Texas A&M
W-L: (40-18) PR = 98.9925Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 15- 6 214 H Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 23- 7 215 H Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 7- 1 217 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 9-12, 93.6) 8- 3 220 A UIC MV ( 7-12, 92.6) 1- 2 221 H Pennsylvania IVY ( 2- 9, 91.9) 2- 1 222 H Pennsylvania IVY ( 2- 9, 91.9) 7- 1 224 H Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 25- 5 227 H Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 10- 0 228 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 1-11 301 H Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 9- 3 303 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 11- 5 306 A Canisius MAAC ( 4- 7, 90.3) 6- 7 306 A High Point BSO ( 8-12, 93.3) 10- 7 307 H Oakland HL ( 4-13, 91.1) 12- 1 310 H Stephen F. Austin SL ( 1- 7, 90.8) 14- 1 313 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 7- 8 314 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 9- 5 315 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 11-12 317 A Northern Colorado BS ( 2- 7, 89.1) 9- 2 320 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 4- 9 321 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 2- 6 322 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 18- 5 324 H Houston Christian SL ( 3-12, 92.6) 5- 1 327 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 11- 9 328 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 14- 6 329 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 14- 3 331 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 16- 2 402 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 8-14 403 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 8- 4 403 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 12- 0 407 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 8- 9 410 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 9- 3 411 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 11- 4 414 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 10- 2 417 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 10- 4 418 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 7- 2 419 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 5- 2 424 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 2- 9 425 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 8- 4 426 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 5- 1 428 H Tarleton State WAC ( 7-10, 94.8) 9- 7 502 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 4- 5 502 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 5-18 503 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 4- 3 505 H Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 0- 8, 86.5) 16- 7 508 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 3- 5 509 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 5- 6 509 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 18- 5 514 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 11-12 515 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 11- 6 516 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 7- 6 522 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 0- 7 529 H Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 7- 5 530 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 17- 2 530 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 17- 2 531 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 3-14 601 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 1- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Tennessee Tech 15- 6 9 10 -0.69
214 H Tennessee Tech 23- 7 16 10 ++ 4.31
215 H Tennessee Tech 7- 1 6 10 - -3.69
217 A Abilene Christian 8- 3 5 5 0.31
220 A UIC 1- 2 -1 6 --- -6.69
221 H Pennsylvania 2- 1 1 8 --- -6.74
222 H Pennsylvania 7- 1 6 8 -1.74
224 H Lamar 25- 5 20 6 +++ 7.60
227 H Virginia Tech 10- 0 10 4 ++ 5.63
228 A UCLA 1-11 -10 0 --- -9.90
301 H Arizona State 9- 3 6 2 + 3.97
303 A Jacksonville State 11- 5 6 1 ++ 4.77
306 A Canisius 6- 7 -1 8 --- -9.05
306 A High Point 10- 7 3 5 - -2.04
307 H Oakland 12- 1 11 9 + 2.47
310 H Stephen F. Austin 14- 1 13 9 ++ 4.15
313 A Oklahoma 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.26
314 A Oklahoma 9- 5 4 1 + 2.74
315 A Oklahoma 11-12 -1 1 - -2.26
317 A Northern Colorado 9- 2 7 9 - -2.18
320 H Georgia 4- 9 -5 1 -- -5.72
321 A Florida Gulf Coast 2- 6 -4 4 --- -8.25
322 H Georgia 18- 5 13 1 +++ 12.28
324 H Houston Christian 5- 1 4 7 - -3.08
327 A Missouri 11- 9 2 4 -1.82
328 A Missouri 14- 6 8 4 ++ 4.18
