UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick St. John's
  
St. John's            
W-L: (35-26) PR = 94.1519

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Ball State MA ( 4-11, 91.4) 3- 4 214 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 0- 8 214 A Ball State MA ( 4-11, 91.4) 2- 8 215 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 11- 7 220 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 1- 0 221 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 1- 3 222 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 6-16 227 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 1- 3 228 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 0- 3 301 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 1- 7 304 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 2- 9 306 A Lindenwood OV ( 4- 4, 95.1) 2- 6 307 H UAlbany AE ( 1-10, 90.0) 5- 4 308 H UAlbany AE ( 1-10, 90.0) 4- 3 310 H Fairfield MAAC ( 6- 9, 93.0) 4- 6 311 H Marist MAAC ( 3-11, 91.7) 3- 1 313 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 8- 6 314 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 3- 2 315 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 9-10 318 H Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 4- 4 320 A UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 8- 1 321 H San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 11- 6 322 A UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 6-12 324 H Fairleigh Dickinson NE ( 3- 9, 88.7) 5-12 325 A Marist MAAC ( 3-11, 91.7) 15-10 327 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 3-12 328 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 3- 5 329 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 0- 4 331 H Wagner NE ( 2-14, 88.4) 11- 2 402 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 8- 2 404 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 15- 3 404 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 13-12 407 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 9- 7 410 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 12- 9 411 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 9- 0 412 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 7-10 414 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 10- 7 417 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 4- 0 418 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 6- 5 418 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 0-10 421 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 10- 5 424 A Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 12- 7 425 A Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 8- 6 426 A Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 6-16 428 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 12-10 501 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 10- 3 502 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 11- 3 503 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 5- 6 505 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 4- 7 508 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 8- 1 509 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 3- 0 510 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 2- 8 514 A Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 3- 5 515 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 7- 8 516 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 4- 1 521 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 4- 2 523 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 17- 6 524 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 5- 3 529 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 6- 5 531 A Northern Illinois MA ( 7- 4, 93.5) 21- 8 601 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 5- 4 606 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 0- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Ball State              3- 4      -1     2    -     -3.10
   214 H Minnesota               0- 8      -8    -3    --    -5.49
   214 A Ball State              2- 8      -6     2    ---   -8.10
   215 A Stetson                11- 7       4     1    +      3.29
   221 A Arizona State           1- 3      -2    -4    +      2.17
   222 A Arizona State           6-16     -10    -4    --    -5.83
   227 A Kentucky                1- 3      -2    -2           0.44
   228 A Kentucky                0- 3      -3    -2          -0.56
   301 H Duke                    1- 7      -6     0    ---   -6.33
