UNC Greensboro
W-L: ( 7-14) PR = 91.9384Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 2-13 214 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 3-11 214 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 6-10 218 A Longwood BSO ( 6- 4, 94.0) 4- 3 224 H Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 1- 5 227 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 6-14 228 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 1- 7 228 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 2-14 303 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 13-11 310 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 10-12 311 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 9- 7 318 H Ball State MA ( 4-11, 91.4) 2-10 324 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 7- 6 407 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 11- 4 414 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 8-11 421 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 3-14 509 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 18-13 510 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 9-11 520 A East Tennessee State SO ( 4- 8, 95.9) 6- 5 520 A Samford SO ( 9-10, 94.7) 1-13 521 A Western Carolina SO ( 4-10, 93.3) 3- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Kentucky 2-13 -11 -3 --- -7.70
214 H Kentucky 3-11 -8 -3 -- -4.70
214 H Kentucky 6-10 -4 -3 -0.70
218 A Longwood 4- 3 1 -3 + 3.69
224 H Wake Forest 1- 5 -4 -5 0.65
227 A Pittsburgh 6-14 -8 -5 - -2.90
228 A Pittsburgh 1- 7 -6 -5 -0.90
228 A Pittsburgh 2-14 -12 -5 --- -6.90
303 H Notre Dame 13-11 2 -3 ++ 5.28
310 H Liberty 10-12 -2 -4 1.54
311 A North Carolina A&T 9- 7 2 1 0.87
318 H Ball State 2-10 -8 1 --- -9.24
324 A Liberty 7- 6 1 -5 ++ 5.89
407 A Campbell 11- 4 7 -4 +++ 11.10
414 H Campbell 8-11 -3 -3 -0.25
421 A Wake Forest 3-14 -11 -6 -- -4.99
509 A Virginia Tech 18-13 5 -4 +++ 9.03
510 A Virginia Tech 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.03
520 A East Tennessee State 6- 5 1 -5 ++ 5.66
520 A Samford 1-13 -12 -3 --- -8.52
521 A Western Carolina 3- 4 -1 -2 1.05
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Kentucky 2-13 -11 -3 --- -7.70 228 A Pittsburgh 2-14 -12 -5 --- -6.90 318 H Ball State 2-10 -8 1 --- -9.24 520 A Samford 1-13 -12 -3 --- -8.52 214 H Kentucky 3-11 -8 -3 -- -4.70 421 A Wake Forest 3-14 -11 -6 -- -4.99 227 A Pittsburgh 6-14 -8 -5 - -2.90 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Campbell 11- 4 7 -4 +++ 11.10 509 A Virginia Tech 18-13 5 -4 +++ 9.03 303 H Notre Dame 13-11 2 -3 ++ 5.28 324 A Liberty 7- 6 1 -5 ++ 5.89 520 A East Tennessee State 6- 5 1 -5 ++ 5.66 218 A Longwood 4- 3 1 -3 + 3.69 510 A Virginia Tech 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.03 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 2-13 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 1.38 -3.21
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 3-11 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 1.38 -3.21
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 6-10 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 1.38 -3.21
3 A Longwood ( 6- 4, 94.0) 4- 3 -5.94 12.48 0.68 1.38 36.24
3 H Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 1- 5 -2.63 15.79 -0.68 1.38 -2.28
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 6-14 -3.53 14.89 0.68 1.38 -1.97
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 1- 7 -3.53 14.89 0.68 1.38 -1.97
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 2-14 -3.53 14.89 0.68 1.38 -1.97
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 13-11 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 1.38 37.86
3 H Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 10-12 -3.75 14.68 -0.68 1.38 -3.05
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 9- 7 -9.77 8.66 0.68 1.38 25.70
3 H Ball State ( 4-11, 91.4) 2-10 -8.52 9.90 -0.68 1.38 -6.33
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 7- 6 -3.75 14.68 0.68 1.38 42.28
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 11- 4 -4.54 13.89 0.68 1.38 40.12
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 8-11 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 1.38 -3.59
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 3-14 -2.63 15.79 0.68 1.38 -1.35
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 18-13 -4.61 13.82 0.68 1.38 39.93
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 9-11 -4.61 13.82 0.68 1.38 -2.71
3 A East Tennessee ( 4- 8, 95.9) 6- 5 -3.98 14.45 0.68 1.38 41.66
3 A Samford ( 9-10, 94.7) 1-13 -5.15 13.27 0.68 1.38 -3.08
3 A Western Caroli ( 4-10, 93.3) 3- 4 -6.59 11.84 0.68 1.38 -4.07
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221.80
|
winning pts = 263.7951 losing points = -41.9922
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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