San Francisco
W-L: (27-31) PR = 90.9882Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Western Illinois OV ( 0- 8, 87.4) 2- 0 214 H Western Illinois OV ( 0- 8, 87.4) 5- 4 214 H Western Illinois OV ( 0- 8, 87.4) 10- 6 218 A Alcorn State SWAC ( 0- 3, 81.5) 1- 0 220 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 7-19 221 A San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 3- 7 222 H San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 9- 3 226 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 2-16 227 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 1- 7 228 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 3- 2 301 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 1- 2 306 A Illinois State MV ( 4-13, 90.9) 8- 7 307 H Massachusetts at Lowe AE ( 6- 9, 90.5) 7-18 308 H Massachusetts at Lowe AE ( 6- 9, 90.5) 4- 6 309 H Massachusetts at Lowe AE ( 6- 9, 90.5) 8- 2 313 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 3- 7 314 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 6- 4 315 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 5- 6 317 A Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 3-10 320 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 2- 1 321 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 2- 6 322 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 6- 5 324 A Nevada MW ( 6-13, 92.9) 9-14 327 H Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 8- 4 328 H Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 6- 5 329 H Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 8- 5 402 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 10-12 403 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 6- 4 404 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 7-10 406 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 0- 8 410 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 2- 3 411 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 7- 5 412 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 6- 1 414 A Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 2-12 417 A Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 3- 5 418 A Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 5- 4 419 A Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 0-11 422 A California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 3- 4 424 H Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 5-10 425 H Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 5- 3 426 H Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 2- 8 428 H San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 0-12 501 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 10- 4 502 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 0- 4 503 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 2- 0 506 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 5-12 508 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 0- 7 509 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 0-13 510 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 5-12 514 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 9- 5 515 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 10- 3 516 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 4- 6 520 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 10- 4 521 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 4- 8 522 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 6- 5 522 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 10- 6 523 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 9- 8 523 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 6- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Western Illinois 2- 0 2 4 - -2.23
214 H Western Illinois 5- 4 1 4 - -3.23
214 H Western Illinois 10- 6 4 4 -0.23
220 H Alabama 7-19 -12 -5 --- -6.58
221 A San José State 3- 7 -4 -4 0.07
222 H San José State 9- 3 6 -3 +++ 8.72
226 H California Baptist 2-16 -14 -5 --- -9.18
227 H California Baptist 1- 7 -6 -5 -1.18
228 H California Baptist 3- 2 1 -5 ++ 5.82
301 H California Baptist 1- 2 -1 -5 + 3.82
306 A Illinois State 8- 7 1 -1 1.59
307 H Massachusetts at Lowe 7-18 -11 1 --- -12.15
308 H Massachusetts at Lowe 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.15
309 H Massachusetts at Lowe 8- 2 6 1 ++ 4.85
313 A UC Riverside 3- 7 -4 1 -- -4.71
314 A UC Riverside 6- 4 2 1 1.29
315 A UC Riverside 5- 6 -1 1 -1.71
317 A Tennessee Tech 3-10 -7 0 --- -7.33
320 H Santa Clara 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.72
321 A UTSA 2- 6 -4 -7 + 2.84
322 H Santa Clara 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.72
