Marshall
W-L: (24-32) PR = 93.4644Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 5- 2 214 A Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 18-11 214 A Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 9-10 215 A Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 2- 4 220 H Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 3- 4 221 A The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 6-10 222 H Navy PAT ( 3- 5, 92.1) 1- 8 223 A Winthrop BSO ( 6-11, 92.1) 7-11 227 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 4- 3 228 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 2- 7 301 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 3- 1 303 H High Point BSO ( 8-12, 93.3) 13- 0 306 A Murray State MV ( 9-13, 91.8) 5- 3 307 H St. Bonaventure A10 ( 1- 6, 87.4) 11- 1 308 H St. Bonaventure A10 ( 1- 6, 87.4) 25- 2 310 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 5-16 311 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 8-18 313 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 5- 2 314 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 4- 2 315 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 13- 7 317 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 15- 8 320 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 17-16 321 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 13-11 322 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 12-18 324 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 0- 3 327 H Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 9-11 328 H Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 4-12 329 H Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 4- 5 402 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 12- 6 403 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 4- 5 404 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 4-10 408 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 2-12 410 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 8- 5 411 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 1- 4 412 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 7- 5 415 A Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 11- 7 417 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 6- 2 418 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 3- 7 419 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 1- 4 422 H Morehead State OV ( 7- 4, 95.2) 2-11 424 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 7- 4 425 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 2- 8 426 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 0- 1 428 A Morehead State OV ( 7- 4, 95.2) 6- 9 429 A Ohio MA ( 0- 4, 86.2) 5- 2 501 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 3- 4 502 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 9- 0 503 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 3- 5 505 A West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 2- 7 508 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 7- 4 509 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 13-10 510 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 5- 7 514 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 0- 4 515 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 9-12 516 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 4- 5 519 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 1-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Evansville 5- 2 3 3 0.35
214 A Evansville 18-11 7 1 ++ 5.70
214 A Kennesaw State 9-10 -1 -2 0.89
215 A Houston 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.19
220 H Western Kentucky 3- 4 -1 0 -0.79
221 A The Citadel 6-10 -4 -2 -1.85
222 H Navy 1- 8 -7 2 --- -9.09
223 A Winthrop 7-11 -4 1 -- -4.73
227 H Butler 4- 3 1 2 -1.27
228 H Butler 2- 7 -5 2 --- -7.27
301 H Butler 3- 1 2 2 -0.27
303 H High Point 13- 0 13 1 +++ 12.14
306 A Murray State 5- 3 2 1 1.02
307 H St. Bonaventure 11- 1 10 7 + 3.23
308 H St. Bonaventure 25- 2 23 7 +++ 7.23
310 A Louisville 5-16 -11 -3 --- -7.59
311 A Louisville 8-18 -10 -3 --- -6.59
313 H Georgia State 5- 2 3 1 + 2.50
314 H Georgia State 4- 2 2 1 1.50
315 H Georgia State 13- 7 6 1 ++ 5.50
317 A Kentucky 15- 8 7 -3 +++ 10.13
320 A Georgia Southern 17-16 1 1 0.12
321 H Florida State 13-11 2 -3 ++ 4.84
322 A Georgia Southern 12-18 -6 1 --- -6.88
324 H West Virginia 0- 3 -3 -4 1.01
327 H Coastal Carolina 9-11 -2 -1 -0.66
328 H Coastal Carolina 4-12 -8 -1 --- -6.66
329 H Coastal Carolina 4- 5 -1 -1 0.34
402 A App State 12- 6 6 -2 +++ 8.39
403 A App State 4- 5 -1 -2 1.39
404 A App State 4-10 -6 -2 - -3.61
408 H Pittsburgh 2-12 -10 -2 --- -7.77
410 A UL Monroe 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 4.83
411 H Old Dominion 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.83
412 H Old Dominion 7- 5 2 1 1.17
415 A Ohio State 11- 7 4 -2 +++ 6.24
417 A South Alabama 6- 2 4 -2 +++ 6.41
418 A South Alabama 3- 7 -4 -2 -1.59
419 A South Alabama 1- 4 -3 -2 -0.59
422 H Morehead State 2-11 -9 -1 --- -7.91
424 H Troy 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 5.08
425 H Troy 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.92
428 A Morehead State 6- 9 -3 -2 -0.56
429 A Ohio 5- 2 3 7 - -3.57
501 A Janes Madison 3- 4 -1 1 -1.69
502 A Janes Madison 9- 0 9 1 +++ 8.31
503 A Janes Madison 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.69
505 A West Virginia 2- 7 -5 -5 0.36
508 H UL Monroe 7- 4 3 0 + 3.48
509 H UL Monroe 13-10 3 0 + 3.48
510 H UL Monroe 5- 7 -2 0 -1.52
514 H UL Monroe 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.52
515 H UL Monroe 9-12 -3 0 - -2.52
516 A Texas State 4- 5 -1 -2 1.23
519 A Louisiana 1-11 -10 -2 --- -7.71
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Navy 1- 8 -7 2 --- -9.09 228 H Butler 2- 7 -5 2 --- -7.27 310 A Louisville 5-16 -11 -3 --- -7.59 311 A Louisville 8-18 -10 -3 --- -6.59 322 A Georgia Southern 12-18 -6 1 --- -6.88 328 H Coastal Carolina 4-12 -8 -1 --- -6.66 408 H Pittsburgh 2-12 -10 -2 --- -7.77 422 H Morehead State 2-11 -9 -1 --- -7.91 519 A Louisiana 1-11 -10 -2 --- -7.71 223 A Winthrop 7-11 -4 1 -- -4.73 404 A App State 4-10 -6 -2 - -3.61 411 H Old Dominion 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.83 425 H Troy 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.92 429 A Ohio 5- 2 3 7 - -3.57 503 A Janes Madison 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.69 514 H UL Monroe 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.52 515 H UL Monroe 9-12 -3 0 - -2.52 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H High Point 13- 0 13 1 +++ 12.14 308 H St. Bonaventure 25- 2 23 7 +++ 7.23 317 A Kentucky 15- 8 7 -3 +++ 10.13 402 A App State 12- 6 6 -2 +++ 8.39 415 A Ohio State 11- 7 4 -2 +++ 6.24 417 A South Alabama 6- 2 4 -2 +++ 6.41 502 A Janes Madison 9- 0 9 1 +++ 8.31 214 A Evansville 18-11 7 1 ++ 5.70 315 H Georgia State 13- 7 6 1 ++ 5.50 321 H Florida State 13-11 2 -3 ++ 4.84 410 A UL Monroe 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 4.83 424 H Troy 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 5.08 307 H St. Bonaventure 11- 1 10 7 + 3.23 313 H Georgia State 5- 2 3 1 + 2.50 508 H UL Monroe 7- 4 3 0 + 3.48 509 H UL Monroe 13-10 3 0 + 3.48 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Evansville ( 5-14, 91.5) 5- 2 -8.41 10.01 -0.68 0.52 9.64