329 A Missouri 14- 3 11 4 +++ 7.18
331 H Sam Houston 16- 2 14 6 +++ 7.77
402 H Vanderbilt 8-14 -6 3 --- -8.55
403 H Vanderbilt 8- 4 4 3 1.45
403 H Vanderbilt 12- 0 12 3 +++ 9.45
407 A Texas State 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.30
410 A Cal Poly 9- 3 6 3 + 2.98
411 H Texas 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.79
414 H Houston 10- 2 8 5 + 2.93
417 A LSU 10- 4 6 1 ++ 4.69
418 A LSU 7- 2 5 1 + 3.69
419 A LSU 5- 2 3 1 1.69
424 A Florida 2- 9 -7 0 --- -7.05
425 A Florida 8- 4 4 0 + 3.95
426 A Florida 5- 1 4 0 + 3.95
428 H Tarleton State 9- 7 2 5 - -2.84
502 H Auburn 4- 5 -1 1 -1.79
502 H Auburn 5-18 -13 1 --- -13.79
503 H Auburn 4- 3 1 1 0.21
505 H Prairie View A&M 16- 7 9 13 -- -4.17
508 A Ole Miss 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.65
509 A Ole Miss 5- 6 -1 1 -1.65
509 A Ole Miss 18- 5 13 1 +++ 12.35
514 A Nebraska 11-12 -1 1 - -2.27
515 A Jacksonville State 11- 6 5 1 + 3.77
516 H Mississippi State 7- 6 1 0 0.67
522 H Auburn 0- 7 -7 1 --- -7.79
529 H Lamar 7- 5 2 6 -- -4.40
530 A Texas State 17- 2 15 3 +++ 10.70
530 A Texas State 17- 2 15 3 +++ 10.70
531 A USC 3-14 -11 1 --- -11.82
601 H USC 1- 7 -6 2 --- -8.17
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A UIC 1- 2 -1 6 --- -6.69 221 H Pennsylvania 2- 1 1 8 --- -6.74 228 A UCLA 1-11 -10 0 --- -9.90 306 A Canisius 6- 7 -1 8 --- -9.05 321 A Florida Gulf Coast 2- 6 -4 4 --- -8.25 402 H Vanderbilt 8-14 -6 3 --- -8.55 424 A Florida 2- 9 -7 0 --- -7.05 502 H Auburn 5-18 -13 1 --- -13.79 522 H Auburn 0- 7 -7 1 --- -7.79 531 A USC 3-14 -11 1 --- -11.82 601 H USC 1- 7 -6 2 --- -8.17 320 H Georgia 4- 9 -5 1 -- -5.72 407 A Texas State 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.30 505 H Prairie View A&M 16- 7 9 13 -- -4.17 529 H Lamar 7- 5 2 6 -- -4.40 215 H Tennessee Tech 7- 1 6 10 - -3.69 306 A High Point 10- 7 3 5 - -2.04 313 A Oklahoma 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.26 315 A Oklahoma 11-12 -1 1 - -2.26 317 A Northern Colorado 9- 2 7 9 - -2.18 324 H Houston Christian 5- 1 4 7 - -3.08 428 H Tarleton State 9- 7 2 5 - -2.84 508 A Ole Miss 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.65 514 A Nebraska 11-12 -1 1 - -2.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Lamar 25- 5 20 6 +++ 7.60 322 H Georgia 18- 5 13 1 +++ 12.28 329 A Missouri 14- 3 11 4 +++ 7.18 331 H Sam Houston 16- 2 14 6 +++ 7.77 403 H Vanderbilt 12- 0 12 3 +++ 9.45 411 H Texas 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.79 509 A Ole Miss 18- 5 13 1 +++ 12.35 530 A Texas State 17- 2 15 3 +++ 10.70 530 A Texas State 17- 2 15 3 +++ 10.70 214 H Tennessee Tech 23- 7 16 10 ++ 4.31 227 H Virginia Tech 10- 0 10 4 ++ 5.63 303 A Jacksonville State 11- 5 6 1 ++ 4.77 310 H Stephen F. Austin 14- 1 13 9 ++ 4.15 328 A Missouri 14- 6 8 4 ++ 4.18 417 A LSU 10- 4 6 1 ++ 4.69 301 H Arizona State 9- 3 6 2 + 3.97 307 H Oakland 12- 1 11 9 + 2.47 314 A Oklahoma 9- 5 4 1 + 2.74 410 A Cal Poly 9- 3 6 3 + 2.98 414 H Houston 10- 2 8 5 + 2.93 418 A LSU 7- 2 5 1 + 3.69 425 A Florida 8- 4 4 0 + 3.95 426 A Florida 5- 1 4 0 + 3.95 515 A Jacksonville State 11- 6 5 1 + 3.77 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Tennessee Tech ( 5-13, 90.0) 15- 6 -9.92 8.51 -0.68 0.50 7.81
3 H Tennessee Tech ( 5-13, 90.0) 23- 7 -9.92 8.51 -0.68 0.50 7.81
3 H Tennessee Tech ( 5-13, 90.0) 7- 1 -9.92 8.51 -0.68 0.50 7.81
3 A Abilene Christ ( 9-12, 93.6) 8- 3 -6.27 12.15 0.68 0.50 12.79
3 A UIC ( 7-12, 92.6) 1- 2 -7.27 11.16 0.68 0.50 -1.64
3 H Pennsylvania ( 2- 9, 91.9) 2- 1 -7.97 10.46 -0.68 0.50 9.75
3 H Pennsylvania ( 2- 9, 91.9) 7- 1 -7.97 10.46 -0.68 0.50 9.75
3 H Lamar (11-13, 93.3) 25- 5 -6.64 11.79 -0.68 0.50 11.08
3 H Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 10- 0 -4.61 13.82 -0.68 0.50 13.11
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 1-11 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.50 -0.20
3 H Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 9- 3 -2.26 16.17 -0.68 0.50 15.45
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 11- 5 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.50 16.24
3 A Canisius ( 4- 7, 90.3) 6- 7 -9.64 8.79 0.68 0.50 -2.23
3 A High Point ( 8-12, 93.3) 10- 7 -6.62 11.80 0.68 0.50 12.45
3 H Oakland ( 4-13, 91.1) 12- 1 -8.76 9.67 -0.68 0.50 8.97
3 H Stephen F. Aus ( 1- 7, 90.8) 14- 1 -9.08 9.34 -0.68 0.50 8.64
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 7- 8 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.50 -0.54