324 A Nevada 9-14 -5 -3 - -2.44
327 H Seattle U 8- 4 4 1 + 3.07
328 H Seattle U 6- 5 1 1 0.07
329 H Seattle U 8- 5 3 1 + 2.07
402 A Loyola Marymount 10-12 -2 -1 -1.35
403 A Loyola Marymount 6- 4 2 -1 + 2.65
404 A Loyola Marymount 7-10 -3 -1 - -2.35
406 H California 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -4.53
410 A Cal State Bakersfield 2- 3 -1 -3 1.58
411 H San Diego 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.93
412 H San Diego 6- 1 5 -1 ++ 5.93
414 A Sacramento State 2-12 -10 -5 -- -5.44
417 A Portland 3- 5 -2 -3 0.96
418 A Portland 5- 4 1 -3 + 3.96
419 A Portland 0-11 -11 -3 --- -8.04
422 A California 3- 4 -1 -5 + 3.82
424 H Pacific 5-10 -5 -1 -- -4.26
425 H Pacific 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.74
426 H Pacific 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -5.26
428 H San José State 0-12 -12 -3 --- -9.28
501 A Pepperdine 10- 4 6 -1 +++ 7.15
502 A Pepperdine 0- 4 -4 -1 - -2.85
503 A Pepperdine 2- 0 2 -1 + 3.15
506 A Stanford 5-12 -7 -4 - -2.75
508 H Gonzaga 0- 7 -7 -4 - -2.96
509 H Gonzaga 0-13 -13 -4 --- -8.96
510 H Gonzaga 5-12 -7 -4 - -2.96
514 H Portland 9- 5 4 -2 ++ 5.60
515 H Portland 10- 3 7 -2 +++ 8.60
516 A Saint Mary's 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.26
520 H Santa Clara 10- 4 6 -2 +++ 7.72
521 A Pacific 4- 8 -4 -2 -1.91
522 H Gonzaga 6- 5 1 -4 ++ 5.04
522 A Pacific 10- 6 4 -2 +++ 6.09
523 A Saint Mary's 9- 8 1 -4 ++ 5.26
523 H Saint Mary's 6- 7 -1 -3 1.91
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Alabama 7-19 -12 -5 --- -6.58 226 H California Baptist 2-16 -14 -5 --- -9.18 307 H Massachusetts at Lowe 7-18 -11 1 --- -12.15 317 A Tennessee Tech 3-10 -7 0 --- -7.33 419 A Portland 0-11 -11 -3 --- -8.04 428 H San José State 0-12 -12 -3 --- -9.28 509 H Gonzaga 0-13 -13 -4 --- -8.96 313 A UC Riverside 3- 7 -4 1 -- -4.71 406 H California 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -4.53 414 A Sacramento State 2-12 -10 -5 -- -5.44 424 H Pacific 5-10 -5 -1 -- -4.26 426 H Pacific 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -5.26 213 H Western Illinois 2- 0 2 4 - -2.23 214 H Western Illinois 5- 4 1 4 - -3.23 308 H Massachusetts at Lowe 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.15 324 A Nevada 9-14 -5 -3 - -2.44 404 A Loyola Marymount 7-10 -3 -1 - -2.35 502 A Pepperdine 0- 4 -4 -1 - -2.85 506 A Stanford 5-12 -7 -4 - -2.75 508 H Gonzaga 0- 7 -7 -4 - -2.96 510 H Gonzaga 5-12 -7 -4 - -2.96 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H San José State 9- 3 6 -3 +++ 8.72 501 A Pepperdine 10- 4 6 -1 +++ 7.15 515 H Portland 10- 3 7 -2 +++ 8.60 520 H Santa Clara 10- 4 6 -2 +++ 7.72 522 A Pacific 10- 6 4 -2 +++ 6.09 228 H California Baptist 3- 2 1 -5 ++ 5.82 309 H Massachusetts at Lowe 8- 2 6 1 ++ 4.85 412 H San Diego 6- 1 5 -1 ++ 5.93 514 H Portland 9- 5 4 -2 ++ 5.60 522 H Gonzaga 6- 5 1 -4 ++ 5.04 523 A Saint Mary's 9- 8 1 -4 ++ 5.26 301 H California Baptist 1- 2 -1 -5 + 3.82 320 H Santa Clara 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.72 321 A UTSA 2- 6 -4 -7 + 2.84 322 H Santa Clara 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.72 327 H Seattle U 8- 4 4 1 + 3.07 329 H Seattle U 8- 5 3 1 + 2.07 403 A Loyola Marymount 6- 4 2 -1 + 2.65 411 H San Diego 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.93 418 A Portland 5- 4 1 -3 + 3.96 422 A California 3- 4 -1 -5 + 3.82 425 H Pacific 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.74 503 A Pepperdine 2- 0 2 -1 + 3.15 516 A Saint Mary's 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.26 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Western Illino ( 0- 8, 87.4) 2- 0 -12.47 5.96 -0.68 0.50 5.27
3 H Western Illino ( 0- 8, 87.4) 5- 4 -12.47 5.96 -0.68 0.50 5.27
3 H Western Illino ( 0- 8, 87.4) 10- 6 -12.47 5.96 -0.68 0.50 5.27
3 A Alcorn State ( 0- 3, 81.5) 1- 0 -18.43 1.00 0.68 0.50 1.67
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 7-19 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.50 -0.87
3 A San José Stat (12-11, 94.4) 3- 7 -5.52 12.91 0.68 0.50 -1.21
3 H San José Stat (12-11, 94.4) 9- 3 -5.52 12.91 -0.68 0.50 12.20
3 H California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 2-16 -3.42 15.01 -0.68 0.50 -1.02
3 H California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 1- 7 -3.42 15.01 -0.68 0.50 -1.02
3 H California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 3- 2 -3.42 15.01 -0.68 0.50 14.29
3 H California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 1- 2 -3.42 15.01 -0.68 0.50 -1.02
3 A Illinois State ( 4-13, 90.9) 8- 7 -9.00 9.43 0.68 0.50 10.07
3 H Massachusetts ( 6- 9, 90.5) 7-18 -9.38 9.04 -0.68 0.50 -2.51
