UC Davis
W-L: (27-26) PR = 93.8520Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 2-12 214 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 4- 6 215 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 1- 9 218 H North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 2- 5 220 H Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 2- 1 221 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 6- 4 222 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 13- 8 225 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 2- 7 227 H Nevada MW ( 6-13, 92.9) 5- 4 228 H Nevada MW ( 6-13, 92.9) 7- 5 301 A Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 5- 7 303 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 2-10 306 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 4- 5 307 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 3- 6 308 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 7- 3 313 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 0- 4 314 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 5- 4 315 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 10- 6 321 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 11- 4 322 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 4- 5 323 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 8- 2 324 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 10- 8 327 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 4- 9 328 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 2- 3 329 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 5- 9 402 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 1- 4 403 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 2- 7 404 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 4- 8 406 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 4- 1 407 A Nevada MW ( 6-13, 92.9) 11- 9 410 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 5- 4 410 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 2- 9 410 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 5- 3 414 H Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 6- 5 417 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 11- 3 418 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 2-11 419 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 3- 5 422 H Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 1- 7 424 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 3- 5 425 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 3- 8 426 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 3- 0 427 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 5- 6 429 A California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 6- 1 501 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 7- 6 502 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 11- 5 503 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 6- 2 505 H Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 3- 1 508 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 1- 4 509 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 4- 2 510 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 3- 1 513 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 3- 0 514 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 2- 3 515 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 8- 0
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Texas 2-12 -10 -6 - -3.71
214 A Texas 4- 6 -2 -6 ++ 4.29
215 A Texas 1- 9 -8 -6 -1.71
218 H North Carolina 2- 5 -3 -4 1.27
220 H Pacific 2- 1 1 2 -1.12
221 A Santa Clara 6- 4 2 0 + 2.21
222 A Santa Clara 13- 8 5 0 ++ 5.21
225 H California 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.39
227 H Nevada 5- 4 1 2 -0.65
228 H Nevada 7- 5 2 2 0.35
301 A Xavier 5- 7 -2 0 -1.58
303 H Arkansas 2-10 -8 -3 -- -5.01
306 H Delaware 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.39
307 A UC Riverside 3- 6 -3 4 --- -6.57
308 A UC Riverside 7- 3 4 4 0.43
313 H UC Santa Barbara 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.27
314 H UC Santa Barbara 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.73
315 H UC Santa Barbara 10- 6 4 -2 ++ 5.73
321 H Loyola Marymount 11- 4 7 4 + 3.44
322 A Cal Poly 4- 5 -1 -2 1.13
323 A Cal Poly 8- 2 6 -2 +++ 8.13
324 A Pacific 10- 8 2 1 1.23
327 H UC San Diego 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.11
328 H UC San Diego 2- 3 -1 0 -1.11
329 H UC San Diego 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.11
402 A UC Irvine 1- 4 -3 -1 -1.85
403 A UC Irvine 2- 7 -5 -1 - -3.85
404 A UC Irvine 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.85
406 H Saint Mary's 4- 1 3 0 + 3.04
407 A Nevada 11- 9 2 0 1.70
410 A Loyola Marymount 5- 4 1 2 -1.21
410 A San Diego 2- 9 -7 1 --- -7.58
410 A UCF 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 4.82
414 H Pacific 6- 5 1 2 -1.12
417 A Cal State Northridge 11- 3 8 0 +++ 8.46
418 A Cal State Northridge 2-11 -9 0 --- -8.54
419 A Cal State Northridge 3- 5 -2 0 -1.54
422 H Sacramento State 1- 7 -6 0 -- -5.66
424 H Long Beach State 3- 5 -2 2 - -3.65
425 H Long Beach State 3- 8 -5 2 --- -6.65
426 H Long Beach State 3- 0 3 2 1.35
427 A Stanford 5- 6 -1 -1 0.38
429 A California 6- 1 5 -2 +++ 6.96
501 A Cal State Fullerton 7- 6 1 -1 1.53
502 A Cal State Fullerton 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 6.53
503 A Cal State Fullerton 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.53
505 H Sacramento State 3- 1 2 0 + 2.34
508 H Hawai'i 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.87
509 H Hawai'i 4- 2 2 1 1.13
510 H Hawai'i 3- 1 2 1 1.13
513 A Cal State Northridge 3- 0 3 0 + 3.46
514 A Cal State Bakersfield 2- 3 -1 0 -1.29
515 A Janes Madison 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.92
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A UC Riverside 3- 6 -3 4 --- -6.57 410 A San Diego 2- 9 -7 1 --- -7.58 418 A Cal State Northridge 2-11 -9 0 --- -8.54 425 H Long Beach State 3- 8 -5 2 --- -6.65 225 H California 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.39 303 H Arkansas 2-10 -8 -3 -- -5.01 327 H UC San Diego 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.11 329 H UC San Diego 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.11 422 H Sacramento State 1- 7 -6 0 -- -5.66 213 A Texas 2-12 -10 -6 - -3.71 306 H Delaware 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.39 313 H UC Santa Barbara 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.27 403 A UC Irvine 2- 7 -5 -1 - -3.85 404 A UC Irvine 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.85 424 H Long Beach State 3- 5 -2 2 - -3.65 508 H Hawai'i 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.87 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 A Cal Poly 8- 2 6 -2 +++ 8.13 417 A Cal State Northridge 11- 3 8 0 +++ 8.46 429 A California 6- 1 5 -2 +++ 6.96 502 A Cal State Fullerton 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 6.53 515 A Janes Madison 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.92 214 A Texas 4- 6 -2 -6 ++ 4.29 222 A Santa Clara 13- 8 5 0 ++ 5.21 315 H UC Santa Barbara 10- 6 4 -2 ++ 5.73 410 A UCF 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 4.82 503 A Cal State Fullerton 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.53 221 A Santa Clara 6- 4 2 0 + 2.21 314 H UC Santa Barbara 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.73 321 H Loyola Marymount 11- 4 7 4 + 3.44 406 H Saint Mary's 4- 1 3 0 + 3.04 505 H Sacramento State 3- 1 2 0 + 2.34 513 A Cal State Northridge 3- 0 3 0 + 3.46 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 2-12 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.55 -0.07