   304 H Georgia                 2- 9      -7    -4    -     -2.88
   306 A Lindenwood              2- 6      -4    -2    -     -2.35
   307 H UAlbany                 5- 4       1     5    -     -3.83
   308 H UAlbany                 4- 3       1     5    -     -3.83
   310 H Fairfield               4- 6      -2     2    -     -3.80
   311 H Marist                  3- 1       2     3          -1.15
   313 A Charlotte               8- 6       2    -1    +      2.64
   314 A Charlotte               3- 2       1    -1           1.64
   315 A Charlotte               9-10      -1    -1          -0.36
   318 H Arizona State           4- 4       0    -3    +      2.81
   320 A UT Arlington            8- 1       7     0    +++    6.91
   321 H San Diego State        11- 6       5     2    +      3.10
   322 A UT Arlington            6-12      -6     0    ---   -6.09
   324 H Fairleigh Dickinson     5-12      -7     6    ---  -13.09
   325 A Marist                 15-10       5     2    +      3.20
   327 H California Baptist      3-12      -9    -2    ---   -7.34
   328 H California Baptist      3- 5      -2    -2          -0.34
   329 H California Baptist      0- 4      -4    -2    -     -2.34
   331 H Wagner                 11- 2       9     6    +      2.61
   402 A Seton Hall              8- 2       6     3    +      2.99
   404 A Seton Hall             15- 3      12     3    +++    8.99
   404 A Seton Hall             13-12       1     3    -     -2.01
   407 H Bellarmine              9- 7       2     4          -1.67
   410 A Virginia Tech          12- 9       3    -2    ++     4.82
   411 H Georgetown              9- 0       9     4    ++     5.29
   412 H Georgetown              7-10      -3     4    ---   -6.71
   414 H Hofstra                10- 7       3     2           0.63
   417 A UConn                   4- 0       4    -1    ++     4.88
   418 A UConn                   6- 5       1    -1           1.88
   418 A UConn                   0-10     -10    -1    ---   -9.12
   421 A Rutgers                10- 5       5     0    ++     5.42
   424 A Xavier                 12- 7       5     0    ++     5.12
   425 A Xavier                  8- 6       2     0    +      2.12
   426 A Xavier                  6-16     -10     0    ---   -9.88
   428 A Hofstra                12-10       2     1           0.98
   501 H Creighton              10- 3       7     0    +++    6.59
   502 H Creighton              11- 3       8     0    +++    7.59
   503 H Creighton               5- 6      -1     0          -1.41
   505 H Kansas State            4- 7      -3    -2          -1.21
   508 A Villanova               8- 1       7     3    +      3.85
   509 A Villanova               3- 0       3     3          -0.15
   510 A Villanova               2- 8      -6     3    ---   -9.15
   514 A Creighton               3- 5      -2    -1          -1.06
   515 A Northeastern            7- 8      -1    -1          -0.05
   516 H Butler                  4- 1       3     3           0.04
   521 H Creighton               4- 2       2     0           1.59
   523 H Xavier                 17- 6      11     1    +++    9.76
   524 H Creighton               5- 3       2     0           1.59
   529 A Florida State           6- 5       1    -4    ++     4.51
   531 A Northern Illinois      21- 8      13     0    +++   13.06
   601 H Florida State           5- 4       1    -2    +      3.16
   606 A Alabama                 0- 8      -8    -4    --    -4.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Ball State              2- 8      -6     2    ---   -8.10
   301 H Duke                    1- 7      -6     0    ---   -6.33
   322 A UT Arlington            6-12      -6     0    ---   -6.09
   324 H Fairleigh Dickinson     5-12      -7     6    ---  -13.09
   327 H California Baptist      3-12      -9    -2    ---   -7.34
   412 H Georgetown              7-10      -3     4    ---   -6.71
   418 A UConn                   0-10     -10    -1    ---   -9.12
   426 A Xavier                  6-16     -10     0    ---   -9.88
   510 A Villanova               2- 8      -6     3    ---   -9.15
   214 H Minnesota               0- 8      -8    -3    --    -5.49
   222 A Arizona State           6-16     -10    -4    --    -5.83
   606 A Alabama                 0- 8      -8    -4    --    -4.40
   213 A Ball State              3- 4      -1     2    -     -3.10
   304 H Georgia                 2- 9      -7    -4    -     -2.88
   306 A Lindenwood              2- 6      -4    -2    -     -2.35
