UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Tulane
  
Tulane                
W-L: (25-31) PR = 94.4068

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 12- 3 214 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 4- 6 215 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 6- 2 217 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 5- 3 220 A Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 7- 1 221 H Harvard IVY ( 2- 9, 91.1) 11- 9 222 H Harvard IVY ( 2- 9, 91.1) 11- 1 224 A New Orleans SL ( 6-10, 93.8) 3-11 225 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 15- 2 227 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 5- 4 228 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 3- 6 301 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 11- 3 303 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 5-11 306 H Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 2- 6 308 A TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 3- 4 308 A TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 8- 4 310 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 7-11 313 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 6- 8 314 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 1- 2 315 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 4- 5 317 H New Orleans SL ( 6-10, 93.8) 5- 2 318 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 2-12 320 H Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 6- 7 321 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 11- 6 322 H Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 12- 2 325 H Grambling SWAC ( 0- 9, 87.5) 15- 5 327 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 6- 9 328 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 4- 7 329 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 4- 5 331 H Nicholls SL ( 1-13, 90.0) 6- 2 402 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 4- 2 403 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 4- 7 404 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 8- 1 407 A Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 5- 9 410 A BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 4- 6 411 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 6- 9 412 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 6- 3 414 H SE Louisiana SL ( 7- 8, 94.9) 8- 4 417 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 3-11 418 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 9-10 419 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 12- 4 421 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 4- 5 424 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 3- 7 425 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 2- 8 426 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 12- 7 428 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 7- 6 501 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 0-10 502 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 2- 8 503 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 3- 6 505 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 6-13 508 H South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 6-16 509 H South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 9- 8 510 H South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 9- 5 514 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 0- 7 515 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 6- 0 516 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 5- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Loyola Marymount       12- 3       9     3    +++    6.23
   214 A Loyola Marymount        4- 6      -2     3    --    -4.77
   215 A Loyola Marymount        6- 2       4     3           1.23
   217 H North Alabama           5- 3       2     2           0.32
   220 A Michigan State          7- 1       6    -1    +++    7.31
   221 H Harvard                11- 9       2     4    -     -2.03
   222 H Harvard                11- 1      10     4    ++     5.97
   224 A New Orleans             3-11      -8     0    ---   -7.90
   225 A South Alabama          15- 2      13    -1    +++   14.46
   227 H Eastern Kentucky        5- 4       1     4    -     -2.87
   228 H Eastern Kentucky        3- 6      -3     4    ---   -6.87
   301 H Eastern Kentucky       11- 3       8     4    ++     4.13
   303 H South Alabama           5-11      -6     0    --    -5.89
   306 H Western Kentucky        2- 6      -4     1    --    -4.73
   308 A TCU                     3- 4      -1    -2           1.20
   308 A TCU                     8- 4       4    -2    +++    6.20
   310 A Mississippi State       7-11      -4    -6           1.61
   313 H Creighton               6- 8      -2     1    -     -2.67
   314 H Creighton               1- 2      -1     1          -1.67
   315 H Creighton               4- 5      -1     1          -1.67
   317 H New Orleans             5- 2       3     1           1.75
