Ohio State
W-L: (31-22) PR = 95.0313Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Saint Louis A10 ( 3- 6, 92.1) 7- 1 214 H Saint Louis A10 ( 3- 6, 92.1) 7- 3 214 H Saint Louis A10 ( 3- 6, 92.1) 3- 2 220 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 12-12 220 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 0- 8 221 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 3- 9 222 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 8- 2 227 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 5- 6 228 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 0- 8 301 A Western Carolina SO ( 4-10, 93.3) 3- 2 304 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 4- 2 306 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 1-13 307 H UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 6-19 308 H UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 7-10 310 H Kent State MA ( 8- 4, 95.1) 5- 8 313 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 10- 9 314 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 4- 5 315 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 4- 5 318 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 8- 3 320 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 11- 0 321 A Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 13-10 322 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 14- 4 324 A Wright State HL (10-12, 94.1) 8-10 327 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 4- 3 328 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 9- 3 329 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 12- 9 331 H Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 10- 5 403 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 10- 8 404 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 14-12 405 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 7- 0 407 H Bowling Green MA ( 1- 7, 91.3) 3- 9 410 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 6- 4 411 H Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 3- 2 412 H Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 15-10 415 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 7-11 417 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 9-10 418 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 7-12 419 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 2- 6 424 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 8- 0 424 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 0- 3 426 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 5-11 501 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 2- 1 502 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 7- 3 503 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 10- 1 508 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 15- 5 509 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 4- 7 510 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 3- 2 512 H Wright State HL (10-12, 94.1) 4- 8 514 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 13- 5 515 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 7- 2 516 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 8- 1 519 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 6- 8 520 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 3- 2 521 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 0- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Saint Louis 7- 1 6 4 + 2.37
214 H Saint Louis 7- 3 4 4 0.37
214 H Saint Louis 3- 2 1 4 - -2.63
220 H Jacksonville 12-12 0 2 - -2.07
220 A Seton Hall 0- 8 -8 4 --- -11.89
221 A Louisiana Tech 3- 9 -6 0 -- -5.69
222 A Memphis 8- 2 6 0 +++ 6.01
227 A UTSA 5- 6 -1 -3 1.80
228 H Ole Miss 0- 8 -8 -2 --- -6.04
301 A Western Carolina 3- 2 1 1 -0.05
304 A Queens University 4- 2 2 5 - -2.58
306 A Virginia 1-13 -12 -2 --- -10.25
307 H UCLA 6-19 -13 -3 --- -10.29
308 H UCLA 7-10 -3 -3 -0.29
310 H Kent State 5- 8 -3 1 - -3.57
313 A Washington 10- 9 1 0 0.52
314 A Washington 4- 5 -1 0 -1.48
315 A Washington 4- 5 -1 0 -1.48
318 H Bellarmine 8- 3 5 5 0.45
320 H Butler 11- 0 11 4 +++ 7.16
321 A Utah 13-10 3 0 + 3.45
322 H Butler 14- 4 10 4 +++ 6.16
324 A Wright State 8-10 -2 0 - -2.23
327 A Minnesota 4- 3 1 -3 + 3.98
328 A Minnesota 9- 3 6 -3 +++ 8.98
329 A Minnesota 12- 9 3 -3 ++ 5.98
331 H Toledo 10- 5 5 2 + 2.56
403 H Maryland 10- 8 2 1 1.08
404 H Maryland 14-12 2 1 1.08
405 H Maryland 7- 0 7 1 +++ 6.08
407 H Bowling Green 3- 9 -6 4 --- -10.38
410 A UConn 6- 4 2 0 + 2.00
411 H Penn State 3- 2 1 4 - -2.99
412 H Penn State 15-10 5 4 1.01
415 H Marshall 7-11 -4 2 --- -6.24
417 A Purdue 9-10 -1 -2 0.99
418 A Purdue 7-12 -5 -2 - -3.01
419 A Purdue 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.01
424 A Rutgers 8- 0 8 0 +++ 7.54
424 A Rutgers 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.46
426 A Rutgers 5-11 -6 0 --- -6.46
501 H Nebraska 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.34
502 H Nebraska 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.34
503 H Nebraska 10- 1 9 -1 +++ 10.34
508 H Michigan State 15- 5 10 1 +++ 9.34
509 H Michigan State 4- 7 -3 1 - -3.66
510 H Michigan State 3- 2 1 1 0.34
512 H Wright State 4- 8 -4 2 -- -5.58
514 H Georgetown 13- 5 8 5 + 3.41
515 H Middle Tennessee 7- 2 5 2 + 2.73
516 A Michigan 8- 1 7 -1 +++ 8.48
519 H Washington 6- 8 -2 2 - -3.83
520 H Rutgers 3- 2 1 2 -0.81
521 H Michigan 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.87
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Seton Hall 0- 8 -8 4 --- -11.89 228 H Ole Miss 0- 8 -8 -2 --- -6.04 306 A Virginia 1-13 -12 -2 --- -10.25 307 H UCLA 6-19 -13 -3 --- -10.29 407 H Bowling Green 3- 9 -6 4 --- -10.38 415 H Marshall 7-11 -4 2 --- -6.24 426 A Rutgers 5-11 -6 0 --- -6.46 221 A Louisiana Tech 3- 9 -6 0 -- -5.69 512 H Wright State 4- 8 -4 2 -- -5.58 214 H Saint Louis 3- 2 1 4 - -2.63 220 H Jacksonville 12-12 0 2 - -2.07 304 A Queens University 4- 2 2 5 - -2.58 310 H Kent State 5- 8 -3 1 - -3.57 324 A Wright State 8-10 -2 0 - -2.23 411 H Penn State 3- 2 1 4 - -2.99 418 A Purdue 7-12 -5 -2 - -3.01 419 A Purdue 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.01 424 A Rutgers 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.46 509 H Michigan State 4- 7 -3 1 - -3.66 519 H Washington 6- 8 -2 2 - -3.83 521 H Michigan 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.87 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A Memphis 8- 2 6 0 +++ 6.01 320 H Butler 11- 0 11 4 +++ 7.16 322 H Butler 14- 4 10 4 +++ 6.16 328 A Minnesota 9- 3 6 -3 +++ 8.98 405 H Maryland 7- 0 7 1 +++ 6.08 424 A Rutgers 8- 0 8 0 +++ 7.54 503 H Nebraska 10- 1 9 -1 +++ 10.34 508 H Michigan State 15- 5 10 1 +++ 9.34 516 A Michigan 8- 1 7 -1 +++ 8.48 329 A Minnesota 12- 9 3 -3 ++ 5.98 502 H Nebraska 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.34 213 H Saint Louis 7- 1 6 4 + 2.37 321 A Utah 13-10 3 0 + 3.45 327 A Minnesota 4- 3 1 -3 + 3.98 331 H Toledo 10- 5 5 2 + 2.56 410 A UConn 6- 4 2 0 + 2.00 501 H Nebraska 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.34 514 H Georgetown 13- 5 8 5 + 3.41 515 H Middle Tennessee 7- 2 5 2 + 2.73 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Saint Louis ( 3- 6, 92.1) 7- 1 -7.83 10.60 -0.68 0.54 10.63
