South Carolina Upsta
W-L: (14-15) PR = 94.9697Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 7-16 214 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 10- 7 215 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 3- 7 218 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 6-12 224 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 7- 3 225 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 2- 1 228 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 3- 4 228 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 8- 2 301 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 8- 1 303 H Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 3- 4 306 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 2-15 307 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 9-11 308 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 3-13 318 H Alabama A&M SWAC ( 1- 6, 89.5) 11- 7 324 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 2- 4 414 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 0- 6 421 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 2- 7 505 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 18- 4 512 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 6- 3 514 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 7- 2 520 H Longwood BSO ( 6- 4, 94.0) 11- 8 521 A Winthrop BSO ( 6-11, 92.1) 18- 6 523 A High Point BSO ( 8-12, 93.3) 5- 0 524 H Longwood BSO ( 6- 4, 94.0) 1- 4 524 H Longwood BSO ( 6- 4, 94.0) 8- 1 529 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 8- 5 530 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 5- 7 530 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 5- 7 531 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 1-12
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A South Alabama 7-16 -9 -1 --- -8.10
214 A South Alabama 10- 7 3 -1 + 3.90
215 A South Alabama 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.10
218 H LSU 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.64
224 A North Florida 7- 3 4 1 + 3.17
225 A Stetson 2- 1 1 2 -0.53
228 A Georgia Southern 3- 4 -1 2 - -3.39
228 A Georgia Southern 8- 2 6 2 + 3.61
301 H Campbell 8- 1 7 0 +++ 6.72
303 H Florida 3- 4 -1 -3 1.62
306 H Texas Tech 2-15 -13 0 --- -12.85
307 A Texas 9-11 -2 -5 + 3.17
308 A Texas 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.83
318 H Alabama A&M 11- 7 4 6 - -2.13
324 A Tennessee 2- 4 -2 -2 0.40
414 A Charleston 0- 6 -6 1 --- -7.18
421 A Clemson 2- 7 -5 -1 - -3.65
505 H Elon 18- 4 14 4 +++ 10.26
512 H Clemson 6- 3 3 0 + 3.00
514 A Stetson 7- 2 5 2 + 3.47
520 H Longwood 11- 8 3 2 1.31
521 A Winthrop 18- 6 12 2 +++ 9.76
523 A High Point 5- 0 5 1 + 3.98
524 H Longwood 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.69
524 H Longwood 8- 1 7 2 ++ 5.31
529 A Oklahoma State 8- 5 3 -3 ++ 5.95
530 H Alabama 5- 7 -2 -1 -0.57
530 H Alabama 5- 7 -2 -1 -0.57
531 H Oklahoma State 1-12 -11 -2 --- -9.40
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A South Alabama 7-16 -9 -1 --- -8.10 306 H Texas Tech 2-15 -13 0 --- -12.85 414 A Charleston 0- 6 -6 1 --- -7.18 531 H Oklahoma State 1-12 -11 -2 --- -9.40 218 H LSU 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.64 308 A Texas 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.83 524 H Longwood 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.69 215 A South Alabama 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.10 228 A Georgia Southern 3- 4 -1 2 - -3.39 318 H Alabama A&M 11- 7 4 6 - -2.13 421 A Clemson 2- 7 -5 -1 - -3.65 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Campbell 8- 1 7 0 +++ 6.72 505 H Elon 18- 4 14 4 +++ 10.26 521 A Winthrop 18- 6 12 2 +++ 9.76 524 H Longwood 8- 1 7 2 ++ 5.31 529 A Oklahoma State 8- 5 3 -3 ++ 5.95 214 A South Alabama 10- 7 3 -1 + 3.90 224 A North Florida 7- 3 4 1 + 3.17 228 A Georgia Southern 8- 2 6 2 + 3.61 307 A Texas 9-11 -2 -5 + 3.17 512 H Clemson 6- 3 3 0 + 3.00 514 A Stetson 7- 2 5 2 + 3.47 523 A High Point 5- 0 5 1 + 3.98 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 7-16 -4.71 13.72 0.68 1.00 -2.01
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 10- 7 -4.71 13.72 0.68 1.00 28.71
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 3- 7 -4.71 13.72 0.68 1.00 -2.01
3 H LSU (31-26, 97.0) 6-12 -2.89 15.53 -0.68 1.00 -1.78
3 A North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 7- 3 -6.44 11.99 0.68 1.00 25.26
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 2- 1 -7.14 11.29 0.68 1.00 23.87
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 3- 4 -7.99 10.43 0.68 1.00 -3.65
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 8- 2 -7.99 10.43 0.68 1.00 22.16
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 8- 1 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 1.00 26.35
3 H Florida (43-21, 98.3) 3- 4 -1.63 16.79 -0.68 1.00 -1.15
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 2-15 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 1.00 -2.38
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 9-11 -0.44 17.99 0.68 1.00 -0.12
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 3-13 -0.44 17.99 0.68 1.00 -0.12
3 H Alabama A&M ( 1- 6, 89.5) 11- 7 -10.39 8.04 -0.68 1.00 14.68
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 2- 4 -3.21 15.22 0.68 1.00 -1.26
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 0- 6 -6.79 11.64 0.68 1.00 -3.05
3 A Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 2- 7 -4.26 14.17 0.68 1.00 -1.79
3 H Elon (22-27, 91.9) 18- 4 -8.00 10.43 -0.68 1.00 19.45
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 6- 3 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 1.00 26.91
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 7- 2 -7.14 11.29 0.68 1.00 23.87
3 H Longwood ( 6- 4, 94.0) 11- 8 -5.94 12.48 -0.68 1.00 23.55
3 A Winthrop ( 6-11, 92.1) 18- 6 -7.84 10.58 0.68 1.00 22.46
3 A High Point ( 8-12, 93.3) 5- 0 -6.62 11.80 0.68 1.00 24.89
3 H Longwood ( 6- 4, 94.0) 1- 4 -5.94 12.48 -0.68 1.00 -3.30
3 H Longwood ( 6- 4, 94.0) 8- 1 -5.94 12.48 -0.68 1.00 23.55
3 A Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 8- 5 -2.66 15.77 0.68 1.00 32.80
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 5- 7 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 1.00 -1.74
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 5- 7 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 1.00 -1.74
3 H Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 1-12 -2.66 15.77 -0.68 1.00 -1.66
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310.75
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winning pts = 338.5149 losing points = -27.7670
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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