Niagara
W-L: ( 1-11) PR = 89.0521Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 0-13 214 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 3-11 215 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 0-11 220 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 4- 7 221 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 5- 8 221 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 4- 5 227 A Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 5- 8 228 A Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 1- 3 301 H Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 3-16 521 H Fairfield MAAC ( 6- 9, 93.0) 3- 4 522 H Marist MAAC ( 3-11, 91.7) 6- 2 522 H Fairfield MAAC ( 6- 9, 93.0) 2- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Texas State 0-13 -13 -7 --- -6.36
214 A Texas State 3-11 -8 -7 -1.36
215 A Texas State 0-11 -11 -7 -- -4.36
220 H Indiana 4- 7 -3 -5 + 2.33
221 A Old Dominion 5- 8 -3 -5 1.93
221 A Old Dominion 4- 5 -1 -5 + 3.93
227 A Portland 5- 8 -3 -5 1.89
228 A Portland 1- 3 -2 -5 + 2.89
301 H Wake Forest 3-16 -13 -8 -- -5.46
521 H Fairfield 3- 4 -1 -3 + 2.30
522 H Marist 6- 2 4 -2 ++ 5.95
522 H Fairfield 2- 9 -7 -3 - -3.70
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Texas State 0-13 -13 -7 --- -6.36 215 A Texas State 0-11 -11 -7 -- -4.36 301 H Wake Forest 3-16 -13 -8 -- -5.46 522 H Fairfield 2- 9 -7 -3 - -3.70 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 522 H Marist 6- 2 4 -2 ++ 5.95 220 H Indiana 4- 7 -3 -5 + 2.33 221 A Old Dominion 4- 5 -1 -5 + 3.93 228 A Portland 1- 3 -2 -5 + 2.89 521 H Fairfield 3- 4 -1 -3 + 2.30 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 0-13 -4.88 13.54 0.68 2.41 -5.07
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 3-11 -4.88 13.54 0.68 2.41 -5.07
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 0-11 -4.88 13.54 0.68 2.41 -5.07
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 4- 7 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 2.41 -6.65
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 5- 8 -6.59 11.84 0.68 2.41 -7.13
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 4- 5 -6.59 11.84 0.68 2.41 -7.13
3 A Portland (24-27, 93.3) 5- 8 -6.63 11.79 0.68 2.41 -7.18
3 A Portland (24-27, 93.3) 1- 3 -6.63 11.79 0.68 2.41 -7.18
3 H Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 3-16 -2.63 15.79 -0.68 2.41 -3.99
3 H Fairfield ( 6- 9, 93.0) 3- 4 -6.87 11.56 -0.68 2.41 -9.09
3 H Marist ( 3-11, 91.7) 6- 2 -8.22 10.21 -0.68 2.41 45.93
3 H Fairfield ( 6- 9, 93.0) 2- 9 -6.87 11.56 -0.68 2.41 -9.09
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-26.70
|
winning pts = 45.9340 losing points = -72.6365
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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