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 4- 6 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.55 -0.07
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 1- 9 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.55 -0.07
3 H North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 2- 5 -1.10 17.32 -0.68 0.55 -0.49
3 H Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 2- 1 -7.50 10.93 -0.68 0.55 11.19
3 A Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 6- 4 -6.51 11.91 0.68 0.55 13.74
3 A Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 13- 8 -6.51 11.91 0.68 0.55 13.74
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 2- 7 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.55 -1.48
3 H Nevada ( 6-13, 92.9) 5- 4 -7.03 11.40 -0.68 0.55 11.71
3 H Nevada ( 6-13, 92.9) 7- 5 -7.03 11.40 -0.68 0.55 11.71
3 A Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 5- 7 -6.31 12.12 0.68 0.55 -1.54
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 2-10 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 0.55 -0.83
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 4- 5 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.55 -2.30
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 3- 6 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.55 -2.63
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 7- 3 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.55 9.61
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 0- 4 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.55 -1.18
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 5- 4 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.55 15.40
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 10- 6 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.55 15.40
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 11- 4 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 0.55 9.62
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 4- 5 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.55 -1.07
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 8- 2 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.55 15.83
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 10- 8 -7.50 10.93 0.68 0.55 12.67
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 4- 9 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.55 -1.68
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 2- 3 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.55 -1.68
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 5- 9 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.55 -1.68
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 1- 4 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.55 -1.34
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 2- 7 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.55 -1.34
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 4- 8 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.55 -1.34
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 4- 1 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.55 13.56
3 A Nevada ( 6-13, 92.9) 11- 9 -7.03 11.40 0.68 0.55 13.18
3 A Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 5- 4 -8.93 9.49 0.68 0.55 11.10
3 A San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 2- 9 -7.30 11.12 0.68 0.55 -1.81
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 5- 3 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.55 16.58
3 H Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 6- 5 -7.50 10.93 -0.68 0.55 11.19
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 11- 3 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.55 14.01
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 2-11 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.55 -1.53
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 3- 5 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.55 -1.53
3 H Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 1- 7 -5.03 13.39 -0.68 0.55 -1.56
3 H Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 3- 5 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.55 -2.10
3 H Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 3- 8 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.55 -2.10
3 H Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 3- 0 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.55 11.71
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 5- 6 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.55 -1.27
3 A California (29-24, 95.1) 6- 1 -4.77 13.66 0.68 0.55 15.65
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 7- 6 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.55 14.09
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 11- 5 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.55 14.09
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 6- 2 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.55 14.09
3 H Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 3- 1 -5.03 13.39 -0.68 0.55 13.88
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 1- 4 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.55 -1.89
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 4- 2 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.55 12.56
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 3- 1 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.55 12.56
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 3- 0 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.55 14.01
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 2- 3 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.55 -1.73
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 8- 0 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.55 12.33
------
318.92
|
winning pts = 355.1804 losing points = -36.2634
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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