New Mexico State 
W-L: (21-32) PR = 92.8809
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
213 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 2-15
214 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 2- 5
215 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 3- 7
216 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 6-10
220 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 7- 4
221 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 9- 3
222 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 6- 8
224 H Southwest 19- 7
227 H Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 0- 8, 86.5) 12- 6
228 H Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 0- 8, 86.5) 7- 2
301 H Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 0- 8, 86.5) 16- 1
303 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 8- 0
306 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 6- 8, 92.2) 2-19
307 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 0-13
308 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 5- 4
310 H Southwest 39- 4
313 A Dallas Baptist 2-14
314 A Dallas Baptist 17-14
315 A Dallas Baptist 2-20
317 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 6- 9
320 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 8-13
321 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 13- 2
322 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 8- 6
325 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 4-10
327 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 5- 7
328 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 7- 8
329 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 6- 9
402 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 11- 6
403 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 15- 9
404 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 7- 2
408 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 3-16
410 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 3- 8
411 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 4- 9
412 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 10- 7
414 H New Mexico MW ( 5- 5, 93.5) 6- 1
417 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 7- 8
418 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 3- 4
419 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 10-12
422 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 10- 9
424 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 6- 3
425 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 0- 4
426 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 0-10
428 A New Mexico MW ( 5- 5, 93.5) 16-15
502 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 7- 9
503 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 4- 7
506 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 6- 8
508 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 8-14
509 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 1- 9
510 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 6- 7
512 A New Mexico MW ( 5- 5, 93.5) 6-12
514 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 12- 9
515 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 6-10
516 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 21-30
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Baylor 2-15 -13 -3 --- -10.48
214 A Baylor 2- 5 -3 -3 -0.48
215 A Baylor 3- 7 -4 -3 -1.48
216 A Oklahoma 6-10 -4 -5 0.86
220 A UConn 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 5.15
221 H Towson 9- 3 6 2 + 3.62
222 H Towson 6- 8 -2 2 -- -4.38
227 H Prairie View A&M 12- 6 6 7 -1.06
228 H Prairie View A&M 7- 2 5 7 - -2.06
301 H Prairie View A&M 16- 1 15 7 +++ 6.94
303 A Virginia 8- 0 8 -4 +++ 11.90
306 A Gardner-Webb 2-19 -17 0 --- -13.97
307 H UTSA 0-13 -13 -4 --- -9.40
308 H UTSA 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 4.60
317 H UAB 6- 9 -3 -1 -1.68
320 H Louisiana Tech 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.89
321 A Washington 13- 2 11 -2 +++ 12.67
322 H Louisiana Tech 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.11
325 A Arizona State 4-10 -6 -5 -0.56
327 A Middle Tennessee 5- 7 -2 -1 -0.77
328 A Middle Tennessee 7- 8 -1 -1 0.23
329 A Middle Tennessee 6- 9 -3 -1 -1.77
402 H Delaware 11- 6 5 1 + 3.58
403 H Delaware 15- 9 6 1 ++ 4.58
404 H Delaware 7- 2 5 1 + 3.58
408 H Minnesota 3-16 -13 -4 --- -9.22
410 H Louisiana Tech 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.89
411 A Western Kentucky 4- 9 -5 -2 - -2.85
412 A Western Kentucky 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.15
414 H New Mexico 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.94
417 H Sam Houston 7- 8 -1 0 -1.12
418 H Sam Houston 3- 4 -1 0 -1.12
419 H Sam Houston 10-12 -2 0 - -2.12
422 A Arizona State 10- 9 1 -5 +++ 6.44
424 A Jacksonville State 6- 3 3 -5 +++ 7.88
425 A Jacksonville State 0- 4 -4 -5 0.88
426 A Jacksonville State 0-10 -10 -5 -- -5.12
428 A New Mexico 16-15 1 -1 + 2.29
502 H Liberty 7- 9 -2 -3 0.59
503 H Liberty 4- 7 -3 -3 -0.41
506 A Arizona 6- 8 -2 -2 -0.38
508 A Missouri State 8-14 -6 -4 -1.90
509 A Missouri State 1- 9 -8 -4 - -3.90
510 A Missouri State 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.10
512 A New Mexico 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.71
514 A Kansas 12- 9 3 -5 +++ 7.93
515 A Baylor 6-10 -4 -3 -1.48
516 H Florida International 21-30 -9 1 --- -9.78
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Baylor 2-15 -13 -3 --- -10.48
306 A Gardner-Webb 2-19 -17 0 --- -13.97
307 H UTSA 0-13 -13 -4 --- -9.40
408 H Minnesota 3-16 -13 -4 --- -9.22
516 H Florida International 21-30 -9 1 --- -9.78
222 H Towson 6- 8 -2 2 -- -4.38
426 A Jacksonville State 0-10 -10 -5 -- -5.12
512 A New Mexico 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.71
228 H Prairie View A&M 7- 2 5 7 - -2.06
320 H Louisiana Tech 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.89
410 H Louisiana Tech 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.89
411 A Western Kentucky 4- 9 -5 -2 - -2.85
