UT Arlington
W-L: (11-14) PR = 93.3899Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 11- 7 224 H Dallas Baptist 1- 6 227 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 4- 3 228 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 0- 9 301 H Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 1- 3 306 A Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 4- 5 307 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 9- 5 308 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 2-12 311 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 1- 6 313 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 15-11 314 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 11- 8 315 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 8-15 320 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 1- 8 321 A Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 7- 3 322 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 12- 6 324 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 5- 7 327 H Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 9- 3 328 H Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 11- 3 329 H Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 2- 1 407 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 2- 0 414 A Dallas Baptist 5-10 428 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 2- 6 429 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 1-16 520 A Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 0- 4 520 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 9-12, 93.6) 3- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
217 A UConn 11- 7 4 -2 ++ 5.64
227 A Arkansas 4- 3 1 -5 ++ 5.80
228 A Arkansas 0- 9 -9 -5 -- -4.20
301 H Iowa 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.23
306 A Indiana State 4- 5 -1 0 -1.40
307 H UL Monroe 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 4.55
308 H UL Monroe 2-12 -10 -1 --- -9.45
311 A Oklahoma 1- 6 -5 -4 -0.65
313 A UTSA 15-11 4 -4 +++ 8.44
314 A UTSA 11- 8 3 -4 +++ 7.44
315 A UTSA 8-15 -7 -4 - -2.56
320 H St. John's 1- 8 -7 0 --- -6.91
321 A Butler 7- 3 4 1 + 3.15
322 H St. John's 12- 6 6 0 +++ 6.09
324 A Sam Houston 5- 7 -2 -1 -1.27
327 H Villanova 9- 3 6 4 + 2.26
328 H Villanova 11- 3 8 4 ++ 4.26
329 H Villanova 2- 1 1 4 - -2.74
407 A Eastern Kentucky 2- 0 2 2 0.50
428 A Baylor 2- 6 -4 -2 -1.99
429 H Notre Dame 1-16 -15 -2 --- -12.17
520 A Utah Tech 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.46
520 A Abilene Christian 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.09
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 H UL Monroe 2-12 -10 -1 --- -9.45 320 H St. John's 1- 8 -7 0 --- -6.91 429 H Notre Dame 1-16 -15 -2 --- -12.17 228 A Arkansas 0- 9 -9 -5 -- -4.20 315 A UTSA 8-15 -7 -4 - -2.56 329 H Villanova 2- 1 1 4 - -2.74 520 A Utah Tech 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A UTSA 15-11 4 -4 +++ 8.44 314 A UTSA 11- 8 3 -4 +++ 7.44 322 H St. John's 12- 6 6 0 +++ 6.09 217 A UConn 11- 7 4 -2 ++ 5.64 227 A Arkansas 4- 3 1 -5 ++ 5.80 307 H UL Monroe 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 4.55 328 H Villanova 11- 3 8 4 ++ 4.26 321 A Butler 7- 3 4 1 + 3.15 327 H Villanova 9- 3 6 4 + 2.26 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 11- 7 -5.54 12.88 0.68 1.26 34.10
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 4- 3 -2.38 16.04 0.68 1.26 42.04
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 0- 9 -2.38 16.04 0.68 1.26 -1.07
3 H Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 1- 3 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 1.26 -2.98
3 A Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 4- 5 -7.59 10.84 0.68 1.26 -4.35
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 9- 5 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 1.26 31.35
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 2-12 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 1.26 -3.75
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 1- 6 -2.84 15.59 0.68 1.26 -1.36
3 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 15-11 -2.74 15.68 0.68 1.26 41.14
3 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 11- 8 -2.74 15.68 0.68 1.26 41.14
3 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 8-15 -2.74 15.68 0.68 1.26 -1.30
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 1- 8 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 1.26 -4.04
3 A Butler (23-30, 91.9) 7- 3 -8.03 10.39 0.68 1.26 27.84
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 12- 6 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 1.26 30.18
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 5- 7 -6.46 11.97 0.68 1.26 -3.64
3 H Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 9- 3 -9.57 8.85 -0.68 1.26 20.56
3 H Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 11- 3 -9.57 8.85 -0.68 1.26 20.56
3 H Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 2- 1 -9.57 8.85 -0.68 1.26 20.56
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 2- 0 -8.69 9.74 0.68 1.26 26.19
3 A Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 2- 6 -5.18 13.25 0.68 1.26 -2.83
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 1-16 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 1.26 -2.94
3 A Utah Tech (12-10, 93.3) 0- 4 -6.65 11.78 0.68 1.26 -3.75
3 A Abilene Christ ( 9-12, 93.6) 3- 5 -6.27 12.15 0.68 1.26 -3.52
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300.13
|
winning pts = 335.6621 losing points = -35.5324
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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