UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Towson
  
Towson                
W-L: (20-33) PR = 91.1775

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Norfolk State MEAC ( 2- 3, 87.7) 0- 2 214 A Norfolk State MEAC ( 2- 3, 87.7) 28- 4 214 A Norfolk State MEAC ( 2- 3, 87.7) 12- 3 220 H Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 8-10 221 A New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 3- 9 222 A New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 8- 6 227 H Canisius MAAC ( 4- 7, 90.3) 2- 3 228 H Canisius MAAC ( 4- 7, 90.3) 2- 4 301 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 16- 2 304 H San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 9-13 306 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 5- 6 307 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 1- 4 308 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 4-12 311 A George Washington A10 ( 4- 3, 91.4) 7- 6 313 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 3- 6 314 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 1- 3 315 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 2- 3 318 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 8- 5 320 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 4-19 321 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 4- 0 322 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 8-12 327 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 1- 3 328 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 10- 5 329 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 4- 3 331 H Coppin State MEAC ( 1- 4, 82.7) 18- 1 402 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 9- 6 403 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 6- 9 404 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 8- 6 407 A Coppin State MEAC ( 1- 4, 82.7) 14- 7 408 H Saint Joseph's A10 ( 3- 5, 89.7) 5-11 410 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 2-11 411 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 5- 6 412 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 8-10 414 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 7-15 417 A Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 1- 9 418 A Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 4- 6 419 A Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 6- 8 421 A UMBC AE ( 6- 8, 92.1) 5- 6 424 H Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 5-15 425 H Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 9- 7 426 H Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 0-10 428 H George Washington A10 ( 4- 3, 91.4) 12- 0 501 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 1-12 502 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 6- 5 503 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 0- 8 505 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 11-23 508 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 15- 3 509 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 11-10 510 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 6-14 512 H UMBC AE ( 6- 8, 92.1) 9- 8 514 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 0-16 515 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 7-11 516 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 14-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Norfolk State           0- 2      -2     3    --    -4.75
   214 A Norfolk State          28- 4      24     3    +++   11.25
   214 A Norfolk State          12- 3       9     3    +++    6.25
   220 H Georgia Tech            8-10      -2    -8    +++    6.05
   221 A New Mexico State        3- 9      -6    -2    -     -3.62
   222 A New Mexico State        8- 6       2    -2    ++     4.38
   227 H Canisius                2- 3      -1     2    -     -2.59
   228 H Canisius                2- 4      -2     2    -     -3.59
   301 A UC Riverside           16- 2      14     1    +++   13.10
   304 H San Diego State         9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.92
   306 A Georgetown              5- 6      -1    -1          -0.38
   307 H Monmouth                1- 4      -3    -1          -1.78
   308 H Monmouth                4-12      -8    -1    ---   -6.78
   311 A George Washington       7- 6       1    -1           1.90
   313 A Northeastern            3- 6      -3    -4           0.93
   314 A Northeastern            1- 3      -2    -4           1.93
   315 A Northeastern            2- 3      -1    -4    +      2.93
   318 A Hofstra                 8- 5       3    -2    ++     4.96
   320 H Campbell                4-19     -15    -4    ---  -10.49
   321 A Janes Madison           4- 0       4    -2    ++     5.60
   322 H Campbell                8-12      -4    -4          -0.49
   327 A Stony Brook             1- 3      -2    -2          -0.04
   328 A Stony Brook            10- 5       5    -2    +++    6.96
   329 A Stony Brook             4- 3       1    -2    +      2.96
   331 H Coppin State           18- 1      17     9    ++     4.84
   402 H Hofstra                 9- 6       3    -1    +      3.61
   403 H Hofstra                 6- 9      -3    -1    -     -2.39
   404 H Hofstra                 8- 6       2    -1    +      2.61
   407 A Coppin State           14- 7       7     8          -0.80
   408 H Saint Joseph's          5-11      -6     2    ---   -8.14
   410 H Northeastern            2-11      -9    -3    ---   -6.43
   411 A Monmouth                5- 6      -1    -3           1.58
   412 A Monmouth                8-10      -2    -3           0.58
   414 A Maryland                7-15      -8    -4    -     -3.72
   417 A Mercer                  1- 9      -8    -5    -     -3.16
   418 A Mercer                  4- 6      -2    -5    +      2.84
   419 A Mercer                  6- 8      -2    -5    +      2.84
   421 A UMBC                    5- 6      -1    -2           0.55
   424 H Stony Brook             5-15     -10    -1    ---   -9.39
   425 H Stony Brook             9- 7       2    -1    +      2.61
   426 H Stony Brook             0-10     -10    -1    ---   -9.39
   428 H George Washington      12- 0      12     0    +++   11.55
   501 A Hofstra                 1-12     -11    -2    ---   -9.04
   502 A Hofstra                 6- 5       1    -2    +      2.96
   503 A Hofstra                 0- 8      -8    -2    ---   -6.04
   505 H Maryland               11-23     -12    -3    ---   -9.07
   508 A William & Mary         15- 3      12    -1    +++   13.02
   509 A William & Mary         11-10       1    -1    +      2.02
   510 A William & Mary          6-14      -8    -1    ---   -6.98
   512 H UMBC                    9- 8       1     0           1.20
   514 A Eastern Kentucky        0-16     -16    -1    ---  -13.29
   515 A Eastern Kentucky        7-11      -4    -1    -     -3.29
   516 H Northeastern           14-10       4    -3    +++    6.57

