San Diego State
W-L: (15-16) PR = 92.9326Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 218 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 2-14 220 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 3- 2 221 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 0- 7 222 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 4-15 224 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 4- 3 227 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 9- 4 228 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 3- 2 301 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 2-11 302 H Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 1- 3 304 A Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 13- 9 306 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 3- 5 307 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 9-12 308 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 6- 9 310 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 2- 3 317 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 4- 7 321 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 6-11 322 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 5- 7 324 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 8- 4 330 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 2- 6 407 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 1- 0 414 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 9- 1 415 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 7- 5 420 H Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 9- 5 421 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 4- 3 428 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 5- 3 505 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 4- 8 522 H New Mexico MW ( 5- 5, 93.5) 11- 6 523 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 9-14 523 H Air Force MW ( 5-13, 94.9) 11- 8 524 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 4-14 524 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 9- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
218 H USC 2-14 -12 -4 --- -8.11
220 A Pepperdine 3- 2 1 1 0.21
221 H Utah 0- 7 -7 -1 -- -5.80
222 H San Diego 4-15 -11 1 --- -12.01
224 A UCLA 4- 3 1 -6 +++ 7.16
227 A Washington 9- 4 5 -2 +++ 6.62
228 A Washington 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.62
301 A Washington 2-11 -9 -2 --- -7.38
302 H Seattle U 1- 3 -2 3 -- -4.88
304 A Towson 13- 9 4 1 + 2.92
306 A Cal State Northridge 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.62
307 H Saint Mary's 9-12 -3 -1 - -2.04
308 H Saint Mary's 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.04
310 A Cal State Fullerton 2- 3 -1 -1 0.45
317 A USC 4- 7 -3 -5 + 2.24
321 A St. John's 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.10
322 A UConn 5- 7 -2 -2 0.10
324 H UC Irvine 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.72
330 A Arizona State 2- 6 -4 -5 1.38
414 H UC San Diego 9- 1 8 -1 +++ 8.81
415 A Long Beach State 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.62
420 H Seattle U 9- 5 4 3 1.12
421 A Cal State Northridge 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.38
428 H Cal State Fullerton 5- 3 2 0 + 2.10
505 A UC San Diego 4- 8 -4 -2 -1.84
522 H New Mexico 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.88
523 H Washington State 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.60
523 H Air Force 11- 8 3 -1 ++ 4.29
524 H Washington State 4-14 -10 0 --- -9.60
524 H Washington State 9- 2 7 0 +++ 7.40
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 H USC 2-14 -12 -4 --- -8.11 222 H San Diego 4-15 -11 1 --- -12.01 301 A Washington 2-11 -9 -2 --- -7.38 524 H Washington State 4-14 -10 0 --- -9.60 221 H Utah 0- 7 -7 -1 -- -5.80 302 H Seattle U 1- 3 -2 3 -- -4.88 523 H Washington State 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.60 307 H Saint Mary's 9-12 -3 -1 - -2.04 308 H Saint Mary's 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.04 321 A St. John's 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.10 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A UCLA 4- 3 1 -6 +++ 7.16 227 A Washington 9- 4 5 -2 +++ 6.62 414 H UC San Diego 9- 1 8 -1 +++ 8.81 524 H Washington State 9- 2 7 0 +++ 7.40 324 H UC Irvine 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.72 522 H New Mexico 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.88 523 H Air Force 11- 8 3 -1 ++ 4.29 228 A Washington 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.62 304 A Towson 13- 9 4 1 + 2.92 317 A USC 4- 7 -3 -5 + 2.24 415 A Long Beach State 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.62 421 A Cal State Northridge 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.38 428 H Cal State Fullerton 5- 3 2 0 + 2.10 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H USC (43-22, 97.5) 2-14 -2.41 16.02 -0.68 0.93 -1.44
3 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 3- 2 -8.43 9.99 0.68 0.93 19.91
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 0- 7 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 0.93 -2.69
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 4-15 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.93 -3.72
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 4- 3 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.93 32.87
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 9- 4 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.93 24.40
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 3- 2 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.93 24.40
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 2-11 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.93 -2.50
3 H Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 1- 3 -9.17 9.26 -0.68 0.93 -4.59
3 A Towson (20-33, 91.2) 13- 9 -8.72 9.70 0.68 0.93 19.37
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 3- 5 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.93 -2.61
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 9-12 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.93 -2.80
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 6- 9 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.93 -2.80
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 2- 3 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.93 -2.57
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 4- 7 -2.41 16.02 0.68 0.93 -0.81
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 6-11 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.93 -2.37
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 5- 7 -5.54 12.88 0.68 0.93 -2.27
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 8- 4 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.93 22.73
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 2- 6 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.93 -0.74
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 1- 0 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 0.93 13.91
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 9- 1 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.93 22.89
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 7- 5 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.93 22.54
3 H Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 9- 5 -9.17 9.26 -0.68 0.93 16.01
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 4- 3 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.93 23.95
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 5- 3 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.93 21.57
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 4- 8 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.93 -2.24
3 H New Mexico ( 5- 5, 93.5) 11- 6 -6.41 12.02 -0.68 0.93 21.16
3 H Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 9-14 -5.89 12.53 -0.68 0.93 -3.06
3 H Air Force ( 5-13, 94.9) 11- 8 -5.00 13.42 -0.68 0.93 23.79
3 H Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 4-14 -5.89 12.53 -0.68 0.93 -3.06
3 H Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 9- 2 -5.89 12.53 -0.68 0.93 22.13
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291.35
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winning pts = 331.6200 losing points = -40.2711
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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