UConn
W-L: (28-29) PR = 94.3561Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 2-12 214 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 3- 7 215 H Air Force MW ( 5-13, 94.9) 6-12 217 H UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 7-11 219 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 6-18 220 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 4- 7 221 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 4- 5 222 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 11- 2 227 A UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 5- 2 228 A UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 1- 2 301 A UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 2- 7 304 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 9- 7 306 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 4- 7 307 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 14- 3 308 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 5- 6 310 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 19-26 314 A Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 8- 5 314 A Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 6- 8 315 A Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 3- 5 317 H UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 9- 5 318 H Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 12- 2 320 A San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 6-16 321 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 4-11 322 H San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 7- 5 322 A San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 8- 0 325 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 3- 4, 91.7) 3- 8 327 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 3- 1 328 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 8- 0 329 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 1- 6 331 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 21- 5 402 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 1- 3 403 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 11- 2 404 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 11- 9 407 A Bryant AE ( 1- 7, 90.7) 6- 2 410 H Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 4- 6 411 A Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 3- 1 412 A Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 13- 0 415 A Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 5- 8 417 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 0- 4 418 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 5- 6 418 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 10- 0 421 H Rhode Island A10 ( 3-10, 90.3) 9- 5 424 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 14- 2 426 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 3- 2 428 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 5- 4 501 H East Tennessee State SO ( 4- 8, 95.9) 7-14 502 H East Tennessee State SO ( 4- 8, 95.9) 1- 6 503 H East Tennessee State SO ( 4- 8, 95.9) 4- 3 508 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 4- 3 509 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 13- 1 510 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 7- 3 512 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 6-10 514 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 6- 1 515 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 8- 3 516 H Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 6- 9 521 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 1- 5 521 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 4- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Nebraska 2-12 -10 -3 --- -6.64
214 A Kansas State 3- 7 -4 -3 -1.06
215 H Air Force 6-12 -6 0 --- -6.13
217 H UT Arlington 7-11 -4 2 -- -5.64
219 H Oregon 6-18 -12 -2 --- -9.91
220 H New Mexico State 4- 7 -3 2 -- -5.15
221 A Arizona 4- 5 -1 0 -0.86
222 A Arizona 11- 2 9 0 +++ 9.14
227 A UNC Wilmington 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.63
228 A UNC Wilmington 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.37
301 A UNC Wilmington 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.37
304 A Maryland 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.10
306 H Texas State 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.02
307 A Old Dominion 14- 3 11 0 +++ 10.63
308 A Old Dominion 5- 6 -1 0 -1.37
310 H Boston College 19-26 -7 -1 --- -6.17
314 A Portland 8- 5 3 0 + 2.59
314 A Portland 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.41
315 A Portland 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.41
317 H UCLA 9- 5 4 -3 +++ 7.38
318 H Tulane 12- 2 10 1 +++ 9.37
320 A San José State 6-16 -10 -1 --- -9.30
321 H Southern Miss 4-11 -7 -2 -- -5.40
322 H San Diego State 7- 5 2 2 -0.10
322 A San José State 8- 0 8 -1 +++ 8.70
325 H Quinnipiac 3- 8 -5 3 --- -8.32
327 H Xavier 3- 1 2 1 0.56
328 H Xavier 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.56
329 H Xavier 1- 6 -5 1 --- -6.44
331 A Northeastern 21- 5 16 -1 +++ 14.75
402 H Creighton 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.62
403 H Creighton 11- 2 9 1 +++ 8.38
404 H Creighton 11- 9 2 1 1.38
407 A Bryant 6- 2 4 3 1.05
410 H Ohio State 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.00
411 A Butler 3- 1 2 2 0.19
412 A Butler 13- 0 13 2 +++ 11.19
415 A Boston College 5- 8 -3 -2 -0.82
417 H St. John's 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.88
418 H St. John's 5- 6 -1 1 -1.88
418 H St. John's 10- 0 10 1 +++ 9.12
421 H Rhode Island 9- 5 4 5 -0.78
424 A Georgetown 14- 2 12 3 +++ 9.44
426 A Georgetown 3- 2 1 3 -1.56
428 A Rutgers 5- 4 1 0 1.21
501 H East Tennessee State 7-14 -7 -1 --- -6.11
502 H East Tennessee State 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.11
503 H East Tennessee State 4- 3 1 -1 1.89
508 A Seton Hall 4- 3 1 3 - -2.22
509 A Seton Hall 13- 1 12 3 +++ 8.78
510 A Seton Hall 7- 3 4 3 0.78
512 H Northeastern 6-10 -4 1 -- -4.60
514 A Seton Hall 6- 1 5 3 1.78
515 A Seton Hall 8- 3 5 3 1.78
516 H Villanova 6- 9 -3 5 --- -7.71
521 H Xavier 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.44