   318 A UConn                   2-12     -10    -1    ---   -9.37
   320 H Memphis                 6- 7      -1     1          -1.71
   321 A Cal State Northridge   11- 6       5     0    ++     4.90
   322 H Memphis                12- 2      10     1    +++    9.29
   325 H Grambling              15- 5      10     8    +      2.41
   327 A UAB                     6- 9      -3    -1          -1.85
   328 A UAB                     4- 7      -3    -1          -1.85
   329 A UAB                     4- 5      -1    -1           0.15
   331 H Nicholls                6- 2       4     5          -1.08
   402 A Wichita State           4- 2       2    -1    +      2.85
   403 A Wichita State           4- 7      -3    -1    -     -2.15
   404 A Wichita State           8- 1       7    -1    +++    7.85
   407 A Lamar                   5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.47
   410 A BYU                     4- 6      -2    -1          -0.98
   411 H East Carolina           6- 9      -3    -2          -1.35
   412 H East Carolina           6- 3       3    -2    ++     4.65
   414 H SE Louisiana            8- 4       4     0    +      3.86
   417 A Florida Atlantic        3-11      -8     0    ---   -7.98
   418 A Florida Atlantic        9-10      -1     0          -0.98
   419 A Florida Atlantic       12- 4       8     0    +++    8.02
   421 A Southern Miss           4- 5      -1    -3           1.90
   424 H UTSA                    3- 7      -4    -2          -1.93
   425 H UTSA                    2- 8      -6    -2    -     -3.93
   426 H UTSA                   12- 7       5    -2    +++    7.07
   428 H Southern Miss           7- 6       1    -2    +      2.54
   501 A Charlotte               0-10     -10     0    ---   -9.62
   502 A Charlotte               2- 8      -6     0    --    -5.62
   503 A Charlotte               3- 6      -3     0    -     -2.62
   505 A LSU                     6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.72
   508 H South Florida           6-16     -10     1    ---  -10.50
   509 H South Florida           9- 8       1     1           0.50
   510 H South Florida           9- 5       4     1    +      3.50
   514 H Minnesota               0- 7      -7    -2    --    -4.74
   515 H Alabama                 6- 0       6    -2    +++    8.00
   516 A Rice                    5- 6      -1    -1          -0.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A New Orleans             3-11      -8     0    ---   -7.90
   228 H Eastern Kentucky        3- 6      -3     4    ---   -6.87
   318 A UConn                   2-12     -10    -1    ---   -9.37
   417 A Florida Atlantic        3-11      -8     0    ---   -7.98
   501 A Charlotte               0-10     -10     0    ---   -9.62
   508 H South Florida           6-16     -10     1    ---  -10.50
   214 A Loyola Marymount        4- 6      -2     3    --    -4.77
   303 H South Alabama           5-11      -6     0    --    -5.89
   306 H Western Kentucky        2- 6      -4     1    --    -4.73
   407 A Lamar                   5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.47
   502 A Charlotte               2- 8      -6     0    --    -5.62
   514 H Minnesota               0- 7      -7    -2    --    -4.74
   221 H Harvard                11- 9       2     4    -     -2.03
   227 H Eastern Kentucky        5- 4       1     4    -     -2.87
   313 H Creighton               6- 8      -2     1    -     -2.67
   403 A Wichita State           4- 7      -3    -1    -     -2.15
   425 H UTSA                    2- 8      -6    -2    -     -3.93
   503 A Charlotte               3- 6      -3     0    -     -2.62
   505 A LSU                     6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Loyola Marymount       12- 3       9     3    +++    6.23
   220 A Michigan State          7- 1       6    -1    +++    7.31
   225 A South Alabama          15- 2      13    -1    +++   14.46
   308 A TCU                     8- 4       4    -2    +++    6.20
   322 H Memphis                12- 2      10     1    +++    9.29
   404 A Wichita State           8- 1       7    -1    +++    7.85
   419 A Florida Atlantic       12- 4       8     0    +++    8.02
   426 H UTSA                   12- 7       5    -2    +++    7.07
   515 H Alabama                 6- 0       6    -2    +++    8.00
   222 H Harvard                11- 1      10     4    ++     5.97
   301 H Eastern Kentucky       11- 3       8     4    ++     4.13
   321 A Cal State Northridge   11- 6       5     0    ++     4.90
   412 H East Carolina           6- 3       3    -2    ++     4.65
   325 H Grambling              15- 5      10     8    +      2.41
   402 A Wichita State           4- 2       2    -1    +      2.85
   414 H SE Louisiana            8- 4       4     0    +      3.86
   428 H Southern Miss           7- 6       1    -2    +      2.54
   510 H South Florida           9- 5       4     1    +      3.50

