Morehead State
W-L: ( 7- 4) PR = 95.2328Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 8-11 303 H North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 13- 5 306 H South Dakota State SM ( 4-15, 90.6) 5- 5 306 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 16-22 307 A Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 11- 8 308 A Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 9- 4 324 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 12- 6 414 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 13- 3 422 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 11- 2 428 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 9- 6 429 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 3-11 519 H Southern Indiana OV ( 8- 8, 94.8) 2- 6
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
217 H Clemson 8-11 -3 0 - -3.27
303 H North Carolina 13- 5 8 -3 +++ 10.89
306 H South Dakota State 5- 5 0 5 -- -5.26
306 H Wichita State 16-22 -6 1 --- -7.33
307 A Butler 11- 8 3 3 0.31
308 A Butler 9- 4 5 3 + 2.31
324 A Eastern Kentucky 12- 6 6 3 + 2.66
414 H Bellarmine 13- 3 10 5 ++ 5.25
422 A Marshall 11- 2 9 1 +++ 7.91
428 H Marshall 9- 6 3 2 0.56
429 A Hawai'i 3-11 -8 1 --- -8.90
519 H Southern Indiana 2- 6 -4 1 -- -5.12
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Wichita State 16-22 -6 1 --- -7.33 429 A Hawai'i 3-11 -8 1 --- -8.90 306 H South Dakota State 5- 5 0 5 -- -5.26 519 H Southern Indiana 2- 6 -4 1 -- -5.12 217 H Clemson 8-11 -3 0 - -3.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H North Carolina 13- 5 8 -3 +++ 10.89 422 A Marshall 11- 2 9 1 +++ 7.91 414 H Bellarmine 13- 3 10 5 ++ 5.25 308 A Butler 9- 4 5 3 + 2.31 324 A Eastern Kentucky 12- 6 6 3 + 2.66 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 8-11 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 2.41 -5.94
3 H North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 13- 5 -1.10 17.32 -0.68 2.41 80.25
3 H South Dakota S ( 4-15, 90.6) 5- 5 -9.25 9.17 -0.68 2.41 0.00
3 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 16-22 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 2.41 -7.23
3 A Butler (23-30, 91.9) 11- 8 -8.03 10.39 0.68 2.41 53.35
3 A Butler (23-30, 91.9) 9- 4 -8.03 10.39 0.68 2.41 53.35
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 12- 6 -8.69 9.74 0.68 2.41 50.21
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 13- 3 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 2.41 43.43
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 11- 2 -6.44 11.99 0.68 2.41 61.05
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 9- 6 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 2.41 54.54
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 3-11 -6.25 12.18 0.68 2.41 -6.71
3 H Southern India ( 8- 8, 94.8) 2- 6 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 2.41 -6.98
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369.33
|
winning pts = 396.1834 losing points = -26.8562
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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