UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick UC Irvine
  
UC Irvine             
W-L: (25-26) PR = 94.3292

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 5- 0 214 A Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 7- 3 214 A Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 6- 2 218 A Manhattan MAAC ( 1- 2, 88.5) 5-10 220 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 5- 2 221 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 2-11 222 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 2- 4 224 H Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 3- 0 225 H Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 4- 9 227 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 9- 4 228 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 8- 6 301 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 1- 7 303 H San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 4- 5 306 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 4- 1 307 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 4- 2 308 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 2- 9 310 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 1-11 313 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 3- 8 314 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 5- 9 315 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 6- 8 320 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 1- 5 321 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 3- 3 322 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 5- 9 324 A San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 4- 8 327 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 2-10 328 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 12- 9 329 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 7- 1 331 H UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 1- 9 402 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 4- 1 403 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 7- 2 404 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 8- 4 407 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 13- 7 410 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 6-14 411 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 0- 3 412 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 5- 1 417 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 3- 7 418 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 6- 3 419 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 4- 8 424 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 10-11 425 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 4- 9 426 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 9- 7 428 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 4- 1 501 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 11- 4 502 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 2-11 503 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 6- 8 505 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 9- 4 508 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 17- 5 509 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 15- 3 510 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 3- 5 514 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 6- 0 515 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 0- 3 516 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 10- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Sacramento State        5- 0       5    -1    +++    6.21
   214 A Sacramento State        7- 3       4    -1    ++     5.21
   214 A Sacramento State        6- 2       4    -1    ++     5.21
   218 A Manhattan               5-10      -5     5    ---  -10.13
   220 A Wichita State           5- 2       3    -1    +      3.93
   221 H California              2-11      -9     0    ---   -8.87
   222 H California              2- 4      -2     0          -1.87
   224 H Grand Canyon            3- 0       3     2           1.09
   225 H Grand Canyon            4- 9      -5     2    ---   -6.91
   227 A Vanderbilt              9- 4       5    -3    +++    8.47
   228 H Oregon                  8- 6       2    -2    ++     4.12
   301 A Arizona                 1- 7      -6     0    --    -5.83
   303 H San José State         4- 5      -1     1          -1.62
   306 A San Diego               4- 1       3     1           1.94
   307 H Cal State Northridge    4- 2       2     1           0.63
   308 H Cal State Northridge    2- 9      -7     1    ---   -8.37
   310 A UCLA                    1-11     -10    -5    --    -5.24
   313 A Cal State Fullerton     3- 8      -5     0    --    -4.95
   314 A Cal State Fullerton     5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.95
   315 A Cal State Fullerton     6- 8      -2     0          -1.95
   320 H Oregon State            1- 5      -4    -1    -     -2.73
   321 A Arkansas                3- 3       0    -4    +      3.86
   322 H Oregon State            5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.73
   324 A San Diego State         4- 8      -4     1    --    -4.72
   327 A Long Beach State        2-10      -8     1    ---   -8.77
   328 A Long Beach State       12- 9       3     1    +      2.23
   329 A Long Beach State        7- 1       6     1    ++     5.23
   331 H UCLA                    1- 9      -8    -3    --    -4.59
   402 H UC Davis                4- 1       3     1           1.85
   403 H UC Davis                7- 2       5     1    +      3.85
   404 H UC Davis                8- 4       4     1    +      2.85
   407 A UCLA                   13- 7       6    -5    +++   10.76
   410 A Hawai'i                 6-14      -8     0    ---   -8.00
   411 A Hawai'i                 0- 3      -3     0    -     -3.00
   412 A Hawai'i                 5- 1       4     0    ++     4.00
   417 H UC Santa Barbara        3- 7      -4    -1    -     -2.75
   418 H UC Santa Barbara        6- 3       3    -1    ++     4.25
   419 H UC Santa Barbara        4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.75
   424 A UC San Diego           10-11      -1    -1          -0.24
   425 A UC San Diego            4- 9      -5    -1    --    -4.24
   426 A UC San Diego            9- 7       2    -1    +      2.76
   428 H USC                     4- 1       3    -2    ++     5.49
   501 H Cal Poly               11- 4       7     0    +++    7.30
   502 H Cal Poly                2-11      -9     0    ---   -8.70
   503 H Cal Poly                6- 8      -2     0          -1.70
   505 A San Diego               9- 4       5     1    +      3.94
   508 A UC Riverside           17- 5      12     4    +++    7.95
   509 A UC Riverside           15- 3      12     4    +++    7.95
   510 A UC Riverside            3- 5      -2     4    ---   -6.05
   514 A UCLA                    6- 0       6    -5    +++   10.76
   515 A Stanford                0- 3      -3    -1    -     -2.10
   516 H Cal State Bakersfield  10- 7       3     2           0.88