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Loyola Marymou  (14-39, 91.0)    12- 3       -8.93       9.49       0.68         0.52            10.50
   3 A Loyola Marymou  (14-39, 91.0)     4- 6       -8.93       9.49       0.68         0.52            -2.13
   3 A Loyola Marymou  (14-39, 91.0)     6- 2       -8.93       9.49       0.68         0.52            10.50
   3 H North Alabama   (30-29, 93.4)     5- 3       -6.50      11.93      -0.68         0.52            11.62
   3 A Michigan State  (26-28, 95.0)     7- 1       -4.86      13.57       0.68         0.52            14.71
   3 H Harvard         ( 2- 9, 91.1)    11- 9       -8.84       9.58      -0.68         0.52             9.20
   3 H Harvard         ( 2- 9, 91.1)    11- 1       -8.84       9.58      -0.68         0.52             9.20
   3 A New Orleans     ( 6-10, 93.8)     3-11       -6.07      12.36       0.68         0.52            -1.39
   3 A South Alabama   (33-24, 95.2)    15- 2       -4.71      13.72       0.68         0.52            14.87
   3 H Eastern Kentuc  (17-34, 91.2)     5- 4       -8.69       9.74      -0.68         0.52             9.36
   3 H Eastern Kentuc  (17-34, 91.2)     3- 6       -8.69       9.74      -0.68         0.52            -2.42
   3 H Eastern Kentuc  (17-34, 91.2)    11- 3       -8.69       9.74      -0.68         0.52             9.36
   3 H South Alabama   (33-24, 95.2)     5-11       -4.71      13.72      -0.68         0.52            -1.39
   3 H Western Kentuc  (28-27, 94.4)     2- 6       -5.55      12.88      -0.68         0.52            -1.61
   3 A TCU             (32-21, 95.9)     3- 4       -3.97      14.45       0.68         0.52            -0.85
   3 A TCU             (32-21, 95.9)     8- 4       -3.97      14.45       0.68         0.52            15.63
   3 A Mississippi St  (43-20, 99.3)     7-11       -0.56      17.86       0.68         0.52            -0.03
   3 H Creighton       (32-25, 94.4)     6- 8       -5.48      12.94      -0.68         0.52            -1.59
   3 H Creighton       (32-25, 94.4)     1- 2       -5.48      12.94      -0.68         0.52            -1.59
   3 H Creighton       (32-25, 94.4)     4- 5       -5.48      12.94      -0.68         0.52            -1.59
   3 H New Orleans     ( 6-10, 93.8)     5- 2       -6.07      12.36      -0.68         0.52            12.07
   3 A UConn           (28-29, 94.4)     2-12       -5.54      12.88       0.68         0.52            -1.26
   3 H Memphis         (27-30, 94.4)     6- 7       -5.53      12.90      -0.68         0.52            -1.60
   3 A Cal State Nort  (24-29, 93.6)    11- 6       -6.27      12.16       0.68         0.52            13.26
   3 H Memphis         (27-30, 94.4)    12- 2       -5.53      12.90      -0.68         0.52            12.62
   3 H Grambling       ( 0- 9, 87.5)    15- 5      -12.40       6.02      -0.68         0.52             5.52
   3 A UAB             (31-27, 94.9)     6- 9       -5.02      13.40       0.68         0.52            -1.12
   3 A UAB             (31-27, 94.9)     4- 7       -5.02      13.40       0.68         0.52            -1.12
   3 A UAB             (31-27, 94.9)     4- 5       -5.02      13.40       0.68         0.52            -1.12
   3 H Nicholls        ( 1-13, 90.0)     6- 2       -9.90       8.53      -0.68         0.52             8.11
   3 A Wichita State   (33-26, 94.6)     4- 2       -5.32      13.11       0.68         0.52            14.24
   3 A Wichita State   (33-26, 94.6)     4- 7       -5.32      13.11       0.68         0.52            -1.20
   3 A Wichita State   (33-26, 94.6)     8- 1       -5.32      13.11       0.68         0.52            14.24
   3 A Lamar           (11-13, 93.3)     5- 9       -6.64      11.79       0.68         0.52            -1.54
   3 A BYU             (28-27, 94.7)     4- 6       -5.15      13.28       0.68         0.52            -1.16
   3 H East Carolina   (36-25, 96.7)     6- 9       -3.16      15.26      -0.68         0.52            -0.99
   3 H East Carolina   (36-25, 96.7)     6- 3       -3.16      15.26      -0.68         0.52            15.07
   3 H SE Louisiana    ( 7- 8, 94.9)     8- 4       -4.95      13.47      -0.68         0.52            13.22
   3 A Florida Atlant  (28-26, 93.8)     3-11       -6.15      12.28       0.68         0.52            -1.41
   3 A Florida Atlant  (28-26, 93.8)     9-10       -6.15      12.28       0.68         0.52            -1.41
   3 A Florida Atlant  (28-26, 93.8)    12- 4       -6.15      12.28       0.68         0.52            13.38
   3 A Southern Miss   (40-20, 96.6)     4- 5       -3.27      15.15       0.68         0.52            -0.67
   3 H UTSA            (38-20, 97.2)     3- 7       -2.74      15.68      -0.68         0.52            -0.88
   3 H UTSA            (38-20, 97.2)     2- 8       -2.74      15.68      -0.68         0.52            -0.88
   3 H UTSA            (38-20, 97.2)    12- 7       -2.74      15.68      -0.68         0.52            15.50
   3 H Southern Miss   (40-20, 96.6)     7- 6       -3.27      15.15      -0.68         0.52            14.95
   3 A Charlotte       (25-31, 94.1)     0-10       -5.79      12.64       0.68         0.52            -1.32
   3 A Charlotte       (25-31, 94.1)     2- 8       -5.79      12.64       0.68         0.52            -1.32
   3 A Charlotte       (25-31, 94.1)     3- 6       -5.79      12.64       0.68         0.52            -1.32
   3 A LSU             (31-26, 97.0)     6-13       -2.89      15.53       0.68         0.52            -0.57
   3 H South Florida   (30-22, 94.6)     6-16       -5.32      13.11      -0.68         0.52            -1.55
   3 H South Florida   (30-22, 94.6)     9- 8       -5.32      13.11      -0.68         0.52            12.84
   3 H South Florida   (30-22, 94.6)     9- 5       -5.32      13.11      -0.68         0.52            12.84
   3 H Minnesota       (31-21, 97.3)     0- 7       -2.56      15.86      -0.68         0.52            -0.84
   3 H Alabama         (42-20, 97.1)     6- 0       -2.82      15.61      -0.68         0.52            15.42
   3 A Rice            (31-26, 94.3)     5- 6       -5.57      12.86       0.68         0.52            -1.26
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       269.08

winning pts = 308.2276 losing points = -39.1485

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------