Tarleton State
W-L: ( 7-10) PR = 94.8283Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 216 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 1- 3 227 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 8- 7 228 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 3- 9 301 A Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 4- 5 303 A Samford SO ( 9-10, 94.7) 6- 2 317 H Dallas Baptist 6-16 331 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 5- 1 407 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 2- 2 414 A TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 5-12 421 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 3-13 428 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 7- 9 521 H Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 9- 0 522 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 5- 3 523 A Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 21-11 529 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 11- 5 530 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 2-16 530 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 2-16 531 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 5- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
216 H Arkansas 1- 3 -2 -2 0.01
227 H Creighton 8- 7 1 1 -0.09
228 H Texas State 3- 9 -6 0 --- -6.49
301 A Creighton 4- 5 -1 0 -0.74
303 A Samford 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.59
331 A Baylor 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.57
407 A Louisville 2- 2 0 -2 + 2.05
414 A TCU 5-12 -7 -2 -- -5.23
421 A Texas Tech 3-13 -10 -2 --- -8.36
428 A Texas A&M 7- 9 -2 -5 + 2.84
521 H Sacramento State 9- 0 9 1 +++ 8.36
522 H California Baptist 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.98
523 A Sacramento State 21-11 10 -1 +++ 10.72
529 A UC Santa Barbara 11- 5 6 -2 +++ 8.11
530 H Texas 2-16 -14 -4 --- -10.04
530 H Texas 2-16 -14 -4 --- -10.04
531 H UC Santa Barbara 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.25
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Texas State 3- 9 -6 0 --- -6.49 421 A Texas Tech 3-13 -10 -2 --- -8.36 530 H Texas 2-16 -14 -4 --- -10.04 530 H Texas 2-16 -14 -4 --- -10.04 414 A TCU 5-12 -7 -2 -- -5.23 531 H UC Santa Barbara 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.25 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 521 H Sacramento State 9- 0 9 1 +++ 8.36 523 A Sacramento State 21-11 10 -1 +++ 10.72 529 A UC Santa Barbara 11- 5 6 -2 +++ 8.11 303 A Samford 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.59 331 A Baylor 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.57 407 A Louisville 2- 2 0 -2 + 2.05 428 A Texas A&M 7- 9 -2 -5 + 2.84 522 H California Baptist 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.98 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 1- 3 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 1.70 -2.60
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 8- 7 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 1.70 41.73
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 3- 9 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 1.70 -4.73
3 A Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 4- 5 -5.48 12.94 0.68 1.70 -4.09
3 A Samford ( 9-10, 94.7) 6- 2 -5.15 13.27 0.68 1.70 47.46
3 A Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 5- 1 -5.18 13.25 0.68 1.70 47.37
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 2- 2 -3.70 14.73 0.68 1.70 0.00
3 A TCU (32-21, 95.9) 5-12 -3.97 14.45 0.68 1.70 -2.80
3 A Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 3-13 -4.11 14.32 0.68 1.70 -2.92
3 A Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 7- 9 -0.91 17.52 0.68 1.70 -0.20
3 H Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 9- 0 -5.03 13.39 -0.68 1.70 43.27
3 H California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 5- 3 -3.42 15.01 -0.68 1.70 48.77
3 A Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 21-11 -5.03 13.39 0.68 1.70 47.87
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 11- 5 -3.64 14.78 0.68 1.70 52.60
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 2-16 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 1.70 -0.95
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 2-16 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 1.70 -0.95
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 5- 9 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 1.70 -3.67
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306.18
|
winning pts = 329.0843 losing points = -22.9084
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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