Oregon State
W-L: (42-16) PR = 96.2765Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 3- 5 214 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 7- 6 215 H Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 3- 2 216 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 5- 4 220 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 3-11 221 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 4- 9 222 H Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 2- 5 227 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 2- 1 228 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 7- 8 301 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 4- 8 303 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 10- 1 306 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 4- 2 307 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 7- 2 308 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 17- 2 309 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 7- 2 313 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 7- 5 314 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 11- 5 315 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 10- 3 317 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 1- 6 320 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 5- 1 321 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 5-18 322 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 9- 5 324 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 12- 4 327 H Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 7- 5 328 H Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 19- 2 329 H Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 3- 1 331 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 2-18 402 A Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 2- 0 403 A Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 8- 0 404 A Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 10- 3 406 A Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 18- 0 407 A Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 6- 7 410 A Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 6- 6 411 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 11- 6 412 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 3- 2 417 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 1- 2 418 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 6- 1 419 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 10- 2 422 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 3- 7 424 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 12- 4 425 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 8- 1 426 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 3- 1 428 H UT Rio Grande Valley SL ( 8-10, 94.8) 4- 2 429 A Norfolk State MEAC ( 2- 3, 87.7) 7-23 501 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 6- 8 502 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 6- 5 503 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 5- 2 505 A Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 6- 4 508 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 7- 2 509 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 8- 1 510 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 8- 4 512 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 8- 3 514 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 7- 7 515 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 6- 2 516 H Air Force MW ( 5-13, 94.9) 8- 1 529 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 2- 3 530 A Yale IVY ( 5- 4, 92.5) 9- 2 530 A Yale IVY ( 5- 4, 92.5) 9- 2 531 A Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 10- 1 531 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 1- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Michigan 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.12
214 H Arizona 7- 6 1 3 - -2.13
215 H Stanford 3- 2 1 2 -1.39
216 H Michigan 5- 4 1 1 -0.12
220 H Houston 3-11 -8 2 --- -10.36
221 H Southern Miss 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.33
222 H Purdue 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.61
227 H Houston 2- 1 1 2 -1.36
228 H Alabama 7- 8 -1 0 -0.87
301 H Texas Tech 4- 8 -4 1 -- -5.16
303 H Kennesaw State 10- 1 9 2 +++ 6.72
306 A North Florida 4- 2 2 2 -0.14
307 H Xavier 7- 2 5 3 1.64
308 H Xavier 17- 2 15 3 +++ 10.64
309 H Xavier 7- 2 5 3 1.64
313 A San Diego 7- 5 2 3 -1.00
314 A San Diego 11- 5 6 3 + 3.00
315 A San Diego 10- 3 7 3 + 4.00
317 H South Alabama 1- 6 -5 2 --- -6.76
320 A UC Irvine 5- 1 4 1 + 2.73
321 H East Carolina 5-18 -13 0 --- -13.22
322 A UC Irvine 9- 5 4 1 + 2.73
324 A USC 12- 4 8 -2 +++ 9.89
327 H Mercer 7- 5 2 2 0.39
328 H Mercer 19- 2 17 2 +++ 12.39
329 H Mercer 3- 1 2 2 0.39
331 H Washington 2-18 -16 3 --- -17.08
402 A Lamar 2- 0 2 2 -0.34
403 A Lamar 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.66
404 A Lamar 10- 3 7 2 ++ 4.66
406 A Washington State 18- 0 18 2 +++ 12.41
407 A Washington State 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.59
410 A Portland 6- 6 0 2 - -2.33
411 H Cal Poly 11- 6 5 2 + 3.35
412 H Cal Poly 3- 2 1 2 -0.65
417 H Cal State Fullerton 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.24
418 H Cal State Fullerton 6- 1 5 3 1.76
419 H Cal State Fullerton 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.76
422 H Oregon 3- 7 -4 0 - -3.83
424 H Hawai'i 12- 4 8 3 ++ 4.70
425 H Hawai'i 8- 1 7 3 + 3.70
426 H Hawai'i 3- 1 2 3 -1.30
428 H UT Rio Grande Valley 4- 2 2 2 -0.18
429 A Norfolk State 7-23 -16 8 --- -21.85
501 H Cal State Northridge 6- 8 -2 3 -- -5.32
502 H Cal State Northridge 6- 5 1 3 - -2.32
503 H Cal State Northridge 5- 2 3 3 -0.32
505 A Portland 6- 4 2 2 -0.33
508 A Long Beach State 7- 2 5 3 + 2.28
509 A Long Beach State 8- 1 7 3 ++ 4.28
510 A Long Beach State 8- 4 4 3 1.28
512 H Portland 8- 3 5 4 1.32
514 A Pacific 7- 7 0 3 - -3.20
515 A Pacific 6- 2 4 3 0.80
516 H Air Force 8- 1 7 2 ++ 4.95
529 H Washington State 2- 3 -1 3 - -3.94
530 A Yale 9- 2 7 3 + 3.87
530 A Yale 9- 2 7 3 + 3.87
531 A Washington State 10- 1 9 2 +++ 7.41
531 H Oregon 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.83
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Houston 3-11 -8 2 --- -10.36 317 H South Alabama 1- 6 -5 2 --- -6.76 321 H East Carolina 5-18 -13 0 --- -13.22 331 H Washington 2-18 -16 3 --- -17.08 429 A Norfolk State 7-23 -16 8 --- -21.85 221 H Southern Miss 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.33 301 H Texas Tech 4- 8 -4 1 -- -5.16 417 H Cal State Fullerton 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.24 501 H Cal State Northridge 6- 8 -2 3 -- -5.32 213 H Michigan 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.12 214 H Arizona 7- 6 1 3 - -2.13 222 H Purdue 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.61 407 A Washington State 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.59 410 A Portland 6- 6 0 2 - -2.33 422 H Oregon 3- 7 -4 0 - -3.83 502 H Cal State Northridge 6- 5 1 3 - -2.32 514 A Pacific 7- 7 0 3 - -3.20 529 H Washington State 2- 3 -1 3 - -3.94 531 H Oregon 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.83 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Kennesaw State 10- 1 9 2 +++ 6.72 308 H Xavier 17- 2 15 3 +++ 10.64 324 A USC 12- 4 8 -2 +++ 9.89 328 H Mercer 19- 2 17 2 +++ 12.39 406 A Washington State 18- 0 18 2 +++ 12.41 531 A Washington State 10- 1 9 2 +++ 7.41 403 A Lamar 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.66 404 A Lamar 10- 3 7 2 ++ 4.66 419 H Cal State Fullerton 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.76 424 H Hawai'i 12- 4 8 3 ++ 4.70 509 A Long Beach State 8- 1 7 3 ++ 4.28 516 H Air Force 8- 1 7 2 ++ 4.95 314 A San Diego 11- 5 6 3 + 3.00 315 A San Diego 10- 3 7 3 + 4.00 320 A UC Irvine 5- 1 4 1 + 2.73 322 A UC Irvine 9- 5 4 1 + 2.73 411 H Cal Poly 11- 6 5 2 + 3.35 425 H Hawai'i 8- 1 7 3 + 3.70 508 A Long Beach State 7- 2 5 3 + 2.28 530 A Yale 9- 2 7 3 + 3.87 530 A Yale 9- 2 7 3 + 3.87 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 3- 5 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.48 -1.14
