North Dakota State
W-L: ( 4-14) PR = 91.8566Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 1- 2 214 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 18-19 215 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 6-10 217 H Wofford SO ( 5- 5, 94.5) 5- 2 218 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 1-16 220 H Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 4-12 221 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 5- 1 227 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 5-11 228 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 3- 5 228 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 5- 7 306 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 2- 4 307 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 0-10 308 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 5- 2 311 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 1-11 317 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 7-13 408 H Alabama State SWAC ( 8- 9, 91.8) 4- 7 421 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 3-12 428 A Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 13- 6
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Florida Gulf Coast 1- 2 -1 -3 1.88
214 A Florida Gulf Coast 18-19 -1 -3 1.88
215 A Florida Gulf Coast 6-10 -4 -3 -1.12
217 H Wofford 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 4.95
218 H Vanderbilt 1-16 -15 -5 --- -9.41
220 H Missouri 4-12 -8 -2 --- -6.03
221 H Monmouth 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.55
227 A Missouri 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.68
228 A Missouri 3- 5 -2 -3 1.32
228 A Missouri 5- 7 -2 -3 1.32
306 H Duke 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.04
307 A Vanderbilt 0-10 -10 -6 -- -4.06
308 A Vanderbilt 5- 2 3 -6 +++ 8.94
311 A Nebraska 1-11 -10 -6 -- -4.14
317 H Arkansas 7-13 -6 -5 -1.02
408 H Alabama State 4- 7 -3 1 - -3.76
421 A Minnesota 3-12 -9 -6 - -2.84
428 A Creighton 13- 6 7 -3 +++ 10.23
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 H Vanderbilt 1-16 -15 -5 --- -9.41 220 H Missouri 4-12 -8 -2 --- -6.03 307 A Vanderbilt 0-10 -10 -6 -- -4.06 311 A Nebraska 1-11 -10 -6 -- -4.14 227 A Missouri 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.68 408 H Alabama State 4- 7 -3 1 - -3.76 421 A Minnesota 3-12 -9 -6 - -2.84 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Vanderbilt 5- 2 3 -6 +++ 8.94 428 A Creighton 13- 6 7 -3 +++ 10.23 217 H Wofford 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 4.95 221 H Monmouth 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.55 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 1- 2 -5.83 12.59 0.68 1.61 -4.14
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 18-19 -5.83 12.59 0.68 1.61 -4.14
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 6-10 -5.83 12.59 0.68 1.61 -4.14
3 H Wofford ( 5- 5, 94.5) 5- 2 -5.41 13.01 -0.68 1.61 39.64
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 1-16 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 1.61 -2.77
3 H Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 4-12 -5.40 13.03 -0.68 1.61 -4.88
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 5- 1 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 1.61 35.12
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 5-11 -5.40 13.03 0.68 1.61 -3.79
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 3- 5 -5.40 13.03 0.68 1.61 -3.79
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 5- 7 -5.40 13.03 0.68 1.61 -3.79
3 H Duke (29-28, 94.5) 2- 4 -5.40 13.02 -0.68 1.61 -4.88
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 0-10 -2.78 15.65 0.68 1.61 -1.69
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 5- 2 -2.78 15.65 0.68 1.61 52.46
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 1-11 -2.86 15.57 0.68 1.61 -1.75
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 7-13 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 1.61 -2.46
3 H Alabama State ( 8- 9, 91.8) 4- 7 -8.13 10.30 -0.68 1.61 -7.07
3 A Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 3-12 -2.56 15.86 0.68 1.61 -1.52
3 A Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 13- 6 -5.48 12.94 0.68 1.61 43.76
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120.14
|
winning pts = 170.9805 losing points = -50.8398
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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