UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick New Mexico Sta
  
New Mexico State      
W-L: (21-32) PR = 92.8809

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 2-15 214 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 2- 5 215 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 3- 7 216 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 6-10 220 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 7- 4 221 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 9- 3 222 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 6- 8 224 H Southwest 19- 7 227 H Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 0- 8, 86.5) 12- 6 228 H Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 0- 8, 86.5) 7- 2 301 H Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 0- 8, 86.5) 16- 1 303 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 8- 0 306 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 6- 8, 92.2) 2-19 307 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 0-13 308 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 5- 4 310 H Southwest 39- 4 313 A Dallas Baptist 2-14 314 A Dallas Baptist 17-14 315 A Dallas Baptist 2-20 317 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 6- 9 320 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 8-13 321 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 13- 2 322 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 8- 6 325 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 4-10 327 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 5- 7 328 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 7- 8 329 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 6- 9 402 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 11- 6 403 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 15- 9 404 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 7- 2 408 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 3-16 410 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 3- 8 411 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 4- 9 412 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 10- 7 414 H New Mexico MW ( 5- 5, 93.5) 6- 1 417 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 7- 8 418 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 3- 4 419 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 10-12 422 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 10- 9 424 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 6- 3 425 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 0- 4 426 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 0-10 428 A New Mexico MW ( 5- 5, 93.5) 16-15 502 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 7- 9 503 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 4- 7 506 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 6- 8 508 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 8-14 509 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 1- 9 510 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 6- 7 512 A New Mexico MW ( 5- 5, 93.5) 6-12 514 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 12- 9 515 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 6-10 516 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 21-30

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Baylor                  2-15     -13    -3    ---  -10.48
   214 A Baylor                  2- 5      -3    -3          -0.48
   215 A Baylor                  3- 7      -4    -3          -1.48
   216 A Oklahoma                6-10      -4    -5           0.86
   220 A UConn                   7- 4       3    -2    ++     5.15
   221 H Towson                  9- 3       6     2    +      3.62
   222 H Towson                  6- 8      -2     2    --    -4.38
   227 H Prairie View A&M       12- 6       6     7          -1.06
   228 H Prairie View A&M        7- 2       5     7    -     -2.06
   301 H Prairie View A&M       16- 1      15     7    +++    6.94
   303 A Virginia                8- 0       8    -4    +++   11.90
   306 A Gardner-Webb            2-19     -17     0    ---  -13.97
   307 H UTSA                    0-13     -13    -4    ---   -9.40
   308 H UTSA                    5- 4       1    -4    ++     4.60
   317 H UAB                     6- 9      -3    -1          -1.68
   320 H Louisiana Tech          8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.89
   321 A Washington             13- 2      11    -2    +++   12.67
   322 H Louisiana Tech          8- 6       2    -1    +      3.11
   325 A Arizona State           4-10      -6    -5          -0.56
   327 A Middle Tennessee        5- 7      -2    -1          -0.77
   328 A Middle Tennessee        7- 8      -1    -1           0.23
   329 A Middle Tennessee        6- 9      -3    -1          -1.77
   402 H Delaware               11- 6       5     1    +      3.58
   403 H Delaware               15- 9       6     1    ++     4.58
   404 H Delaware                7- 2       5     1    +      3.58
   408 H Minnesota               3-16     -13    -4    ---   -9.22
   410 H Louisiana Tech          3- 8      -5    -1    -     -3.89
   411 A Western Kentucky        4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.85
   412 A Western Kentucky       10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.15
   414 H New Mexico              6- 1       5     0    ++     4.94
   417 H Sam Houston             7- 8      -1     0          -1.12
   418 H Sam Houston             3- 4      -1     0          -1.12
   419 H Sam Houston            10-12      -2     0    -     -2.12
   422 A Arizona State          10- 9       1    -5    +++    6.44
   424 A Jacksonville State      6- 3       3    -5    +++    7.88
   425 A Jacksonville State      0- 4      -4    -5           0.88
   426 A Jacksonville State      0-10     -10    -5    --    -5.12
   428 A New Mexico             16-15       1    -1    +      2.29
   502 H Liberty                 7- 9      -2    -3           0.59
   503 H Liberty                 4- 7      -3    -3          -0.41
   506 A Arizona                 6- 8      -2    -2          -0.38
   508 A Missouri State          8-14      -6    -4          -1.90
   509 A Missouri State          1- 9      -8    -4    -     -3.90
   510 A Missouri State          6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.10
   512 A New Mexico              6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.71
   514 A Kansas                 12- 9       3    -5    +++    7.93
   515 A Baylor                  6-10      -4    -3          -1.48
   516 H Florida International  21-30      -9     1    ---   -9.78

