Texas State
W-L: (36-27) PR = 95.0164Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Niagara MAAC ( 1-11, 89.1) 13- 0 214 H Niagara MAAC ( 1-11, 89.1) 11- 3 215 H Niagara MAAC ( 1-11, 89.1) 11- 0 217 H Houston Christian SL ( 3-12, 92.6) 4- 3 220 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 8-11 221 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 1- 5 222 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 5- 0 224 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 7- 2 227 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 9-12, 93.6) 5- 4 228 A Tarleton State WAC ( 7-10, 94.8) 9- 3 301 A Ball State MA ( 4-11, 91.4) 3- 0 305 A UIC MV ( 7-12, 92.6) 13- 8 306 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 7- 4 306 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 10- 4 308 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 4- 3 310 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 4-15 313 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 6-12 314 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 5- 8 315 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 5-16 317 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 6- 4 320 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 4- 1 321 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 11-11 322 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 16- 6 324 H UT Rio Grande Valley SL ( 8-10, 94.8) 8- 7 327 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 18- 6 328 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 1- 0 329 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 12- 3 331 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 8-10 402 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 8- 5 403 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 15- 5 403 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 8- 9 407 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 9- 8 408 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 10- 6 410 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 8-10 411 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 2-15 411 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 11-12 414 H Houston Christian SL ( 3-12, 92.6) 4- 3 417 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 2- 8 418 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 3- 6 419 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 4- 5 421 H Incarnate Word SL ( 2- 4, 91.9) 3- 1 424 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 2- 6 425 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 1- 2 426 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 10- 6 428 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 4- 6, 93.9) 2- 7 501 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 2- 6 502 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 4- 6 503 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 4- 7 505 H Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 9- 6 508 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 6- 2 509 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 8- 3 510 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 15- 9 512 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 4-19 514 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 5- 7 515 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 12- 6 516 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 5- 4 520 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 6- 5 521 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 4- 3 523 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 6-12 523 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 4- 7 529 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 5- 4 530 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 2-17 530 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 2-17 531 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 4-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Niagara 13- 0 13 7 +++ 6.36
214 H Niagara 11- 3 8 7 1.36
215 H Niagara 11- 0 11 7 ++ 4.36
217 H Houston Christian 4- 3 1 3 - -2.10
220 A Kansas 8-11 -3 -3 -0.20
221 H Gonzaga 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.99
222 H Gonzaga 5- 0 5 0 ++ 5.01
224 H UTSA 7- 2 5 -1 +++ 6.46
227 A Abilene Christian 5- 4 1 1 0.29
228 A Tarleton State 9- 3 6 0 +++ 6.49
301 A Ball State 3- 0 3 3 0.04
305 A UIC 13- 8 5 2 + 3.29
306 A UConn 7- 4 3 0 + 3.02
306 A North Alabama 10- 4 6 1 ++ 5.06
308 H Washington State 4- 3 1 2 -0.68
310 H Texas 4-15 -11 -4 --- -7.23
313 A UL Monroe 6-12 -6 0 -- -5.72
314 A UL Monroe 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.72
315 A UL Monroe 5-16 -11 0 --- -10.72
317 H Southern Miss 6- 4 2 -1 + 2.93
320 H Louisiana 4- 1 3 1 + 2.39
321 A Liberty 11-11 0 -2 1.81
322 H Louisiana 16- 6 10 1 +++ 9.39
324 H UT Rio Grande Valley 8- 7 1 1 0.08
327 A Georgia State 18- 6 12 1 +++ 11.30
329 A Georgia State 12- 3 9 1 +++ 8.30
331 A Texas 8-10 -2 -5 + 3.12
402 H Georgia Southern 8- 5 3 4 -0.78
403 H Georgia Southern 15- 5 10 4 +++ 6.22
403 H Georgia Southern 8- 9 -1 4 -- -4.78
407 H Texas A&M 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.30
408 A Louisiana 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 4.74