3 A Evansville ( 5-14, 91.5) 18-11 -8.41 10.01 0.68 0.52 11.04
3 A Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 9-10 -5.22 13.20 0.68 0.52 -1.17
3 A Houston (23-28, 94.6) 2- 4 -5.30 13.12 0.68 0.52 -1.20
3 H Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 3- 4 -5.55 12.88 -0.68 0.52 -1.61
3 A The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 6-10 -4.96 13.47 0.68 0.52 -1.11
3 H Navy ( 3- 5, 92.1) 1- 8 -7.85 10.58 -0.68 0.52 -2.20
3 A Winthrop ( 6-11, 92.1) 7-11 -7.84 10.58 0.68 0.52 -1.85
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 4- 3 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 0.52 10.04
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 2- 7 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 0.52 -2.25
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 3- 1 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 0.52 10.04
3 H High Point ( 8-12, 93.3) 13- 0 -6.62 11.80 -0.68 0.52 11.49
3 A Murray State ( 9-13, 91.8) 5- 3 -8.09 10.34 0.68 0.52 11.37
3 H St. Bonaventur ( 1- 6, 87.4) 11- 1 -12.53 5.90 -0.68 0.52 5.39
3 H St. Bonaventur ( 1- 6, 87.4) 25- 2 -12.53 5.90 -0.68 0.52 5.39
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 5-16 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.52 -0.78
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 8-18 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.52 -0.78
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 5- 2 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.52 11.87
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 4- 2 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.52 11.87
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 13- 7 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.52 11.87
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 15- 8 -3.98 14.44 0.68 0.52 15.62
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 17-16 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.52 11.48
3 H Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 13-11 -2.92 15.51 -0.68 0.52 15.32
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 12-18 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.52 -1.89
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 0- 3 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.52 -0.63
3 H Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 9-11 -4.42 14.01 -0.68 0.52 -1.32
3 H Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 4-12 -4.42 14.01 -0.68 0.52 -1.32
3 H Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 4- 5 -4.42 14.01 -0.68 0.52 -1.32
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 12- 6 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.52 14.85
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 4- 5 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.52 -1.04
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 4-10 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.52 -1.04
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 2-12 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 0.52 -1.09
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 8- 5 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.52 14.27
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 1- 4 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.52 -1.88
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 7- 5 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.52 11.53
3 A Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 11- 7 -4.87 13.56 0.68 0.52 14.70
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 6- 2 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.52 14.87
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 3- 7 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.52 -1.04
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 1- 4 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.52 -1.04
3 H Morehead State ( 7- 4, 95.2) 2-11 -4.67 13.76 -0.68 0.52 -1.38
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 7- 4 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.52 14.54
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 2- 8 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.52 -1.12
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 0- 1 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.52 -1.12
3 A Morehead State ( 7- 4, 95.2) 6- 9 -4.67 13.76 0.68 0.52 -1.03
3 A Ohio ( 0- 4, 86.2) 5- 2 -13.68 4.75 0.68 0.52 5.60
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 3- 4 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.52 -1.84
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 9- 0 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.52 11.67
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 3- 5 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.52 -1.84
3 A West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 2- 7 -1.75 16.68 0.68 0.52 -0.28
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 7- 4 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.52 12.88
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 13-10 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.52 12.88
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 5- 7 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.52 -1.54
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 0- 4 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.52 -1.54
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 9-12 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.52 -1.54
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 4- 5 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.52 -1.09
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 1-11 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.52 -1.07
------
238.28
|
winning pts = 280.2104 losing points = -41.9271
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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