UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Saint Joseph's
  
Saint Joseph's        
W-L: ( 3- 5) PR = 89.7147

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 0-11 408 A Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 11- 5 415 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 1-11 421 A Pennsylvania IVY ( 2- 9, 91.9) 8- 2 422 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 6-15 428 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 7- 8 521 H Rhode Island A10 ( 3-10, 90.3) 9-17 522 H George Mason A10 ( 5-11, 90.0) 14- 4

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Purdue                  0-11     -11    -6    --    -5.05
   408 A Towson                 11- 5       6    -2    +++    8.14
   415 H Washington              1-11     -10    -3    ---   -6.52
   421 A Pennsylvania            8- 2       6    -3    +++    8.89
   422 H Delaware                6-15      -9    -2    ---   -7.25
   428 A Villanova               7- 8      -1    -1           0.29
   521 H Rhode Island            9-17      -8     0    ---   -8.14
   522 H George Mason           14- 4      10     0    +++    9.63

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Washington              1-11     -10    -3    ---   -6.52
   422 H Delaware                6-15      -9    -2    ---   -7.25
   521 H Rhode Island            9-17      -8     0    ---   -8.14
   318 H Purdue                  0-11     -11    -6    --    -5.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Towson                 11- 5       6    -2    +++    8.14
   421 A Pennsylvania            8- 2       6    -3    +++    8.89
   522 H George Mason           14- 4      10     0    +++    9.63

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Purdue          (39-18, 96.3)     0-11       -3.56      14.87      -0.68         3.62            -7.65
   3 A Towson          (20-33, 91.2)    11- 5       -8.72       9.70       0.68         3.62            75.05
   3 H Washington      (24-32, 93.9)     1-11       -6.03      12.40      -0.68         3.62           -12.11
   3 A Pennsylvania    ( 2- 9, 91.9)     8- 2       -7.97      10.46       0.68         3.62            80.49
   3 H Delaware        (20-30, 92.1)     6-15       -7.76      10.67      -0.68         3.62           -15.25
   3 A Villanova       (15-31, 90.3)     7- 8       -9.57       8.85       0.68         3.62           -16.08
   3 H Rhode Island    ( 3-10, 90.3)     9-17       -9.65       8.78      -0.68         3.62           -18.66
   3 H George Mason    ( 5-11, 90.0)    14- 4       -9.88       8.55      -0.68         3.62            56.93
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       142.71

winning pts = 212.4663 losing points = -69.7526

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------