South Alabama
W-L: (33-24) PR = 95.1947Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 16- 7 214 H South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 7-10 215 H South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 7- 3 217 H Northwestern State SL ( 4-12, 91.3) 7-13 220 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 16- 7 221 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 3- 1 222 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 6- 7 224 A SE Louisiana SL ( 7- 8, 94.9) 9- 7 225 H Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 2-15 227 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 7- 4 228 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 21- 6 301 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 2- 1 303 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 11- 5 306 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 9- 7 307 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 2- 6 308 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 1- 6 311 H SE Louisiana SL ( 7- 8, 94.9) 10- 3 313 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 3- 2 314 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 3- 4 315 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 1- 3 317 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 6- 1 320 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 5- 4 321 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 6-13 322 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 16- 4 324 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 0-10 327 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 10- 3 328 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 0- 2 329 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 12- 1 331 H New Orleans SL ( 6-10, 93.8) 1- 2 402 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 2-12 403 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 15- 2 404 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 7- 8 408 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 5-12 410 H Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 3- 4 411 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 13- 5 412 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 13-12 414 H Nicholls SL ( 1-13, 90.0) 4- 3 417 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 2- 6 418 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 7- 3 419 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 4- 1 422 H Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 6- 1 424 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 3- 4 425 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 7-16 426 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 4- 3 429 A New Orleans SL ( 6-10, 93.8) 4- 2 501 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 6- 2 502 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 6- 4 503 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 7- 4 508 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 12- 1 509 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 5-10 510 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 1- 8 514 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 0- 9 515 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 7- 6 516 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 6- 2 521 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 3-11 521 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 7- 4 523 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 10-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H South Carolina Upstate 16- 7 9 1 +++ 8.10
214 H South Carolina Upstate 7-10 -3 1 - -3.90
215 H South Carolina Upstate 7- 3 4 1 + 3.10
217 H Northwestern State 7-13 -6 5 --- -10.53
220 H North Alabama 16- 7 9 2 +++ 6.53
221 A Charleston 3- 1 2 1 0.59
222 A Charleston 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.41
224 A SE Louisiana 9- 7 2 0 + 2.43
225 H Tulane 2-15 -13 1 --- -14.46
227 H West Georgia 7- 4 3 5 -1.79
228 H West Georgia 21- 6 15 5 +++ 9.21
301 H West Georgia 2- 1 1 5 - -3.79
303 A Tulane 11- 5 6 0 ++ 5.89
306 A Penn State 9- 7 2 3 -0.81
307 H Louisiana Tech 2- 6 -4 1 -- -5.21
308 H Louisiana Tech 1- 6 -5 1 --- -6.21
311 H SE Louisiana 10- 3 7 1 +++ 6.08
313 A Louisiana 3- 2 1 -1 1.56
314 A Louisiana 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.44
315 A Louisiana 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.44
317 A Oregon State 6- 1 5 -2 +++ 6.76
320 H UL Monroe 5- 4 1 1 -0.25
321 A Arkansas State 6-13 -7 -1 -- -6.00
322 H UL Monroe 16- 4 12 1 +++ 10.75
324 A Auburn 0-10 -10 -4 -- -5.64
327 H Old Dominion 10- 3 7 3 ++ 4.44
328 H Old Dominion 0- 2 -2 3 -- -4.56
329 H Old Dominion 12- 1 11 3 +++ 8.44
331 H New Orleans 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.04
402 A Coastal Carolina 2-12 -10 -1 --- -9.04
403 A Coastal Carolina 15- 2 13 -1 +++ 13.96
404 A Coastal Carolina 7- 8 -1 -1 -0.04
408 H West Virginia 5-12 -7 -2 -- -4.72
410 H Florida Gulf Coast 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.80
411 A Georgia Southern 13- 5 8 3 ++ 5.39
412 A Georgia Southern 13-12 1 3 -1.61
414 H Nicholls 4- 3 1 6 -- -4.87
417 H Marshall 2- 6 -4 2 --- -6.41
418 H Marshall 7- 3 4 2 1.59
419 H Marshall 4- 1 3 2 0.59
422 H Lamar 6- 1 5 3 + 2.39
424 H Southern Miss 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.24
425 H Southern Miss 7-16 -9 -1 --- -8.24
426 H Southern Miss 4- 3 1 -1 1.76
429 A New Orleans 4- 2 2 1 1.31
501 A Texas State 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.50
502 A Texas State 6- 4 2 0 + 2.50
503 A Texas State 7- 4 3 0 + 3.50
508 A Troy 12- 1 11 -2 +++ 12.70
509 A Troy 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.30
510 A Troy 1- 8 -7 -2 -- -5.30
514 A Tennessee 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -6.83
515 A Missouri 7- 6 1 0 0.98
516 H Arkansas State 6- 2 4 0 + 3.65
521 A Troy 3-11 -8 -2 --- -6.30
521 H Georgia State 7- 4 3 2 0.77
523 A Troy 10-11 -1 -2 0.70
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Northwestern State 7-13 -6 5 --- -10.53 225 H Tulane 2-15 -13 1 --- -14.46 308 H Louisiana Tech 1- 6 -5 1 --- -6.21 402 A Coastal Carolina 2-12 -10 -1 --- -9.04 417 H Marshall 2- 6 -4 2 --- -6.41 425 H Southern Miss 7-16 -9 -1 --- -8.24 514 A Tennessee 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -6.83 521 A Troy 3-11 -8 -2 --- -6.30 307 H Louisiana Tech 2- 6 -4 1 -- -5.21 321 A Arkansas State 6-13 -7 -1 -- -6.00 324 A Auburn 0-10 -10 -4 -- -5.64 328 H Old Dominion 0- 2 -2 3 -- -4.56 408 H West Virginia 5-12 -7 -2 -- -4.72 414 H Nicholls 4- 3 1 6 -- -4.87 510 A Troy 1- 8 -7 -2 -- -5.30 214 H South Carolina Upstate 7-10 -3 1 - -3.90 222 A Charleston 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.41 301 H West Georgia 2- 1 1 5 - -3.79 331 H New Orleans 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.04 410 H Florida Gulf Coast 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.80 509 A Troy 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.30 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H South Carolina Upstate 16- 7 9 1 +++ 8.10 220 H North Alabama 16- 7 9 2 +++ 6.53 228 H West Georgia 21- 6 15 5 +++ 9.21 311 H SE Louisiana 10- 3 7 1 +++ 6.08 317 A Oregon State 6- 1 5 -2 +++ 6.76 322 H UL Monroe 16- 4 12 1 +++ 10.75 329 H Old Dominion 12- 1 11 3 +++ 8.44 403 A Coastal Carolina 15- 2 13 -1 +++ 13.96 508 A Troy 12- 1 11 -2 +++ 12.70 303 A Tulane 11- 5 6 0 ++ 5.89 327 H Old Dominion 10- 3 7 3 ++ 4.44 411 A Georgia Southern 13- 5 8 3 ++ 5.39 501 A Texas State 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.50 215 H South Carolina Upstate 7- 3 4 1 + 3.10 224 A SE Louisiana 9- 7 2 0 + 2.43 422 H Lamar 6- 1 5 3 + 2.39 502 A Texas State 6- 4 2 0 + 2.50 503 A Texas State 7- 4 3 0 + 3.50 516 H Arkansas State 6- 2 4 0 + 3.65 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 16- 7 -4.93 13.50 -0.68 0.51 13.01
