UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick UNC Asheville
  
UNC Asheville         
W-L: ( 2- 6) PR = 88.5999

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 3-10 320 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 12- 9 321 H South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 4- 2 322 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 6-11 331 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 7-17 407 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 5-18 414 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 1-11 421 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 1- 4

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 A Tennessee               3-10      -7    -9           1.76
   320 A Villanova              12- 9       3    -2    ++     5.40
   321 H South Florida           4- 2       2    -5    +++    7.30
   322 A Villanova               6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.60
   331 A App State               7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.75
   407 H App State               5-18     -13    -6    ---   -7.10
   414 A Tennessee               1-11     -10    -9          -1.24
   421 A North Carolina A&T      1- 4      -3    -2          -0.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H App State               5-18     -13    -6    ---   -7.10
   322 A Villanova               6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.60
   331 A App State               7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H South Florida           4- 2       2    -5    +++    7.30
   320 A Villanova              12- 9       3    -2    ++     5.40

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Tennessee       (33-26, 96.7)     3-10       -3.21      15.22       0.68         3.62            -4.58
   3 A Villanova       (15-31, 90.3)    12- 9       -9.57       8.85       0.68         3.62            68.89
   3 H South Florida   (30-22, 94.6)     4- 2       -5.32      13.11      -0.68         3.62            89.88
   3 A Villanova       (15-31, 90.3)     6-11       -9.57       8.85       0.68         3.62           -16.08
   3 A App State       (31-23, 95.2)     7-17       -4.72      13.70       0.68         3.62            -7.31
   3 H App State       (31-23, 95.2)     5-18       -4.72      13.70      -0.68         3.62            -9.76
   3 A Tennessee       (33-26, 96.7)     1-11       -3.21      15.22       0.68         3.62            -4.58
   3 A North Carolina  (17-29, 90.1)     1- 4       -9.77       8.66       0.68         3.62           -16.44
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       100.00

winning pts = 158.7609 losing points = -58.7567

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------