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A Manhattan               5-10      -5     5    ---  -10.13
   221 H California              2-11      -9     0    ---   -8.87
   225 H Grand Canyon            4- 9      -5     2    ---   -6.91
   308 H Cal State Northridge    2- 9      -7     1    ---   -8.37
   327 A Long Beach State        2-10      -8     1    ---   -8.77
   410 A Hawai'i                 6-14      -8     0    ---   -8.00
   502 H Cal Poly                2-11      -9     0    ---   -8.70
   510 A UC Riverside            3- 5      -2     4    ---   -6.05
   301 A Arizona                 1- 7      -6     0    --    -5.83
   310 A UCLA                    1-11     -10    -5    --    -5.24
   313 A Cal State Fullerton     3- 8      -5     0    --    -4.95
   324 A San Diego State         4- 8      -4     1    --    -4.72
   331 H UCLA                    1- 9      -8    -3    --    -4.59
   425 A UC San Diego            4- 9      -5    -1    --    -4.24
   314 A Cal State Fullerton     5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.95
   320 H Oregon State            1- 5      -4    -1    -     -2.73
   322 H Oregon State            5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.73
   411 A Hawai'i                 0- 3      -3     0    -     -3.00
   417 H UC Santa Barbara        3- 7      -4    -1    -     -2.75
   419 H UC Santa Barbara        4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.75
   515 A Stanford                0- 3      -3    -1    -     -2.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Sacramento State        5- 0       5    -1    +++    6.21
   227 A Vanderbilt              9- 4       5    -3    +++    8.47
   407 A UCLA                   13- 7       6    -5    +++   10.76
   501 H Cal Poly               11- 4       7     0    +++    7.30
   508 A UC Riverside           17- 5      12     4    +++    7.95
   509 A UC Riverside           15- 3      12     4    +++    7.95
   514 A UCLA                    6- 0       6    -5    +++   10.76
   214 A Sacramento State        7- 3       4    -1    ++     5.21
   214 A Sacramento State        6- 2       4    -1    ++     5.21
   228 H Oregon                  8- 6       2    -2    ++     4.12
   329 A Long Beach State        7- 1       6     1    ++     5.23
   412 A Hawai'i                 5- 1       4     0    ++     4.00
   418 H UC Santa Barbara        6- 3       3    -1    ++     4.25
   428 H USC                     4- 1       3    -2    ++     5.49
   220 A Wichita State           5- 2       3    -1    +      3.93
   321 A Arkansas                3- 3       0    -4    +      3.86
   328 A Long Beach State       12- 9       3     1    +      2.23
   403 H UC Davis                7- 2       5     1    +      3.85
   404 H UC Davis                8- 4       4     1    +      2.85
   426 A UC San Diego            9- 7       2    -1    +      2.76
   505 A San Diego               9- 4       5     1    +      3.94

