UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Seattle U
  
Seattle U             
W-L: (16-31) PR = 90.7322

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 5-10 214 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 3- 4 215 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 6-15 219 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 6- 4 220 H Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 0- 9 221 A California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 1- 7 222 A California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 1- 5 224 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 14-11 227 H Holy Cross PAT ( 7-12, 91.1) 1-11 228 H Holy Cross PAT ( 7-12, 91.1) 11-10 301 H Holy Cross PAT ( 7-12, 91.1) 2- 7 302 A San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 3- 1 306 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 1-12 307 H Jackson State SWAC ( 2- 5, 89.4) 12-13 308 H Jackson State SWAC ( 2- 5, 89.4) 6- 4 310 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 4- 7 320 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 4- 6 321 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 5- 6 322 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 15-10 327 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 4- 8 328 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 5- 6 329 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 5- 8 331 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 0-10 402 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 5- 1 403 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 6- 2 404 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 0- 3 410 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 5-10 411 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 8- 6 412 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 7- 6 417 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 7- 4 418 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 11- 6 419 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 12-13 420 A San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 5- 9 424 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 1- 3 425 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 6- 7 426 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 2- 4 501 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 1-11 502 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 8- 7 503 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 5- 4 505 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 4- 3 508 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 1- 7 509 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 4-11 510 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 2- 4 512 A Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 12-11 514 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 2-10 515 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 1- 9 516 A Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 13-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Cal State Northridge    5-10      -5    -4          -1.42
   214 A Cal State Northridge    3- 4      -1    -4    +      2.58
   215 A Cal State Northridge    6-15      -9    -4    --    -5.42
   219 H Arizona                 6- 4       2    -2    ++     4.42
   220 H Arizona State           0- 9      -9    -6    -     -2.77
   221 A California Baptist      1- 7      -6    -6           0.43
   222 A California Baptist      1- 5      -4    -6    +      2.43
   224 A Washington             14-11       3    -4    +++    6.82
   227 H Holy Cross              1-11     -10     0    ---  -10.36
   228 H Holy Cross             11-10       1     0           0.64
   301 H Holy Cross              2- 7      -5     0    --    -5.36
   302 A San Diego State         3- 1       2    -3    ++     4.88
   306 A Monmouth                1-12     -11    -3    ---   -7.98
   307 H Jackson State          12-13      -1     2    -     -3.02
   308 H Jackson State           6- 4       2     2          -0.02
   310 A Washington              4- 7      -3    -4           0.82
   320 A Pacific                 4- 6      -2    -2           0.35