410 A Coastal Carolina 8-10 -2 -1 -0.86
411 H Troy 2-15 -13 -1 --- -12.47
411 H Troy 11-12 -1 -1 -0.47
414 H Houston Christian 4- 3 1 3 - -2.10
417 A Southern Miss 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.71
418 A Southern Miss 3- 6 -3 -2 -0.71
419 A Southern Miss 4- 5 -1 -2 1.29
421 H Incarnate Word 3- 1 2 4 -1.77
424 A Coastal Carolina 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.86
425 A Coastal Carolina 1- 2 -1 -1 0.14
426 A Coastal Carolina 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 5.14
428 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 2- 7 -5 2 --- -6.82
501 H South Alabama 2- 6 -4 0 -- -4.50
502 H South Alabama 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.50
503 H South Alabama 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.50
505 H Baylor 9- 6 3 1 + 2.03
508 A Arkansas State 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 5.18
509 A Arkansas State 8- 3 5 -1 +++ 6.18
510 A Arkansas State 15- 9 6 -1 +++ 7.18
512 A UTSA 4-19 -15 -3 --- -11.19
514 A Arizona 5- 7 -2 1 - -2.52
515 A Coastal Carolina 12- 6 6 -1 +++ 7.14
516 H Marshall 5- 4 1 2 -1.23
520 A App State 6- 5 1 -1 1.84
521 H Louisiana 4- 3 1 1 0.39
523 H Louisiana 6-12 -6 1 --- -6.61
523 H Louisiana 4- 7 -3 1 - -3.61
529 A USC 5- 4 1 -3 ++ 4.15
530 H Texas A&M 2-17 -15 -3 --- -10.70
530 H Texas A&M 2-17 -15 -3 --- -10.70
531 H USC 4-15 -11 -2 --- -9.20
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Texas 4-15 -11 -4 --- -7.23 315 A UL Monroe 5-16 -11 0 --- -10.72 411 H Troy 2-15 -13 -1 --- -12.47 428 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 2- 7 -5 2 --- -6.82 512 A UTSA 4-19 -15 -3 --- -11.19 523 H Louisiana 6-12 -6 1 --- -6.61 530 H Texas A&M 2-17 -15 -3 --- -10.70 530 H Texas A&M 2-17 -15 -3 --- -10.70 531 H USC 4-15 -11 -2 --- -9.20 313 A UL Monroe 6-12 -6 0 -- -5.72 403 H Georgia Southern 8- 9 -1 4 -- -4.78 501 H South Alabama 2- 6 -4 0 -- -4.50 217 H Houston Christian 4- 3 1 3 - -2.10 221 H Gonzaga 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.99 314 A UL Monroe 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.72 414 H Houston Christian 4- 3 1 3 - -2.10 417 A Southern Miss 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.71 424 A Coastal Carolina 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.86 502 H South Alabama 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.50 503 H South Alabama 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.50 514 A Arizona 5- 7 -2 1 - -2.52 523 H Louisiana 4- 7 -3 1 - -3.61 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Niagara 13- 0 13 7 +++ 6.36 224 H UTSA 7- 2 5 -1 +++ 6.46 228 A Tarleton State 9- 3 6 0 +++ 6.49 322 H Louisiana 16- 6 10 1 +++ 9.39 327 A Georgia State 18- 6 12 1 +++ 11.30 329 A Georgia State 12- 3 9 1 +++ 8.30 403 H Georgia Southern 15- 5 10 4 +++ 6.22 509 A Arkansas State 8- 3 5 -1 +++ 6.18 510 A Arkansas State 15- 9 6 -1 +++ 7.18 515 A Coastal Carolina 12- 6 6 -1 +++ 7.14 215 H Niagara 11- 0 11 7 ++ 4.36 222 H Gonzaga 5- 0 5 0 ++ 5.01 306 A North Alabama 10- 4 6 1 ++ 5.06 407 H Texas A&M 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.30 408 A Louisiana 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 4.74 426 A Coastal Carolina 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 5.14 508 A Arkansas State 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 5.18 529 A USC 5- 4 1 -3 ++ 4.15 305 A UIC 13- 8 5 2 + 3.29 306 A UConn 7- 4 3 0 + 3.02 317 H Southern Miss 6- 4 2 -1 + 2.93 320 H Louisiana 4- 1 3 1 + 2.39 331 A Texas 8-10 -2 -5 + 3.12 505 H Baylor 9- 6 3 1 + 2.03 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Niagara ( 1-11, 89.1) 13- 0 -10.85 7.58 -0.68 0.45 6.24
3 H Niagara ( 1-11, 89.1) 11- 3 -10.85 7.58 -0.68 0.45 6.24
3 H Niagara ( 1-11, 89.1) 11- 0 -10.85 7.58 -0.68 0.45 6.24
3 H Houston Christ ( 3-12, 92.6) 4- 3 -7.31 11.12 -0.68 0.45 9.44
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 8-11 -2.76 15.66 0.68 0.45 -0.47
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 1- 5 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.45 -1.10
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 5- 0 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.45 12.25
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 7- 2 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 0.45 13.56
3 A Abilene Christ ( 9-12, 93.6) 5- 4 -6.27 12.15 0.68 0.45 11.59
3 A Tarleton State ( 7-10, 94.8) 9- 3 -5.07 13.35 0.68 0.45 12.68
3 A Ball State ( 4-11, 91.4) 3- 0 -8.52 9.90 0.68 0.45 9.56
3 A UIC ( 7-12, 92.6) 13- 8 -7.27 11.16 0.68 0.45 10.69
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 7- 4 -5.54 12.88 0.68 0.45 12.25
3 A North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 10- 4 -6.50 11.93 0.68 0.45 11.39
3 H Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 4- 3 -5.89 12.53 -0.68 0.45 10.72
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 4-15 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.45 -0.25
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 6-12 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.45 -1.04
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 5- 8 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.45 -1.04