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Sacramento Sta  (12-18, 94.9)     5- 0       -5.03      13.39       0.68         0.56            15.65
   3 A Sacramento Sta  (12-18, 94.9)     7- 3       -5.03      13.39       0.68         0.56            15.65
   3 A Sacramento Sta  (12-18, 94.9)     6- 2       -5.03      13.39       0.68         0.56            15.65
   3 A Manhattan       ( 1- 2, 88.5)     5-10      -11.38       7.05       0.68         0.56            -2.98
   3 A Wichita State   (33-26, 94.6)     5- 2       -5.32      13.11       0.68         0.56            15.33
   3 H California      (29-24, 95.1)     2-11       -4.77      13.66      -0.68         0.56            -1.51
   3 H California      (29-24, 95.1)     2- 4       -4.77      13.66      -0.68         0.56            -1.51
   3 H Grand Canyon    (11-16, 93.1)     3- 0       -6.81      11.62      -0.68         0.56            12.17
   3 H Grand Canyon    (11-16, 93.1)     4- 9       -6.81      11.62      -0.68         0.56            -2.08
   3 A Vanderbilt      (32-22, 97.1)     9- 4       -2.78      15.65       0.68         0.56            18.16
   3 H Oregon          (44-17, 97.1)     8- 6       -2.78      15.65      -0.68         0.56            16.65
   3 A Arizona         (17-36, 93.8)     1- 7       -6.08      12.35       0.68         0.56            -1.50
   3 H San José Stat  (12-11, 94.4)     4- 5       -5.52      12.91      -0.68         0.56            -1.72
   3 A San Diego       (20-30, 92.6)     4- 1       -7.30      11.12       0.68         0.56            13.13
   3 H Cal State Nort  (24-29, 93.6)     4- 2       -6.27      12.16      -0.68         0.56            12.77
   3 H Cal State Nort  (24-29, 93.6)     2- 9       -6.27      12.16      -0.68         0.56            -1.93
   3 A UCLA            (48-12, 98.4)     1-11       -1.48      16.94       0.68         0.56            -0.22
   3 A Cal State Full  (21-34, 93.7)     3- 8       -6.19      12.23       0.68         0.56            -1.53
   3 A Cal State Full  (21-34, 93.7)     5- 9       -6.19      12.23       0.68         0.56            -1.53
   3 A Cal State Full  (21-34, 93.7)     6- 8       -6.19      12.23       0.68         0.56            -1.53
   3 H Oregon State    (42-16, 96.3)     1- 5       -3.62      14.80      -0.68         0.56            -1.20
   3 A Arkansas        (38-25, 97.5)     3- 3       -2.38      16.04       0.68         0.56             0.00
   3 H Oregon State    (42-16, 96.3)     5- 9       -3.62      14.80      -0.68         0.56            -1.20
   3 A San Diego Stat  (15-16, 92.9)     4- 8       -6.97      11.46       0.68         0.56            -1.75
   3 A Long Beach Sta  (21-31, 92.9)     2-10       -7.02      11.41       0.68         0.56            -1.76
   3 A Long Beach Sta  (21-31, 92.9)    12- 9       -7.02      11.41       0.68         0.56            13.44
   3 A Long Beach Sta  (21-31, 92.9)     7- 1       -7.02      11.41       0.68         0.56            13.44
   3 H UCLA            (48-12, 98.4)     1- 9       -1.48      16.94      -0.68         0.56            -0.60
   3 H UC Davis        (27-26, 93.9)     4- 1       -6.05      12.38      -0.68         0.56            13.02
   3 H UC Davis        (27-26, 93.9)     7- 2       -6.05      12.38      -0.68         0.56            13.02
   3 H UC Davis        (27-26, 93.9)     8- 4       -6.05      12.38      -0.68         0.56            13.02
   3 A UCLA            (48-12, 98.4)    13- 7       -1.48      16.94       0.68         0.56            19.60
   3 A Hawai'i         (21-26, 93.7)     6-14       -6.25      12.18       0.68         0.56            -1.55
   3 A Hawai'i         (21-26, 93.7)     0- 3       -6.25      12.18       0.68         0.56            -1.55
   3 A Hawai'i         (21-26, 93.7)     5- 1       -6.25      12.18       0.68         0.56            14.30
   3 H UC Santa Barba  (40-22, 96.3)     3- 7       -3.64      14.78      -0.68         0.56            -1.20
   3 H UC Santa Barba  (40-22, 96.3)     6- 3       -3.64      14.78      -0.68         0.56            15.69
   3 H UC Santa Barba  (40-22, 96.3)     4- 8       -3.64      14.78      -0.68         0.56            -1.20
   3 A UC San Diego    (26-29, 94.4)    10-11       -5.48      12.94       0.68         0.56            -1.34
   3 A UC San Diego    (26-29, 94.4)     4- 9       -5.48      12.94       0.68         0.56            -1.34
   3 A UC San Diego    (26-29, 94.4)     9- 7       -5.48      12.94       0.68         0.56            15.15
   3 H USC             (43-22, 97.5)     4- 1       -2.41      16.02      -0.68         0.56            17.07
   3 H Cal Poly        (39-25, 95.3)    11- 4       -4.60      13.83      -0.68         0.56            14.63
   3 H Cal Poly        (39-25, 95.3)     2-11       -4.60      13.83      -0.68         0.56            -1.47
   3 H Cal Poly        (39-25, 95.3)     6- 8       -4.60      13.83      -0.68         0.56            -1.47
   3 A San Diego       (20-30, 92.6)     9- 4       -7.30      11.12       0.68         0.56            13.13
   3 A UC Riverside    (15-35, 89.6)    17- 5      -10.30       8.13       0.68         0.56             9.79
   3 A UC Riverside    (15-35, 89.6)    15- 3      -10.30       8.13       0.68         0.56             9.79
   3 A UC Riverside    (15-35, 89.6)     3- 5      -10.30       8.13       0.68         0.56            -2.68
   3 A UCLA            (48-12, 98.4)     6- 0       -1.48      16.94       0.68         0.56            19.60
   3 A Stanford        (29-25, 94.6)     0- 3       -5.34      13.08       0.68         0.56            -1.30
   3 H Cal State Bake  (24-27, 92.9)    10- 7       -7.01      11.41      -0.68         0.56            11.95
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       322.15

winning pts = 361.7945 losing points = -39.6476

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------