   321 H Oregon                  5- 6      -1    -6    ++     4.71
   322 A Pacific                15-10       5    -2    +++    7.35
   327 A San Francisco           4- 8      -4    -1    -     -3.07
   328 A San Francisco           5- 6      -1    -1          -0.07
   329 A San Francisco           5- 8      -3    -1    -     -2.07
   331 H Washington State        0-10     -10    -3    ---   -7.40
   402 H Portland                5- 1       4    -2    ++     5.86
   403 H Portland                6- 2       4    -2    ++     5.86
   404 H Portland                0- 3      -3    -2          -1.14
   410 A Penn State              5-10      -5    -2    -     -3.34
   411 H Loyola Marymount        8- 6       2     0           1.56
   412 H Loyola Marymount        7- 6       1     0           0.56
   417 A San Diego               7- 4       3    -3    ++     5.54
   418 A San Diego              11- 6       5    -3    +++    7.54
   419 A San Diego              12-13      -1    -3           1.54
   420 A San Diego State         5- 9      -4    -3          -1.12
   424 H Pepperdine              1- 3      -2     0          -1.94
   425 H Pepperdine              6- 7      -1     0          -0.94
   426 H Pepperdine              2- 4      -2     0          -1.94
   501 A Saint Mary's            1-11     -10    -5    --    -5.49
   502 A Saint Mary's            8- 7       1    -5    ++     5.51
   503 A Saint Mary's            5- 4       1    -5    ++     5.51
   505 H Washington              4- 3       1    -2    +      3.47
   508 H Santa Clara             1- 7      -6    -2    --    -4.02
   509 H Santa Clara             4-11      -7    -2    --    -5.02
   510 H Santa Clara             2- 4      -2    -2          -0.02
   512 A Washington State       12-11       1    -4    ++     4.95
   514 H Santa Clara             2-10      -8    -2    ---   -6.02
   515 H Santa Clara             1- 9      -8    -2    ---   -6.02
   516 A Gonzaga                13-16      -3    -6    +      2.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Holy Cross              1-11     -10     0    ---  -10.36
   306 A Monmouth                1-12     -11    -3    ---   -7.98
   331 H Washington State        0-10     -10    -3    ---   -7.40
   514 H Santa Clara             2-10      -8    -2    ---   -6.02
   515 H Santa Clara             1- 9      -8    -2    ---   -6.02
   215 A Cal State Northridge    6-15      -9    -4    --    -5.42
   301 H Holy Cross              2- 7      -5     0    --    -5.36
   501 A Saint Mary's            1-11     -10    -5    --    -5.49
   508 H Santa Clara             1- 7      -6    -2    --    -4.02
   509 H Santa Clara             4-11      -7    -2    --    -5.02
   220 H Arizona State           0- 9      -9    -6    -     -2.77
   307 H Jackson State          12-13      -1     2    -     -3.02
   327 A San Francisco           4- 8      -4    -1    -     -3.07
   329 A San Francisco           5- 8      -3    -1    -     -2.07
   410 A Penn State              5-10      -5    -2    -     -3.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A Washington             14-11       3    -4    +++    6.82
   322 A Pacific                15-10       5    -2    +++    7.35
   418 A San Diego              11- 6       5    -3    +++    7.54
   219 H Arizona                 6- 4       2    -2    ++     4.42
   302 A San Diego State         3- 1       2    -3    ++     4.88
   321 H Oregon                  5- 6      -1    -6    ++     4.71
   402 H Portland                5- 1       4    -2    ++     5.86
   403 H Portland                6- 2       4    -2    ++     5.86
   417 A San Diego               7- 4       3    -3    ++     5.54
   502 A Saint Mary's            8- 7       1    -5    ++     5.51
   503 A Saint Mary's            5- 4       1    -5    ++     5.51
   512 A Washington State       12-11       1    -4    ++     4.95
   214 A Cal State Northridge    3- 4      -1    -4    +      2.58
   222 A California Baptist      1- 5      -4    -6    +      2.43
   505 H Washington              4- 3       1    -2    +      3.47
   516 A Gonzaga                13-16      -3    -6    +      2.65