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Monmouth                4-12      -8    -1    ---   -6.78
   320 H Campbell                4-19     -15    -4    ---  -10.49
   408 H Saint Joseph's          5-11      -6     2    ---   -8.14
   410 H Northeastern            2-11      -9    -3    ---   -6.43
   424 H Stony Brook             5-15     -10    -1    ---   -9.39
   426 H Stony Brook             0-10     -10    -1    ---   -9.39
   501 A Hofstra                 1-12     -11    -2    ---   -9.04
   503 A Hofstra                 0- 8      -8    -2    ---   -6.04
   505 H Maryland               11-23     -12    -3    ---   -9.07
   510 A William & Mary          6-14      -8    -1    ---   -6.98
   514 A Eastern Kentucky        0-16     -16    -1    ---  -13.29
   213 A Norfolk State           0- 2      -2     3    --    -4.75
   221 A New Mexico State        3- 9      -6    -2    -     -3.62
   227 H Canisius                2- 3      -1     2    -     -2.59
   228 H Canisius                2- 4      -2     2    -     -3.59
   304 H San Diego State         9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.92
   403 H Hofstra                 6- 9      -3    -1    -     -2.39
   414 A Maryland                7-15      -8    -4    -     -3.72
   417 A Mercer                  1- 9      -8    -5    -     -3.16
   515 A Eastern Kentucky        7-11      -4    -1    -     -3.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Norfolk State          28- 4      24     3    +++   11.25
   214 A Norfolk State          12- 3       9     3    +++    6.25
   220 H Georgia Tech            8-10      -2    -8    +++    6.05
   301 A UC Riverside           16- 2      14     1    +++   13.10
   328 A Stony Brook            10- 5       5    -2    +++    6.96
   428 H George Washington      12- 0      12     0    +++   11.55
   508 A William & Mary         15- 3      12    -1    +++   13.02
   516 H Northeastern           14-10       4    -3    +++    6.57
   222 A New Mexico State        8- 6       2    -2    ++     4.38
   318 A Hofstra                 8- 5       3    -2    ++     4.96
   321 A Janes Madison           4- 0       4    -2    ++     5.60
   331 H Coppin State           18- 1      17     9    ++     4.84
   315 A Northeastern            2- 3      -1    -4    +      2.93
   329 A Stony Brook             4- 3       1    -2    +      2.96
   402 H Hofstra                 9- 6       3    -1    +      3.61
   404 H Hofstra                 8- 6       2    -1    +      2.61
   418 A Mercer                  4- 6      -2    -5    +      2.84
   419 A Mercer                  6- 8      -2    -5    +      2.84
   425 H Stony Brook             9- 7       2    -1    +      2.61
   502 A Hofstra                 6- 5       1    -2    +      2.96
   509 A William & Mary         11-10       1    -1    +      2.02

