UNC Wilmington
W-L: (29-28) PR = 94.3140Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 3- 5 214 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 8- 4 214 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 1- 5 218 A Murray State MV ( 9-13, 91.8) 10- 5 220 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 1- 5 221 H Fordham A10 ( 3- 4, 90.4) 19- 0 222 H Fordham A10 ( 3- 4, 90.4) 7- 0 224 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 3- 6 225 A Charleston Southern BSO ( 9- 9, 93.4) 11-10 227 H UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 2- 5 228 H UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 2- 1 301 H UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 7- 2 304 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 3- 8 306 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 8-12 307 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 9- 4 308 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 7- 2 310 H Charleston Southern BSO ( 9- 9, 93.4) 18- 2 313 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 8- 7 314 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 8- 0 317 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 2- 3 320 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 2- 1 321 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 8-15 322 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 3- 6 327 H William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 5- 3 328 H William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 22- 1 329 H William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 8- 9 331 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 8-14 402 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 6- 7 403 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 2- 4 404 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 8- 6 407 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 4- 7 410 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 5- 4 411 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 3- 7 412 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 5- 7 414 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 5-14 417 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 1-10 418 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 12- 0 419 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 5- 6 421 H Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 2- 1 424 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 9- 8 425 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 5- 1 426 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 8- 1 501 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 2- 6 502 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 7- 5 503 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 0- 5 505 H High Point BSO ( 8-12, 93.3) 1- 2 508 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 18- 2 509 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 10- 7 510 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 2- 7 512 H North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 7-13 514 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 12- 5 515 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 3- 2 516 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 4-12 520 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 5- 0 521 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 1- 3 522 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 6- 1 522 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 3- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Maryland 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.20
214 H Maryland 8- 4 4 0 + 3.80
214 H Maryland 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.20
218 A Murray State 10- 5 5 2 + 3.17
220 A West Georgia 1- 5 -4 3 --- -6.56
221 H Fordham 19- 0 19 5 +++ 9.44
222 H Fordham 7- 0 7 5 + 2.44
224 H Duke 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.49
225 A Charleston Southern 11-10 1 0 0.74
227 H UConn 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.63
228 H UConn 2- 1 1 1 0.37
301 H UConn 7- 2 5 1 ++ 4.37
304 A Virginia 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.54
306 H Georgia 8-12 -4 -4 -0.04
307 A Jacksonville 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.00
308 A Jacksonville 7- 2 5 0 ++ 5.00
310 H Charleston Southern 18- 2 16 2 +++ 12.39
313 H Elon 8- 7 1 3 - -2.09
314 H Elon 8- 0 8 3 ++ 4.91
317 A Duke 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.14
320 A Charleston 2- 1 1 1 0.47
321 H Michigan State 8-15 -7 0 --- -6.95
322 A Charleston 3- 6 -3 1 - -3.53
327 H William & Mary 5- 3 2 3 -1.47
328 H William & Mary 22- 1 21 3 +++ 10.53
329 H William & Mary 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.47
331 A East Carolina 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.90
402 A Stony Brook 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.18
403 A Stony Brook 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.18
404 A Stony Brook 8- 6 2 1 0.82
407 A NC State 4- 7 -3 -3 -0.26
410 H Liberty 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.16
411 A Campbell 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.28
412 A Campbell 5- 7 -2 -2 -0.28
414 A North Carolina 5-14 -9 -5 - -3.84
417 H Hofstra 1-10 -9 3 --- -11.53
418 H Hofstra 12- 0 12 3 +++ 9.47
419 H Hofstra 5- 6 -1 3 - -3.53
421 H Coastal Carolina 2- 1 1 0 1.49
424 A Elon 9- 8 1 2 -0.74
425 A Elon 5- 1 4 2 + 2.26
426 A Elon 8- 1 7 2 ++ 5.26
501 H Charleston 2- 6 -4 2 -- -5.88
502 H Charleston 7- 5 2 2 0.12
503 H Charleston 0- 5 -5 2 --- -6.88
505 H High Point 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.71
508 A North Carolina A&T 18- 2 16 4 +++ 10.49
509 A North Carolina A&T 10- 7 3 4 -0.51
510 A North Carolina A&T 2- 7 -5 4 --- -8.51
512 H North Carolina 7-13 -6 -4 - -2.19
514 A Villanova 12- 5 7 3 + 3.69
515 A App State 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.54
516 H Campbell 4-12 -8 0 --- -7.63
520 A Monmouth 5- 0 5 1 ++ 4.44
521 A Campbell 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.28
522 A Monmouth 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.44
522 A Northeastern 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.21
