Texas
W-L: (49-13) PR = 99.4625Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 12- 2 214 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 6- 4 215 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 9- 1 217 A Charleston Southern BSO ( 9- 9, 93.4) 14-12 220 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 8- 5 221 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 3- 1 222 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 4- 0 224 H UT Rio Grande Valley SL ( 8-10, 94.8) 14- 0 227 H Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 8- 1 228 H Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 5- 2 301 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 10- 7 303 A Dallas Baptist 16- 0 306 A Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 14- 2 307 H South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 11- 9 308 H South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 13- 3 310 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 15- 4 313 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 8- 9 314 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 11- 2 315 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 8- 2 317 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 1- 3 320 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 3- 4 321 H Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 7- 4 322 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 5- 0 324 A Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 7- 9 326 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 14- 0 327 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 4- 3 328 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 5- 4 331 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 10- 8 402 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 1- 9 403 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 5- 3 404 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 4- 1 407 H Incarnate Word SL ( 2- 4, 91.9) 16- 4 410 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 8- 2 411 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 4-11 412 A Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 8- 3 414 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 4- 6, 93.9) 14- 7 417 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 10- 2 418 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 3- 1 419 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 1- 2 424 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 11- 4 425 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 0- 6 426 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 4- 3 428 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 15-14 501 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 3- 1 502 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 4- 7 503 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 11- 6 505 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 11- 8 508 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 1- 5 509 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 9-14 510 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 13- 6 514 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 6- 0 515 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 11- 5 516 H Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 12- 7 522 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 1- 8 529 H Holy Cross PAT ( 7-12, 91.1) 19- 1 530 A Tarleton State WAC ( 7-10, 94.8) 16- 2 530 A Tarleton State WAC ( 7-10, 94.8) 16- 2 531 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 6- 4 606 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 11- 3 607 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 6- 5 615 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 14- 2 616 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 0- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H UC Davis 12- 2 10 6 + 3.71
214 H UC Davis 6- 4 2 6 -- -4.29
215 H UC Davis 9- 1 8 6 1.71
217 A Charleston Southern 14-12 2 5 - -3.41
220 A Stony Brook 8- 5 3 6 - -3.33
221 H Michigan State 3- 1 2 5 - -3.10
222 H Michigan State 4- 0 4 5 -1.10
224 H UT Rio Grande Valley 14- 0 14 5 +++ 8.63
227 H Coastal Carolina 8- 1 7 5 + 2.34
228 H Baylor 5- 2 3 5 - -2.42
301 H Long Beach State 10- 7 3 7 -- -4.26
306 A Evansville 14- 2 12 7 ++ 4.70
307 H South Carolina Upstate 11- 9 2 5 - -3.17
308 H South Carolina Upstate 13- 3 10 5 ++ 4.83
310 A Texas State 15- 4 11 4 +++ 7.23
313 H Ole Miss 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.47
314 H Ole Miss 11- 2 9 2 +++ 6.53
315 H Ole Miss 8- 2 6 2 + 3.53
317 A Alabama 1- 3 -2 2 - -3.71
320 A Auburn 3- 4 -1 0 -0.91
321 H Tennessee 7- 4 3 3 -0.45
322 A Auburn 5- 0 5 0 ++ 5.09
324 A Houston 7- 9 -2 4 --- -6.19
326 H Oklahoma 14- 0 14 3 +++ 10.92
327 H Oklahoma 4- 3 1 3 - -2.08
328 H Oklahoma 5- 4 1 3 - -2.08
331 H Texas State 10- 8 2 5 - -3.12
402 A South Carolina 1- 9 -8 4 --- -12.24