521 H Creighton 4- 7 -3 1 - -3.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Nebraska 2-12 -10 -3 --- -6.64 215 H Air Force 6-12 -6 0 --- -6.13 219 H Oregon 6-18 -12 -2 --- -9.91 310 H Boston College 19-26 -7 -1 --- -6.17 320 A San José State 6-16 -10 -1 --- -9.30 325 H Quinnipiac 3- 8 -5 3 --- -8.32 329 H Xavier 1- 6 -5 1 --- -6.44 501 H East Tennessee State 7-14 -7 -1 --- -6.11 516 H Villanova 6- 9 -3 5 --- -7.71 217 H UT Arlington 7-11 -4 2 -- -5.64 220 H New Mexico State 4- 7 -3 2 -- -5.15 301 A UNC Wilmington 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.37 321 H Southern Miss 4-11 -7 -2 -- -5.40 417 H St. John's 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.88 502 H East Tennessee State 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.11 512 H Northeastern 6-10 -4 1 -- -4.60 521 H Xavier 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.44 306 H Texas State 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.02 314 A Portland 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.41 315 A Portland 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.41 402 H Creighton 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.62 410 H Ohio State 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.00 508 A Seton Hall 4- 3 1 3 - -2.22 521 H Creighton 4- 7 -3 1 - -3.62 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A Arizona 11- 2 9 0 +++ 9.14 307 A Old Dominion 14- 3 11 0 +++ 10.63 317 H UCLA 9- 5 4 -3 +++ 7.38 318 H Tulane 12- 2 10 1 +++ 9.37 322 A San José State 8- 0 8 -1 +++ 8.70 328 H Xavier 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.56 331 A Northeastern 21- 5 16 -1 +++ 14.75 403 H Creighton 11- 2 9 1 +++ 8.38 412 A Butler 13- 0 13 2 +++ 11.19 418 H St. John's 10- 0 10 1 +++ 9.12 424 A Georgetown 14- 2 12 3 +++ 9.44 509 A Seton Hall 13- 1 12 3 +++ 8.78 227 A UNC Wilmington 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.63 304 A Maryland 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.10 314 A Portland 8- 5 3 0 + 2.59 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 2-12 -2.86 15.57 0.68 0.51 -0.55
3 A Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 3- 7 -3.28 15.14 0.68 0.51 -0.66
3 H Air Force ( 5-13, 94.9) 6-12 -5.00 13.42 -0.68 0.51 -1.44
3 H UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 7-11 -6.51 11.92 -0.68 0.51 -1.82
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 6-18 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.51 -0.88
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 4- 7 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.51 -1.95
3 A Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 4- 5 -6.08 12.35 0.68 0.51 -1.37
3 A Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 11- 2 -6.08 12.35 0.68 0.51 13.22
3 A UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 5- 2 -5.59 12.84 0.68 0.51 13.72
3 A UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 1- 2 -5.59 12.84 0.68 0.51 -1.25
3 A UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 2- 7 -5.59 12.84 0.68 0.51 -1.25
3 A Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 9- 7 -5.11 13.31 0.68 0.51 14.19
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 4- 7 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.51 -1.41
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 14- 3 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.51 12.70
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 5- 6 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.51 -1.50
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 19-26 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.51 -1.20
3 A Portland (24-27, 93.3) 8- 5 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.51 12.65
3 A Portland (24-27, 93.3) 6- 8 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.51 -1.51
3 A Portland (24-27, 93.3) 3- 5 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.51 -1.51
3 H UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 9- 5 -1.48 16.94 -0.68 0.51 16.51
3 H Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 12- 2 -5.49 12.93 -0.68 0.51 12.44
3 A San José Stat (12-11, 94.4) 6-16 -5.52 12.91 0.68 0.51 -1.23
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 4-11 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.51 -1.00
3 H San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 7- 5 -6.97 11.46 -0.68 0.51 10.94
3 A San José Stat (12-11, 94.4) 8- 0 -5.52 12.91 0.68 0.51 13.79
3 H Quinnipiac ( 3- 4, 91.7) 3- 8 -8.19 10.23 -0.68 0.51 -2.25
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 3- 1 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.51 11.61
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 8- 0 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.51 11.61
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 1- 6 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.51 -1.77
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 21- 5 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.51 13.83
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 1- 3 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.51 -1.56
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 11- 2 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.51 12.45
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 11- 9 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.51 12.45
3 A Bryant ( 1- 7, 90.7) 6- 2 -9.17 9.26 0.68 0.51 10.08
3 H Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 4- 6 -4.87 13.56 -0.68 0.51 -1.41
3 A Butler (23-30, 91.9) 3- 1 -8.03 10.39 0.68 0.51 11.23
3 A Butler (23-30, 91.9) 13- 0 -8.03 10.39 0.68 0.51 11.23
3 A Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 5- 8 -4.04 14.39 0.68 0.51 -0.85
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 0- 4 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.51 -1.63
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 5- 6 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.51 -1.63
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 10- 0 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.51 12.18
3 H Rhode Island ( 3-10, 90.3) 9- 5 -9.65 8.78 -0.68 0.51 8.22
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 14- 2 -8.78 9.65 0.68 0.51 10.48
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 3- 2 -8.78 9.65 0.68 0.51 10.48
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 5- 4 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.51 13.29
3 H East Tennessee ( 4- 8, 95.9) 7-14 -3.98 14.45 -0.68 0.51 -1.18
3 H East Tennessee ( 4- 8, 95.9) 1- 6 -3.98 14.45 -0.68 0.51 -1.18
3 H East Tennessee ( 4- 8, 95.9) 4- 3 -3.98 14.45 -0.68 0.51 13.98
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 4- 3 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.51 9.81
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 13- 1 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.51 9.81
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 7- 3 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.51 9.81
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 6-10 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.51 -1.56
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 6- 1 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.51 9.81
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 8- 3 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.51 9.81
3 H Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 6- 9 -9.57 8.85 -0.68 0.51 -2.60
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 1- 5 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.51 -1.77
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 4- 7 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.51 -1.56
------
290.81
|
winning pts = 332.2961 losing points = -41.4849
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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