North Alabama
W-L: (30-29) PR = 93.4019Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H SIU Edwardsville OV ( 3- 8, 91.4) 8- 1 213 H SIU Edwardsville OV ( 3- 8, 91.4) 3- 1 214 H SIU Edwardsville OV ( 3- 8, 91.4) 1- 2 217 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 3- 5 218 A Northern Illinois MA ( 7- 4, 93.5) 15- 5 220 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 7-16 221 H Saint Louis A10 ( 3- 6, 92.1) 12- 2 222 H Saint Louis A10 ( 3- 6, 92.1) 8- 6 224 A Samford SO ( 9-10, 94.7) 5- 6 227 H Southern Indiana OV ( 8- 8, 94.8) 1-20 228 H Southern Indiana OV ( 8- 8, 94.8) 0- 8 301 H Southern Indiana OV ( 8- 8, 94.8) 7- 3 304 H Alabama State SWAC ( 8- 9, 91.8) 5- 4 306 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 4-10 307 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 1- 6 308 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 2- 9 310 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 3- 8 313 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 3- 6 314 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 5- 7 315 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 13- 7 317 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 9- 7 320 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 7- 5 321 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 8- 1 322 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 7- 5 327 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 6-16 328 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 7- 4 329 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 9-12 331 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 0-10 402 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 4- 3 403 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 2- 4 404 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 16- 9 407 H UT Martin OV ( 3- 4, 89.6) 5- 6 410 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 9-12 411 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 13-12 412 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 15- 5 414 A UT Martin OV ( 3- 4, 89.6) 21- 3 417 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 4- 6 418 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 6- 2 419 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 0- 6 422 A Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 10- 7 424 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 10- 6 425 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 11- 8 426 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 15- 3 501 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 13- 3 502 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 8-15 503 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 6- 9 505 H Samford SO ( 9-10, 94.7) 2- 8 508 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 6-11 509 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 12- 4 509 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 3- 4 512 A Murray State MV ( 9-13, 91.8) 5- 9 514 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 9- 3 515 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 6- 7 516 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 8- 4 520 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 5- 0 521 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 11- 4 522 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 3- 4 523 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 6- 5 523 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 4- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H SIU Edwardsville 8- 1 7 3 ++ 4.32
213 H SIU Edwardsville 3- 1 2 3 -0.68
214 H SIU Edwardsville 1- 2 -1 3 - -3.68
217 A Tulane 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.32
218 A Northern Illinois 15- 5 10 -1 +++ 10.81
220 A South Alabama 7-16 -9 -2 --- -6.53
221 H Saint Louis 12- 2 10 2 +++ 8.00
222 H Saint Louis 8- 6 2 2 -0.00
224 A Samford 5- 6 -1 -2 1.02
227 H Southern Indiana 1-20 -19 -1 --- -13.29
228 H Southern Indiana 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.29
301 H Southern Indiana 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 4.71
304 H Alabama State 5- 4 1 2 -1.31
306 H Texas State 4-10 -6 -1 -- -5.06
307 A Southern Miss 1- 6 -5 -4 -1.10
308 A Southern Miss 2- 9 -7 -4 - -3.10
310 H Jacksonville State 3- 8 -5 -3 -1.99
313 A Lipscomb 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.48
314 A Lipscomb 5- 7 -2 0 - -2.48
315 A Lipscomb 13- 7 6 0 ++ 5.52
317 A Sam Houston 9- 7 2 -1 + 2.71
320 H Eastern Kentucky 7- 5 2 3 -0.86
321 A Santa Clara 8- 1 7 -1 +++ 7.66
322 H Eastern Kentucky 7- 5 2 3 -0.86
327 A Bellarmine 6-16 -10 2 --- -11.57
328 A Bellarmine 7- 4 3 2 1.43
329 A Bellarmine 9-12 -3 2 -- -4.57
331 A UAB 0-10 -10 -2 --- -7.85
402 H Central Arkansas 4- 3 1 1 -0.37