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A West Georgia 1- 5 -4 3 --- -6.56 321 H Michigan State 8-15 -7 0 --- -6.95 417 H Hofstra 1-10 -9 3 --- -11.53 503 H Charleston 0- 5 -5 2 --- -6.88 510 A North Carolina A&T 2- 7 -5 4 --- -8.51 516 H Campbell 4-12 -8 0 --- -7.63 214 H Maryland 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.20 329 H William & Mary 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.47 501 H Charleston 2- 6 -4 2 -- -5.88 213 H Maryland 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.20 224 H Duke 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.49 227 H UConn 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.63 304 A Virginia 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.54 313 H Elon 8- 7 1 3 - -2.09 322 A Charleston 3- 6 -3 1 - -3.53 331 A East Carolina 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.90 402 A Stony Brook 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.18 403 A Stony Brook 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.18 411 A Campbell 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.28 414 A North Carolina 5-14 -9 -5 - -3.84 419 H Hofstra 5- 6 -1 3 - -3.53 505 H High Point 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.71 512 H North Carolina 7-13 -6 -4 - -2.19 522 A Northeastern 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.21 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Fordham 19- 0 19 5 +++ 9.44 310 H Charleston Southern 18- 2 16 2 +++ 12.39 328 H William & Mary 22- 1 21 3 +++ 10.53 418 H Hofstra 12- 0 12 3 +++ 9.47 508 A North Carolina A&T 18- 2 16 4 +++ 10.49 301 H UConn 7- 2 5 1 ++ 4.37 307 A Jacksonville 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.00 308 A Jacksonville 7- 2 5 0 ++ 5.00 314 H Elon 8- 0 8 3 ++ 4.91 426 A Elon 8- 1 7 2 ++ 5.26 520 A Monmouth 5- 0 5 1 ++ 4.44 522 A Monmouth 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.44 214 H Maryland 8- 4 4 0 + 3.80 218 A Murray State 10- 5 5 2 + 3.17 222 H Fordham 7- 0 7 5 + 2.44 410 H Liberty 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.16 425 A Elon 5- 1 4 2 + 2.26 514 A Villanova 12- 5 7 3 + 3.69 515 A App State 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.54 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 3- 5 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.51 -1.47
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 8- 4 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.51 12.82
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 1- 5 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.51 -1.47
3 A Murray State ( 9-13, 91.8) 10- 5 -8.09 10.34 0.68 0.51 11.17
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 1- 5 -8.82 9.60 0.68 0.51 -2.07
3 H Fordham ( 3- 4, 90.4) 19- 0 -9.47 8.96 -0.68 0.51 8.40
3 H Fordham ( 3- 4, 90.4) 7- 0 -9.47 8.96 -0.68 0.51 8.40
3 H Duke (29-28, 94.5) 3- 6 -5.40 13.02 -0.68 0.51 -1.54
3 A Charleston Sou ( 9- 9, 93.4) 11-10 -6.52 11.91 0.68 0.51 12.77
3 H UConn (28-29, 94.4) 2- 5 -5.54 12.88 -0.68 0.51 -1.58
3 H UConn (28-29, 94.4) 2- 1 -5.54 12.88 -0.68 0.51 12.39
3 H UConn (28-29, 94.4) 7- 2 -5.54 12.88 -0.68 0.51 12.39
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 3- 8 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.51 -0.79
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 8-12 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.51 -0.41
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 9- 4 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.51 13.03
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 7- 2 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.51 13.03
3 H Charleston Sou ( 9- 9, 93.4) 18- 2 -6.52 11.91 -0.68 0.51 11.40
3 H Elon (22-27, 91.9) 8- 7 -8.00 10.43 -0.68 0.51 9.90
3 H Elon (22-27, 91.9) 8- 0 -8.00 10.43 -0.68 0.51 9.90
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 2- 3 -5.40 13.02 0.68 0.51 -1.20
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 2- 1 -6.79 11.64 0.68 0.51 12.49
3 H Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 8-15 -4.86 13.57 -0.68 0.51 -1.40
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 3- 6 -6.79 11.64 0.68 0.51 -1.55
3 H William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 5- 3 -8.38 10.05 -0.68 0.51 9.51
3 H William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 22- 1 -8.38 10.05 -0.68 0.51 9.51
3 H William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 8- 9 -8.38 10.05 -0.68 0.51 -2.30
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 8-14 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.51 -0.63
3 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 6- 7 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.51 -1.72
3 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 2- 4 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.51 -1.72
3 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 8- 6 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.51 11.83
3 A NC State (34-21, 96.4) 4- 7 -3.52 14.91 0.68 0.51 -0.72
3 H Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 5- 4 -3.75 14.68 -0.68 0.51 14.21
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 3- 7 -4.54 13.89 0.68 0.51 -0.98
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 5- 7 -4.54 13.89 0.68 0.51 -0.98
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 5-14 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.51 -0.11
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 1-10 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.51 -2.06
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 12- 0 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.51 10.46
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 5- 6 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.51 -2.06
3 H Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 2- 1 -4.42 14.01 -0.68 0.51 13.53
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 9- 8 -8.00 10.43 0.68 0.51 11.27
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 5- 1 -8.00 10.43 0.68 0.51 11.27
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 8- 1 -8.00 10.43 0.68 0.51 11.27
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 2- 6 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.51 -1.89
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 7- 5 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.51 11.12
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 0- 5 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.51 -1.89
3 H High Point ( 8-12, 93.3) 1- 2 -6.62 11.80 -0.68 0.51 -1.85
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 18- 2 -9.77 8.66 0.68 0.51 9.47
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 10- 7 -9.77 8.66 0.68 0.51 9.47
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 2- 7 -9.77 8.66 0.68 0.51 -2.31
3 H North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 7-13 -1.10 17.32 -0.68 0.51 -0.45
3 A Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 12- 5 -9.57 8.85 0.68 0.51 9.67
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 3- 2 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.51 14.59
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 4-12 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 0.51 -1.32
3 A Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 5- 0 -6.82 11.60 0.68 0.51 12.46
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 1- 3 -4.54 13.89 0.68 0.51 -0.98
3 A Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 6- 1 -6.82 11.60 0.68 0.51 12.46
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 3- 7 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.51 -1.22
------
291.52
|
winning pts = 330.1850 losing points = -38.6680
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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