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Baylor                  2-15     -13    -3    ---  -10.48
   306 A Gardner-Webb            2-19     -17     0    ---  -13.97
   307 H UTSA                    0-13     -13    -4    ---   -9.40
   408 H Minnesota               3-16     -13    -4    ---   -9.22
   516 H Florida International  21-30      -9     1    ---   -9.78
   222 H Towson                  6- 8      -2     2    --    -4.38
   426 A Jacksonville State      0-10     -10    -5    --    -5.12
   512 A New Mexico              6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.71
   228 H Prairie View A&M        7- 2       5     7    -     -2.06
   320 H Louisiana Tech          8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.89
   410 H Louisiana Tech          3- 8      -5    -1    -     -3.89
   411 A Western Kentucky        4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.85
   419 H Sam Houston            10-12      -2     0    -     -2.12
   509 A Missouri State          1- 9      -8    -4    -     -3.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Prairie View A&M       16- 1      15     7    +++    6.94
   303 A Virginia                8- 0       8    -4    +++   11.90
   321 A Washington             13- 2      11    -2    +++   12.67
   422 A Arizona State          10- 9       1    -5    +++    6.44
   424 A Jacksonville State      6- 3       3    -5    +++    7.88
   514 A Kansas                 12- 9       3    -5    +++    7.93
   220 A UConn                   7- 4       3    -2    ++     5.15
   308 H UTSA                    5- 4       1    -4    ++     4.60
   403 H Delaware               15- 9       6     1    ++     4.58
   412 A Western Kentucky       10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.15
   414 H New Mexico              6- 1       5     0    ++     4.94
   221 H Towson                  9- 3       6     2    +      3.62
   322 H Louisiana Tech          8- 6       2    -1    +      3.11
   402 H Delaware               11- 6       5     1    +      3.58
   404 H Delaware                7- 2       5     1    +      3.58
   428 A New Mexico             16-15       1    -1    +      2.29
   510 A Missouri State          6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.10