403 H Central Arkansas 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.37
404 H Central Arkansas 16- 9 7 1 ++ 5.63
407 H UT Martin 5- 6 -1 4 -- -5.43
410 H Minnesota 9-12 -3 -3 0.26
411 A Austin Peay 13-12 1 0 1.03
412 A Austin Peay 15- 5 10 0 +++ 10.03
414 A UT Martin 21- 3 18 3 +++ 10.92
417 H Lipscomb 4- 6 -2 2 - -3.83
418 H Lipscomb 6- 2 4 2 + 2.17
419 H Lipscomb 0- 6 -6 2 --- -7.83
422 A Tennessee Tech 10- 7 3 3 0.25
424 A Eastern Kentucky 10- 6 4 2 + 2.49
425 A Eastern Kentucky 11- 8 3 2 1.49
426 A Eastern Kentucky 15- 3 12 2 +++ 10.49
501 H Bellarmine 13- 3 10 3 +++ 7.08
502 H Bellarmine 8-15 -7 3 --- -9.92
503 H Bellarmine 6- 9 -3 3 -- -5.92
505 H Samford 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -5.33
508 A Central Arkansas 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.02
509 A Central Arkansas 12- 4 8 0 +++ 7.98
509 A Central Arkansas 3- 4 -1 0 -1.02
512 A Murray State 5- 9 -4 1 -- -4.92
514 A Georgia Southern 9- 3 6 1 ++ 5.18
515 A Kansas 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.41
516 H Austin Peay 8- 4 4 1 + 2.68
520 H Jacksonville 5- 0 5 0 ++ 4.56
521 A North Florida 11- 4 7 -1 +++ 7.74
522 A Lipscomb 3- 4 -1 0 -1.48
523 A Florida Gulf Coast 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.34
523 A Lipscomb 4- 5 -1 0 -1.48
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A South Alabama 7-16 -9 -2 --- -6.53 227 H Southern Indiana 1-20 -19 -1 --- -13.29 228 H Southern Indiana 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.29 327 A Bellarmine 6-16 -10 2 --- -11.57 331 A UAB 0-10 -10 -2 --- -7.85 419 H Lipscomb 0- 6 -6 2 --- -7.83 502 H Bellarmine 8-15 -7 3 --- -9.92 306 H Texas State 4-10 -6 -1 -- -5.06 329 A Bellarmine 9-12 -3 2 -- -4.57 407 H UT Martin 5- 6 -1 4 -- -5.43 503 H Bellarmine 6- 9 -3 3 -- -5.92 505 H Samford 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -5.33 508 A Central Arkansas 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.02 512 A Murray State 5- 9 -4 1 -- -4.92 214 H SIU Edwardsville 1- 2 -1 3 - -3.68 308 A Southern Miss 2- 9 -7 -4 - -3.10 313 A Lipscomb 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.48 314 A Lipscomb 5- 7 -2 0 - -2.48 403 H Central Arkansas 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.37 417 H Lipscomb 4- 6 -2 2 - -3.83 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 A Northern Illinois 15- 5 10 -1 +++ 10.81 221 H Saint Louis 12- 2 10 2 +++ 8.00 321 A Santa Clara 8- 1 7 -1 +++ 7.66 412 A Austin Peay 15- 5 10 0 +++ 10.03 414 A UT Martin 21- 3 18 3 +++ 10.92 426 A Eastern Kentucky 15- 3 12 2 +++ 10.49 501 H Bellarmine 13- 3 10 3 +++ 7.08 509 A Central Arkansas 12- 4 8 0 +++ 7.98 521 A North Florida 11- 4 7 -1 +++ 7.74 213 H SIU Edwardsville 8- 1 7 3 ++ 4.32 301 H Southern Indiana 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 4.71 315 A Lipscomb 13- 7 6 0 ++ 5.52 404 H Central Arkansas 16- 9 7 1 ++ 5.63 514 A Georgia Southern 9- 3 6 1 ++ 5.18 520 H Jacksonville 5- 0 5 0 ++ 4.56 317 A Sam Houston 9- 7 2 -1 + 2.71 418 H Lipscomb 6- 2 4 2 + 2.17 424 A Eastern Kentucky 10- 6 4 2 + 2.49 515 A Kansas 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.41 516 H Austin Peay 8- 4 4 1 + 2.68 523 A Florida Gulf Coast 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.34 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H SIU Edwardsvil ( 3- 8, 91.4) 8- 1 -8.50 9.93 -0.68 0.49 9.07
3 H SIU Edwardsvil ( 3- 8, 91.4) 3- 1 -8.50 9.93 -0.68 0.49 9.07
3 H SIU Edwardsvil ( 3- 8, 91.4) 1- 2 -8.50 9.93 -0.68 0.49 -2.25
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 3- 5 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.49 -1.18
3 A Northern Illin ( 7- 4, 93.5) 15- 5 -6.36 12.07 0.68 0.49 12.49
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 7-16 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.49 -0.99
3 H Saint Louis ( 3- 6, 92.1) 12- 2 -7.83 10.60 -0.68 0.49 9.73
3 H Saint Louis ( 3- 6, 92.1) 8- 6 -7.83 10.60 -0.68 0.49 9.73
3 A Samford ( 9-10, 94.7) 5- 6 -5.15 13.27 0.68 0.49 -1.10
3 H Southern India ( 8- 8, 94.8) 1-20 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.49 -1.42
3 H Southern India ( 8- 8, 94.8) 0- 8 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.49 -1.42
3 H Southern India ( 8- 8, 94.8) 7- 3 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.49 12.39
3 H Alabama State ( 8- 9, 91.8) 5- 4 -8.13 10.30 -0.68 0.49 9.43
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 4-10 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.49 -1.36
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 1- 6 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.49 -0.64
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 2- 9 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.49 -0.64
