UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Pepperdine
  
Pepperdine            
W-L: (21-33) PR = 91.4664

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 1- 3 214 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 0-11 215 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 5- 8 220 H San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 2- 3 221 A Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 6-10 222 A Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 7-11 223 A Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 3-11 227 H Yale IVY ( 5- 4, 92.5) 1- 7 228 H Yale IVY ( 5- 4, 92.5) 4- 3 301 H Yale IVY ( 5- 4, 92.5) 8-10 303 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 2- 9 305 A Holy Cross PAT ( 7-12, 91.1) 4- 3 306 A Massachusetts at Lowe AE ( 6- 9, 90.5) 9- 5 307 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 2- 5 309 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 1-12 312 H Massachusetts at Lowe AE ( 6- 9, 90.5) 6- 7 313 H Massachusetts at Lowe AE ( 6- 9, 90.5) 4- 7 314 H Massachusetts at Lowe AE ( 6- 9, 90.5) 4- 5 314 H Massachusetts at Lowe AE ( 6- 9, 90.5) 13- 8 317 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 4-16 320 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 8- 9 321 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 9- 1 322 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 7- 1 324 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 2-11 327 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 1- 5 328 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 3- 0 329 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 7- 4 331 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 6- 5 402 A Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 5- 2 403 A Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 2- 9 404 A Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 3- 4 407 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 2- 4 410 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 7- 9 411 H Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 10- 3 412 H Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 4- 9 414 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 3- 7 417 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 14- 3 418 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 10- 7 419 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 6-13 421 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 6- 3 424 A Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 3- 1 425 A Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 7- 6 426 A Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 4- 2 501 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 4-10 502 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 4- 0 503 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 0- 2 505 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 3-13 508 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 5- 3 509 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 8- 1 510 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 5- 2 514 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 0-17 515 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 2- 7 516 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 2- 3 520 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 2- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A USC                     1- 3      -2    -7    ++     4.70
   214 A USC                     0-11     -11    -7    --    -4.30
   215 A USC                     5- 8      -3    -7    +      3.70
   220 H San Diego State         2- 3      -1    -1          -0.21
   221 A Fresno State            6-10      -4    -2          -1.52
   222 A Fresno State            7-11      -4    -2          -1.52
   223 A Fresno State            3-11      -8    -2    --    -5.52
   227 H Yale                    1- 7      -6     0    --    -5.68
   228 H Yale                    4- 3       1     0           1.32
   301 H Yale                    8-10      -2     0          -1.68
   303 H Cal State Northridge    2- 9      -7    -1    --    -5.51
   305 A Holy Cross              4- 3       1     0           1.26
   306 A Massachusetts at  Lowe  9- 5       4     0    +      3.73
   307 H Michigan                2- 5      -3    -4           0.69
   309 A Cal State Northridge    1-12     -11    -3    ---   -8.16
   312 H Massachusetts at  Lowe  6- 7      -1     2    -     -2.63
   313 H Massachusetts at  Lowe  4- 7      -3     2    --    -4.63
   314 H Massachusetts at  Lowe  4- 5      -1     2    -     -2.63
   314 H Massachusetts at  Lowe 13- 8       5     2    +      3.37
   317 H Long Beach State        4-16     -12    -1    ---  -11.26
   320 A Saint Mary's            8- 9      -1    -4    +      2.78
   321 H UC Santa Barbara        9- 1       8    -4    +++   12.12
   322 A Saint Mary's            7- 1       6    -4    +++    9.78
   324 H Washington              2-11      -9    -2    ---   -7.27
   327 H San Diego               1- 5      -4     0    -     -3.54
   328 H San Diego               3- 0       3     0    +      3.46
   329 H San Diego               7- 4       3     0    +      3.46
   331 H Cal State Northridge    6- 5       1    -1    +      2.49
   402 A Gonzaga                 5- 2       3    -5    +++    7.91
   403 A Gonzaga                 2- 9      -7    -5    -     -2.09
   404 A Gonzaga                 3- 4      -1    -5    +      3.91
   407 A Cal State Northridge    2- 4      -2    -3           0.84
   410 A William & Mary          7- 9      -2    -1          -1.27
   411 H Pacific                10- 3       7     0    +++    7.26
   412 H Pacific                 4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.74
   414 A Cal Poly                3- 7      -4    -5           0.51
   417 A Loyola Marymount       14- 3      11     0    +++   11.18
   418 A Loyola Marymount       10- 7       3     0    +      3.18
   419 A Loyola Marymount        6-13      -7     0    ---   -6.82
   421 H Cal Poly                6- 3       3    -3    +++    6.16
   424 A Seattle U               3- 1       2     0           1.94
   425 A Seattle U               7- 6       1     0           0.94
   426 A Seattle U               4- 2       2     0           1.94
   501 H San Francisco           4-10      -6     1    ---   -7.15
   502 H San Francisco           4- 0       4     1    +      2.85
   503 H San Francisco           0- 2      -2     1    -     -3.15
   505 A UC Santa Barbara        3-13     -10    -5    --    -4.53
   508 H Portland                5- 3       2    -1    +      3.13
   509 H Portland                8- 1       7    -1    +++    8.13
   510 H Portland                5- 2       3    -1    ++     4.13
   514 H San Diego               0-17     -17     0    ---  -13.54
   515 H San Diego               2- 7      -5     0    --    -4.54
   516 A Santa Clara             2- 3      -1    -3           1.60
   520 H Saint Mary's            2- 9      -7    -2    --    -4.57

