Northwestern
W-L: (20-30) PR = 92.5150Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 6- 7 213 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 2- 3 215 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 17- 6 220 H Dayton A10 ( 4- 4, 93.1) 13-17 221 H Cornell IVY ( 1- 3, 95.5) 6- 5 221 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 5- 4 222 A Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 8- 5 227 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 3-17 228 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 3-13 301 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 6-14 306 H Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 4-15 307 H Omaha SM ( 3-15, 92.1) 9- 6 308 H UNLV MW ( 7- 9, 91.7) 5-10 310 H UIC MV ( 7-12, 92.6) 3- 3 313 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 1-15 314 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 0- 2 314 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 2- 1 320 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 6-20 321 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 4-12 322 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 11-10 323 A Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 3- 8 327 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 2- 7 328 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 10- 9 329 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 2- 7 331 H Valparaiso MV ( 1- 8, 89.4) 13- 9 403 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 1- 5 404 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 10- 9 405 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 8- 6 408 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 15-14 410 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 3- 1 411 H Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 2- 3 412 H Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 3- 8 414 H UIC MV ( 7-12, 92.6) 12-11 417 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 6- 7 418 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 3- 8 419 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 1- 2 421 H Bradley MV ( 2- 6, 87.9) 11- 6 422 H St. Thomas SM ( 1- 8, 89.9) 15- 5 424 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 1-13 425 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 3- 7 426 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 2- 7 428 H Milwaukee HL ( 9-14, 94.0) 10- 8 501 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 2- 9 502 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 7- 4 503 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 9- 6 505 H Illinois State MV ( 4-13, 90.9) 7- 1 508 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 0-12 509 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 3- 4 510 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 3-10 514 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 5- 6 515 A Brown IVY ( 3- 4, 91.5) 7- 7 516 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 9-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Rice 6- 7 -1 -2 1.49
213 A Rice 2- 3 -1 -2 1.49
215 A Rice 17- 6 11 -2 +++ 13.49
220 H Dayton 13-17 -4 0 -- -4.13
221 H Cornell 6- 5 1 -2 + 3.32
221 H Boston College 5- 4 1 -3 + 3.67
222 A Boston College 8- 5 3 -4 +++ 7.02
227 A Georgia Tech 3-17 -14 -8 -- -5.94
228 A Georgia Tech 3-13 -10 -8 -1.94
301 A Georgia Tech 6-14 -8 -8 0.06
306 H Utah Tech 4-15 -11 0 --- -10.94
307 H Omaha 9- 6 3 1 1.94
308 H UNLV 5-10 -5 2 --- -6.51
310 H UIC 3- 3 0 1 -0.56
313 H USC 1-15 -14 -4 --- -9.70
314 H USC 0- 2 -2 -4 + 2.30
314 H USC 2- 1 1 -4 ++ 5.30
320 A Oregon 6-20 -14 -5 --- -8.72
321 H Kansas State 4-12 -8 -3 -- -4.57
322 A Oregon 11-10 1 -5 +++ 6.28
323 A Portland 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.57
327 A Washington 2- 7 -5 -2 - -2.96
328 A Washington 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.04
329 A Washington 2- 7 -5 -2 - -2.96
331 H Valparaiso 13- 9 4 4 0.26
403 H Michigan State 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.15
404 H Michigan State 10- 9 1 -2 + 2.85
405 H Michigan State 8- 6 2 -2 + 3.85
408 H Saint Mary's 15-14 1 -1 + 2.38
410 A Cal State Northridge 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.79
411 H Purdue 2- 3 -1 -3 + 2.15
412 H Purdue 3- 8 -5 -3 -1.85
414 H UIC 12-11 1 1 0.44
417 A Michigan 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.00
418 A Michigan 3- 8 -5 -4 -1.00
419 A Michigan 1- 2 -1 -4 + 3.00
421 H Bradley 11- 6 5 5 -0.32
422 H St. Thomas 15- 5 10 3 +++ 6.70
424 A Minnesota 1-13 -12 -5 --- -6.50
425 A Minnesota 3- 7 -4 -5 1.50
426 A Minnesota 2- 7 -5 -5 0.50
428 H Milwaukee 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.78
501 H Indiana 2- 9 -7 -2 -- -5.13
502 H Indiana 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 4.87
503 H Indiana 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 4.87
505 H Illinois State 7- 1 6 2 + 3.71
508 A Illinois 0-12 -12 -3 --- -8.69
509 A Illinois 3- 4 -1 -3 + 2.31
510 A Illinois 3-10 -7 -3 - -3.69
514 A Elon 5- 6 -1 0 -0.94
515 A Brown 7- 7 0 0 -0.29
516 H Rutgers 9-15 -6 -1 -- -5.30
