Samford
W-L: ( 9-10) PR = 94.7454Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 2- 8 220 H Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 1-14 221 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 4-12 222 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 0-22 224 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 6- 5 303 H Tarleton State WAC ( 7-10, 94.8) 2- 6 307 A Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 8- 9 309 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 6- 4 317 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 7- 6 324 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 7- 2 331 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 16- 1 407 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 2- 4 414 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 1-11 421 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 2-14 505 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 8- 2 520 H UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 13- 1 521 A Western Carolina SO ( 4-10, 93.3) 9- 5 522 A Western Carolina SO ( 4-10, 93.3) 5- 1 523 H The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 1- 3
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
217 A South Carolina 2- 8 -6 0 -- -5.52
220 H Georgia Tech 1-14 -13 -4 --- -8.52
221 A Georgia 4-12 -8 -5 - -3.12
222 A Georgia 0-22 -22 -5 --- -9.12
224 H North Alabama 6- 5 1 2 -1.02
303 H Tarleton State 2- 6 -4 1 -- -4.59
307 A Kennesaw State 8- 9 -1 -1 -0.39
309 A Arkansas 6- 4 2 -3 ++ 5.45
317 A Jacksonville State 7- 6 1 -3 ++ 4.01
324 A Troy 7- 2 5 -2 +++ 7.15
331 A West Georgia 16- 1 15 3 +++ 11.01
407 H Auburn 2- 4 -2 -3 1.45
414 H Mississippi State 1-11 -10 -4 --- -6.08
421 H Auburn 2-14 -12 -3 --- -8.55
505 A North Alabama 8- 2 6 1 ++ 5.33
520 H UNC Greensboro 13- 1 12 3 +++ 8.52
521 A Western Carolina 9- 5 4 1 + 3.24
522 A Western Carolina 5- 1 4 1 + 3.24
523 H The Citadel 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.48
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Georgia Tech 1-14 -13 -4 --- -8.52 222 A Georgia 0-22 -22 -5 --- -9.12 414 H Mississippi State 1-11 -10 -4 --- -6.08 421 H Auburn 2-14 -12 -3 --- -8.55 217 A South Carolina 2- 8 -6 0 -- -5.52 303 H Tarleton State 2- 6 -4 1 -- -4.59 221 A Georgia 4-12 -8 -5 - -3.12 523 H The Citadel 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.48 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Troy 7- 2 5 -2 +++ 7.15 331 A West Georgia 16- 1 15 3 +++ 11.01 520 H UNC Greensboro 13- 1 12 3 +++ 8.52 309 A Arkansas 6- 4 2 -3 ++ 5.45 317 A Jacksonville State 7- 6 1 -3 ++ 4.01 505 A North Alabama 8- 2 6 1 ++ 5.33 521 A Western Carolina 9- 5 4 1 + 3.24 522 A Western Carolina 5- 1 4 1 + 3.24 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 2- 8 -5.35 13.08 0.68 1.52 -3.56
3 H Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 1-14 -0.00 18.43 -0.68 1.52 -0.51
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 4-12 -0.95 17.47 0.68 1.52 -0.21
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 0-22 -0.95 17.47 0.68 1.52 -0.21
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 6- 5 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 1.52 34.26
3 H Tarleton State ( 7-10, 94.8) 2- 6 -5.07 13.35 -0.68 1.52 -4.37
3 A Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 8- 9 -5.22 13.20 0.68 1.52 -3.46
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 6- 4 -2.38 16.04 0.68 1.52 50.89
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 7- 6 -2.82 15.61 0.68 1.52 49.58
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 7- 2 -3.68 14.75 0.68 1.52 46.96
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 16- 1 -8.82 9.60 0.68 1.52 31.30
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 2- 4 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 1.52 -1.30
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 1-11 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 1.52 -0.94
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 2-14 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 1.52 -1.30
3 A North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 8- 2 -6.50 11.93 0.68 1.52 38.37
3 H UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 13- 1 -7.96 10.46 -0.68 1.52 29.80
3 A Western Caroli ( 4-10, 93.3) 9- 5 -6.59 11.84 0.68 1.52 38.09
3 A Western Caroli ( 4-10, 93.3) 5- 1 -6.59 11.84 0.68 1.52 38.09
3 H The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 1- 3 -4.96 13.47 -0.68 1.52 -4.29
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337.18
|
winning pts = 357.3297 losing points = -20.1509
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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