Stony Brook
W-L: (22-27) PR = 92.4601Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 0- 4 213 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 8- 9 215 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 5-12 220 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 5- 8 220 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 5- 8 221 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 5- 6 222 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 3-21 227 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 11- 1 228 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 9-10 302 H Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 7- 6 304 H George Washington A10 ( 4- 3, 91.4) 1-10 306 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 0- 5 308 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 7- 6 310 H Siena MAAC ( 1- 7, 88.3) 8-14 313 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 3- 1 314 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 4- 5 315 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 2- 6 320 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 2-10 321 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 5- 7 322 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 10- 7 324 H Siena MAAC ( 1- 7, 88.3) 12-11 327 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 3- 1 328 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 5-10 329 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 3- 4 331 A New Haven NE ( 0- 9, 86.9) 15-12 402 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 7- 6 403 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 4- 2 404 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 6- 8 407 H Pennsylvania IVY ( 2- 9, 91.9) 5-13 410 H Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 5- 4 411 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 5- 0 412 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 12-11 414 H Manhattan MAAC ( 1- 2, 88.5) 12- 1 417 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 4- 8 418 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 3- 1 418 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 5- 2 422 A Columbia IVY ( 4-11, 91.4) 4- 8 424 A Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 15- 5 425 A Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 7- 9 426 A Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 10- 0 428 A Fairfield MAAC ( 6- 9, 93.0) 12-10 502 H Massachusetts at Lowe AE ( 6- 9, 90.5) 11- 1 503 H Massachusetts at Lowe AE ( 6- 9, 90.5) 8- 4 508 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 3-12 509 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 0-15 510 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 4- 7 514 A Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 0- 7 515 A Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 1- 2 516 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 23- 0
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Arkansas State 0- 4 -4 -4 -0.26
213 A Arkansas State 8- 9 -1 -4 + 2.74
215 A Arkansas State 5-12 -7 -4 - -3.26
220 H UAB 5- 8 -3 -2 -1.26
220 H Texas 5- 8 -3 -6 + 3.33
221 A Georgia Tech 5- 6 -1 -8 +++ 7.12
222 A Georgia Tech 3-21 -18 -8 -- -5.88
227 A Florida International 11- 1 10 -1 +++ 10.99
228 A Florida International 9-10 -1 -1 -0.01
302 H Baylor 7- 6 1 -2 + 2.59
304 H George Washington 1-10 -9 2 --- -10.73
306 A Memphis 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.41
308 H Northeastern 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.29
310 H Siena 8-14 -6 5 --- -10.81
313 A Charleston 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.33
314 A Charleston 4- 5 -1 -1 0.33
315 A Charleston 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.67
320 A Monmouth 2-10 -8 -1 --- -6.71
321 H Georgetown 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.02
322 A Monmouth 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.29
324 H Siena 12-11 1 5 - -3.81
327 H Towson 3- 1 2 2 0.04
328 H Towson 5-10 -5 2 --- -6.96
329 H Towson 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.96
331 A New Haven 15-12 3 5 -1.93
402 H UNC Wilmington 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.18
403 H UNC Wilmington 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.18
404 H UNC Wilmington 6- 8 -2 -1 -0.82
407 H Pennsylvania 5-13 -8 1 --- -9.21
410 H Arizona State 5- 4 1 -5 ++ 5.51
411 A Hofstra 5- 0 5 -1 ++ 5.68
412 A Hofstra 12-11 1 -1 1.68
414 H Manhattan 12- 1 11 5 +++ 6.39
417 H Monmouth 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.06
418 H Monmouth 3- 1 2 0 1.94
418 H Monmouth 5- 2 3 0 + 2.94
422 A Columbia 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.37
424 A Towson 15- 5 10 1 +++ 9.39
425 A Towson 7- 9 -2 1 - -2.61
426 A Towson 10- 0 10 1 +++ 9.39
428 A Fairfield 12-10 2 -1 + 3.25
502 H Massachusetts at Lowe 11- 1 10 3 +++ 7.38
503 H Massachusetts at Lowe 8- 4 4 3 1.38
508 A Northeastern 3-12 -9 -3 --- -6.36
509 A Northeastern 0-15 -15 -3 --- -11.36
510 A Northeastern 4- 7 -3 -3 -0.36
514 A Butler 0- 7 -7 0 --- -6.92
515 A Butler 1- 2 -1 0 -0.92
516 H Hofstra 23- 0 23 1 +++ 13.