UC Irvine 
W-L: (25-26) PR = 94.3292
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
213 A Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 5- 0
214 A Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 7- 3
214 A Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 6- 2
218 A Manhattan MAAC ( 1- 2, 88.5) 5-10
220 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 5- 2
221 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 2-11
222 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 2- 4
224 H Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 3- 0
225 H Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 4- 9
227 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 9- 4
228 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 8- 6
301 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 1- 7
303 H San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 4- 5
306 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 4- 1
307 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 4- 2
308 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 2- 9
310 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 1-11
313 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 3- 8
314 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 5- 9
315 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 6- 8
320 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 1- 5
321 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 3- 3
322 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 5- 9
324 A San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 4- 8
327 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 2-10
328 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 12- 9
329 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 7- 1
331 H UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 1- 9
402 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 4- 1
403 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 7- 2
404 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 8- 4
407 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 13- 7
410 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 6-14
411 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 0- 3
412 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 5- 1
417 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 3- 7
418 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 6- 3
419 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 4- 8
424 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 10-11
425 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 4- 9
426 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 9- 7
428 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 4- 1
501 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 11- 4
502 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 2-11
503 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 6- 8
505 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 9- 4
508 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 17- 5
509 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 15- 3
510 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 3- 5
514 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 6- 0
515 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 0- 3
516 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 10- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Sacramento State 5- 0 5 -1 +++ 6.21
214 A Sacramento State 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.21
214 A Sacramento State 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 5.21
218 A Manhattan 5-10 -5 5 --- -10.13
220 A Wichita State 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.93
221 H California 2-11 -9 0 --- -8.87
222 H California 2- 4 -2 0 -1.87
224 H Grand Canyon 3- 0 3 2 1.09
225 H Grand Canyon 4- 9 -5 2 --- -6.91
227 A Vanderbilt 9- 4 5 -3 +++ 8.47
228 H Oregon 8- 6 2 -2 ++ 4.12
301 A Arizona 1- 7 -6 0 -- -5.83
303 H San José State 4- 5 -1 1 -1.62
306 A San Diego 4- 1 3 1 1.94
307 H Cal State Northridge 4- 2 2 1 0.63
308 H Cal State Northridge 2- 9 -7 1 --- -8.37
310 A UCLA 1-11 -10 -5 -- -5.24
313 A Cal State Fullerton 3- 8 -5 0 -- -4.95
314 A Cal State Fullerton 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.95
315 A Cal State Fullerton 6- 8 -2 0 -1.95
320 H Oregon State 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.73
321 A Arkansas 3- 3 0 -4 + 3.86
322 H Oregon State 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.73
324 A San Diego State 4- 8 -4 1 -- -4.72
327 A Long Beach State 2-10 -8 1 --- -8.77
328 A Long Beach State 12- 9 3 1 + 2.23
329 A Long Beach State 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.23
331 H UCLA 1- 9 -8 -3 -- -4.59
402 H UC Davis 4- 1 3 1 1.85
403 H UC Davis 7- 2 5 1 + 3.85
404 H UC Davis 8- 4 4 1 + 2.85
407 A UCLA 13- 7 6 -5 +++ 10.76
410 A Hawai'i 6-14 -8 0 --- -8.00
411 A Hawai'i 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.00
412 A Hawai'i 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.00
417 H UC Santa Barbara 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.75
418 H UC Santa Barbara 6- 3 3 -1 ++ 4.25
419 H UC Santa Barbara 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.75
424 A UC San Diego 10-11 -1 -1 -0.24
425 A UC San Diego 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.24
426 A UC San Diego 9- 7 2 -1 + 2.76
428 H USC 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 5.49
501 H Cal Poly 11- 4 7 0 +++ 7.30
502 H Cal Poly 2-11 -9 0 --- -8.70
503 H Cal Poly 6- 8 -2 0 -1.70
505 A San Diego 9- 4 5 1 + 3.94
508 A UC Riverside 17- 5 12 4 +++ 7.95
509 A UC Riverside 15- 3 12 4 +++ 7.95
510 A UC Riverside 3- 5 -2 4 --- -6.05
514 A UCLA 6- 0 6 -5 +++ 10.76
515 A Stanford 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.10
516 H Cal State Bakersfield 10- 7 3 2 0.88
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
218 A Manhattan 5-10 -5 5 --- -10.13
221 H California 2-11 -9 0 --- -8.87
225 H Grand Canyon 4- 9 -5 2 --- -6.91
308 H Cal State Northridge 2- 9 -7 1 --- -8.37
327 A Long Beach State 2-10 -8 1 --- -8.77
410 A Hawai'i 6-14 -8 0 --- -8.00
502 H Cal Poly 2-11 -9 0 --- -8.70
510 A UC Riverside 3- 5 -2 4 --- -6.05
301 A Arizona 1- 7 -6 0 -- -5.83
310 A UCLA 1-11 -10 -5 -- -5.24
313 A Cal State Fullerton 3- 8 -5 0 -- -4.95
324 A San Diego State 4- 8 -4 1 -- -4.72
331 H UCLA 1- 9 -8 -3 -- -4.59
425 A UC San Diego 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.24
314 A Cal State Fullerton 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.95
320 H Oregon State 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.73
322 H Oregon State 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.73
411 A Hawai'i 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.00
417 H UC Santa Barbara 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.75
419 H UC Santa Barbara 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.75