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 9- 5 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.50 16.22
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 11-12 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.50 -0.54
3 A Northern Color ( 2- 7, 89.1) 9- 2 -10.76 7.66 0.68 0.50 8.31
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 4- 9 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.50 -0.41
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 2- 6 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.50 -1.29
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 18- 5 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.50 16.75
3 H Houston Christ ( 3-12, 92.6) 5- 1 -7.31 11.12 -0.68 0.50 10.41
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 11- 9 -5.40 13.03 0.68 0.50 13.67
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 14- 6 -5.40 13.03 0.68 0.50 13.67
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 14- 3 -5.40 13.03 0.68 0.50 13.67
3 H Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 16- 2 -6.46 11.97 -0.68 0.50 11.26
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 8-14 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.50 -0.86
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 8- 4 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.50 14.93
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 12- 0 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.50 14.93
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 8- 9 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.50 -1.05
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 9- 3 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.50 14.46
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 11- 4 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.50 17.27
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 10- 2 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.50 12.41
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 10- 4 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.50 16.16
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 7- 2 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.50 16.16
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 5- 2 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.50 16.16
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 2- 9 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.50 -0.24
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 8- 4 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.50 17.42
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 5- 1 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.50 17.42
3 H Tarleton State ( 7-10, 94.8) 9- 7 -5.07 13.35 -0.68 0.50 12.64
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 4- 5 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.50 -0.42
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 5-18 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.50 -0.42
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 4- 3 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.50 16.68
3 H Prairie View A ( 0- 8, 86.5) 16- 7 -13.41 5.02 -0.68 0.50 4.33
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 3- 5 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.50 -0.39
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 5- 6 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.50 -0.39
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 18- 5 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.50 16.83
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 11-12 -2.86 15.57 0.68 0.50 -0.54
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 11- 6 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.50 16.24
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 7- 6 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.50 17.14
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 0- 7 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.50 -0.42
3 H Lamar (11-13, 93.3) 7- 5 -6.64 11.79 -0.68 0.50 11.08
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 17- 2 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.50 14.18
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 17- 2 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.50 14.18
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 3-14 -2.41 16.02 0.68 0.50 -0.43
3 H USC (43-22, 97.5) 1- 7 -2.41 16.02 -0.68 0.50 -0.77
------
513.49
|
winning pts = 526.2783 losing points = -12.7910
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------