Southern
W-L: ( 2- 7) PR = 86.1320Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 1- 6 307 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 1-15 307 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 2- 9 331 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 6-16 428 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 5-15 520 H Jackson State SWAC ( 2- 5, 89.4) 4- 3 521 H Florida A&M SWAC ( 7- 5, 90.7) 6-15 522 H Texas Southern SWAC ( 1- 2, 88.0) 6- 4 523 H Florida A&M SWAC ( 7- 5, 90.7) 1- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 H Butler 1- 6 -5 -5 0.06
307 A South Florida 1-15 -14 -9 -- -4.88
307 A South Florida 2- 9 -7 -9 + 2.12
331 A LSU 6-16 -10 -12 1.55
428 A Louisiana 5-15 -10 -10 -0.38
520 H Jackson State 4- 3 1 -3 + 3.58
521 H Florida A&M 6-15 -9 -4 -- -5.11
522 H Texas Southern 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.16
523 H Florida A&M 1- 5 -4 -4 -0.11
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A South Florida 1-15 -14 -9 -- -4.88 521 H Florida A&M 6-15 -9 -4 -- -5.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A South Florida 2- 9 -7 -9 + 2.12 520 H Jackson State 4- 3 1 -3 + 3.58 522 H Texas Southern 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.16 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 1- 6 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 3.21 -13.99
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 1-15 -5.32 13.11 0.68 3.21 -7.46
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 2- 9 -5.32 13.11 0.68 3.21 -7.46
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 6-16 -2.89 15.53 0.68 3.21 -3.56
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 5-15 -4.82 13.61 0.68 3.21 -6.66
3 H Jackson State ( 2- 5, 89.4) 4- 3 -10.51 7.91 -0.68 3.21 46.51
3 H Florida A&M ( 7- 5, 90.7) 6-15 -9.20 9.23 -0.68 3.21 -15.87
3 H Texas Southern ( 1- 2, 88.0) 6- 4 -11.94 6.49 -0.68 3.21 37.37
3 H Florida A&M ( 7- 5, 90.7) 1- 5 -9.20 9.23 -0.68 3.21 -15.87
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13.01
|
winning pts = 83.8849 losing points = -70.8738
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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