana       14- 6       8     0    +++    7.61
   320 A Tennessee               8- 4       4    -3    +++    6.86
   425 H Arkansas                6- 1       5    -2    +++    7.34
   222 H New Haven              16- 2      14     8    ++     5.67
   307 H UIC                     7- 0       7     3    ++     4.45
   405 A Kentucky                5- 2       3    -2    ++     5.09
   510 H Vanderbilt              4- 1       3    -2    ++     4.95
   519 A Ole Miss               10- 8       2    -4    ++     5.84
   221 H New Haven              17- 5      12     8    +      3.67
   227 H North Dakota State     11- 5       6     3    +      2.68
   314 H Auburn                  3- 4      -1    -4    +      2.70
   324 H Illinois                5- 1       4     0    +      3.97
   403 A Kentucky                5- 4       1    -2    +      3.09

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Mount St. Mary  ( 1- 3, 89.2)     5- 8      -10.74       7.69      -0.68         0.55            -3.11
   3 H Mount St. Mary  ( 1- 3, 89.2)     5- 4      -10.74       7.69      -0.68         0.55             7.65
   3 H Mount St. Mary  ( 1- 3, 89.2)    34- 3      -10.74       7.69      -0.68         0.55             7.65
   3 H Long Beach Sta  (21-31, 92.9)     2- 3       -7.02      11.41      -0.68         0.55            -2.10
   3 A North Dakota S  ( 4-14, 91.9)    12- 4       -8.04      10.38       0.68         0.55            12.07
   3 H New Haven       ( 0- 9, 86.9)    17- 5      -13.05       5.38      -0.68         0.55             5.13
   3 H New Haven       ( 0- 9, 86.9)    16- 2      -13.05       5.38      -0.68         0.55             5.13
   3 H Arkansas Pine   ( 5-10, 92.4)    15- 1       -7.49      10.93      -0.68         0.55            11.19
   3 H Arkansas Pine   ( 5-10, 92.4)     5- 1       -7.49      10.93      -0.68         0.55            11.19
   3 H North Dakota S  ( 4-14, 91.9)    11- 5       -8.04      10.38      -0.68         0.55            10.59
   3 H North Dakota S  ( 4-14, 91.9)     5- 3       -8.04      10.38      -0.68         0.55            10.59
   3 H North Dakota S  ( 4-14, 91.9)     7- 5       -8.04      10.38      -0.68         0.55            10.59
   3 A Santa Clara     (24-30, 93.4)     9- 1       -6.51      11.91       0.68         0.55            13.74
   3 H UIC             ( 7-12, 92.6)     7- 0       -7.27      11.16      -0.68         0.55            11.44
   3 H UIC             ( 7-12, 92.6)    10- 0       -7.27      11.16      -0.68         0.55            11.44
   3 H Southern India  ( 8- 8, 94.8)    14- 6       -5.11      13.31      -0.68         0.55            13.79
   3 H Auburn          (45-20, 98.9)     0- 2       -1.03      17.40      -0.68         0.55            -0.46
   3 H Auburn          (45-20, 98.9)     3- 4       -1.03      17.40      -0.68         0.55            -0.46
   3 H Auburn          (45-20, 98.9)     2- 9       -1.03      17.40      -0.68         0.55            -0.46
   3 H Arkansas        (38-25, 97.5)     0- 9       -2.38      16.04      -0.68         0.55            -0.83
   3 A Tennessee       (33-26, 96.7)     8- 4       -3.21      15.22       0.68         0.55            17.34
   3 H Cal State Bake  (24-27, 92.9)     2-12       -7.01      11.41      -0.68         0.55            -2.10
   3 A Tennessee       (33-26, 96.7)     1- 7       -3.21      15.22       0.68         0.55            -0.69
   3 H Illinois        (27-27, 95.1)     5- 1       -4.75      13.67      -0.68         0.55            14.19
   3 A Lindenwood      ( 4- 4, 95.1)     4-10       -4.77      13.66       0.68         0.55            -1.12
   3 H Texas A&M       (40-18, 99.0)     9-11       -0.91      17.52      -0.68         0.55            -0.43
   3 H Texas A&M       (40-18, 99.0)     6-14       -0.91      17.52      -0.68         0.55            -0.43
   3 H Texas A&M       (40-18, 99.0)     3-14       -0.91      17.52      -0.68         0.55            -0.43
   3 H Kansas          (41-18, 97.1)     8-11       -2.76      15.66      -0.68         0.55            -0.94
   3 A Kentucky        (33-25, 95.9)     5- 4       -3.98      14.44       0.68         0.55            16.50
   3 A Kentucky        (33-25, 95.9)     2- 9       -3.98      14.44       0.68         0.55            -0.90
   3 A Kentucky        (33-25, 95.9)     5- 2       -3.98      14.44       0.68         0.55            16.50
   3 A Jacksonville S  (47-18, 97.1)     5-15       -2.82      15.61       0.68         0.55            -0.58
   3 A Oklahoma        (40-25, 97.1)     1- 5       -2.84      15.59       0.68         0.55            -0.59
   3 A Kentucky        (33-25, 95.9)     0- 5       -3.98      14.44       0.68         0.55            -0.90
   3 H South Carolina  (21-34, 94.6)     4- 6       -5.35      13.08      -0.68         0.55            -1.64
   3 A Oklahoma        (40-25, 97.1)     6- 9       -2.84      15.59       0.68         0.55            -0.59
   3 A Oklahoma        (40-25, 97.1)     0- 4       -2.84      15.59       0.68         0.55            -0.59
   3 A Oklahoma        (40-25, 97.1)     4- 8       -2.84      15.59       0.68         0.55            -0.59
   3 H SIU Edwardsvil  ( 3- 8, 91.4)     5-11       -8.50       9.93      -0.68         0.55            -2.50
   3 H Arkansas        (38-25, 97.5)     4- 5       -2.38      16.04      -0.68         0.55            -0.83
   3 H Arkansas        (38-25, 97.5)     0- 6       -2.38      16.04      -0.68         0.55            -0.83
   3 H Arkansas        (38-25, 97.5)     6- 1       -2.38      16.04      -0.68         0.55            16.77
   3 A Georgia         (52-14, 98.9)     0- 4       -0.95      17.47       0.68         0.55            -0.08
   3 A Georgia         (52-14, 98.9)     3-13       -0.95      17.47       0.68         0.55            -0.08
   3 A Georgia         (52-14, 98.9)     4-14       -0.95      17.47       0.68         0.55            -0.08
   3 H Vanderbilt      (32-22, 97.1)     8-11       -2.78      15.65      -0.68         0.55            -0.94
   3 H Vanderbilt      (32-22, 97.1)     4- 1       -2.78      15.65      -0.68         0.55            16.34
   3 H Houston         (23-28, 94.6)     3- 3       -5.30      13.12      -0.68         0.55             0.00
   3 H South Alabama   (33-24, 95.2)     6- 7       -4.71      13.72      -0.68         0.55            -1.47
   3 A Texas           (49-13, 99.5)     7-12       -0.44      17.99       0.68         0.55            -0.07
   3 A Ole Miss        (38-25, 97.7)    10- 8       -2.23      16.20       0.68         0.55            18.41
   3 A Mississippi St  (43-20, 99.3)     2-12       -0.56      17.86       0.68         0.55            -0.03
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       231.38

winning pts = 258.2669 losing points = -26.8834

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------