3 H South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 7-10 -4.93 13.50 -0.68 0.51 -1.42
3 H South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 7- 3 -4.93 13.50 -0.68 0.51 13.01
3 H Northwestern S ( 4-12, 91.3) 7-13 -8.56 9.87 -0.68 0.51 -2.34
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 16- 7 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.51 11.42
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 3- 1 -6.79 11.64 0.68 0.51 12.49
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 6- 7 -6.79 11.64 0.68 0.51 -1.55
3 A SE Louisiana ( 7- 8, 94.9) 9- 7 -4.95 13.47 0.68 0.51 14.36
3 H Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 2-15 -5.49 12.93 -0.68 0.51 -1.57
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 7- 4 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 0.51 9.06
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 21- 6 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 0.51 9.06
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 2- 1 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 0.51 9.06
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 11- 5 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.51 13.81
3 A Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 9- 7 -8.19 10.24 0.68 0.51 11.08
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 2- 6 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 0.51 -1.50
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 1- 6 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 0.51 -1.50
3 H SE Louisiana ( 7- 8, 94.9) 10- 3 -4.95 13.47 -0.68 0.51 12.99
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 3- 2 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.51 14.49
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 3- 4 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.51 -1.05
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 1- 3 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.51 -1.05
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 6- 1 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.51 15.71
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 5- 4 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.51 12.65
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 6-13 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.51 -0.94
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 16- 4 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.51 12.65
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 0-10 -1.03 17.40 0.68 0.51 -0.09
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 10- 3 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.51 11.33
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 0- 2 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.51 -1.84
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 12- 1 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.51 11.33
3 H New Orleans ( 6-10, 93.8) 1- 2 -6.07 12.36 -0.68 0.51 -1.71
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 2-12 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.51 -0.95
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 15- 2 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.51 14.90
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 7- 8 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.51 -0.95
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 5-12 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.51 -0.62
3 H Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 3- 4 -5.83 12.59 -0.68 0.51 -1.65
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 13- 5 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.51 11.27
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 13-12 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.51 11.27
3 H Nicholls ( 1-13, 90.0) 4- 3 -9.90 8.53 -0.68 0.51 7.97
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 2- 6 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.51 -1.80
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 7- 3 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.51 11.48
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 4- 1 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.51 11.48
3 H Lamar (11-13, 93.3) 6- 1 -6.64 11.79 -0.68 0.51 11.28
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 3- 4 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.51 -1.00
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 7-16 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.51 -1.00
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 4- 3 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.51 14.69
3 A New Orleans ( 6-10, 93.8) 4- 2 -6.07 12.36 0.68 0.51 13.23
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 6- 2 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.51 14.43
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 6- 4 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.51 14.43
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 7- 4 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.51 14.43
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 12- 1 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.51 15.65
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 5-10 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.51 -0.76
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 1- 8 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.51 -0.76
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 0- 9 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.51 -0.64
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 7- 6 -5.40 13.03 0.68 0.51 13.91
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 6- 2 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.51 13.57
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 3-11 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.51 -0.76
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 7- 4 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.51 11.66
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 10-11 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.51 -0.76
------
384.92
|
winning pts = 413.1425 losing points = -28.2273
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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