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Baylor          (26-27, 94.7)     2-15       -5.18      13.25       0.68         0.60            -1.36
   3 A Baylor          (26-27, 94.7)     2- 5       -5.18      13.25       0.68         0.60            -1.36
   3 A Baylor          (26-27, 94.7)     3- 7       -5.18      13.25       0.68         0.60            -1.36
   3 A Oklahoma        (40-25, 97.1)     6-10       -2.84      15.59       0.68         0.60            -0.65
   3 A UConn           (28-29, 94.4)     7- 4       -5.54      12.88       0.68         0.60            16.34
   3 H Towson          (20-33, 91.2)     9- 3       -8.72       9.70      -0.68         0.60            10.88
   3 H Towson          (20-33, 91.2)     6- 8       -8.72       9.70      -0.68         0.60            -2.83
   3 H Prairie View A  ( 0- 8, 86.5)    12- 6      -13.41       5.02      -0.68         0.60             5.24
   3 H Prairie View A  ( 0- 8, 86.5)     7- 2      -13.41       5.02      -0.68         0.60             5.24
   3 H Prairie View A  ( 0- 8, 86.5)    16- 1      -13.41       5.02      -0.68         0.60             5.24
   3 A Virginia        (38-24, 96.1)     8- 0       -3.80      14.63       0.68         0.60            18.44
   3 A Gardner-Webb    ( 6- 8, 92.2)     2-19       -7.67      10.76       0.68         0.60            -2.11
   3 H UTSA            (38-20, 97.2)     0-13       -2.74      15.68      -0.68         0.60            -1.03
   3 H UTSA            (38-20, 97.2)     5- 4       -2.74      15.68      -0.68         0.60            18.08
   3 H UAB             (31-27, 94.9)     6- 9       -5.02      13.40      -0.68         0.60            -1.72
   3 H Louisiana Tech  (31-26, 94.7)     8-13       -5.24      13.19      -0.68         0.60            -1.78
   3 A Washington      (24-32, 93.9)    13- 2       -6.03      12.40       0.68         0.60            15.76
   3 H Louisiana Tech  (31-26, 94.7)     8- 6       -5.24      13.19      -0.68         0.60            15.08
   3 A Arizona State   (38-21, 97.6)     4-10       -2.26      16.17       0.68         0.60            -0.48
   3 A Middle Tenness  (27-30, 93.4)     5- 7       -6.47      11.96       0.68         0.60            -1.74
   3 A Middle Tenness  (27-30, 93.4)     7- 8       -6.47      11.96       0.68         0.60            -1.74
   3 A Middle Tenness  (27-30, 93.4)     6- 9       -6.47      11.96       0.68         0.60            -1.74
   3 H Delaware        (20-30, 92.1)    11- 6       -7.76      10.67      -0.68         0.60            12.04
   3 H Delaware        (20-30, 92.1)    15- 9       -7.76      10.67      -0.68         0.60            12.04
   3 H Delaware        (20-30, 92.1)     7- 2       -7.76      10.67      -0.68         0.60            12.04
   3 H Minnesota       (31-21, 97.3)     3-16       -2.56      15.86      -0.68         0.60            -0.98
   3 H Louisiana Tech  (31-26, 94.7)     3- 8       -5.24      13.19      -0.68         0.60            -1.78
   3 A Western Kentuc  (28-27, 94.4)     4- 9       -5.55      12.88       0.68         0.60            -1.47
   3 A Western Kentuc  (28-27, 94.4)    10- 7       -5.55      12.88       0.68         0.60            16.34
   3 H New Mexico      ( 5- 5, 93.5)     6- 1       -6.41      12.02      -0.68         0.60            13.67
   3 H Sam Houston     (22-36, 93.4)     7- 8       -6.46      11.97      -0.68         0.60            -2.15
   3 H Sam Houston     (22-36, 93.4)     3- 4       -6.46      11.97      -0.68         0.60            -2.15
   3 H Sam Houston     (22-36, 93.4)    10-12       -6.46      11.97      -0.68         0.60            -2.15
   3 A Arizona State   (38-21, 97.6)    10- 9       -2.26      16.17       0.68         0.60            20.30
   3 A Jacksonville S  (47-18, 97.1)     6- 3       -2.82      15.61       0.68         0.60            19.62
   3 A Jacksonville S  (47-18, 97.1)     0- 4       -2.82      15.61       0.68         0.60            -0.64
   3 A Jacksonville S  (47-18, 97.1)     0-10       -2.82      15.61       0.68         0.60            -0.64
   3 A New Mexico      ( 5- 5, 93.5)    16-15       -6.41      12.02       0.68         0.60            15.30
   3 H Liberty         (41-21, 96.1)     7- 9       -3.75      14.68      -0.68         0.60            -1.33
   3 H Liberty         (41-21, 96.1)     4- 7       -3.75      14.68      -0.68         0.60            -1.33
   3 A Arizona         (17-36, 93.8)     6- 8       -6.08      12.35       0.68         0.60            -1.63
   3 A Missouri State  (35-19, 96.3)     8-14       -3.59      14.83       0.68         0.60            -0.88
   3 A Missouri State  (35-19, 96.3)     1- 9       -3.59      14.83       0.68         0.60            -0.88
   3 A Missouri State  (35-19, 96.3)     6- 7       -3.59      14.83       0.68         0.60            -0.88
   3 A New Mexico      ( 5- 5, 93.5)     6-12       -6.41      12.02       0.68         0.60            -1.73
   3 A Kansas          (41-18, 97.1)    12- 9       -2.76      15.66       0.68         0.60            19.69
   3 A Baylor          (26-27, 94.7)     6-10       -5.18      13.25       0.68         0.60            -1.36
   3 H Florida Intern  (19-34, 92.8)    21-30       -7.12      11.31      -0.68         0.60            -2.35
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       207.09

winning pts = 251.3140 losing points = -44.2239

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------