Nevada
W-L: ( 6-13) PR = 92.8749Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 3-11 214 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 1- 5 215 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 2-13 227 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 4- 5 228 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 5- 7 301 H San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 11- 4 302 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 9- 4 306 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 11- 6 307 H Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 10- 5 308 H Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 12- 2 311 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 8-13 324 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 14- 9 407 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 9-11 413 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 10-16 421 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 5-11 507 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 0- 8 508 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 3-11 509 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 4-12 521 H New Mexico MW ( 5- 5, 93.5) 4-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Ole Miss 3-11 -8 -5 - -2.53
214 A Ole Miss 1- 5 -4 -5 1.47
215 A Ole Miss 2-13 -11 -5 -- -5.53
227 A UC Davis 4- 5 -1 -2 0.65
228 A UC Davis 5- 7 -2 -2 -0.35
301 H San José State 11- 4 7 -1 +++ 7.83
302 H Washington 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.32
306 A Cal Poly 11- 6 5 -3 +++ 8.10
307 H Pacific 10- 5 5 1 + 3.85
308 H Pacific 12- 2 10 1 +++ 8.85
311 A Stanford 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.64
324 H San Francisco 14- 9 5 3 + 2.44
407 H UC Davis 9-11 -2 0 -1.70
413 A Saint Mary's 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.63
421 H Saint Mary's 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.98
507 A USC 0- 8 -8 -5 - -2.71
508 A USC 3-11 -8 -5 - -2.71
509 A USC 4-12 -8 -5 - -2.71
521 H New Mexico 4-13 -9 0 --- -9.06
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 521 H New Mexico 4-13 -9 0 --- -9.06 215 A Ole Miss 2-13 -11 -5 -- -5.53 421 H Saint Mary's 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.98 213 A Ole Miss 3-11 -8 -5 - -2.53 311 A Stanford 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.64 413 A Saint Mary's 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.63 507 A USC 0- 8 -8 -5 - -2.71 508 A USC 3-11 -8 -5 - -2.71 509 A USC 4-12 -8 -5 - -2.71 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H San José State 11- 4 7 -1 +++ 7.83 306 A Cal Poly 11- 6 5 -3 +++ 8.10 308 H Pacific 12- 2 10 1 +++ 8.85 302 H Washington 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.32 307 H Pacific 10- 5 5 1 + 3.85 324 H San Francisco 14- 9 5 3 + 2.44 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 3-11 -2.23 16.20 0.68 1.52 -1.18
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 1- 5 -2.23 16.20 0.68 1.52 -1.18
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 2-13 -2.23 16.20 0.68 1.52 -1.18
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 4- 5 -6.05 12.38 0.68 1.52 -4.09
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 5- 7 -6.05 12.38 0.68 1.52 -4.09
3 H San José Stat (12-11, 94.4) 11- 4 -5.52 12.91 -0.68 1.52 37.24
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 9- 4 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 1.52 35.70
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 11- 6 -4.60 13.83 0.68 1.52 44.15
3 H Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 10- 5 -7.50 10.93 -0.68 1.52 31.22
3 H Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 12- 2 -7.50 10.93 -0.68 1.52 31.22
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 8-13 -5.34 13.08 0.68 1.52 -3.55
3 H San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 14- 9 -8.91 9.51 -0.68 1.52 26.91
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 9-11 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 1.52 -5.12
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 10-16 -5.33 13.10 0.68 1.52 -3.54
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 5-11 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 1.52 -4.57
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 0- 8 -2.41 16.02 0.68 1.52 -1.32
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 3-11 -2.41 16.02 0.68 1.52 -1.32
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 4-12 -2.41 16.02 0.68 1.52 -1.32
3 H New Mexico ( 5- 5, 93.5) 4-13 -6.41 12.02 -0.68 1.52 -5.39
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168.59
|
winning pts = 206.4369 losing points = -37.8490
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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