Stetson
W-L: (20-34) PR = 92.7632Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 5-11 214 H Ball State MA ( 4-11, 91.4) 2- 5 215 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 7-11 217 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 2- 3 218 H Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 3- 8 220 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 8- 7 221 H Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 6- 5 222 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 14- 8 225 H South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 1- 2 228 H Fordham A10 ( 3- 4, 90.4) 13- 7 228 H Fordham A10 ( 3- 4, 90.4) 6- 7 301 A Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 7- 8 303 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 4- 6 306 H Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 1-12 307 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 1-13 308 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 4- 1 311 H Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 0- 8, 86.5) 16- 6 313 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 7- 2 314 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 1-12 315 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 1- 4 317 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 1-10 320 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 4- 3 321 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 3- 6 322 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 10- 6 324 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 8- 4 327 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 4- 5 329 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 8- 2 331 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 3- 6 402 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 1- 5 403 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 3- 4 404 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 3- 0 410 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 0- 7 411 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 2- 8 412 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 13- 3 414 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 2- 9 417 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 1- 3 418 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 1- 2 419 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 7- 3 421 H South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 5- 6 424 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 13-10 425 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 17-11 426 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 13-11 429 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 5- 6 501 H Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 1- 8 502 H Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 2- 6 503 H Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 1- 2 505 H Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 8-10, 91.7) 15- 2 509 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 4- 5 509 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 16- 6 510 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 9- 6 514 H South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 2- 7 515 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 5- 8 516 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 2-12 519 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 4- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Minnesota 5-11 -6 -4 - -2.10
214 H Ball State 2- 5 -3 2 -- -5.06
215 H St. John's 7-11 -4 -1 - -3.29
217 A Southern Miss 2- 3 -1 -5 + 3.54
218 H Mercer 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.09
220 A Georgia Southern 8- 7 1 0 0.82
221 H Virginia 6- 5 1 -3 + 3.66
222 H Monmouth 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.64
225 H South Carolina Upstate 1- 2 -1 -2 0.53
228 H Fordham 13- 7 6 3 + 2.99
228 H Fordham 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.01
301 A Indiana State 7- 8 -1 0 -0.77
303 H Alabama 4- 6 -2 -4 1.64
306 H Missouri State 1-12 -11 -3 --- -8.13
307 A Arkansas 1-13 -12 -5 --- -6.57
308 A Arkansas 4- 1 3 -5 +++ 8.43
311 H Prairie View A&M 16- 6 10 7 + 3.05
313 H North Florida 7- 2 5 0 ++ 5.02
314 H North Florida 1-12 -11 0 --- -10.98
315 H North Florida 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.98
317 A Florida 1-10 -9 -6 - -2.82
320 H West Georgia 4- 3 1 2 -1.36
321 A Long Beach State 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.21
322 H West Georgia 10- 6 4 2 1.64
324 H UCF 8- 4 4 -3 +++ 6.56
327 A Florida Gulf Coast 4- 5 -1 -2 0.98
329 A Sam Houston 8- 2 6 -1 +++ 7.35
331 H Florida State 3- 6 -3 -4 0.54
402 A Jacksonville 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.45
403 A Jacksonville 3- 4 -1 -2 0.55
404 A Jacksonville 3- 0 3 -2 ++ 4.55
410 A North Florida 0- 7 -7 -1 -- -5.63
411 H Queens University 2- 8 -6 4 --- -9.66
412 H Queens University 13- 3 10 4 +++ 6.34
414 A Florida State 2- 9 -7 -5 - -2.10
417 A North Florida 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.63
418 A North Florida 1- 2 -1 -1 0.37
419 A North Florida 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.37
421 H South Florida 5- 6 -1 -1 0.14
424 A West Georgia 13-10 3 1 1.99
425 A West Georgia 17-11 6 1 ++ 4.99
426 A West Georgia 13-11 2 1 0.99
429 A UCF 5- 6 -1 -4 + 2.91
501 H Florida Gulf Coast 1- 8 -7 -1 --- -6.37
502 H Florida Gulf Coast 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.37
503 H Florida Gulf Coast 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.37
505 H Bethune-Cookman 15- 2 13 2 +++ 11.23
509 H Jacksonville 4- 5 -1 0 -0.80
509 H Jacksonville 16- 6 10 0 +++ 10.20
510 H Jacksonville 9- 6 3 0 + 3.20
514 H South Carolina Upstate 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.47
515 H Charleston 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.33
516 A Queens University 2-12 -10 2 --- -12.31
519 A Central Arkansas 4- 6 -2 -1 -1.38