419 H Sam Houston 10-12 -2 0 - -2.12
509 A Missouri State 1- 9 -8 -4 - -3.90
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
301 H Prairie View A&M 16- 1 15 7 +++ 6.94
303 A Virginia 8- 0 8 -4 +++ 11.90
321 A Washington 13- 2 11 -2 +++ 12.67
422 A Arizona State 10- 9 1 -5 +++ 6.44
424 A Jacksonville State 6- 3 3 -5 +++ 7.88
514 A Kansas 12- 9 3 -5 +++ 7.93
220 A UConn 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 5.15
308 H UTSA 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 4.60
403 H Delaware 15- 9 6 1 ++ 4.58
412 A Western Kentucky 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.15
414 H New Mexico 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.94
221 H Towson 9- 3 6 2 + 3.62
322 H Louisiana Tech 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.11
402 H Delaware 11- 6 5 1 + 3.58
404 H Delaware 7- 2 5 1 + 3.58
428 A New Mexico 16-15 1 -1 + 2.29
510 A Missouri State 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.10
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 2-15 -5.18 13.25 0.68 0.60 -1.36
3 A Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 2- 5 -5.18 13.25 0.68 0.60 -1.36
3 A Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 3- 7 -5.18 13.25 0.68 0.60 -1.36
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 6-10 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.60 -0.65
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 7- 4 -5.54 12.88 0.68 0.60 16.34
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 9- 3 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.60 10.88
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 6- 8 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.60 -2.83
3 H Prairie View A ( 0- 8, 86.5) 12- 6 -13.41 5.02 -0.68 0.60 5.24
3 H Prairie View A ( 0- 8, 86.5) 7- 2 -13.41 5.02 -0.68 0.60 5.24
3 H Prairie View A ( 0- 8, 86.5) 16- 1 -13.41 5.02 -0.68 0.60 5.24
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 8- 0 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.60 18.44
3 A Gardner-Webb ( 6- 8, 92.2) 2-19 -7.67 10.76 0.68 0.60 -2.11
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 0-13 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 0.60 -1.03
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 5- 4 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 0.60 18.08
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 6- 9 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.60 -1.72
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 8-13 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 0.60 -1.78
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 13- 2 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.60 15.76
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 8- 6 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 0.60 15.08
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 4-10 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.60 -0.48
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 5- 7 -6.47 11.96 0.68 0.60 -1.74
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 7- 8 -6.47 11.96 0.68 0.60 -1.74
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 6- 9 -6.47 11.96 0.68 0.60 -1.74
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 11- 6 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.60 12.04
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 15- 9 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.60 12.04
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 7- 2 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.60 12.04
3 H Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 3-16 -2.56 15.86 -0.68 0.60 -0.98
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 3- 8 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 0.60 -1.78
3 A Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 4- 9 -5.55 12.88 0.68 0.60 -1.47
3 A Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 10- 7 -5.55 12.88 0.68 0.60 16.34
3 H New Mexico ( 5- 5, 93.5) 6- 1 -6.41 12.02 -0.68 0.60 13.67
3 H Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 7- 8 -6.46 11.97 -0.68 0.60 -2.15
3 H Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 3- 4 -6.46 11.97 -0.68 0.60 -2.15
3 H Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 10-12 -6.46 11.97 -0.68 0.60 -2.15
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 10- 9 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.60 20.30
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 6- 3 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.60 19.62
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 0- 4 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.60 -0.64
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 0-10 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.60 -0.64
3 A New Mexico ( 5- 5, 93.5) 16-15 -6.41 12.02 0.68 0.60 15.30
3 H Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 7- 9 -3.75 14.68 -0.68 0.60 -1.33
3 H Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 4- 7 -3.75 14.68 -0.68 0.60 -1.33
3 A Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 6- 8 -6.08 12.35 0.68 0.60 -1.63
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 8-14 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.60 -0.88
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 1- 9 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.60 -0.88
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 6- 7 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.60 -0.88
3 A New Mexico ( 5- 5, 93.5) 6-12 -6.41 12.02 0.68 0.60 -1.73
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 12- 9 -2.76 15.66 0.68 0.60 19.69
3 A Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 6-10 -5.18 13.25 0.68 0.60 -1.36
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 21-30 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 0.60 -2.35
------
207.09
|
winning pts = 251.3140 losing points = -44.2239
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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