403 A South Carolina 5- 3 2 4 - -2.24
404 A South Carolina 4- 1 3 4 -1.24
407 H Incarnate Word 16- 4 12 8 + 3.78
410 H Houston 8- 2 6 6 0.46
411 A Texas A&M 4-11 -7 0 --- -6.79
412 A Cincinnati 8- 3 5 2 + 2.98
414 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 14- 7 7 6 0.73
417 H Alabama 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.94
418 H Alabama 3- 1 2 3 -1.06
419 H Alabama 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.06
424 A Vanderbilt 11- 4 7 2 ++ 5.34
425 A Vanderbilt 0- 6 -6 2 --- -7.66
426 A Vanderbilt 4- 3 1 2 -0.66
428 H Sam Houston 15-14 1 7 -- -5.70
501 H Mississippi State 3- 1 2 1 1.20
502 H Mississippi State 4- 7 -3 1 - -3.80
503 H Mississippi State 11- 6 5 1 ++ 4.20
505 H UTSA 11- 8 3 3 0.02
508 A Tennessee 1- 5 -4 2 --- -6.10
509 A Tennessee 9-14 -5 2 --- -7.10
510 A Tennessee 13- 6 7 2 ++ 4.90
514 A UC Riverside 6- 0 6 9 - -3.18
515 A UC Riverside 11- 5 6 9 - -3.18
516 H Missouri 12- 7 5 6 -0.64
522 H Arkansas 1- 8 -7 3 --- -9.62
529 H Holy Cross 19- 1 18 9 ++ 4.91
530 A Tarleton State 16- 2 14 4 +++ 10.04
530 A Tarleton State 16- 2 14 4 +++ 10.04
531 A UC Santa Barbara 6- 4 2 3 -0.53
606 H Oregon 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.98
607 A Oregon 6- 5 1 2 -0.67
615 H Alabama 14- 2 12 3 +++ 8.94
616 H Georgia 0- 2 -2 1 - -3.19
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Houston 7- 9 -2 4 --- -6.19 402 A South Carolina 1- 9 -8 4 --- -12.24 411 A Texas A&M 4-11 -7 0 --- -6.79 425 A Vanderbilt 0- 6 -6 2 --- -7.66 508 A Tennessee 1- 5 -4 2 --- -6.10 509 A Tennessee 9-14 -5 2 --- -7.10 522 H Arkansas 1- 8 -7 3 --- -9.62 214 H UC Davis 6- 4 2 6 -- -4.29 301 H Long Beach State 10- 7 3 7 -- -4.26 419 H Alabama 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.06 428 H Sam Houston 15-14 1 7 -- -5.70 217 A Charleston Southern 14-12 2 5 - -3.41 220 A Stony Brook 8- 5 3 6 - -3.33 221 H Michigan State 3- 1 2 5 - -3.10 228 H Baylor 5- 2 3 5 - -2.42 307 H South Carolina Upstate 11- 9 2 5 - -3.17 313 H Ole Miss 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.47 317 A Alabama 1- 3 -2 2 - -3.71 327 H Oklahoma 4- 3 1 3 - -2.08 328 H Oklahoma 5- 4 1 3 - -2.08 331 H Texas State 10- 8 2 5 - -3.12 403 A South Carolina 5- 3 2 4 - -2.24 502 H Mississippi State 4- 7 -3 1 - -3.80 514 A UC Riverside 6- 0 6 9 - -3.18 515 A UC Riverside 11- 5 6 9 - -3.18 616 H Georgia 0- 2 -2 1 - -3.19 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H UT Rio Grande Valley 14- 0 14 5 +++ 8.63 310 A Texas State 15- 4 11 4 +++ 7.23 314 H Ole Miss 11- 2 9 2 +++ 6.53 326 H Oklahoma 14- 0 14 3 +++ 10.92 530 A Tarleton State 16- 2 14 4 +++ 10.04 530 A Tarleton State 16- 2 14 4 +++ 10.04 615 H Alabama 14- 2 12 3 +++ 8.94 306 A Evansville 14- 2 12 7 ++ 4.70 308 H South Carolina Upstate 13- 3 10 5 ++ 4.83 322 A Auburn 5- 0 5 0 ++ 5.09 417 H Alabama 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.94 424 A Vanderbilt 11- 4 7 2 ++ 5.34 503 H Mississippi State 11- 6 5 1 ++ 4.20 510 A Tennessee 13- 6 7 2 ++ 4.90 529 H Holy Cross 19- 1 18 9 ++ 4.91 606 H Oregon 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.98 213 H UC Davis 12- 2 10 6 + 3.71 227 H Coastal Carolina 8- 1 7 5 + 2.34 315 H Ole Miss 8- 2 6 2 + 3.53 407 H Incarnate Word 16- 4 12 8 + 3.78 412 A Cincinnati 8- 3 5 2 + 2.98 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 12- 2 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.47 11.10
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 6- 4 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.47 11.10
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 9- 1 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.47 11.10
3 A Charleston Sou ( 9- 9, 93.4) 14-12 -6.52 11.91 0.68 0.47 11.93
3 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 8- 5 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.47 11.06
3 H Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 3- 1 -4.86 13.57 -0.68 0.47 12.23
3 H Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 4- 0 -4.86 13.57 -0.68 0.47 12.23
3 H UT Rio Grande ( 8-10, 94.8) 14- 0 -5.13 13.29 -0.68 0.47 11.96
3 H Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 8- 1 -4.42 14.01 -0.68 0.47 12.64
3 H Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 5- 2 -5.18 13.25 -0.68 0.47 11.92
3 H Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 10- 7 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.47 10.18
3 A Evansville ( 5-14, 91.5) 14- 2 -8.41 10.01 0.68 0.47 10.13
3 H South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 11- 9 -4.93 13.50 -0.68 0.47 12.16
3 H South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 13- 3 -4.93 13.50 -0.68 0.47 12.16
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 15- 4 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.47 13.48
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 8- 9 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.47 -0.69