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Missouri State 1-12 -11 -3 --- -8.13 307 A Arkansas 1-13 -12 -5 --- -6.57 314 H North Florida 1-12 -11 0 --- -10.98 411 H Queens University 2- 8 -6 4 --- -9.66 501 H Florida Gulf Coast 1- 8 -7 -1 --- -6.37 516 A Queens University 2-12 -10 2 --- -12.31 214 H Ball State 2- 5 -3 2 -- -5.06 228 H Fordham 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.01 410 A North Florida 0- 7 -7 -1 -- -5.63 213 H Minnesota 5-11 -6 -4 - -2.10 215 H St. John's 7-11 -4 -1 - -3.29 218 H Mercer 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.09 315 H North Florida 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.98 317 A Florida 1-10 -9 -6 - -2.82 321 A Long Beach State 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.21 402 A Jacksonville 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.45 414 A Florida State 2- 9 -7 -5 - -2.10 502 H Florida Gulf Coast 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.37 514 H South Carolina Upstate 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.47 515 H Charleston 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.33 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Arkansas 4- 1 3 -5 +++ 8.43 324 H UCF 8- 4 4 -3 +++ 6.56 329 A Sam Houston 8- 2 6 -1 +++ 7.35 412 H Queens University 13- 3 10 4 +++ 6.34 505 H Bethune-Cookman 15- 2 13 2 +++ 11.23 509 H Jacksonville 16- 6 10 0 +++ 10.20 222 H Monmouth 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.64 313 H North Florida 7- 2 5 0 ++ 5.02 404 A Jacksonville 3- 0 3 -2 ++ 4.55 419 A North Florida 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.37 425 A West Georgia 17-11 6 1 ++ 4.99 217 A Southern Miss 2- 3 -1 -5 + 3.54 221 H Virginia 6- 5 1 -3 + 3.66 228 H Fordham 13- 7 6 3 + 2.99 311 H Prairie View A&M 16- 6 10 7 + 3.05 429 A UCF 5- 6 -1 -4 + 2.91 510 H Jacksonville 9- 6 3 0 + 3.20 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 5-11 -2.56 15.86 -0.68 0.54 -0.87
3 H Ball State ( 4-11, 91.4) 2- 5 -8.52 9.90 -0.68 0.54 -2.46
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 7-11 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.54 -1.72
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.54 -0.70
3 H Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 3- 8 -4.55 13.87 -0.68 0.54 -1.40
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 8- 7 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.54 11.90
3 H Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 6- 5 -3.80 14.63 -0.68 0.54 14.94
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 14- 8 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.54 11.71
3 H South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 1- 2 -4.93 13.50 -0.68 0.54 -1.50
3 H Fordham ( 3- 4, 90.4) 13- 7 -9.47 8.96 -0.68 0.54 8.87
3 H Fordham ( 3- 4, 90.4) 6- 7 -9.47 8.96 -0.68 0.54 -2.72
3 A Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 7- 8 -7.59 10.84 0.68 0.54 -1.85
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 4- 6 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.54 -0.94
3 H Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 1-12 -3.59 14.83 -0.68 0.54 -1.14
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 1-13 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.54 -0.46
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 4- 1 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.54 17.91
3 H Prairie View A ( 0- 8, 86.5) 16- 6 -13.41 5.02 -0.68 0.54 4.65
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 7- 2 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.54 12.12
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 1-12 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.54 -1.91
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 1- 4 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.54 -1.91
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 1-10 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.54 -0.26
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 4- 3 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 0.54 9.56
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 3- 6 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.54 -1.70
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 10- 6 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 0.54 9.56
3 H UCF (29-26, 96.0) 8- 4 -3.91 14.52 -0.68 0.54 14.83
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 4- 5 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.54 -1.38
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 8- 2 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.54 13.54
3 H Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 3- 6 -2.92 15.51 -0.68 0.54 -0.96
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 1- 5 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.54 -1.50
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 3- 4 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.54 -1.50
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 3- 0 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.54 13.76
3 A North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 0- 7 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.54 -1.54
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 2- 8 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.54 -2.89
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 13- 3 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.54 8.17
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 2- 9 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.54 -0.60
3 A North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 1- 3 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.54 -1.54
3 A North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 1- 2 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.54 -1.54
3 A North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 7- 3 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.54 13.56
3 H South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 5- 6 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.54 -1.61
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 13-10 -8.82 9.60 0.68 0.54 11.01
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 17-11 -8.82 9.60 0.68 0.54 11.01
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 13-11 -8.82 9.60 0.68 0.54 11.01
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 5- 6 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.54 -0.86
3 H Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 1- 8 -5.83 12.59 -0.68 0.54 -1.74
3 H Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 2- 6 -5.83 12.59 -0.68 0.54 -1.74
3 H Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 1- 2 -5.83 12.59 -0.68 0.54 -1.74
3 H Bethune-Cookma ( 8-10, 91.7) 15- 2 -8.23 10.20 -0.68 0.54 10.20
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 4- 5 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.54 -1.86
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 16- 6 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.54 12.31
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 9- 6 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.54 12.31
3 H South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 2- 7 -4.93 13.50 -0.68 0.54 -1.50
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 5- 8 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.54 -2.00
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 2-12 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.54 -2.53
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 4- 6 -7.19 11.24 0.68 0.54 -1.74
------
180.63
|
winning pts = 232.9340 losing points = -52.3057
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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