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Utah Tech 4-15 -11 0 --- -10.94 308 H UNLV 5-10 -5 2 --- -6.51 313 H USC 1-15 -14 -4 --- -9.70 320 A Oregon 6-20 -14 -5 --- -8.72 424 A Minnesota 1-13 -12 -5 --- -6.50 508 A Illinois 0-12 -12 -3 --- -8.69 220 H Dayton 13-17 -4 0 -- -4.13 227 A Georgia Tech 3-17 -14 -8 -- -5.94 321 H Kansas State 4-12 -8 -3 -- -4.57 501 H Indiana 2- 9 -7 -2 -- -5.13 516 H Rutgers 9-15 -6 -1 -- -5.30 323 A Portland 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.57 327 A Washington 2- 7 -5 -2 - -2.96 329 A Washington 2- 7 -5 -2 - -2.96 403 H Michigan State 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.15 510 A Illinois 3-10 -7 -3 - -3.69 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A Rice 17- 6 11 -2 +++ 13.49 222 A Boston College 8- 5 3 -4 +++ 7.02 322 A Oregon 11-10 1 -5 +++ 6.28 422 H St. Thomas 15- 5 10 3 +++ 6.70 314 H USC 2- 1 1 -4 ++ 5.30 502 H Indiana 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 4.87 503 H Indiana 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 4.87 221 H Cornell 6- 5 1 -2 + 3.32 221 H Boston College 5- 4 1 -3 + 3.67 314 H USC 0- 2 -2 -4 + 2.30 328 A Washington 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.04 404 H Michigan State 10- 9 1 -2 + 2.85 405 H Michigan State 8- 6 2 -2 + 3.85 408 H Saint Mary's 15-14 1 -1 + 2.38 410 A Cal State Northridge 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.79 411 H Purdue 2- 3 -1 -3 + 2.15 417 A Michigan 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.00 419 A Michigan 1- 2 -1 -4 + 3.00 428 H Milwaukee 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.78 505 H Illinois State 7- 1 6 2 + 3.71 509 A Illinois 3- 4 -1 -3 + 2.31 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 6- 7 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.56 -1.36
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 2- 3 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.56 -1.36
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 17- 6 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.56 15.05
3 H Dayton ( 4- 4, 93.1) 13-17 -6.84 11.59 -0.68 0.56 -2.09
3 H Cornell ( 1- 3, 95.5) 6- 5 -4.39 14.04 -0.68 0.56 14.86
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 5- 4 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.56 15.25
3 A Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 8- 5 -4.04 14.39 0.68 0.56 16.76
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 3-17 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.56 -0.19
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 3-13 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.56 -0.19
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 6-14 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.56 -0.19
3 H Utah Tech (12-10, 93.3) 4-15 -6.65 11.78 -0.68 0.56 -2.04
3 H Omaha ( 3-15, 92.1) 9- 6 -7.77 10.66 -0.68 0.56 11.10
3 H UNLV ( 7- 9, 91.7) 5-10 -8.21 10.21 -0.68 0.56 -2.47
3 H UIC ( 7-12, 92.6) 3- 3 -7.27 11.16 -0.68 0.56 0.00
3 H USC (43-22, 97.5) 1-15 -2.41 16.02 -0.68 0.56 -0.86
3 H USC (43-22, 97.5) 0- 2 -2.41 16.02 -0.68 0.56 -0.86
3 H USC (43-22, 97.5) 2- 1 -2.41 16.02 -0.68 0.56 17.07
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 6-20 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.56 -0.58
3 H Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 4-12 -3.28 15.14 -0.68 0.56 -1.10
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 11-10 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.56 18.16
3 A Portland (24-27, 93.3) 3- 8 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.56 -1.66
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 2- 7 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.56 -1.49
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 10- 9 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.56 14.55
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 2- 7 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.56 -1.49
3 H Valparaiso ( 1- 8, 89.4) 13- 9 -10.45 7.97 -0.68 0.56 8.12
3 H Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 1- 5 -4.86 13.57 -0.68 0.56 -1.54
3 H Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 10- 9 -4.86 13.57 -0.68 0.56 14.34
3 H Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 8- 6 -4.86 13.57 -0.68 0.56 14.34
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 15-14 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.56 13.82
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 3- 1 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.56 14.28
3 H Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 2- 3 -3.56 14.87 -0.68 0.56 -1.18
3 H Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 3- 8 -3.56 14.87 -0.68 0.56 -1.18
3 H UIC ( 7-12, 92.6) 12-11 -7.27 11.16 -0.68 0.56 11.66
3 A Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 6- 7 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.56 -0.94
3 A Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 3- 8 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.56 -0.94
3 A Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 1- 2 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.56 -0.94
3 H Bradley ( 2- 6, 87.9) 11- 6 -12.03 6.40 -0.68 0.56 6.37
3 H St. Thomas ( 1- 8, 89.9) 15- 5 -10.01 8.42 -0.68 0.56 8.62
3 A Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 1-13 -2.56 15.86 0.68 0.56 -0.52
3 A Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 3- 7 -2.56 15.86 0.68 0.56 -0.52
3 A Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 2- 7 -2.56 15.86 0.68 0.56 -0.52
3 H Milwaukee ( 9-14, 94.0) 10- 8 -5.93 12.50 -0.68 0.56 13.15
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 2- 9 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 0.56 -1.53
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 7- 4 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 0.56 14.36
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 9- 6 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 0.56 14.36
3 H Illinois State ( 4-13, 90.9) 7- 1 -9.00 9.43 -0.68 0.56 9.73
3 A Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 0-12 -4.75 13.67 0.68 0.56 -1.13
3 A Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 3- 4 -4.75 13.67 0.68 0.56 -1.13
3 A Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 3-10 -4.75 13.67 0.68 0.56 -1.13
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 5- 6 -8.00 10.43 0.68 0.56 -2.04
3 H Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 9-15 -6.01 12.42 -0.68 0.56 -1.86
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230.89
|
winning pts = 265.9281 losing points = -35.0380
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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