3 H Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 7- 6 -6.08 12.35 -0.68 0.48 11.25
3 H Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 3- 2 -5.34 13.08 -0.68 0.48 11.96
3 H Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 5- 4 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.48 13.19
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 3-11 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.48 -1.44
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 4- 9 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.48 -0.95
3 H Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 2- 5 -3.56 14.87 -0.68 0.48 -1.02
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 2- 1 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.48 12.00
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 7- 8 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.48 -0.84
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 4- 8 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 0.48 -1.15
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 10- 1 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 0.48 12.08
3 A North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 4- 2 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.48 12.21
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 7- 2 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.48 11.03
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 17- 2 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.48 11.03
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 7- 2 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.48 11.03
3 A San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 7- 5 -7.30 11.12 0.68 0.48 11.38
3 A San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 11- 5 -7.30 11.12 0.68 0.48 11.38
3 A San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 10- 3 -7.30 11.12 0.68 0.48 11.38
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 1- 6 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.48 -1.30
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 5- 1 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.48 13.04
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 5-18 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 0.48 -0.93
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 9- 5 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.48 13.04
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 12- 4 -2.41 16.02 0.68 0.48 16.10
3 H Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 7- 5 -4.55 13.87 -0.68 0.48 12.72
3 H Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 19- 2 -4.55 13.87 -0.68 0.48 12.72
3 H Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 3- 1 -4.55 13.87 -0.68 0.48 12.72
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 2-18 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.48 -1.61
3 A Lamar (11-13, 93.3) 2- 0 -6.64 11.79 0.68 0.48 12.02
3 A Lamar (11-13, 93.3) 8- 0 -6.64 11.79 0.68 0.48 12.02
3 A Lamar (11-13, 93.3) 10- 3 -6.64 11.79 0.68 0.48 12.02
3 A Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 18- 0 -5.89 12.53 0.68 0.48 12.74
3 A Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 6- 7 -5.89 12.53 0.68 0.48 -1.26
3 A Portland (24-27, 93.3) 6- 6 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.48 0.00
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 11- 6 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.48 12.68
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 3- 2 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.48 12.68
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 1- 2 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.48 -1.66
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 6- 1 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.48 11.14
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 10- 2 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.48 11.14
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 3- 7 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.48 -0.83
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 12- 4 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.48 11.09
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 8- 1 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.48 11.09
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 3- 1 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.48 11.09
3 H UT Rio Grande ( 8-10, 94.8) 4- 2 -5.13 13.29 -0.68 0.48 12.16
3 A Norfolk State ( 2- 3, 87.7) 7-23 -12.15 6.27 0.68 0.48 -2.77
3 H Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 6- 8 -6.27 12.16 -0.68 0.48 -1.67
3 H Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 6- 5 -6.27 12.16 -0.68 0.48 11.07
3 H Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 5- 2 -6.27 12.16 -0.68 0.48 11.07
3 A Portland (24-27, 93.3) 6- 4 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.48 12.02
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 7- 2 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.48 11.65
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 8- 1 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.48 11.65
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 8- 4 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.48 11.65
3 H Portland (24-27, 93.3) 8- 3 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.48 10.72
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 7- 7 -7.50 10.93 0.68 0.48 0.00
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 6- 2 -7.50 10.93 0.68 0.48 11.19
3 H Air Force ( 5-13, 94.9) 8- 1 -5.00 13.42 -0.68 0.48 12.29
3 H Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 2- 3 -5.89 12.53 -0.68 0.48 -1.58
3 A Yale ( 5- 4, 92.5) 9- 2 -7.43 10.99 0.68 0.48 11.25
3 A Yale ( 5- 4, 92.5) 9- 2 -7.43 10.99 0.68 0.48 11.25
3 A Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 10- 1 -5.89 12.53 0.68 0.48 12.74
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 1- 4 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.48 -0.83
------
479.68
|
winning pts = 500.6636 losing points = -20.9868
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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