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 5-16 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.45 -1.04
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 6- 4 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.45 13.08
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 4- 1 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.45 11.69
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 11-11 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.45 0.00
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 16- 6 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.45 11.69
3 H UT Rio Grande ( 8-10, 94.8) 8- 7 -5.13 13.29 -0.68 0.45 11.40
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 18- 6 -6.26 12.16 0.68 0.45 11.60
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 1- 0 -6.26 12.16 0.68 0.45 11.60
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 12- 3 -6.26 12.16 0.68 0.45 11.60
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 8-10 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.45 -0.05
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 8- 5 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.45 8.82
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 15- 5 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.45 8.82
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 8- 9 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.45 -1.96
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 9- 8 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.45 15.22
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 10- 6 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.45 12.91
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 8-10 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.45 -0.85
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 2-15 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.45 -0.98
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 11-12 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.45 -0.98
3 H Houston Christ ( 3-12, 92.6) 4- 3 -7.31 11.12 -0.68 0.45 9.44
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 2- 8 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.45 -0.59
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 3- 6 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.45 -0.59
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 4- 5 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.45 -0.59
3 H Incarnate Word ( 2- 4, 91.9) 3- 1 -7.98 10.45 -0.68 0.45 8.83
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 2- 6 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.45 -0.85
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 1- 2 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.45 -0.85
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 10- 6 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.45 13.27
3 H Texas A&M-Corp ( 4- 6, 93.9) 2- 7 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.45 -1.51
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 2- 6 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.45 -1.22
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 4- 6 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.45 -1.22
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 4- 7 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.45 -1.22
3 H Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 9- 6 -5.18 13.25 -0.68 0.45 11.36
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 6- 2 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.45 13.31
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 8- 3 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.45 13.31
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 15- 9 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.45 13.31
3 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 4-19 -2.74 15.68 0.68 0.45 -0.47
3 A Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 5- 7 -6.08 12.35 0.68 0.45 -1.22
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 12- 6 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.45 13.27
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 5- 4 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.45 10.23
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 6- 5 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.45 13.00
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 4- 3 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.45 11.69
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 6-12 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.45 -1.24
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 4- 7 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.45 -1.24
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 5- 4 -2.41 16.02 0.68 0.45 15.09
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 2-17 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.45 -0.36
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 2-17 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.45 -0.36
3 H USC (43-22, 97.5) 4-15 -2.41 16.02 -0.68 0.45 -0.70
------
383.43
|
winning pts = 407.3976 losing points = -23.9683
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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