Rider
W-L: ( 9- 9) PR = 94.3450Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 A Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 8-13 228 A Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 4- 5 301 A Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 4- 5 311 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 6-16 331 A Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 10- 5 408 H Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 10- 5 414 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 3- 2 424 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 14- 4 425 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 22- 4 426 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 2-12 429 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 11- 1 521 H Merrimack MAAC ( 2- 7, 89.7) 8- 2 522 H Fairfield MAAC ( 6- 9, 93.0) 5- 1 523 A Fairfield MAAC ( 6- 9, 93.0) 6- 1 523 H Fairfield MAAC ( 6- 9, 93.0) 7-12 529 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 7- 8 530 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 7-15 530 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 7-15
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 A Delaware 8-13 -5 2 --- -6.53
228 A Delaware 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.53
301 A Delaware 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.53
311 A Hofstra 6-16 -10 1 --- -11.21
331 A Delaware 10- 5 5 2 + 3.47
408 H Arizona State 10- 5 5 -3 +++ 7.62
414 A Seton Hall 3- 2 1 3 - -2.21
424 A Monmouth 14- 4 10 1 +++ 9.41
425 A Georgetown 22- 4 18 3 +++ 11.45
426 A Monmouth 2-12 -10 1 --- -10.59
429 A South Florida 11- 1 10 -1 +++ 10.91
521 H Merrimack 8- 2 6 5 0.64
522 H Fairfield 5- 1 4 2 + 2.01
523 A Fairfield 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.36
523 H Fairfield 7-12 -5 2 --- -6.99
529 A Florida 7- 8 -1 -5 + 3.60
530 A Troy 7-15 -8 -3 -- -5.45
530 A Troy 7-15 -8 -3 -- -5.45
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Delaware 8-13 -5 2 --- -6.53 311 A Hofstra 6-16 -10 1 --- -11.21 426 A Monmouth 2-12 -10 1 --- -10.59 523 H Fairfield 7-12 -5 2 --- -6.99 530 A Troy 7-15 -8 -3 -- -5.45 530 A Troy 7-15 -8 -3 -- -5.45 228 A Delaware 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.53 301 A Delaware 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.53 414 A Seton Hall 3- 2 1 3 - -2.21 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Arizona State 10- 5 5 -3 +++ 7.62 424 A Monmouth 14- 4 10 1 +++ 9.41 425 A Georgetown 22- 4 18 3 +++ 11.45 429 A South Florida 11- 1 10 -1 +++ 10.91 523 A Fairfield 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.36 331 A Delaware 10- 5 5 2 + 3.47 522 H Fairfield 5- 1 4 2 + 2.01 529 A Florida 7- 8 -1 -5 + 3.60 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 8-13 -7.76 10.67 0.68 1.61 -5.69
3 A Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 4- 5 -7.76 10.67 0.68 1.61 -5.69
3 A Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 4- 5 -7.76 10.67 0.68 1.61 -5.69
3 A Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 6-16 -7.44 10.99 0.68 1.61 -5.43
3 A Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 10- 5 -7.76 10.67 0.68 1.61 36.45
3 H Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 10- 5 -2.26 16.17 -0.68 1.61 49.78
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 3- 2 -9.44 8.99 0.68 1.61 31.05
3 A Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 14- 4 -6.82 11.60 0.68 1.61 39.46
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 22- 4 -8.78 9.65 0.68 1.61 33.17
3 A Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 2-12 -6.82 11.60 0.68 1.61 -4.94
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 11- 1 -5.32 13.11 0.68 1.61 44.29
3 H Merrimack ( 2- 7, 89.7) 8- 2 -10.24 8.19 -0.68 1.61 24.13
3 H Fairfield ( 6- 9, 93.0) 5- 1 -6.87 11.56 -0.68 1.61 34.97
3 A Fairfield ( 6- 9, 93.0) 6- 1 -6.87 11.56 0.68 1.61 39.31
3 H Fairfield ( 6- 9, 93.0) 7-12 -6.87 11.56 -0.68 1.61 -6.06
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 7- 8 -1.63 16.79 0.68 1.61 -0.77
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 7-15 -3.68 14.75 0.68 1.61 -2.41
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 7-15 -3.68 14.75 0.68 1.61 -2.41
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293.53
|
winning pts = 332.6198 losing points = -39.0939
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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