   307 H UAlbany                 5- 4       1     5    -     -3.83
   308 H UAlbany                 4- 3       1     5    -     -3.83
   310 H Fairfield               4- 6      -2     2    -     -3.80
   329 H California Baptist      0- 4      -4    -2    -     -2.34
   404 A Seton Hall             13-12       1     3    -     -2.01

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A UT Arlington            8- 1       7     0    +++    6.91
   404 A Seton Hall             15- 3      12     3    +++    8.99
   501 H Creighton              10- 3       7     0    +++    6.59
   502 H Creighton              11- 3       8     0    +++    7.59
   523 H Xavier                 17- 6      11     1    +++    9.76
   531 A Northern Illinois      21- 8      13     0    +++   13.06
   410 A Virginia Tech          12- 9       3    -2    ++     4.82
   411 H Georgetown              9- 0       9     4    ++     5.29
   417 A UConn                   4- 0       4    -1    ++     4.88
   421 A Rutgers                10- 5       5     0    ++     5.42
   424 A Xavier                 12- 7       5     0    ++     5.12
   529 A Florida State           6- 5       1    -4    ++     4.51
   215 A Stetson                11- 7       4     1    +      3.29
   221 A Arizona State           1- 3      -2    -4    +      2.17
   313 A Charlotte               8- 6       2    -1    +      2.64
   318 H Arizona State           4- 4       0    -3    +      2.81
   321 H San Diego State        11- 6       5     2    +      3.10
   325 A Marist                 15-10       5     2    +      3.20
   331 H Wagner                 11- 2       9     6    +      2.61
   402 A Seton Hall              8- 2       6     3    +      2.99
   425 A Xavier                  8- 6       2     0    +      2.12
   508 A Villanova               8- 1       7     3    +      3.85
   601 H Florida State           5- 4       1    -2    +      3.16

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Ball State      ( 4-11, 91.4)     3- 4       -8.52       9.90       0.68         0.47            -1.83
   3 H Minnesota       (31-21, 97.3)     0- 8       -2.56      15.86      -0.68         0.47            -0.76
   3 A Ball State      ( 4-11, 91.4)     2- 8       -8.52       9.90       0.68         0.47            -1.83
   3 A Stetson         (20-34, 92.8)    11- 7       -7.14      11.29       0.68         0.47            11.16
   3 H Arizona         (17-36, 93.8)     1- 0       -6.08      12.35      -0.68         0.47            10.89
   3 A Arizona State   (38-21, 97.6)     1- 3       -2.26      16.17       0.68         0.47            -0.37
   3 A Arizona State   (38-21, 97.6)     6-16       -2.26      16.17       0.68         0.47            -0.37
   3 A Kentucky        (33-25, 95.9)     1- 3       -3.98      14.44       0.68         0.47            -0.77
   3 A Kentucky        (33-25, 95.9)     0- 3       -3.98      14.44       0.68         0.47            -0.77
   3 H Duke            (29-28, 94.5)     1- 7       -5.40      13.02      -0.68         0.47            -1.42
   3 H Georgia         (52-14, 98.9)     2- 9       -0.95      17.47      -0.68         0.47            -0.38
   3 A Lindenwood      ( 4- 4, 95.1)     2- 6       -4.77      13.66       0.68         0.47            -0.95
   3 H UAlbany         ( 1-10, 90.0)     5- 4       -9.91       8.52      -0.68         0.47             7.32
   3 H UAlbany         ( 1-10, 90.0)     4- 3       -9.91       8.52      -0.68         0.47             7.32
   3 H Fairfield       ( 6- 9, 93.0)     4- 6       -6.87      11.56      -0.68         0.47            -1.76
   3 H Marist          ( 3-11, 91.7)     3- 1       -8.22      10.21      -0.68         0.47             8.89
   3 A Charlotte       (25-31, 94.1)     8- 6       -5.79      12.64       0.68         0.47            12.42
   3 A Charlotte       (25-31, 94.1)     3- 2       -5.79      12.64       0.68         0.47            12.42
   3 A Charlotte       (25-31, 94.1)     9-10       -5.79      12.64       0.68         0.47            -1.19
   3 H Arizona State   (38-21, 97.6)     4- 4       -2.26      16.17      -0.68         0.47             0.00
   3 A UT Arlington    (11-14, 93.4)     8- 1       -6.51      11.92       0.68         0.47            11.75
   3 H San Diego Stat  (15-16, 92.9)    11- 6       -6.97      11.46      -0.68         0.47            10.06
   3 A UT Arlington    (11-14, 93.4)     6-12       -6.51      11.92       0.68         0.47            -1.36
