Toledo
W-L: ( 6-13) PR = 93.2705Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 8- 6 214 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 4- 5 215 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 4- 6 220 H Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 0- 4 221 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 1- 2 222 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 9-12 227 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 5- 1 228 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 10- 7 301 H Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 7-13 302 H Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 5- 6 324 A Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 1-11 325 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 2- 5 331 A Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 5-10 414 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 4- 6 520 H Ball State MA ( 4-11, 91.4) 8- 2 521 A Kent State MA ( 8- 4, 95.1) 8- 0 522 H Northern Illinois MA ( 7- 4, 93.5) 3-10 523 A Kent State MA ( 8- 4, 95.1) 5- 2 523 H Northern Illinois MA ( 7- 4, 93.5) 1- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Memphis 8- 6 2 -2 + 3.78
214 A Memphis 4- 5 -1 -2 0.78
215 A Memphis 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.22
220 H Tennessee 0- 4 -4 -3 -1.26
221 A Jacksonville State 1- 2 -1 -4 + 3.49
222 A Jacksonville State 9-12 -3 -4 1.49
227 A Lipscomb 5- 1 4 0 + 3.65
228 A Lipscomb 10- 7 3 0 + 2.65
301 H Utah Valley 7-13 -6 2 --- -8.49
302 H Stanford 5- 6 -1 -1 -0.39
324 A Butler 1-11 -10 1 --- -10.73
325 A Michigan 2- 5 -3 -3 0.24
331 A Ohio State 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.56
414 H Michigan 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.11
520 H Ball State 8- 2 6 3 + 3.43
521 A Kent State 8- 0 8 -3 +++ 10.54
522 H Northern Illinois 3-10 -7 0 --- -7.41
523 A Kent State 5- 2 3 -3 ++ 5.54
523 H Northern Illinois 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.41
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Utah Valley 7-13 -6 2 --- -8.49 324 A Butler 1-11 -10 1 --- -10.73 522 H Northern Illinois 3-10 -7 0 --- -7.41 523 H Northern Illinois 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.41 331 A Ohio State 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.56 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 521 A Kent State 8- 0 8 -3 +++ 10.54 523 A Kent State 5- 2 3 -3 ++ 5.54 213 A Memphis 8- 6 2 -2 + 3.78 221 A Jacksonville State 1- 2 -1 -4 + 3.49 227 A Lipscomb 5- 1 4 0 + 3.65 228 A Lipscomb 10- 7 3 0 + 2.65 520 H Ball State 8- 2 6 3 + 3.43 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 8- 6 -5.53 12.90 0.68 1.52 41.32
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 4- 5 -5.53 12.90 0.68 1.52 -3.69
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 4- 6 -5.53 12.90 0.68 1.52 -3.69
3 H Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 0- 4 -3.21 15.22 -0.68 1.52 -2.96
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 1- 2 -2.82 15.61 0.68 1.52 -1.63
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 9-12 -2.82 15.61 0.68 1.52 -1.63
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 5- 1 -7.65 10.77 0.68 1.52 34.85
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 10- 7 -7.65 10.77 0.68 1.52 34.85
3 H Utah Valley ( 7-15, 91.5) 7-13 -8.45 9.98 -0.68 1.52 -6.94
3 H Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 5- 6 -5.34 13.08 -0.68 1.52 -4.58
3 A Butler (23-30, 91.9) 1-11 -8.03 10.39 0.68 1.52 -5.60
3 A Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 2- 5 -4.07 14.36 0.68 1.52 -2.58
3 A Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 5-10 -4.87 13.56 0.68 1.52 -3.19
3 H Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 4- 6 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 1.52 -3.61
3 H Ball State ( 4-11, 91.4) 8- 2 -8.52 9.90 -0.68 1.52 28.09
3 A Kent State ( 8- 4, 95.1) 8- 0 -4.77 13.66 0.68 1.52 43.65
3 H Northern Illin ( 7- 4, 93.5) 3-10 -6.36 12.07 -0.68 1.52 -5.36
3 A Kent State ( 8- 4, 95.1) 5- 2 -4.77 13.66 0.68 1.52 43.65
3 H Northern Illin ( 7- 4, 93.5) 1- 5 -6.36 12.07 -0.68 1.52 -5.36
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175.58
|
winning pts = 226.3969 losing points = -50.8171
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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