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A Cal State Northridge    1-12     -11    -3    ---   -8.16
   317 H Long Beach State        4-16     -12    -1    ---  -11.26
   324 H Washington              2-11      -9    -2    ---   -7.27
   419 A Loyola Marymount        6-13      -7     0    ---   -6.82
   501 H San Francisco           4-10      -6     1    ---   -7.15
   514 H San Diego               0-17     -17     0    ---  -13.54
   214 A USC                     0-11     -11    -7    --    -4.30
   223 A Fresno State            3-11      -8    -2    --    -5.52
   227 H Yale                    1- 7      -6     0    --    -5.68
   303 H Cal State Northridge    2- 9      -7    -1    --    -5.51
   313 H Massachusetts at  Lowe  4- 7      -3     2    --    -4.63
   412 H Pacific                 4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.74
   505 A UC Santa Barbara        3-13     -10    -5    --    -4.53
   515 H San Diego               2- 7      -5     0    --    -4.54
   520 H Saint Mary's            2- 9      -7    -2    --    -4.57
   312 H Massachusetts at  Lowe  6- 7      -1     2    -     -2.63
   314 H Massachusetts at  Lowe  4- 5      -1     2    -     -2.63
   327 H San Diego               1- 5      -4     0    -     -3.54
   403 A Gonzaga                 2- 9      -7    -5    -     -2.09
   503 H San Francisco           0- 2      -2     1    -     -3.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H UC Santa Barbara        9- 1       8    -4    +++   12.12
   322 A Saint Mary's            7- 1       6    -4    +++    9.78
   402 A Gonzaga                 5- 2       3    -5    +++    7.91
   411 H Pacific                10- 3       7     0    +++    7.26
   417 A Loyola Marymount       14- 3      11     0    +++   11.18
   421 H Cal Poly                6- 3       3    -3    +++    6.16
   509 H Portland                8- 1       7    -1    +++    8.13
   213 A USC                     1- 3      -2    -7    ++     4.70
   510 H Portland                5- 2       3    -1    ++     4.13
   215 A USC                     5- 8      -3    -7    +      3.70
   306 A Massachusetts at  Lowe  9- 5       4     0    +      3.73
   314 H Massachusetts at  Lowe 13- 8       5     2    +      3.37
   320 A Saint Mary's            8- 9      -1    -4    +      2.78
   328 H San Diego               3- 0       3     0    +      3.46
   329 H San Diego               7- 4       3     0    +      3.46
   331 H Cal State Northridge    6- 5       1    -1    +      2.49
   404 A Gonzaga                 3- 4      -1    -5    +      3.91
   418 A Loyola Marymount       10- 7       3     0    +      3.18
   502 H San Francisco           4- 0       4     1    +      2.85
   508 H Portland                5- 3       2    -1    +      3.13

