Nicholls
W-L: ( 1-13) PR = 89.9987Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 0-10 214 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 1- 5 214 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 2-12 217 A Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 5- 8 218 H Richmond A10 ( 8-10, 90.8) 1- 9 303 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 6- 5 304 H Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 3- 7 317 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 0- 5 331 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 2- 6 414 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 3- 4 429 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 1- 7 505 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 6-21 514 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 3- 4 515 H Yale IVY ( 5- 4, 92.5) 5-12
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Tennessee 0-10 -10 -7 - -2.63
214 A Tennessee 1- 5 -4 -7 + 3.37
214 A Tennessee 2-12 -10 -7 - -2.63
217 A Cincinnati 5- 8 -3 -7 ++ 4.44
218 H Richmond 1- 9 -8 0 --- -7.85
303 A Baylor 6- 5 1 -5 +++ 6.40
304 H Florida 3- 7 -4 -8 + 3.59
317 H Louisiana Tech 0- 5 -5 -4 -1.01
331 A Tulane 2- 6 -4 -5 1.08
414 A South Alabama 3- 4 -1 -6 ++ 4.87
429 A Louisiana 1- 7 -6 -6 -0.24
505 A Mississippi State 6-21 -15 -10 - -3.98
514 A North Carolina A&T 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.19
515 H Yale 5-12 -7 -2 -- -5.21
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 H Richmond 1- 9 -8 0 --- -7.85 515 H Yale 5-12 -7 -2 -- -5.21 213 A Tennessee 0-10 -10 -7 - -2.63 214 A Tennessee 2-12 -10 -7 - -2.63 505 A Mississippi State 6-21 -15 -10 - -3.98 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 A Baylor 6- 5 1 -5 +++ 6.40 217 A Cincinnati 5- 8 -3 -7 ++ 4.44 414 A South Alabama 3- 4 -1 -6 ++ 4.87 214 A Tennessee 1- 5 -4 -7 + 3.37 304 H Florida 3- 7 -4 -8 + 3.59 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 0-10 -3.21 15.22 0.68 2.07 -2.62
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 1- 5 -3.21 15.22 0.68 2.07 -2.62
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 2-12 -3.21 15.22 0.68 2.07 -2.62
3 A Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 5- 8 -3.13 15.29 0.68 2.07 -2.54
3 H Richmond ( 8-10, 90.8) 1- 9 -9.07 9.35 -0.68 2.07 -10.07
3 A Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 6- 5 -5.18 13.25 0.68 2.07 57.53
3 H Florida (43-21, 98.3) 3- 7 -1.63 16.79 -0.68 2.07 -2.38
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 0- 5 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 2.07 -6.11
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 2- 6 -5.49 12.93 0.68 2.07 -4.98
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 3- 4 -4.71 13.72 0.68 2.07 -4.16
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 1- 7 -4.82 13.61 0.68 2.07 -4.28
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 6-21 -0.56 17.86 0.68 2.07 -0.12
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 3- 4 -9.77 8.66 0.68 2.07 -9.39
3 H Yale ( 5- 4, 92.5) 5-12 -7.43 10.99 -0.68 2.07 -8.38
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-2.74
|
winning pts = 57.5259 losing points = -60.2623
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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