SE Louisiana
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 94.9459Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 4- 6, 93.9) 1- 3 224 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 7- 9 303 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 15- 6 304 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 16- 8 311 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 3-10 317 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 3- 0 324 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 3- 9 331 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 5- 1 408 A South Dakota State SM ( 4-15, 90.6) 7- 7 414 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 4- 8 417 A UT Rio Grande Valley SL ( 8-10, 94.8) 6- 8 428 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 4-12 514 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 3- 3 515 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 9- 4 516 H Houston Christian SL ( 3-12, 92.6) 8- 4 516 A McNeese SL ( 8- 9, 93.3) 13-12 517 H McNeese SL ( 8- 9, 93.3) 5- 8
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
217 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.40
224 H South Alabama 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.43
303 H Oregon 15- 6 9 -1 +++ 10.50
304 H Kentucky 16- 8 8 0 +++ 8.29
311 A South Alabama 3-10 -7 -1 --- -6.08
317 H Oklahoma 3- 0 3 -1 ++ 4.44
324 A Louisiana 3- 9 -6 -1 -- -5.19
331 A Southern Miss 5- 1 4 -2 +++ 6.36
408 A South Dakota State 7- 7 0 4 - -3.62
414 A Tulane 4- 8 -4 0 - -3.86
417 A UT Rio Grande Valley 6- 8 -2 0 -1.50
428 A LSU 4-12 -8 -3 -- -5.26
514 A Florida Gulf Coast 3- 3 0 0 -0.20
515 H Kentucky 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.29
516 H Houston Christian 8- 4 4 3 0.97
516 A McNeese 13-12 1 1 0.02
517 H McNeese 5- 8 -3 2 -- -5.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 A South Alabama 3-10 -7 -1 --- -6.08 324 A Louisiana 3- 9 -6 -1 -- -5.19 428 A LSU 4-12 -8 -3 -- -5.26 517 H McNeese 5- 8 -3 2 -- -5.33 217 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.40 224 H South Alabama 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.43 408 A South Dakota State 7- 7 0 4 - -3.62 414 A Tulane 4- 8 -4 0 - -3.86 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Oregon 15- 6 9 -1 +++ 10.50 304 H Kentucky 16- 8 8 0 +++ 8.29 331 A Southern Miss 5- 1 4 -2 +++ 6.36 317 H Oklahoma 3- 0 3 -1 ++ 4.44 515 H Kentucky 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.29 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Texas A&M-Corp ( 4- 6, 93.9) 1- 3 -6.03 12.40 0.68 1.70 -4.55
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 7- 9 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 1.70 -4.58
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 15- 6 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 1.70 50.94
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 16- 8 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 1.70 46.84
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 3-10 -4.71 13.72 0.68 1.70 -3.43
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 3- 0 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 1.70 50.73
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 3- 9 -4.82 13.61 0.68 1.70 -3.53
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 5- 1 -3.27 15.15 0.68 1.70 53.86
3 A South Dakota S ( 4-15, 90.6) 7- 7 -9.25 9.17 0.68 1.70 0.00
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 4- 8 -5.49 12.93 0.68 1.70 -4.10
3 A UT Rio Grande ( 8-10, 94.8) 6- 8 -5.13 13.29 0.68 1.70 -3.79
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 4-12 -2.89 15.53 0.68 1.70 -1.89
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 3- 3 -5.83 12.59 0.68 1.70 0.00
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 9- 4 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 1.70 46.84
3 H Houston Christ ( 3-12, 92.6) 8- 4 -7.31 11.12 -0.68 1.70 35.52
3 A McNeese ( 8- 9, 93.3) 13-12 -6.61 11.82 0.68 1.70 42.52
3 H McNeese ( 8- 9, 93.3) 5- 8 -6.61 11.82 -0.68 1.70 -6.19
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295.20
|
winning pts = 327.2496 losing points = -32.0508
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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