3 H Massachusetts ( 6- 9, 90.5) 4- 6 -9.38 9.04 -0.68 0.50 -2.51
3 H Massachusetts ( 6- 9, 90.5) 8- 2 -9.38 9.04 -0.68 0.50 8.34
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 3- 7 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.50 -2.40
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 6- 4 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.50 8.78
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 5- 6 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.50 -2.40
3 A Tennessee Tech ( 5-13, 90.0) 3-10 -9.92 8.51 0.68 0.50 -2.30
3 H Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 2- 1 -6.51 11.91 -0.68 0.50 11.21
3 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 2- 6 -2.74 15.68 0.68 0.50 -0.52
3 H Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 6- 5 -6.51 11.91 -0.68 0.50 11.21
3 A Nevada ( 6-13, 92.9) 9-14 -7.03 11.40 0.68 0.50 -1.58
3 H Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 8- 4 -9.17 9.26 -0.68 0.50 8.56
3 H Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 6- 5 -9.17 9.26 -0.68 0.50 8.56
3 H Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 8- 5 -9.17 9.26 -0.68 0.50 8.56
3 A Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 10-12 -8.93 9.49 0.68 0.50 -2.06
3 A Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 6- 4 -8.93 9.49 0.68 0.50 10.14
3 A Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 7-10 -8.93 9.49 0.68 0.50 -2.06
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 0- 8 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.50 -1.36
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 2- 3 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.50 -1.58
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 7- 5 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.50 10.42
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 6- 1 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.50 10.42
3 A Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 2-12 -5.03 13.39 0.68 0.50 -1.09
3 A Portland (24-27, 93.3) 3- 5 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.50 -1.49
3 A Portland (24-27, 93.3) 5- 4 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.50 12.44
3 A Portland (24-27, 93.3) 0-11 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.50 -1.49
3 A California (29-24, 95.1) 3- 4 -4.77 13.66 0.68 0.50 -1.02
3 H Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 5-10 -7.50 10.93 -0.68 0.50 -2.04
3 H Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 5- 3 -7.50 10.93 -0.68 0.50 10.23
3 H Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 2- 8 -7.50 10.93 -0.68 0.50 -2.04
3 H San José Stat (12-11, 94.4) 0-12 -5.52 12.91 -0.68 0.50 -1.54
3 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 10- 4 -8.43 9.99 0.68 0.50 10.64
3 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 0- 4 -8.43 9.99 0.68 0.50 -1.93
3 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 2- 0 -8.43 9.99 0.68 0.50 10.64
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 5-12 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.50 -1.16
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 0- 7 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.50 -1.21
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 0-13 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.50 -1.21
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 5-12 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.50 -1.21
3 H Portland (24-27, 93.3) 9- 5 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.50 11.09
3 H Portland (24-27, 93.3) 10- 3 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.50 11.09
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 4- 6 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.50 -1.16
3 H Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 10- 4 -6.51 11.91 -0.68 0.50 11.21
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 4- 8 -7.50 10.93 0.68 0.50 -1.70
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 6- 5 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.50 13.52
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 10- 6 -7.50 10.93 0.68 0.50 11.57
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 9- 8 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.50 13.73
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 6- 7 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.50 -1.50
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218.20
|
winning pts = 266.4041 losing points = -48.2043
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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