Sacramento State
W-L: (12-18) PR = 94.8683Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 0- 5 214 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 3- 7 214 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 2- 6 225 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 7- 8 227 A California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 4- 5 228 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 2- 8 301 A California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 2- 3 306 H Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 4- 7 307 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 5- 4 308 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 6- 1 311 H Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 10- 0 313 H Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 3- 5 314 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 6- 7 315 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 18- 6 317 H South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 8- 8 324 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 1-11 325 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 7- 4 327 A Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 2- 6 328 A Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 7- 4 329 A Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 3- 4 414 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 12- 2 422 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 7- 1 424 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 5- 6 425 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 3- 5 426 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 9- 6 505 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 1- 3 520 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 9-12, 93.6) 9- 4 521 A Tarleton State WAC ( 7-10, 94.8) 0- 9 522 H Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 5- 3 522 A California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 12- 7 523 H Tarleton State WAC ( 7-10, 94.8) 11-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H UC Irvine 0- 5 -5 1 --- -6.21
214 H UC Irvine 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.21
214 H UC Irvine 2- 6 -4 1 -- -5.21
225 A Pacific 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.79
227 A California 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.06
228 H California 2- 8 -6 0 --- -6.41
301 A California 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.06
306 H Baylor 4- 7 -3 1 - -3.82
307 A LSU 5- 4 1 -3 + 3.81
308 A LSU 6- 1 5 -3 +++ 7.81
311 H Pacific 10- 0 10 3 +++ 6.86
313 H Pacific 3- 5 -2 3 -- -5.14
314 A Pacific 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.79
315 A Pacific 18- 6 12 2 +++ 10.21
317 H South Carolina 8- 8 0 1 -0.99
324 A Kansas 1-11 -10 -3 --- -7.05
325 A Kansas 7- 4 3 -3 ++ 5.95
327 A Creighton 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.78
328 A Creighton 7- 4 3 0 + 3.22
329 A Creighton 3- 4 -1 0 -0.78
414 H San Francisco 12- 2 10 5 ++ 5.44
422 A UC Davis 7- 1 6 0 ++ 5.66
424 A UCLA 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.22
425 A UCLA 3- 5 -2 -4 + 2.22
426 A UCLA 9- 6 3 -4 +++ 7.22
505 A UC Davis 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.34
520 H Abilene Christian 9- 4 5 2 + 3.08
521 A Tarleton State 0- 9 -9 -1 --- -8.36
522 H Utah Tech 5- 3 2 2 -0.29
522 A California Baptist 12- 7 5 -2 +++ 7.29
523 H Tarleton State 11-21 -10 1 --- -10.72
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H UC Irvine 0- 5 -5 1 --- -6.21 228 H California 2- 8 -6 0 --- -6.41 324 A Kansas 1-11 -10 -3 --- -7.05 521 A Tarleton State 0- 9 -9 -1 --- -8.36 523 H Tarleton State 11-21 -10 1 --- -10.72 214 H UC Irvine 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.21 214 H UC Irvine 2- 6 -4 1 -- -5.21 313 H Pacific 3- 5 -2 3 -- -5.14 225 A Pacific 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.79 306 H Baylor 4- 7 -3 1 - -3.82 314 A Pacific 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.79 327 A Creighton 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.78 505 A UC Davis 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A LSU 6- 1 5 -3 +++ 7.81 311 H Pacific 10- 0 10 3 +++ 6.86 315 A Pacific 18- 6 12 2 +++ 10.21 426 A UCLA 9- 6 3 -4 +++ 7.22 522 A California Baptist 12- 7 5 -2 +++ 7.29 325 A Kansas 7- 4 3 -3 ++ 5.95 414 H San Francisco 12- 2 10 5 ++ 5.44 422 A UC Davis 7- 1 6 0 ++ 5.66 307 A LSU 5- 4 1 -3 + 3.81 328 A Creighton 7- 4 3 0 + 3.22 424 A UCLA 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.22 425 A UCLA 3- 5 -2 -4 + 2.22 520 H Abilene Christian 9- 4 5 2 + 3.08 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 0- 5 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.93 -2.91
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 3- 7 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.93 -2.91
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 2- 6 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.93 -2.91
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 7- 8 -7.50 10.93 0.68 0.93 -3.18
3 A California (29-24, 95.1) 4- 5 -4.77 13.66 0.68 0.93 -1.91
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 2- 8 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.93 -2.54
3 A California (29-24, 95.1) 2- 3 -4.77 13.66 0.68 0.93 -1.91
3 H Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 4- 7 -5.18 13.25 -0.68 0.93 -2.73
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 5- 4 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.93 30.24
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 6- 1 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.93 30.24
3 H Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 10- 0 -7.50 10.93 -0.68 0.93 19.13
3 H Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 3- 5 -7.50 10.93 -0.68 0.93 -3.81
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 6- 7 -7.50 10.93 0.68 0.93 -3.18
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 18- 6 -7.50 10.93 0.68 0.93 21.66
3 H South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 8- 8 -5.35 13.08 -0.68 0.93 0.00
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 1-11 -2.76 15.66 0.68 0.93 -0.97
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 7- 4 -2.76 15.66 0.68 0.93 30.49
3 A Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 2- 6 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.93 -2.24
3 A Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 7- 4 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.93 25.41
3 A Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 3- 4 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.93 -2.24
3 H San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 12- 2 -8.91 9.51 -0.68 0.93 16.49
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 7- 1 -6.05 12.38 0.68 0.93 24.36
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 5- 6 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.93 -0.38
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 3- 5 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.93 -0.38
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 9- 6 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.93 32.87
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 1- 3 -6.05 12.38 0.68 0.93 -2.51
3 H Abilene Christ ( 9-12, 93.6) 9- 4 -6.27 12.15 -0.68 0.93 21.41
3 A Tarleton State ( 7-10, 94.8) 0- 9 -5.07 13.35 0.68 0.93 -2.05
3 H Utah Tech (12-10, 93.3) 5- 3 -6.65 11.78 -0.68 0.93 20.72
3 A California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 12- 7 -3.42 15.01 0.68 0.93 29.27
3 H Tarleton State ( 7-10, 94.8) 11-21 -5.07 13.35 -0.68 0.93 -2.68
------
260.85
|
winning pts = 302.2983 losing points = -41.4496
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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