Siena 
W-L: ( 1- 7) PR = 88.3255
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
213 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 0-16
214 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 1-13
215 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 0-15
220 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 7-10
221 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 1- 8
222 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 1-15
310 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 14- 8
324 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 11-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A UCF 0-16 -16 -8 -- -5.66
214 A UCF 1-13 -12 -8 - -3.66
215 A UCF 0-15 -15 -8 -- -5.66
220 H Charlotte 7-10 -3 -5 + 2.11
221 A Wake Forest 1- 8 -7 -10 + 2.62
222 A Wake Forest 1-15 -14 -10 -- -4.38
310 A Stony Brook 14- 8 6 -5 +++ 10.81
324 A Stony Brook 11-12 -1 -5 + 3.81
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A UCF 0-16 -16 -8 -- -5.66
215 A UCF 0-15 -15 -8 -- -5.66
222 A Wake Forest 1-15 -14 -10 -- -4.38
214 A UCF 1-13 -12 -8 - -3.66
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
310 A Stony Brook 14- 8 6 -5 +++ 10.81
220 H Charlotte 7-10 -3 -5 + 2.11
221 A Wake Forest 1- 8 -7 -10 + 2.62
324 A Stony Brook 11-12 -1 -5 + 3.81
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 0-16 -3.91 14.52 0.68 3.62 -5.84
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 1-13 -3.91 14.52 0.68 3.62 -5.84
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 0-15 -3.91 14.52 0.68 3.62 -5.84
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 7-10 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 3.62 -11.68
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 1- 8 -2.63 15.79 0.68 3.62 -3.54
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 1-15 -2.63 15.79 0.68 3.62 -3.54
3 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 14- 8 -7.44 10.99 0.68 3.62 84.32
3 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 11-12 -7.44 10.99 0.68 3.62 -12.23
------
35.82
|
winning pts = 84.3196 losing points = -48.5001
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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