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Norfolk State   ( 2- 3, 87.7)     0- 2      -12.15       6.27       0.68         0.55            -3.13
   3 A Norfolk State   ( 2- 3, 87.7)    28- 4      -12.15       6.27       0.68         0.55             7.59
   3 A Norfolk State   ( 2- 3, 87.7)    12- 3      -12.15       6.27       0.68         0.55             7.59
   3 H Georgia Tech    (48-12, 99.9)     8-10       -0.00      18.43      -0.68         0.55            -0.18
   3 A New Mexico Sta  (21-32, 92.9)     3- 9       -7.02      11.41       0.68         0.55            -1.73
   3 A New Mexico Sta  (21-32, 92.9)     8- 6       -7.02      11.41       0.68         0.55            13.19
   3 H Canisius        ( 4- 7, 90.3)     2- 3       -9.64       8.79      -0.68         0.55            -2.81
   3 H Canisius        ( 4- 7, 90.3)     2- 4       -9.64       8.79      -0.68         0.55            -2.81
   3 A UC Riverside    (15-35, 89.6)    16- 2      -10.30       8.13       0.68         0.55             9.61
   3 H San Diego Stat  (15-16, 92.9)     9-13       -6.97      11.46      -0.68         0.55            -2.09
   3 A Georgetown      (25-29, 91.1)     5- 6       -8.78       9.65       0.68         0.55            -2.21
   3 H Monmouth        (31-23, 93.1)     1- 4       -6.82      11.60      -0.68         0.55            -2.05
   3 H Monmouth        (31-23, 93.1)     4-12       -6.82      11.60      -0.68         0.55            -2.05
   3 A George Washing  ( 4- 3, 91.4)     7- 6       -8.49       9.93       0.68         0.55            11.58
   3 A Northeastern    (33-25, 94.4)     3- 6       -5.47      12.95       0.68         0.55            -1.31
   3 A Northeastern    (33-25, 94.4)     1- 3       -5.47      12.95       0.68         0.55            -1.31
   3 A Northeastern    (33-25, 94.4)     2- 3       -5.47      12.95       0.68         0.55            -1.31
   3 A Hofstra         (19-33, 92.5)     8- 5       -7.44      10.99       0.68         0.55            12.73
   3 H Campbell        (40-17, 95.4)     4-19       -4.54      13.89      -0.68         0.55            -1.42
   3 A Janes Madison   (20-31, 92.1)     4- 0       -7.80      10.63       0.68         0.55            12.33
   3 H Campbell        (40-17, 95.4)     8-12       -4.54      13.89      -0.68         0.55            -1.42
   3 A Stony Brook     (22-27, 92.5)     1- 3       -7.44      10.99       0.68         0.55            -1.85
   3 A Stony Brook     (22-27, 92.5)    10- 5       -7.44      10.99       0.68         0.55            12.73
   3 A Stony Brook     (22-27, 92.5)     4- 3       -7.44      10.99       0.68         0.55            12.73
   3 H Coppin State    ( 1- 4, 82.7)    18- 1      -17.20       1.22      -0.68         0.55             0.60
   3 H Hofstra         (19-33, 92.5)     9- 6       -7.44      10.99      -0.68         0.55            11.25
   3 H Hofstra         (19-33, 92.5)     6- 9       -7.44      10.99      -0.68         0.55            -2.21
   3 H Hofstra         (19-33, 92.5)     8- 6       -7.44      10.99      -0.68         0.55            11.25
   3 A Coppin State    ( 1- 4, 82.7)    14- 7      -17.20       1.22       0.68         0.55             2.07
   3 H Saint Joseph's  ( 3- 5, 89.7)     5-11      -10.19       8.24      -0.68         0.55            -2.96
   3 H Northeastern    (33-25, 94.4)     2-11       -5.47      12.95      -0.68         0.55            -1.68
   3 A Monmouth        (31-23, 93.1)     5- 6       -6.82      11.60       0.68         0.55            -1.68
   3 A Monmouth        (31-23, 93.1)     8-10       -6.82      11.60       0.68         0.55            -1.68
   3 A Maryland        (27-28, 94.8)     7-15       -5.11      13.31       0.68         0.55            -1.21
   3 A Mercer          (13- 8, 95.3)     1- 9       -4.55      13.87       0.68         0.55            -1.06
   3 A Mercer          (13- 8, 95.3)     4- 6       -4.55      13.87       0.68         0.55            -1.06
   3 A Mercer          (13- 8, 95.3)     6- 8       -4.55      13.87       0.68         0.55            -1.06
   3 A UMBC            ( 6- 8, 92.1)     5- 6       -7.85      10.58       0.68         0.55            -1.96
   3 H Stony Brook     (22-27, 92.5)     5-15       -7.44      10.99      -0.68         0.55            -2.21
   3 H Stony Brook     (22-27, 92.5)     9- 7       -7.44      10.99      -0.68         0.55            11.25
   3 H Stony Brook     (22-27, 92.5)     0-10       -7.44      10.99      -0.68         0.55            -2.21
   3 H George Washing  ( 4- 3, 91.4)    12- 0       -8.49       9.93      -0.68         0.55            10.10
   3 A Hofstra         (19-33, 92.5)     1-12       -7.44      10.99       0.68         0.55            -1.85
   3 A Hofstra         (19-33, 92.5)     6- 5       -7.44      10.99       0.68         0.55            12.73
   3 A Hofstra         (19-33, 92.5)     0- 8       -7.44      10.99       0.68         0.55            -1.85
   3 H Maryland        (27-28, 94.8)    11-23       -5.11      13.31      -0.68         0.55            -1.58
   3 A William & Mary  (20-30, 91.5)    15- 3       -8.38      10.05       0.68         0.55            11.70
   3 A William & Mary  (20-30, 91.5)    11-10       -8.38      10.05       0.68         0.55            11.70
   3 A William & Mary  (20-30, 91.5)     6-14       -8.38      10.05       0.68         0.55            -2.10
   3 H UMBC            ( 6- 8, 92.1)     9- 8       -7.85      10.58      -0.68         0.55            10.81
   3 A Eastern Kentuc  (17-34, 91.2)     0-16       -8.69       9.74       0.68         0.55            -2.19
   3 A Eastern Kentuc  (17-34, 91.2)     7-11       -8.69       9.74       0.68         0.55            -2.19
   3 H Northeastern    (33-25, 94.4)    14-10       -5.47      12.95      -0.68         0.55            13.40
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       146.53

winning pts = 206.9326 losing points = -60.4010

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------