   3 H Fairleigh Dick  ( 3- 9, 88.7)     5-12      -11.16       7.27      -0.68         0.47            -2.76
   3 A Marist          ( 3-11, 91.7)    15-10       -8.22      10.21       0.68         0.47            10.15
   3 H California Bap  (23- 9, 96.5)     3-12       -3.42      15.01      -0.68         0.47            -0.95
   3 H California Bap  (23- 9, 96.5)     3- 5       -3.42      15.01      -0.68         0.47            -0.95
   3 H California Bap  (23- 9, 96.5)     0- 4       -3.42      15.01      -0.68         0.47            -0.95
   3 H Wagner          ( 2-14, 88.4)    11- 2      -11.46       6.96      -0.68         0.47             5.87
   3 A Seton Hall      (16-31, 90.5)     8- 2       -9.44       8.99       0.68         0.47             9.02
   3 A Seton Hall      (16-31, 90.5)    15- 3       -9.44       8.99       0.68         0.47             9.02
   3 A Seton Hall      (16-31, 90.5)    13-12       -9.44       8.99       0.68         0.47             9.02
   3 H Bellarmine      (18-33, 91.2)     9- 7       -8.74       9.69      -0.68         0.47             8.41
   3 A Virginia Tech   (28-28, 95.3)    12- 9       -4.61      13.82       0.68         0.47            13.52
   3 H Georgetown      (25-29, 91.1)     9- 0       -8.78       9.65      -0.68         0.47             8.37
   3 H Georgetown      (25-29, 91.1)     7-10       -8.78       9.65      -0.68         0.47            -2.21
   3 H Hofstra         (19-33, 92.5)    10- 7       -7.44      10.99      -0.68         0.47             9.62
   3 A UConn           (28-29, 94.4)     4- 0       -5.54      12.88       0.68         0.47            12.65
   3 A UConn           (28-29, 94.4)     6- 5       -5.54      12.88       0.68         0.47            12.65
   3 A UConn           (28-29, 94.4)     0-10       -5.54      12.88       0.68         0.47            -1.14
   3 A Rutgers         (25-31, 93.9)    10- 5       -6.01      12.42       0.68         0.47            12.22
   3 A Xavier          (27-30, 93.6)    12- 7       -6.31      12.12       0.68         0.47            11.94
   3 A Xavier          (27-30, 93.6)     8- 6       -6.31      12.12       0.68         0.47            11.94
   3 A Xavier          (27-30, 93.6)     6-16       -6.31      12.12       0.68         0.47            -1.31
   3 A Hofstra         (19-33, 92.5)    12-10       -7.44      10.99       0.68         0.47            10.88
   3 H Creighton       (32-25, 94.4)    10- 3       -5.48      12.94      -0.68         0.47            11.44
   3 H Creighton       (32-25, 94.4)    11- 3       -5.48      12.94      -0.68         0.47            11.44
   3 H Creighton       (32-25, 94.4)     5- 6       -5.48      12.94      -0.68         0.47            -1.44
   3 H Kansas State    (30-27, 96.6)     4- 7       -3.28      15.14      -0.68         0.47            -0.92
   3 A Villanova       (15-31, 90.3)     8- 1       -9.57       8.85       0.68         0.47             8.89
   3 A Villanova       (15-31, 90.3)     3- 0       -9.57       8.85       0.68         0.47             8.89
   3 A Villanova       (15-31, 90.3)     2- 8       -9.57       8.85       0.68         0.47            -2.08
   3 A Creighton       (32-25, 94.4)     3- 5       -5.48      12.94       0.68         0.47            -1.12
   3 A Northeastern    (33-25, 94.4)     7- 8       -5.47      12.95       0.68         0.47            -1.12
   3 H Butler          (23-30, 91.9)     4- 1       -8.03      10.39      -0.68         0.47             9.07
   3 H Creighton       (32-25, 94.4)     4- 2       -5.48      12.94      -0.68         0.47            11.44
   3 H Xavier          (27-30, 93.6)    17- 6       -6.31      12.12      -0.68         0.47            10.68
   3 H Creighton       (32-25, 94.4)     5- 3       -5.48      12.94      -0.68         0.47            11.44
   3 A Florida State   (36-22, 97.0)     6- 5       -2.92      15.51       0.68         0.47            15.10
   3 A Northern Illin  ( 7- 4, 93.5)    21- 8       -6.36      12.07       0.68         0.47            11.89
   3 H Florida State   (36-22, 97.0)     5- 4       -2.92      15.51      -0.68         0.47            13.84
   3 A Alabama         (42-20, 97.1)     0- 8       -2.82      15.61       0.68         0.47            -0.50
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       340.38

winning pts = 371.5977 losing points = -31.2169

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------