Towson 
W-L: (20-33) PR = 91.1775
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
213 A Norfolk State MEAC ( 2- 3, 87.7) 0- 2
214 A Norfolk State MEAC ( 2- 3, 87.7) 28- 4
214 A Norfolk State MEAC ( 2- 3, 87.7) 12- 3
220 H Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 8-10
221 A New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 3- 9
222 A New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 8- 6
227 H Canisius MAAC ( 4- 7, 90.3) 2- 3
228 H Canisius MAAC ( 4- 7, 90.3) 2- 4
301 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 16- 2
304 H San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 9-13
306 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 5- 6
307 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 1- 4
308 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 4-12
311 A George Washington A10 ( 4- 3, 91.4) 7- 6
313 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 3- 6
314 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 1- 3
315 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 2- 3
318 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 8- 5
320 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 4-19
321 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 4- 0
322 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 8-12
327 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 1- 3
328 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 10- 5
329 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 4- 3
331 H Coppin State MEAC ( 1- 4, 82.7) 18- 1
402 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 9- 6
403 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 6- 9
404 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 8- 6
407 A Coppin State MEAC ( 1- 4, 82.7) 14- 7
408 H Saint Joseph's A10 ( 3- 5, 89.7) 5-11
410 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 2-11
411 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 5- 6
412 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 8-10
414 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 7-15
417 A Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 1- 9
418 A Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 4- 6
419 A Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 6- 8
421 A UMBC AE ( 6- 8, 92.1) 5- 6
424 H Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 5-15
425 H Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 9- 7
426 H Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 0-10
428 H George Washington A10 ( 4- 3, 91.4) 12- 0
501 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 1-12
502 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 6- 5
503 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 0- 8
505 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 11-23
508 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 15- 3
509 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 11-10
510 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 6-14
512 H UMBC AE ( 6- 8, 92.1) 9- 8
514 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 0-16
515 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 7-11
516 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 14-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Norfolk State 0- 2 -2 3 -- -4.75
214 A Norfolk State 28- 4 24 3 +++ 11.25
214 A Norfolk State 12- 3 9 3 +++ 6.25
220 H Georgia Tech 8-10 -2 -8 +++ 6.05
221 A New Mexico State 3- 9 -6 -2 - -3.62
222 A New Mexico State 8- 6 2 -2 ++ 4.38
227 H Canisius 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.59
228 H Canisius 2- 4 -2 2 - -3.59
301 A UC Riverside 16- 2 14 1 +++ 13.10
304 H San Diego State 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.92
306 A Georgetown 5- 6 -1 -1 -0.38
307 H Monmouth 1- 4 -3 -1 -1.78
308 H Monmouth 4-12 -8 -1 --- -6.78
311 A George Washington 7- 6 1 -1 1.90
313 A Northeastern 3- 6 -3 -4 0.93
314 A Northeastern 1- 3 -2 -4 1.93
315 A Northeastern 2- 3 -1 -4 + 2.93
318 A Hofstra 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 4.96
320 H Campbell 4-19 -15 -4 --- -10.49
321 A Janes Madison 4- 0 4 -2 ++ 5.60
322 H Campbell 8-12 -4 -4 -0.49
327 A Stony Brook 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.04
328 A Stony Brook 10- 5 5 -2 +++ 6.96
329 A Stony Brook 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.96
331 H Coppin State 18- 1 17 9 ++ 4.84
402 H Hofstra 9- 6 3 -1 + 3.61
403 H Hofstra 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.39
404 H Hofstra 8- 6 2 -1 + 2.61
407 A Coppin State 14- 7 7 8 -0.80
408 H Saint Joseph's 5-11 -6 2 --- -8.14
410 H Northeastern 2-11 -9 -3 --- -6.43
411 A Monmouth 5- 6 -1 -3 1.58
412 A Monmouth 8-10 -2 -3 0.58
414 A Maryland 7-15 -8 -4 - -3.72
417 A Mercer 1- 9 -8 -5 - -3.16
418 A Mercer 4- 6 -2 -5 + 2.84
419 A Mercer 6- 8 -2 -5 + 2.84
421 A UMBC 5- 6 -1 -2 0.55
424 H Stony Brook 5-15 -10 -1 --- -9.39
425 H Stony Brook 9- 7 2 -1 + 2.61
426 H Stony Brook 0-10 -10 -1 --- -9.39
428 H George Washington 12- 0 12 0 +++ 11.55
501 A Hofstra 1-12 -11 -2 --- -9.04
502 A Hofstra 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.96
503 A Hofstra 0- 8 -8 -2 --- -6.04
505 H Maryland 11-23 -12 -3 --- -9.07
508 A William & Mary 15- 3 12 -1 +++ 13.02
509 A William & Mary 11-10 1 -1 + 2.02
510 A William & Mary 6-14 -8 -1 --- -6.98
512 H UMBC 9- 8 1 0 1.20
514 A Eastern Kentucky 0-16 -16 -1 --- -13.29
515 A Eastern Kentucky 7-11 -4 -1 - -3.29
516 H Northeastern 14-10 4 -3 +++ 6.57
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
308 H Monmouth 4-12 -8 -1 --- -6.78
320 H Campbell 4-19 -15 -4 --- -10.49
408 H Saint Joseph's 5-11 -6 2 --- -8.14
410 H Northeastern 2-11 -9 -3 --- -6.43
424 H Stony Brook 5-15 -10 -1 --- -9.39
426 H Stony Brook 0-10 -10 -1 --- -9.39
501 A Hofstra 1-12 -11 -2 --- -9.04
503 A Hofstra 0- 8 -8 -2 --- -6.04
505 H Maryland 11-23 -12 -3 --- -9.07
510 A William & Mary 6-14 -8 -1 --- -6.98
514 A Eastern Kentucky 0-16 -16 -1 --- -13.29
213 A Norfolk State 0- 2 -2 3 -- -4.75
221 A New Mexico State 3- 9 -6 -2 - -3.62
227 H Canisius 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.59
228 H Canisius 2- 4 -2 2 - -3.59
304 H San Diego State 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.92
403 H Hofstra 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.39
414 A Maryland 7-15 -8 -4 - -3.72
417 A Mercer 1- 9 -8 -5 - -3.16
515 A Eastern Kentucky 7-11 -4 -1 - -3.29
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 A Norfolk State 28- 4 24 3 +++ 11.25
