Monmouth
W-L: (31-23) PR = 93.0782Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Richmond A10 ( 8-10, 90.8) 4- 3 214 A Richmond A10 ( 8-10, 90.8) 5- 7 214 A Richmond A10 ( 8-10, 90.8) 8-10 220 A Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 4- 6, 93.6) 8- 4 221 A North Dakota State SM ( 4-14, 91.9) 1- 5 222 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 8-14 228 A UMBC AE ( 6- 8, 92.1) 3- 4 228 A UMBC AE ( 6- 8, 92.1) 9-10 301 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 13-11 306 H Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 12- 1 307 A Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 4- 1 308 A Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 12- 4 311 A Fairleigh Dickinson NE ( 3- 9, 88.7) 15-14 313 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 5- 4 314 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 4- 5 315 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 19- 9 317 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 3-13 320 H Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 10- 2 321 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 8-16 322 H Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 7-10 324 H Lafayette PAT ( 3- 9, 89.6) 6- 1 327 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 6- 3 328 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 9- 7 329 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 8- 2 331 H Saint Peter's MAAC ( 1- 5, 88.1) 12-19 402 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 1- 7 403 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 8- 6 404 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 1-13 408 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 10-12 410 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 8- 4 411 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 6- 5 412 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 10- 8 414 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 5-17 415 H Fairleigh Dickinson NE ( 3- 9, 88.7) 5- 3 417 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 8- 4 418 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 1- 3 418 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 2- 5 419 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 13- 1 421 A Long Island University NE ( 3- 6, 92.2) 10- 6 422 H Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 6- 5 424 H Rider MAAC ( 9- 9, 94.3) 4-14 426 H Rider MAAC ( 9- 9, 94.3) 12- 2 501 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 10-13 502 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 1-10 503 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 5- 4 508 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 3- 7 508 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 5- 2 510 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 18-10 514 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 14- 4 515 A UT Rio Grande Valley SL ( 8-10, 94.8) 9- 2 516 H North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 8- 7 520 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 0- 5 521 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 7- 2 522 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 1- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Richmond 4- 3 1 2 -0.58
214 A Richmond 5- 7 -2 2 - -3.58
214 A Richmond 8-10 -2 2 - -3.58
220 A Southeast Missouri Sta 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 5.24
221 A North Dakota State 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.55
222 A Stetson 8-14 -6 0 -- -5.64
228 A UMBC 3- 4 -1 0 -1.35
228 A UMBC 9-10 -1 0 -1.35
301 H Arkansas 13-11 2 -4 ++ 5.76
306 H Seattle U 12- 1 11 3 +++ 7.98
307 A Towson 4- 1 3 1 1.78
308 A Towson 12- 4 8 1 +++ 6.78
311 A Fairleigh Dickinson 15-14 1 4 - -2.66
313 H Hofstra 5- 4 1 1 -0.29
314 H Hofstra 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.29
315 H Hofstra 19- 9 10 1 +++ 8.71
317 A Rutgers 3-13 -10 -1 --- -8.51
320 H Stony Brook 10- 2 8 1 +++ 6.71
321 A Hofstra 8-16 -8 0 --- -7.94
322 H Stony Brook 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.29
324 H Lafayette 6- 1 5 4 0.88
327 A Elon 6- 3 3 1 + 2.50
328 A Elon 9- 7 2 1 1.50
329 A Elon 8- 2 6 1 ++ 5.50
331 H Saint Peter's 12-19 -7 6 --- -12.69
402 A Northeastern 1- 7 -6 -2 - -3.97
403 A Northeastern 8- 6 2 -2 ++ 4.03
404 A Northeastern 1-13 -12 -2 --- -9.97
408 H Troy 10-12 -2 -2 0.47
410 A Villanova 8- 4 4 2 1.92
411 H Towson 6- 5 1 3 -1.58
412 H Towson 10- 8 2 3 -0.58
414 H Texas Tech 5-17 -12 -2 --- -9.96
415 H Fairleigh Dickinson 5- 3 2 5 - -3.01
417 A Stony Brook 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.06
418 A Stony Brook 1- 3 -2 0 -1.94
418 A Stony Brook 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.94
419 A East Carolina 13- 1 12 -4 +++ 16.33
421 A Long Island University 10- 6 4 0 + 3.77
422 H Seton Hall 6- 5 1 3 - -2.29
424 H Rider 4-14 -10 -1 --- -9.41
426 H Rider 12- 2 10 -1 +++ 10.59
501 H Northeastern 10-13 -3 -1 - -2.33
502 H Northeastern 1-10 -9 -1 --- -8.33
503 H Northeastern 5- 4 1 -1 1.67
508 A Hofstra 3- 7 -4 0 - -3.94
508 A Hofstra 5- 2 3 0 + 3.06
510 A Hofstra 18-10 8 0 +++ 8.06
514 A Hofstra 14- 4 10 0 +++ 10.06
515 A UT Rio Grande Valley 9- 2 7 -2 +++ 9.37
516 H North Carolina A&T 8- 7 1 4 - -2.62
520 H UNC Wilmington 0- 5 -5 -1 -- -4.44
521 H Charleston 7- 2 5 1 ++ 4.36
522 H UNC Wilmington 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.44
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Rutgers 3-13 -10 -1 --- -8.51 321 A Hofstra 8-16 -8 0 --- -7.94 331 H Saint Peter's 12-19 -7 6 --- -12.69 404 A Northeastern 1-13 -12 -2 --- -9.97 414 H Texas Tech 5-17 -12 -2 --- -9.96 424 H Rider 4-14 -10 -1 --- -9.41 502 H Northeastern 1-10 -9 -1 --- -8.33 221 A North Dakota State 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.55 222 A Stetson 8-14 -6 0 -- -5.64 322 H Stony Brook 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.29 520 H UNC Wilmington 0- 5 -5 -1 -- -4.44 522 H UNC Wilmington 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.44 214 A Richmond 5- 7 -2 2 - -3.58 214 A Richmond 8-10 -2 2 - -3.58 311 A Fairleigh Dickinson 15-14 1 4 - -2.66 314 H Hofstra 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.29 402 A Northeastern 1- 7 -6 -2 - -3.97 415 H Fairleigh Dickinson 5- 3 2 5 - -3.01 418 A Stony Brook 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.94 422 H Seton Hall 6- 5 1 3 - -2.29 501 H Northeastern 10-13 -3 -1 - -2.33 508 A Hofstra 3- 7 -4 0 - -3.94 516 H North Carolina A&T 8- 7 1 4 - -2.62 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Seattle U 12- 1 11 3 +++ 7.98 308 A Towson 12- 4 8 1 +++ 6.78 315 H Hofstra 19- 9 10 1 +++ 8.71 320 H Stony Brook 10- 2 8 1 +++ 6.71 419 A East Carolina 13- 1 12 -4 +++ 16.33 426 H Rider 12- 2 10 -1 +++ 10.59 510 A Hofstra 18-10 8 0 +++ 8.06 514 A Hofstra 14- 4 10 0 +++ 10.06 515 A UT Rio Grande Valley 9- 2 7 -2 +++ 9.37 220 A Southeast Missouri Sta 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 5.24 301 H Arkansas 13-11 2 -4 ++ 5.76 329 A Elon 8- 2 6 1 ++ 5.50 403 A Northeastern 8- 6 2 -2 ++ 4.03 417 A Stony Brook 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.06 521 H Charleston 7- 2 5 1 ++ 4.36 327 A Elon 6- 3 3 1 + 2.50 421 A Long Island University 10- 6 4 0 + 3.77 508 A Hofstra 5- 2 3 0 + 3.06 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Richmond ( 8-10, 90.8) 4- 3 -9.07 9.35 0.68 0.54 10.74
