St. Thomas
W-L: ( 1- 8) PR = 89.8946Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 5-16 307 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 8- 9 308 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 13- 2 310 A Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 2- 7 325 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 5-15 414 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 2-24 422 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 5-15 428 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 1-12 505 A Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 4-14
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 H Louisville 5-16 -11 -6 -- -5.37
307 A Kansas 8- 9 -1 -8 +++ 6.92
308 A Kansas 13- 2 11 -8 +++ 18.92
310 A Iowa 2- 7 -5 -7 1.61
325 A Minnesota 5-15 -10 -8 -1.88
414 H Minnesota 2-24 -22 -7 --- -7.23
422 A Northwestern 5-15 -10 -3 --- -6.70
428 A Minnesota 1-12 -11 -8 - -2.88
505 A Iowa 4-14 -10 -7 - -3.39
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 H Minnesota 2-24 -22 -7 --- -7.23 422 A Northwestern 5-15 -10 -3 --- -6.70 306 H Louisville 5-16 -11 -6 -- -5.37 428 A Minnesota 1-12 -11 -8 - -2.88 505 A Iowa 4-14 -10 -7 - -3.39 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Kansas 8- 9 -1 -8 +++ 6.92 308 A Kansas 13- 2 11 -8 +++ 18.92 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 5-16 -3.70 14.73 -0.68 3.21 -7.03
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 8- 9 -2.76 15.66 0.68 3.21 -3.35
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 13- 2 -2.76 15.66 0.68 3.21 105.02
3 A Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 2- 7 -4.07 14.36 0.68 3.21 -5.45
3 A Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 5-15 -2.56 15.86 0.68 3.21 -3.03
3 H Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 2-24 -2.56 15.86 -0.68 3.21 -5.20
3 A Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 5-15 -7.38 11.04 0.68 3.21 -10.78
3 A Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 1-12 -2.56 15.86 0.68 3.21 -3.03
3 A Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 4-14 -4.07 14.36 0.68 3.21 -5.45
------
61.70
|
winning pts = 105.0183 losing points = -43.3221
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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