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 11- 2 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.47 14.72
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 8- 2 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.47 14.72
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 1- 3 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.47 -0.51
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 3- 4 -1.03 17.40 0.68 0.47 -0.08
3 H Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 7- 4 -3.21 15.22 -0.68 0.47 13.79
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 5- 0 -1.03 17.40 0.68 0.47 17.14
3 A Houston (23-28, 94.6) 7- 9 -5.30 13.12 0.68 0.47 -1.10
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 14- 0 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 0.47 14.14
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 4- 3 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 0.47 14.14
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 5- 4 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 0.47 14.14
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 10- 8 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.47 12.20
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 1- 9 -5.35 13.08 0.68 0.47 -1.11
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 5- 3 -5.35 13.08 0.68 0.47 13.04
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 4- 1 -5.35 13.08 0.68 0.47 13.04
3 H Incarnate Word ( 2- 4, 91.9) 16- 4 -7.98 10.45 -0.68 0.47 9.27
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 8- 2 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.47 11.80
3 A Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 4-11 -0.91 17.52 0.68 0.47 -0.05
3 A Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 8- 3 -3.13 15.29 0.68 0.47 15.14
3 H Texas A&M-Corp ( 4- 6, 93.9) 14- 7 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.47 11.12
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 10- 2 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.47 14.16
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 3- 1 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.47 14.16
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 1- 2 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.47 -0.83
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 11- 4 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.47 15.48
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 0- 6 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.47 -0.50
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 4- 3 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.47 15.48
3 H Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 15-14 -6.46 11.97 -0.68 0.47 10.71
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 3- 1 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.47 16.30
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 4- 7 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.47 -0.29
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 11- 6 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.47 16.30
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 11- 8 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 0.47 14.23
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 1- 5 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.47 -0.60
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 9-14 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.47 -0.60
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 13- 6 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.47 15.07
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 6- 0 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.47 8.35
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 11- 5 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.47 8.35
3 H Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 12- 7 -5.40 13.03 -0.68 0.47 11.71
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 1- 8 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 0.47 -0.73
3 H Holy Cross ( 7-12, 91.1) 19- 1 -8.85 9.58 -0.68 0.47 8.44
3 A Tarleton State ( 7-10, 94.8) 16- 2 -5.07 13.35 0.68 0.47 13.30
3 A Tarleton State ( 7-10, 94.8) 16- 2 -5.07 13.35 0.68 0.47 13.30
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 6- 4 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.47 14.66
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 11- 3 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.47 14.20
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 6- 5 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.47 15.48
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 14- 2 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.47 14.16
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 0- 2 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.47 -0.39
------
610.10
|
winning pts = 617.5784 losing points = -7.4739
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------