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 3- 8 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.49 -0.86
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 3- 6 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.49 -1.71
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 5- 7 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.49 -1.71
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 13- 7 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.49 11.22
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 9- 7 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.49 12.39
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 7- 5 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 0.49 8.89
3 A Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 8- 1 -6.51 11.91 0.68 0.49 12.34
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 7- 5 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 0.49 8.89
3 A Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 6-16 -8.74 9.69 0.68 0.49 -1.98
3 A Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 7- 4 -8.74 9.69 0.68 0.49 10.16
3 A Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 9-12 -8.74 9.69 0.68 0.49 -1.98
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 0-10 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.49 -1.07
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 4- 3 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.49 10.35
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 2- 4 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.49 -1.93
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 16- 9 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.49 10.35
3 H UT Martin ( 3- 4, 89.6) 5- 6 -10.25 8.17 -0.68 0.49 -2.68
3 H Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 9-12 -2.56 15.86 -0.68 0.49 -0.79
3 A Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 13-12 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.49 11.73
3 A Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 15- 5 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.49 11.73
3 A UT Martin ( 3- 4, 89.6) 21- 3 -10.25 8.17 0.68 0.49 8.68
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 4- 6 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.49 -2.04
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 6- 2 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.49 9.90
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 0- 6 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.49 -2.04
3 A Tennessee Tech ( 5-13, 90.0) 10- 7 -9.92 8.51 0.68 0.49 9.00
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 10- 6 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.49 10.21
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 11- 8 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.49 10.21
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 15- 3 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.49 10.21
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 13- 3 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.49 8.83
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 8-15 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.49 -2.31
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 6- 9 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.49 -2.31
3 H Samford ( 9-10, 94.7) 2- 8 -5.15 13.27 -0.68 0.49 -1.43
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 6-11 -7.19 11.24 0.68 0.49 -1.60
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 12- 4 -7.19 11.24 0.68 0.49 11.68
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 3- 4 -7.19 11.24 0.68 0.49 -1.60
3 A Murray State ( 9-13, 91.8) 5- 9 -8.09 10.34 0.68 0.49 -1.82
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 9- 3 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.49 10.89
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 6- 7 -2.76 15.66 0.68 0.49 -0.51
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 8- 4 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.49 10.40
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 5- 0 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.49 11.26
3 A North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 11- 4 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.49 12.42
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 3- 4 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.49 -1.71
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 6- 5 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.49 13.01
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 4- 5 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.49 -1.71
------
271.91
|
winning pts = 316.6632 losing points = -44.7545
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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