3 H Saint Louis ( 3- 6, 92.1) 7- 3 -7.83 10.60 -0.68 0.54 10.63
3 H Saint Louis ( 3- 6, 92.1) 3- 2 -7.83 10.60 -0.68 0.54 10.63
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 12-12 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.54 0.00
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 0- 8 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.54 -2.35
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 3- 9 -5.24 13.19 0.68 0.54 -1.22
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 8- 2 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.54 14.54
3 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 5- 6 -2.74 15.68 0.68 0.54 -0.55
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 0- 8 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.54 -0.78
3 A Western Caroli ( 4-10, 93.3) 3- 2 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.54 13.40
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 4- 2 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.54 9.62
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 1-13 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.54 -0.84
3 H UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 6-19 -1.48 16.94 -0.68 0.54 -0.58
3 H UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 7-10 -1.48 16.94 -0.68 0.54 -0.58
3 H Kent State ( 8- 4, 95.1) 5- 8 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.54 -1.46
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 10- 9 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.54 14.01
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 4- 5 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.54 -1.43
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 4- 5 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.54 -1.43
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 8- 3 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.54 9.65
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 11- 0 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 0.54 10.41
3 A Utah (25-26, 94.8) 13-10 -5.09 13.33 0.68 0.54 15.01
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 14- 4 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 0.54 10.41
3 A Wright State (10-12, 94.1) 8-10 -5.77 12.65 0.68 0.54 -1.36
3 A Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 4- 3 -2.56 15.86 0.68 0.54 17.72
3 A Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 9- 3 -2.56 15.86 0.68 0.54 17.72
3 A Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 12- 9 -2.56 15.86 0.68 0.54 17.72
3 H Toledo ( 6-13, 93.3) 10- 5 -6.63 11.80 -0.68 0.54 11.91
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 10- 8 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.54 13.53
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 14-12 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.54 13.53
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 7- 0 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.54 13.53
3 H Bowling Green ( 1- 7, 91.3) 3- 9 -8.57 9.86 -0.68 0.54 -2.48
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 6- 4 -5.54 12.88 0.68 0.54 14.52
3 H Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 3- 2 -8.19 10.24 -0.68 0.54 10.24
3 H Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 15-10 -8.19 10.24 -0.68 0.54 10.24
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 7-11 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.54 -1.90
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 9-10 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.54 -0.77
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 7-12 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.54 -0.77
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 2- 6 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.54 -0.77
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 8- 0 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.54 14.03
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 0- 3 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.54 -1.43
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 5-11 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.54 -1.43
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 2- 1 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.54 15.95
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 7- 3 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.54 15.95
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 10- 1 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.54 15.95
3 H Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 15- 5 -4.86 13.57 -0.68 0.54 13.81
3 H Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 4- 7 -4.86 13.57 -0.68 0.54 -1.48
3 H Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 3- 2 -4.86 13.57 -0.68 0.54 13.81
3 H Wright State (10-12, 94.1) 4- 8 -5.77 12.65 -0.68 0.54 -1.73
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 13- 5 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 0.54 9.61
3 H Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 7- 2 -6.47 11.96 -0.68 0.54 12.09
3 A Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 8- 1 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.54 16.11
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 6- 8 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.54 -1.79
3 H Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 3- 2 -6.01 12.42 -0.68 0.54 12.58
3 H Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 0- 3 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.54 -1.27
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381.09
|
winning pts = 409.4914 losing points = -28.3997
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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