UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Tennessee Tech
  
Tennessee Tech        
W-L: ( 5-13) PR = 89.9801

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 6-15 214 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 7-23 215 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 1- 7 217 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 7- 5 224 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 1-11 301 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 0-11 306 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 5- 7 307 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 4-14 308 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 6-11 310 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 2-20 317 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 10- 3 324 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 5-15 331 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 0-12 407 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 7- 3 414 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 7-17 421 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 12- 6 422 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 7-10 428 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 15- 5

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Texas A&M               6-15      -9   -10           0.69
   214 A Texas A&M               7-23     -16   -10    --    -4.31
   215 A Texas A&M               1- 7      -6   -10    +      3.69
   217 H Lipscomb                7- 5       2    -2    +      3.59
   224 A Middle Tennessee        1-11     -10    -4    --    -5.87
   301 H Notre Dame              0-11     -11    -5    --    -5.76
   306 H Florida State           5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.33
   307 A Georgia Southern        4-14     -10    -3    ---   -7.40
   308 A Georgia Southern        6-11      -5    -3    -     -2.40
   310 A Tennessee               2-20     -18    -7    ---   -6.62
   317 H San Francisco          10- 3       7     0    +++    7.33
   324 A Vanderbilt              5-15     -10    -8    -     -2.18
   331 A Western Kentucky        0-12     -12    -5    ---   -6.95
   407 A Lipscomb                7- 3       4    -3    +++    6.94
   414 A Austin Peay             7-17     -10    -3    ---   -6.54
   421 H Middle Tennessee       12- 6       6    -3    +++    8.78
   422 H North Alabama           7-10      -3    -3          -0.25
   428 A Lipscomb               15- 5      10    -3    +++   12.94

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Georgia Southern        4-14     -10    -3    ---   -7.40
   310 A Tennessee               2-20     -18    -7    ---   -6.62
   331 A Western Kentucky        0-12     -12    -5    ---   -6.95
   414 A Austin Peay             7-17     -10    -3    ---   -6.54
   214 A Texas A&M               7-23     -16   -10    --    -4.31
   224 A Middle Tennessee        1-11     -10    -4    --    -5.87
   301 H Notre Dame              0-11     -11    -5    --    -5.76
   308 A Georgia Southern        6-11      -5    -3    -     -2.40
   324 A Vanderbilt              5-15     -10    -8    -     -2.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H San Francisco          10- 3       7     0    +++    7.33
   407 A Lipscomb                7- 3       4    -3    +++    6.94
   421 H Middle Tennessee       12- 6       6    -3    +++    8.78
   428 A Lipscomb               15- 5      10    -3    +++   12.94
   306 H Florida State           5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.33
   215 A Texas A&M               1- 7      -6   -10    +      3.69
   217 H Lipscomb                7- 5       2    -2    +      3.59

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Texas A&M       (40-18, 99.0)     6-15       -0.91      17.52       0.68         1.61            -0.19
   3 A Texas A&M       (40-18, 99.0)     7-23       -0.91      17.52       0.68         1.61            -0.19
   3 A Texas A&M       (40-18, 99.0)     1- 7       -0.91      17.52       0.68         1.61            -0.19
   3 H Lipscomb        (32-22, 92.2)     7- 5       -7.65      10.77      -0.68         1.61            32.44
   3 A Middle Tenness  (27-30, 93.4)     1-11       -6.47      11.96       0.68         1.61            -4.65
   3 H Notre Dame      (30-22, 95.9)     0-11       -4.01      14.42      -0.68         1.61            -3.76
   3 H Florida State   (36-22, 97.0)     5- 7       -2.92      15.51      -0.68         1.61            -2.89
   3 A Georgia Southe  (16-40, 91.9)     4-14       -7.99      10.43       0.68         1.61            -5.88
   3 A Georgia Southe  (16-40, 91.9)     6-11       -7.99      10.43       0.68         1.61            -5.88
   3 A Tennessee       (33-26, 96.7)     2-20       -3.21      15.22       0.68         1.61            -2.04
   3 H San Francisco   (27-31, 91.0)    10- 3       -8.91       9.51      -0.68         1.61            28.40
   3 A Vanderbilt      (32-22, 97.1)     5-15       -2.78      15.65       0.68         1.61            -1.69
   3 A Western Kentuc  (28-27, 94.4)     0-12       -5.55      12.88       0.68         1.61            -3.91
   3 A Lipscomb        (32-22, 92.2)     7- 3       -7.65      10.77       0.68         1.61            36.78
   3 A Austin Peay     (25-30, 92.8)     7-17       -7.14      11.29       0.68         1.61            -5.19
   3 H Middle Tenness  (27-30, 93.4)    12- 6       -6.47      11.96      -0.68         1.61            36.26
   3 H North Alabama   (30-29, 93.4)     7-10       -6.50      11.93      -0.68         1.61            -5.76
   3 A Lipscomb        (32-22, 92.2)    15- 5       -7.65      10.77       0.68         1.61            36.78
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       128.46

winning pts = 170.6689 losing points = -42.2064

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------