UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick South Dakota S
  
South Dakota State    
W-L: ( 4-15) PR = 90.6461

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 4-17 214 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 5-13 215 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 1-13 227 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 1- 5 228 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 8- 5 301 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 3- 9 304 H VCU A10 (10-10, 94.2) 4-10 306 A Morehead State OV ( 7- 4, 95.2) 5- 5 307 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 2- 3 311 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 0- 9 317 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 6- 7 318 H Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 11-16 325 A Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 5-11 408 H SE Louisiana SL ( 7- 8, 94.9) 7- 7 520 A Oral Roberts SM ( 6-15, 91.0) 7- 3 521 A Northern Colorado BS ( 2- 7, 89.1) 2- 1 523 H Oral Roberts SM ( 6-15, 91.0) 1- 4 523 H Oral Roberts SM ( 6-15, 91.0) 9- 6 529 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 1- 4 530 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 0-17 530 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 0-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A UTSA                    4-17     -13    -7    --    -5.82
   214 A UTSA                    5-13      -8    -7          -0.82
   215 A UTSA                    1-13     -12    -7    --    -4.82
   227 A Central Arkansas        1- 5      -4    -3          -1.26
   228 A Central Arkansas        8- 5       3    -3    ++     5.74
   301 A Central Arkansas        3- 9      -6    -3    -     -3.26
   304 H VCU                     4-10      -6    -3    -     -3.10
   306 A Morehead State          5- 5       0    -5    ++     5.26
   307 A Minnesota               2- 3      -1    -7    +++    6.37
   311 A Kansas State            0- 9      -9    -7    -     -2.35
   317 A Oklahoma State          6- 7      -1    -7    +++    6.27
   318 H Louisville             11-16      -5    -5          -0.12
   325 A Creighton               5-11      -6    -4          -1.55
   408 H SE Louisiana            7- 7       0    -4    +      3.62
   520 A Oral Roberts            7- 3       4    -1    ++     4.98
   521 A Northern Colorado       2- 1       1     1           0.17
   523 H Oral Roberts            1- 4      -3     0    -     -3.37
   523 H Oral Roberts            9- 6       3     0    +      2.63
   529 A Nebraska                1- 4      -3    -7    ++     4.07
   530 A Arizona State           0-17     -17    -8    ---   -6.33
   530 A Arizona State           0-17     -17    -8    ---   -6.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   530 A Arizona State           0-17     -17    -8    ---   -6.33
   530 A Arizona State           0-17     -17    -8    ---   -6.33
   213 A UTSA                    4-17     -13    -7    --    -5.82
   215 A UTSA                    1-13     -12    -7    --    -4.82
   301 A Central Arkansas        3- 9      -6    -3    -     -3.26
   304 H VCU                     4-10      -6    -3    -     -3.10
   311 A Kansas State            0- 9      -9    -7    -     -2.35
   523 H Oral Roberts            1- 4      -3     0    -     -3.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Minnesota               2- 3      -1    -7    +++    6.37
   317 A Oklahoma State          6- 7      -1    -7    +++    6.27
   228 A Central Arkansas        8- 5       3    -3    ++     5.74
   306 A Morehead State          5- 5       0    -5    ++     5.26
   520 A Oral Roberts            7- 3       4    -1    ++     4.98
   529 A Nebraska                1- 4      -3    -7    ++     4.07
   408 H SE Louisiana            7- 7       0    -4    +      3.62
   523 H Oral Roberts            9- 6       3     0    +      2.63

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A UTSA            (38-20, 97.2)     4-17       -2.74      15.68       0.68         1.38            -1.42
   3 A UTSA            (38-20, 97.2)     5-13       -2.74      15.68       0.68         1.38            -1.42
   3 A UTSA            (38-20, 97.2)     1-13       -2.74      15.68       0.68         1.38            -1.42
   3 A Central Arkans  (31-25, 92.7)     1- 5       -7.19      11.24       0.68         1.38            -4.49
   3 A Central Arkans  (31-25, 92.7)     8- 5       -7.19      11.24       0.68         1.38            32.81
   3 A Central Arkans  (31-25, 92.7)     3- 9       -7.19      11.24       0.68         1.38            -4.49
   3 H VCU             (10-10, 94.2)     4-10       -5.68      12.75      -0.68         1.38            -4.37
   3 A Minnesota       (31-21, 97.3)     2- 3       -2.56      15.86       0.68         1.38            -1.30
   3 A Kansas State    (30-27, 96.6)     0- 9       -3.28      15.14       0.68         1.38            -1.80
   3 A Oklahoma State  (39-22, 97.2)     6- 7       -2.66      15.77       0.68         1.38            -1.36
   3 H Louisville      (29-27, 96.2)    11-16       -3.70      14.73      -0.68         1.38            -3.01
   3 A Creighton       (32-25, 94.4)     5-11       -5.48      12.94       0.68         1.38            -3.31
   3 A Oral Roberts    ( 6-15, 91.0)     7- 3       -8.95       9.48       0.68         1.38            27.97
   3 A Northern Color  ( 2- 7, 89.1)     2- 1      -10.76       7.66       0.68         1.38            22.96
   3 H Oral Roberts    ( 6-15, 91.0)     1- 4       -8.95       9.48      -0.68         1.38            -6.63
   3 H Oral Roberts    ( 6-15, 91.0)     9- 6       -8.95       9.48      -0.68         1.38            24.25
   3 A Nebraska        (41-17, 97.0)     1- 4       -2.86      15.57       0.68         1.38            -1.50
   3 A Arizona State   (38-21, 97.6)     0-17       -2.26      16.17       0.68         1.38            -1.09
   3 A Arizona State   (38-21, 97.6)     0-17       -2.26      16.17       0.68         1.38            -1.09
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        69.29

winning pts = 107.9962 losing points = -38.7089

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------