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A USC             (43-22, 97.5)     1- 3       -2.41      16.02       0.68         0.54            -0.46
   3 A USC             (43-22, 97.5)     0-11       -2.41      16.02       0.68         0.54            -0.46
   3 A USC             (43-22, 97.5)     5- 8       -2.41      16.02       0.68         0.54            -0.46
   3 H San Diego Stat  (15-16, 92.9)     2- 3       -6.97      11.46      -0.68         0.54            -2.05
   3 A Fresno State    ( 9-14, 93.3)     6-10       -6.63      11.79       0.68         0.54            -1.59
   3 A Fresno State    ( 9-14, 93.3)     7-11       -6.63      11.79       0.68         0.54            -1.59
   3 A Fresno State    ( 9-14, 93.3)     3-11       -6.63      11.79       0.68         0.54            -1.59
   3 H Yale            ( 5- 4, 92.5)     1- 7       -7.43      10.99      -0.68         0.54            -2.17
   3 H Yale            ( 5- 4, 92.5)     4- 3       -7.43      10.99      -0.68         0.54            11.05
   3 H Yale            ( 5- 4, 92.5)     8-10       -7.43      10.99      -0.68         0.54            -2.17
   3 H Cal State Nort  (24-29, 93.6)     2- 9       -6.27      12.16      -0.68         0.54            -1.86
   3 A Holy Cross      ( 7-12, 91.1)     4- 3       -8.85       9.58       0.68         0.54            10.98
   3 A Massachusetts   ( 6- 9, 90.5)     9- 5       -9.38       9.04       0.68         0.54            10.41
   3 H Michigan        (35-22, 95.8)     2- 5       -4.07      14.36      -0.68         0.54            -1.27
   3 A Cal State Nort  (24-29, 93.6)     1-12       -6.27      12.16       0.68         0.54            -1.50
   3 H Massachusetts   ( 6- 9, 90.5)     6- 7       -9.38       9.04      -0.68         0.54            -2.69
   3 H Massachusetts   ( 6- 9, 90.5)     4- 7       -9.38       9.04      -0.68         0.54            -2.69
   3 H Massachusetts   ( 6- 9, 90.5)     4- 5       -9.38       9.04      -0.68         0.54            -2.69
   3 H Massachusetts   ( 6- 9, 90.5)    13- 8       -9.38       9.04      -0.68         0.54             8.96
   3 H Long Beach Sta  (21-31, 92.9)     4-16       -7.02      11.41      -0.68         0.54            -2.06
   3 A Saint Mary's    (36-27, 94.6)     8- 9       -5.33      13.10       0.68         0.54            -1.25
   3 H UC Santa Barba  (40-22, 96.3)     9- 1       -3.64      14.78      -0.68         0.54            15.11
   3 A Saint Mary's    (36-27, 94.6)     7- 1       -5.33      13.10       0.68         0.54            14.75
   3 H Washington      (24-32, 93.9)     2-11       -6.03      12.40      -0.68         0.54            -1.79
   3 H San Diego       (20-30, 92.6)     1- 5       -7.30      11.12      -0.68         0.54            -2.14
   3 H San Diego       (20-30, 92.6)     3- 0       -7.30      11.12      -0.68         0.54            11.19
   3 H San Diego       (20-30, 92.6)     7- 4       -7.30      11.12      -0.68         0.54            11.19
   3 H Cal State Nort  (24-29, 93.6)     6- 5       -6.27      12.16      -0.68         0.54            12.30
   3 A Gonzaga         (35-19, 95.7)     5- 2       -4.20      14.23       0.68         0.54            15.97
   3 A Gonzaga         (35-19, 95.7)     2- 9       -4.20      14.23       0.68         0.54            -0.94
   3 A Gonzaga         (35-19, 95.7)     3- 4       -4.20      14.23       0.68         0.54            -0.94
   3 A Cal State Nort  (24-29, 93.6)     2- 4       -6.27      12.16       0.68         0.54            -1.50
   3 A William & Mary  (20-30, 91.5)     7- 9       -8.38      10.05       0.68         0.54            -2.06
   3 H Pacific         (23-30, 92.4)    10- 3       -7.50      10.93      -0.68         0.54            10.98
   3 H Pacific         (23-30, 92.4)     4- 9       -7.50      10.93      -0.68         0.54            -2.19
   3 A Cal Poly        (39-25, 95.3)     3- 7       -4.60      13.83       0.68         0.54            -1.05
   3 A Loyola Marymou  (14-39, 91.0)    14- 3       -8.93       9.49       0.68         0.54            10.89
   3 A Loyola Marymou  (14-39, 91.0)    10- 7       -8.93       9.49       0.68         0.54            10.89
   3 A Loyola Marymou  (14-39, 91.0)     6-13       -8.93       9.49       0.68         0.54            -2.21
   3 H Cal Poly        (39-25, 95.3)     6- 3       -4.60      13.83      -0.68         0.54            14.09
   3 A Seattle U       (16-31, 90.7)     3- 1       -9.17       9.26       0.68         0.54            10.64
   3 A Seattle U       (16-31, 90.7)     7- 6       -9.17       9.26       0.68         0.54            10.64
   3 A Seattle U       (16-31, 90.7)     4- 2       -9.17       9.26       0.68         0.54            10.64
   3 H San Francisco   (27-31, 91.0)     4-10       -8.91       9.51      -0.68         0.54            -2.57
   3 H San Francisco   (27-31, 91.0)     4- 0       -8.91       9.51      -0.68         0.54             9.47
   3 H San Francisco   (27-31, 91.0)     0- 2       -8.91       9.51      -0.68         0.54            -2.57
   3 A UC Santa Barba  (40-22, 96.3)     3-13       -3.64      14.78       0.68         0.54            -0.79
   3 H Portland        (24-27, 93.3)     5- 3       -6.63      11.79      -0.68         0.54            11.91
   3 H Portland        (24-27, 93.3)     8- 1       -6.63      11.79      -0.68         0.54            11.91
   3 H Portland        (24-27, 93.3)     5- 2       -6.63      11.79      -0.68         0.54            11.91
   3 H San Diego       (20-30, 92.6)     0-17       -7.30      11.12      -0.68         0.54            -2.14
   3 H San Diego       (20-30, 92.6)     2- 7       -7.30      11.12      -0.68         0.54            -2.14
   3 A Santa Clara     (24-30, 93.4)     2- 3       -6.51      11.91       0.68         0.54            -1.56
   3 H Saint Mary's    (36-27, 94.6)     2- 9       -5.33      13.10      -0.68         0.54            -1.61
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       189.12

winning pts = 245.8947 losing points = -56.7780

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------