214 A Norfolk State 12- 3 9 3 +++ 6.25
220 H Georgia Tech 8-10 -2 -8 +++ 6.05
301 A UC Riverside 16- 2 14 1 +++ 13.10
328 A Stony Brook 10- 5 5 -2 +++ 6.96
428 H George Washington 12- 0 12 0 +++ 11.55
508 A William & Mary 15- 3 12 -1 +++ 13.02
516 H Northeastern 14-10 4 -3 +++ 6.57
222 A New Mexico State 8- 6 2 -2 ++ 4.38
318 A Hofstra 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 4.96
321 A Janes Madison 4- 0 4 -2 ++ 5.60
331 H Coppin State 18- 1 17 9 ++ 4.84
315 A Northeastern 2- 3 -1 -4 + 2.93
329 A Stony Brook 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.96
402 H Hofstra 9- 6 3 -1 + 3.61
404 H Hofstra 8- 6 2 -1 + 2.61
418 A Mercer 4- 6 -2 -5 + 2.84
419 A Mercer 6- 8 -2 -5 + 2.84
425 H Stony Brook 9- 7 2 -1 + 2.61
502 A Hofstra 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.96
509 A William & Mary 11-10 1 -1 + 2.02
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Norfolk State ( 2- 3, 87.7) 0- 2 -12.15 6.27 0.68 0.55 -3.13
3 A Norfolk State ( 2- 3, 87.7) 28- 4 -12.15 6.27 0.68 0.55 7.59
3 A Norfolk State ( 2- 3, 87.7) 12- 3 -12.15 6.27 0.68 0.55 7.59
3 H Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 8-10 -0.00 18.43 -0.68 0.55 -0.18
3 A New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 3- 9 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.55 -1.73
3 A New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 8- 6 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.55 13.19
3 H Canisius ( 4- 7, 90.3) 2- 3 -9.64 8.79 -0.68 0.55 -2.81
3 H Canisius ( 4- 7, 90.3) 2- 4 -9.64 8.79 -0.68 0.55 -2.81
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 16- 2 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.55 9.61
3 H San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 9-13 -6.97 11.46 -0.68 0.55 -2.09
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 5- 6 -8.78 9.65 0.68 0.55 -2.21
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 1- 4 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.55 -2.05
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 4-12 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.55 -2.05
3 A George Washing ( 4- 3, 91.4) 7- 6 -8.49 9.93 0.68 0.55 11.58
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 3- 6 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.55 -1.31
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 1- 3 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.55 -1.31
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 2- 3 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.55 -1.31
3 A Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 8- 5 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.55 12.73
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 4-19 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 0.55 -1.42
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 4- 0 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.55 12.33
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 8-12 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 0.55 -1.42
3 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 1- 3 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.55 -1.85
3 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 10- 5 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.55 12.73
3 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 4- 3 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.55 12.73
3 H Coppin State ( 1- 4, 82.7) 18- 1 -17.20 1.22 -0.68 0.55 0.60
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 9- 6 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.55 11.25
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 6- 9 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.55 -2.21
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 8- 6 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.55 11.25
3 A Coppin State ( 1- 4, 82.7) 14- 7 -17.20 1.22 0.68 0.55 2.07
3 H Saint Joseph's ( 3- 5, 89.7) 5-11 -10.19 8.24 -0.68 0.55 -2.96
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 2-11 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.55 -1.68
3 A Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 5- 6 -6.82 11.60 0.68 0.55 -1.68
3 A Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 8-10 -6.82 11.60 0.68 0.55 -1.68
3 A Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 7-15 -5.11 13.31 0.68 0.55 -1.21
3 A Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 1- 9 -4.55 13.87 0.68 0.55 -1.06
3 A Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 4- 6 -4.55 13.87 0.68 0.55 -1.06
3 A Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 6- 8 -4.55 13.87 0.68 0.55 -1.06
3 A UMBC ( 6- 8, 92.1) 5- 6 -7.85 10.58 0.68 0.55 -1.96
3 H Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 5-15 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.55 -2.21
3 H Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 9- 7 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.55 11.25
3 H Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 0-10 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.55 -2.21
3 H George Washing ( 4- 3, 91.4) 12- 0 -8.49 9.93 -0.68 0.55 10.10
3 A Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 1-12 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.55 -1.85
3 A Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 6- 5 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.55 12.73
3 A Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 0- 8 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.55 -1.85
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 11-23 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.55 -1.58
3 A William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 15- 3 -8.38 10.05 0.68 0.55 11.70
3 A William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 11-10 -8.38 10.05 0.68 0.55 11.70
3 A William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 6-14 -8.38 10.05 0.68 0.55 -2.10
3 H UMBC ( 6- 8, 92.1) 9- 8 -7.85 10.58 -0.68 0.55 10.81
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 0-16 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.55 -2.19
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 7-11 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.55 -2.19
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 14-10 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.55 13.40
------
146.53
|
winning pts = 206.9326 losing points = -60.4010
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------