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H George Washington 1-10 -9 2 --- -10.73 310 H Siena 8-14 -6 5 --- -10.81 320 A Monmouth 2-10 -8 -1 --- -6.71 328 H Towson 5-10 -5 2 --- -6.96 407 H Pennsylvania 5-13 -8 1 --- -9.21 508 A Northeastern 3-12 -9 -3 --- -6.36 509 A Northeastern 0-15 -15 -3 --- -11.36 514 A Butler 0- 7 -7 0 --- -6.92 222 A Georgia Tech 3-21 -18 -8 -- -5.88 321 H Georgetown 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.02 417 H Monmouth 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.06 422 A Columbia 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.37 215 A Arkansas State 5-12 -7 -4 - -3.26 306 A Memphis 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.41 315 A Charleston 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.67 324 H Siena 12-11 1 5 - -3.81 329 H Towson 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.96 425 A Towson 7- 9 -2 1 - -2.61 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Georgia Tech 5- 6 -1 -8 +++ 7.12 227 A Florida International 11- 1 10 -1 +++ 10.99 414 H Manhattan 12- 1 11 5 +++ 6.39 424 A Towson 15- 5 10 1 +++ 9.39 426 A Towson 10- 0 10 1 +++ 9.39 502 H Massachusetts at Lowe 11- 1 10 3 +++ 7.38 516 H Hofstra 23- 0 23 1 +++ 13.33 322 A Monmouth 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.29 410 H Arizona State 5- 4 1 -5 ++ 5.51 411 A Hofstra 5- 0 5 -1 ++ 5.68 213 A Arkansas State 8- 9 -1 -4 + 2.74 220 H Texas 5- 8 -3 -6 + 3.33 302 H Baylor 7- 6 1 -2 + 2.59 308 H Northeastern 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.29 313 A Charleston 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.33 402 H UNC Wilmington 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.18 403 H UNC Wilmington 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.18 418 H Monmouth 5- 2 3 0 + 2.94 428 A Fairfield 12-10 2 -1 + 3.25 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 0- 4 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.59 -1.09
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 8- 9 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.59 -1.09
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 5-12 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.59 -1.09
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 5- 8 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.59 -1.68
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 5- 8 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.59 -0.33
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 5- 6 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.59 -0.20
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 3-21 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.59 -0.20
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 11- 1 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.59 14.14
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 9-10 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.59 -1.90
3 H Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 7- 6 -5.18 13.25 -0.68 0.59 14.84
3 H George Washing ( 4- 3, 91.4) 1-10 -8.49 9.93 -0.68 0.59 -2.71
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 0- 5 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.59 -1.43
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 7- 6 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.59 14.49
3 H Siena ( 1- 7, 88.3) 8-14 -11.57 6.85 -0.68 0.59 -3.62
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 3- 1 -6.79 11.64 0.68 0.59 14.53
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 4- 5 -6.79 11.64 0.68 0.59 -1.80
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 2- 6 -6.79 11.64 0.68 0.59 -1.80
3 A Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 2-10 -6.82 11.60 0.68 0.59 -1.81
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 5- 7 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 0.59 -2.79
3 A Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 10- 7 -6.82 11.60 0.68 0.59 14.50
3 H Siena ( 1- 7, 88.3) 12-11 -11.57 6.85 -0.68 0.59 7.29
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 3- 1 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.59 10.66
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 5-10 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.59 -2.77
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 3- 4 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.59 -2.77
3 A New Haven ( 0- 9, 86.9) 15-12 -13.05 5.38 0.68 0.59 7.15
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 7- 6 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.59 14.36
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 4- 2 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.59 14.36
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 6- 8 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.59 -1.85
3 H Pennsylvania ( 2- 9, 91.9) 5-13 -7.97 10.46 -0.68 0.59 -2.55
3 H Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 5- 4 -2.26 16.17 -0.68 0.59 18.29
3 A Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 5- 0 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.59 13.77
3 A Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 12-11 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.59 13.77
3 H Manhattan ( 1- 2, 88.5) 12- 1 -11.38 7.05 -0.68 0.59 7.53
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 4- 8 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.59 -2.21
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 3- 1 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.59 12.90
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 5- 2 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.59 12.90
3 A Columbia ( 4-11, 91.4) 4- 8 -8.49 9.94 0.68 0.59 -2.30
3 A Towson (20-33, 91.2) 15- 5 -8.72 9.70 0.68 0.59 12.25
3 A Towson (20-33, 91.2) 7- 9 -8.72 9.70 0.68 0.59 -2.37
3 A Towson (20-33, 91.2) 10- 0 -8.72 9.70 0.68 0.59 12.25
3 A Fairfield ( 6- 9, 93.0) 12-10 -6.87 11.56 0.68 0.59 14.44
3 H Massachusetts ( 6- 9, 90.5) 11- 1 -9.38 9.04 -0.68 0.59 9.88
3 H Massachusetts ( 6- 9, 90.5) 8- 4 -9.38 9.04 -0.68 0.59 9.88
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 3-12 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.59 -1.42
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 0-15 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.59 -1.42
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 4- 7 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.59 -1.42
3 A Butler (23-30, 91.9) 0- 7 -8.03 10.39 0.68 0.59 -2.17
3 A Butler (23-30, 91.9) 1- 2 -8.03 10.39 0.68 0.59 -2.17
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 23- 0 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.59 12.17
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227.36
|
winning pts = 276.3377 losing points = -48.9818
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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