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Cal State Nort  (24-29, 93.6)     5-10       -6.27      12.16       0.68         0.62            -1.72
   3 A Cal State Nort  (24-29, 93.6)     3- 4       -6.27      12.16       0.68         0.62            -1.72
   3 A Cal State Nort  (24-29, 93.6)     6-15       -6.27      12.16       0.68         0.62            -1.72
   3 H Arizona         (17-36, 93.8)     6- 4       -6.08      12.35      -0.68         0.62            14.37
   3 H Arizona State   (38-21, 97.6)     0- 9       -2.26      16.17      -0.68         0.62            -0.90
   3 A California Bap  (23- 9, 96.5)     1- 7       -3.42      15.01       0.68         0.62            -0.84
   3 A California Bap  (23- 9, 96.5)     1- 5       -3.42      15.01       0.68         0.62            -0.84
   3 A Washington      (24-32, 93.9)    14-11       -6.03      12.40       0.68         0.62            16.09
   3 H Holy Cross      ( 7-12, 91.1)     1-11       -8.85       9.58      -0.68         0.62            -2.93
   3 H Holy Cross      ( 7-12, 91.1)    11-10       -8.85       9.58      -0.68         0.62            10.96
   3 H Holy Cross      ( 7-12, 91.1)     2- 7       -8.85       9.58      -0.68         0.62            -2.93
   3 A San Diego Stat  (15-16, 92.9)     3- 1       -6.97      11.46       0.68         0.62            14.93
   3 A Monmouth        (31-23, 93.1)     1-12       -6.82      11.60       0.68         0.62            -1.89
   3 H Jackson State   ( 2- 5, 89.4)    12-13      -10.51       7.91      -0.68         0.62            -3.44
   3 H Jackson State   ( 2- 5, 89.4)     6- 4      -10.51       7.91      -0.68         0.62             8.91
   3 A Washington      (24-32, 93.9)     4- 7       -6.03      12.40       0.68         0.62            -1.65
   3 A Pacific         (23-30, 92.4)     4- 6       -7.50      10.93       0.68         0.62            -2.10
   3 H Oregon          (44-17, 97.1)     5- 6       -2.78      15.65      -0.68         0.62            -1.06
   3 A Pacific         (23-30, 92.4)    15-10       -7.50      10.93       0.68         0.62            14.28
   3 A San Francisco   (27-31, 91.0)     4- 8       -8.91       9.51       0.68         0.62            -2.53
   3 A San Francisco   (27-31, 91.0)     5- 6       -8.91       9.51       0.68         0.62            -2.53
   3 A San Francisco   (27-31, 91.0)     5- 8       -8.91       9.51       0.68         0.62            -2.53
   3 H Washington Sta  (13-18, 94.0)     0-10       -5.89      12.53      -0.68         0.62            -2.02
   3 H Portland        (24-27, 93.3)     5- 1       -6.63      11.79      -0.68         0.62            13.68
   3 H Portland        (24-27, 93.3)     6- 2       -6.63      11.79      -0.68         0.62            13.68
   3 H Portland        (24-27, 93.3)     0- 3       -6.63      11.79      -0.68         0.62            -2.25
   3 A Penn State      (14-38, 91.7)     5-10       -8.19      10.24       0.68         0.62            -2.31
   3 H Loyola Marymou  (14-39, 91.0)     8- 6       -8.93       9.49      -0.68         0.62            10.85
   3 H Loyola Marymou  (14-39, 91.0)     7- 6       -8.93       9.49      -0.68         0.62            10.85
   3 A San Diego       (20-30, 92.6)     7- 4       -7.30      11.12       0.68         0.62            14.52
   3 A San Diego       (20-30, 92.6)    11- 6       -7.30      11.12       0.68         0.62            14.52
   3 A San Diego       (20-30, 92.6)    12-13       -7.30      11.12       0.68         0.62            -2.04
   3 A San Diego Stat  (15-16, 92.9)     5- 9       -6.97      11.46       0.68         0.62            -1.94
   3 H Pepperdine      (21-33, 91.5)     1- 3       -8.43       9.99      -0.68         0.62            -2.80
   3 H Pepperdine      (21-33, 91.5)     6- 7       -8.43       9.99      -0.68         0.62            -2.80
   3 H Pepperdine      (21-33, 91.5)     2- 4       -8.43       9.99      -0.68         0.62            -2.80
   3 A Saint Mary's    (36-27, 94.6)     1-11       -5.33      13.10       0.68         0.62            -1.43
   3 A Saint Mary's    (36-27, 94.6)     8- 7       -5.33      13.10       0.68         0.62            16.95
   3 A Saint Mary's    (36-27, 94.6)     5- 4       -5.33      13.10       0.68         0.62            16.95
   3 H Washington      (24-32, 93.9)     4- 3       -6.03      12.40      -0.68         0.62            14.43
   3 H Santa Clara     (24-30, 93.4)     1- 7       -6.51      11.91      -0.68         0.62            -2.21
   3 H Santa Clara     (24-30, 93.4)     4-11       -6.51      11.91      -0.68         0.62            -2.21
   3 H Santa Clara     (24-30, 93.4)     2- 4       -6.51      11.91      -0.68         0.62            -2.21
   3 A Washington Sta  (13-18, 94.0)    12-11       -5.89      12.53       0.68         0.62            16.26
   3 H Santa Clara     (24-30, 93.4)     2-10       -6.51      11.91      -0.68         0.62            -2.21
   3 H Santa Clara     (24-30, 93.4)     1- 9       -6.51      11.91      -0.68         0.62            -2.21
   3 A Gonzaga         (35-19, 95.7)    13-16       -4.20      14.23       0.68         0.62            -1.08
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       158.35

winning pts = 222.2389 losing points = -63.8867

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------