3 A Richmond ( 8-10, 90.8) 5- 7 -9.07 9.35 0.68 0.54 -2.25
3 A Richmond ( 8-10, 90.8) 8-10 -9.07 9.35 0.68 0.54 -2.25
3 A Southeast Miss ( 4- 6, 93.6) 8- 4 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.54 13.76
3 A North Dakota S ( 4-14, 91.9) 1- 5 -8.04 10.38 0.68 0.54 -1.97
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 8-14 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.54 -1.73
3 A UMBC ( 6- 8, 92.1) 3- 4 -7.85 10.58 0.68 0.54 -1.92
3 A UMBC ( 6- 8, 92.1) 9-10 -7.85 10.58 0.68 0.54 -1.92
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 13-11 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 0.54 16.46
3 H Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 12- 1 -9.17 9.26 -0.68 0.54 9.19
3 A Towson (20-33, 91.2) 4- 1 -8.72 9.70 0.68 0.54 11.12
3 A Towson (20-33, 91.2) 12- 4 -8.72 9.70 0.68 0.54 11.12
3 A Fairleigh Dick ( 3- 9, 88.7) 15-14 -11.16 7.27 0.68 0.54 8.51
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 5- 4 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.54 11.04
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 4- 5 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.54 -2.17
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 19- 9 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.54 11.04
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 3-13 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.54 -1.43
3 H Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 10- 2 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.54 11.04
3 A Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 8-16 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.54 -1.81
3 H Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 7-10 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.54 -2.17
3 H Lafayette ( 3- 9, 89.6) 6- 1 -10.26 8.16 -0.68 0.54 8.02
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 6- 3 -8.00 10.43 0.68 0.54 11.89
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 9- 7 -8.00 10.43 0.68 0.54 11.89
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 8- 2 -8.00 10.43 0.68 0.54 11.89
3 H Saint Peter's ( 1- 5, 88.1) 12-19 -11.84 6.59 -0.68 0.54 -3.35
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 1- 7 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.54 -1.28
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 8- 6 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.54 14.60
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 1-13 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.54 -1.28
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 10-12 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.54 -1.17
3 A Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 8- 4 -9.57 8.85 0.68 0.54 10.21
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 6- 5 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.54 9.67
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 10- 8 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.54 9.67
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 5-17 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 0.54 -1.28
3 H Fairleigh Dick ( 3- 9, 88.7) 5- 3 -11.16 7.27 -0.68 0.54 7.06
3 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 8- 4 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.54 12.49
3 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 1- 3 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.54 -1.81
3 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 2- 5 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.54 -1.81
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 13- 1 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.54 17.07
3 A Long Island Un ( 3- 6, 92.2) 10- 6 -7.73 10.70 0.68 0.54 12.18
3 H Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 6- 5 -9.44 8.99 -0.68 0.54 8.90
3 H Rider ( 9- 9, 94.3) 4-14 -5.56 12.87 -0.68 0.54 -1.67
3 H Rider ( 9- 9, 94.3) 12- 2 -5.56 12.87 -0.68 0.54 13.06
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 10-13 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.54 -1.65
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 1-10 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.54 -1.65
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 5- 4 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.54 13.15
3 A Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 3- 7 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.54 -1.81
3 A Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 5- 2 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.54 12.49
3 A Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 18-10 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.54 12.49
3 A Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 14- 4 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.54 12.49
3 A UT Rio Grande ( 8-10, 94.8) 9- 2 -5.13 13.29 0.68 0.54 14.96
3 H North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 8- 7 -9.77 8.66 -0.68 0.54 8.55
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 0- 5 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.54 -1.68
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 7- 2 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.54 11.74
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 1- 6 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.54 -1.68
------
316.79
|
winning pts = 358.5272 losing points = -41.7422
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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