UC Riverside
W-L: (15-35) PR = 89.6028Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 5-12 214 H Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 8-12 214 H Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 3- 4 215 H Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 1- 8 220 A Saint Louis A10 ( 3- 6, 92.1) 8- 4 221 H Wagner NE ( 2-14, 88.4) 7- 2 222 H Wagner NE ( 2-14, 88.4) 4- 6 223 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 3-11 227 A Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 10- 9 228 A Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 3-11 228 A Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 2- 7 301 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 2-16 303 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 3-12 306 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 2- 2 307 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 6- 3 308 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 3- 7 310 A UNLV MW ( 7- 9, 91.7) 10-11 313 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 7- 3 314 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 4- 6 315 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 6- 5 320 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 6-12 321 H William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 9- 6 322 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 10-14 324 A California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 1-12 327 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 4-22 328 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 10- 4 329 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 8-12 402 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 1- 9 403 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 2- 5 404 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 3- 9 407 A San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 0- 1 409 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 6- 3 410 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 3-14 411 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 9- 8 414 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 4-19 417 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 5- 3 418 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 4- 1 419 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 7- 2 421 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 2- 4 424 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 11- 5 425 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 0-10 426 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 1-14 428 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 6-18 502 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 1- 9 503 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 5-10 508 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 5-17 509 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 3-15 510 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 5- 3 514 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 0- 6 515 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 5-11 516 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 3- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Utah Tech 5-12 -7 -3 -- -4.02
214 H Utah Tech 8-12 -4 -3 -1.02
214 H Utah Tech 3- 4 -1 -3 1.98
215 H Utah Tech 1- 8 -7 -3 -- -4.02
220 A Saint Louis 8- 4 4 -3 +++ 7.15
221 H Wagner 7- 2 5 2 + 3.16
222 H Wagner 4- 6 -2 2 - -3.84
223 H BYU 3-11 -8 -4 - -3.53
227 A Utah Valley 10- 9 1 -3 + 3.53
228 A Utah Valley 3-11 -8 -3 -- -5.47
228 A Utah Valley 2- 7 -5 -3 - -2.47
301 H Towson 2-16 -14 -1 --- -13.10
303 H Cal Poly 3-12 -9 -5 - -3.98
306 A North Carolina A&T 2- 2 0 -1 1.20
307 H UC Davis 6- 3 3 -4 +++ 6.57
308 H UC Davis 3- 7 -4 -4 -0.43
310 A UNLV 10-11 -1 -3 1.76
313 H San Francisco 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 4.71
314 H San Francisco 4- 6 -2 -1 -1.29
315 H San Francisco 6- 5 1 -1 1.71
320 A UC San Diego 6-12 -6 -5 -0.51
321 H William & Mary 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.24
322 A UC San Diego 10-14 -4 -5 1.49
324 A California Baptist 1-12 -11 -8 - -3.44
327 H Cal Poly 4-22 -18 -5 --- -8.98
328 H Cal Poly 10- 4 6 -5 +++ 11.02
329 H Cal Poly 8-12 -4 -5 1.02
402 A Cal State Fullerton 1- 9 -8 -5 - -3.22
403 A Cal State Fullerton 2- 5 -3 -5 1.78
404 A Cal State Fullerton 3- 9 -6 -5 -1.22
409 A Florida State 6- 3 3 -8 +++ 11.06
410 A Missouri State 3-14 -11 -7 - -3.62
411 H Cal State Northridge 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.35
414 H California Baptist 4-19 -15 -6 --- -7.80
417 A Long Beach State 5- 3 2 -4 ++ 5.95
418 A Long Beach State 4- 1 3 -4 +++ 6.95
419 A Long Beach State 7- 2 5 -4 +++ 8.95
421 A Loyola Marymount 2- 4 -2 -2 0.04
424 H Cal State Bakersfield 11- 5 6 -3 +++ 8.61
425 H Cal State Bakersfield 0-10 -10 -3 --- -7.39
426 H Cal State Bakersfield 1-14 -13 -3 --- -10.39
428 H California Baptist 6-18 -12 -6 -- -5.80
502 A Hawai'i 1- 9 -8 -5 - -3.27
503 A Hawai'i 5-10 -5 -5 -0.27
508 H UC Irvine 5-17 -12 -4 --- -7.95
509 H UC Irvine 3-15 -12 -4 --- -7.95
510 H UC Irvine 5- 3 2 -4 +++ 6.05
514 H Texas 0- 6 -6 -9 + 3.18
515 H Texas 5-11 -6 -9 + 3.18
516 A UC Santa Barbara 3- 5 -2 -7 ++ 5.33
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Towson 2-16 -14 -1 --- -13.10 327 H Cal Poly 4-22 -18 -5 --- -8.98 414 H California Baptist 4-19 -15 -6 --- -7.80 425 H Cal State Bakersfield 0-10 -10 -3 --- -7.39 426 H Cal State Bakersfield 1-14 -13 -3 --- -10.39 508 H UC Irvine 5-17 -12 -4 --- -7.95 509 H UC Irvine 3-15 -12 -4 --- -7.95 213 H Utah Tech 5-12 -7 -3 -- -4.02 215 H Utah Tech 1- 8 -7 -3 -- -4.02 228 A Utah Valley 3-11 -8 -3 -- -5.47 428 H California Baptist 6-18 -12 -6 -- -5.80 222 H Wagner 4- 6 -2 2 - -3.84 223 H BYU 3-11 -8 -4 - -3.53 228 A Utah Valley 2- 7 -5 -3 - -2.47 303 H Cal Poly 3-12 -9 -5 - -3.98 324 A California Baptist 1-12 -11 -8 - -3.44 402 A Cal State Fullerton 1- 9 -8 -5 - -3.22 410 A Missouri State 3-14 -11 -7 - -3.62 502 A Hawai'i 1- 9 -8 -5 - -3.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Saint Louis 8- 4 4 -3 +++ 7.15 307 H UC Davis 6- 3 3 -4 +++ 6.57 328 H Cal Poly 10- 4 6 -5 +++ 11.02 409 A Florida State 6- 3 3 -8 +++ 11.06 418 A Long Beach State 4- 1 3 -4 +++ 6.95 419 A Long Beach State 7- 2 5 -4 +++ 8.95 424 H Cal State Bakersfield 11- 5 6 -3 +++ 8.61 510 H UC Irvine 5- 3 2 -4 +++ 6.05 313 H San Francisco 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 4.71 321 H William & Mary 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.24 411 H Cal State Northridge 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.35 417 A Long Beach State 5- 3 2 -4 ++ 5.95 516 A UC Santa Barbara 3- 5 -2 -7 ++ 5.33 221 H Wagner 7- 2 5 2 + 3.16 227 A Utah Valley 10- 9 1 -3 + 3.53 514 H Texas 0- 6 -6 -9 + 3.18 515 H Texas 5-11 -6 -9 + 3.18 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Utah Tech (12-10, 93.3) 5-12 -6.65 11.78 -0.68 0.57 -2.08