515 A Stanford 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.10
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Sacramento State 5- 0 5 -1 +++ 6.21
227 A Vanderbilt 9- 4 5 -3 +++ 8.47
407 A UCLA 13- 7 6 -5 +++ 10.76
501 H Cal Poly 11- 4 7 0 +++ 7.30
508 A UC Riverside 17- 5 12 4 +++ 7.95
509 A UC Riverside 15- 3 12 4 +++ 7.95
514 A UCLA 6- 0 6 -5 +++ 10.76
214 A Sacramento State 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.21
214 A Sacramento State 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 5.21
228 H Oregon 8- 6 2 -2 ++ 4.12
329 A Long Beach State 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.23
412 A Hawai'i 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.00
418 H UC Santa Barbara 6- 3 3 -1 ++ 4.25
428 H USC 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 5.49
220 A Wichita State 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.93
321 A Arkansas 3- 3 0 -4 + 3.86
328 A Long Beach State 12- 9 3 1 + 2.23
403 H UC Davis 7- 2 5 1 + 3.85
404 H UC Davis 8- 4 4 1 + 2.85
426 A UC San Diego 9- 7 2 -1 + 2.76
505 A San Diego 9- 4 5 1 + 3.94
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 5- 0 -5.03 13.39 0.68 0.56 15.65
3 A Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 7- 3 -5.03 13.39 0.68 0.56 15.65
3 A Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 6- 2 -5.03 13.39 0.68 0.56 15.65
3 A Manhattan ( 1- 2, 88.5) 5-10 -11.38 7.05 0.68 0.56 -2.98
3 A Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 5- 2 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.56 15.33
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 2-11 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.56 -1.51
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 2- 4 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.56 -1.51
3 H Grand Canyon (11-16, 93.1) 3- 0 -6.81 11.62 -0.68 0.56 12.17
3 H Grand Canyon (11-16, 93.1) 4- 9 -6.81 11.62 -0.68 0.56 -2.08
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 9- 4 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.56 18.16
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 8- 6 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.56 16.65
3 A Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 1- 7 -6.08 12.35 0.68 0.56 -1.50
3 H San José Stat (12-11, 94.4) 4- 5 -5.52 12.91 -0.68 0.56 -1.72
3 A San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 4- 1 -7.30 11.12 0.68 0.56 13.13
3 H Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 4- 2 -6.27 12.16 -0.68 0.56 12.77
3 H Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 2- 9 -6.27 12.16 -0.68 0.56 -1.93
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 1-11 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.56 -0.22
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 3- 8 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.56 -1.53
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 5- 9 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.56 -1.53
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 6- 8 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.56 -1.53
3 H Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 1- 5 -3.62 14.80 -0.68 0.56 -1.20
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 3- 3 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.56 0.00
3 H Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 5- 9 -3.62 14.80 -0.68 0.56 -1.20
3 A San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 4- 8 -6.97 11.46 0.68 0.56 -1.75
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 2-10 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.56 -1.76
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 12- 9 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.56 13.44
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 7- 1 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.56 13.44
3 H UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 1- 9 -1.48 16.94 -0.68 0.56 -0.60
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 4- 1 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.56 13.02
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 7- 2 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.56 13.02
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 8- 4 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.56 13.02
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 13- 7 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.56 19.60
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 6-14 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.56 -1.55
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 0- 3 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.56 -1.55
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 5- 1 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.56 14.30
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 3- 7 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.56 -1.20
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 6- 3 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.56 15.69
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 4- 8 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.56 -1.20
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 10-11 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.56 -1.34
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 4- 9 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.56 -1.34
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 9- 7 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.56 15.15
3 H USC (43-22, 97.5) 4- 1 -2.41 16.02 -0.68 0.56 17.07
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 11- 4 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.56 14.63
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 2-11 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.56 -1.47
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 6- 8 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.56 -1.47
3 A San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 9- 4 -7.30 11.12 0.68 0.56 13.13
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 17- 5 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.56 9.79
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 15- 3 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.56 9.79
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 3- 5 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.56 -2.68
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 6- 0 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.56 19.60
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 0- 3 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.56 -1.30
3 H Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 10- 7 -7.01 11.41 -0.68 0.56 11.95
------
322.15
|
winning pts = 361.7945 losing points = -39.6476
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------