3 H Utah Tech (12-10, 93.3) 8-12 -6.65 11.78 -0.68 0.57 -2.08
3 H Utah Tech (12-10, 93.3) 3- 4 -6.65 11.78 -0.68 0.57 -2.08
3 H Utah Tech (12-10, 93.3) 1- 8 -6.65 11.78 -0.68 0.57 -2.08
3 A Saint Louis ( 3- 6, 92.1) 8- 4 -7.83 10.60 0.68 0.57 12.79
3 H Wagner ( 2-14, 88.4) 7- 2 -11.46 6.96 -0.68 0.57 7.13
3 H Wagner ( 2-14, 88.4) 4- 6 -11.46 6.96 -0.68 0.57 -3.44
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 3-11 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 0.57 -1.65
3 A Utah Valley ( 7-15, 91.5) 10- 9 -8.45 9.98 0.68 0.57 12.08
3 A Utah Valley ( 7-15, 91.5) 3-11 -8.45 9.98 0.68 0.57 -2.20
3 A Utah Valley ( 7-15, 91.5) 2- 7 -8.45 9.98 0.68 0.57 -2.20
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 2-16 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.57 -2.66
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 3-12 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.57 -1.50
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 2- 2 -9.77 8.66 0.68 0.57 0.00
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 6- 3 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.57 13.27
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 3- 7 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.57 -1.91
3 A UNLV ( 7- 9, 91.7) 10-11 -8.21 10.21 0.68 0.57 -2.14
3 H San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 7- 3 -8.91 9.51 -0.68 0.57 10.02
3 H San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 4- 6 -8.91 9.51 -0.68 0.57 -2.72
3 H San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 6- 5 -8.91 9.51 -0.68 0.57 10.02
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 6-12 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.57 -1.36
3 H William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 9- 6 -8.38 10.05 -0.68 0.57 10.63
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 10-14 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.57 -1.36
3 A California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 1-12 -3.42 15.01 0.68 0.57 -0.78
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 4-22 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.57 -1.50
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 10- 4 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.57 14.92
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 8-12 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.57 -1.50
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 1- 9 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.57 -1.56
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 2- 5 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.57 -1.56
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 3- 9 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.57 -1.56
3 A San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 0- 1 -6.97 11.46 0.68 0.57 -1.78
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 6- 3 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.57 18.36
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 3-14 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.57 -0.83
3 H Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 9- 8 -6.27 12.16 -0.68 0.57 13.02
3 H California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 4-19 -3.42 15.01 -0.68 0.57 -1.16
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 5- 3 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.57 13.70
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 4- 1 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.57 13.70
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 7- 2 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.57 13.70
3 A Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 2- 4 -8.93 9.49 0.68 0.57 -2.34
3 H Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 11- 5 -7.01 11.41 -0.68 0.57 12.18
3 H Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 0-10 -7.01 11.41 -0.68 0.57 -2.18
3 H Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 1-14 -7.01 11.41 -0.68 0.57 -2.18
3 H California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 6-18 -3.42 15.01 -0.68 0.57 -1.16
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 1- 9 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.57 -1.58
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 5-10 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.57 -1.58
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 5-17 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.57 -1.77
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 3-15 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.57 -1.77
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 5- 3 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.57 13.81
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 0- 6 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.57 -0.32
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 5-11 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.57 -0.32
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 3- 5 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.57 -0.84
------
129.63
|
winning pts = 189.3530 losing points = -59.7185
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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