Utah Valley
W-L: ( 7-15) PR = 91.4529Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 3- 2 214 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 7-13 214 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 9- 6 215 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 2- 3 227 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 9-10 228 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 11- 3 228 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 7- 2 301 A Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 13- 7 316 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 1-11 317 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 3- 6 321 H UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 3- 8 322 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 9-15 322 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 10-17 323 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 6-15 331 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 9-15 402 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 14- 4 403 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 5- 4 404 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 2- 8 407 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 5-10 421 A Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 9-16 505 A Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 5- 9 512 A BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 3-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Pacific 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.63
214 A Pacific 7-13 -6 -2 -- -4.37
214 A Pacific 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 4.63
215 A Pacific 2- 3 -1 -2 0.63
227 H UC Riverside 9-10 -1 3 - -3.53
228 H UC Riverside 11- 3 8 3 ++ 5.47
228 H UC Riverside 7- 2 5 3 + 2.47
301 A Toledo 13- 7 6 -2 +++ 8.49
316 H Cincinnati 1-11 -10 -5 -- -5.36
317 H Cincinnati 3- 6 -3 -5 1.64
321 H UCLA 3- 8 -5 -6 1.29
322 A Stanford 9-15 -6 -4 - -2.22
322 A Stanford 10-17 -7 -4 - -3.22
323 A Stanford 6-15 -9 -4 -- -5.22
331 H Utah 9-15 -6 -3 - -3.32
402 A Cal State Bakersfield 14- 4 10 -2 +++ 12.11
403 A Cal State Bakersfield 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.11
404 A Cal State Bakersfield 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.89
407 H BYU 5-10 -5 -3 - -2.38
421 A Utah 9-16 -7 -4 - -2.97
505 A Utah 5- 9 -4 -4 0.03
512 A BYU 3-13 -10 -4 --- -6.03
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A BYU 3-13 -10 -4 --- -6.03 214 A Pacific 7-13 -6 -2 -- -4.37 316 H Cincinnati 1-11 -10 -5 -- -5.36 323 A Stanford 6-15 -9 -4 -- -5.22 227 H UC Riverside 9-10 -1 3 - -3.53 322 A Stanford 9-15 -6 -4 - -2.22 322 A Stanford 10-17 -7 -4 - -3.22 331 H Utah 9-15 -6 -3 - -3.32 404 A Cal State Bakersfield 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.89 407 H BYU 5-10 -5 -3 - -2.38 421 A Utah 9-16 -7 -4 - -2.97 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Toledo 13- 7 6 -2 +++ 8.49 402 A Cal State Bakersfield 14- 4 10 -2 +++ 12.11 214 A Pacific 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 4.63 228 H UC Riverside 11- 3 8 3 ++ 5.47 213 A Pacific 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.63 228 H UC Riverside 7- 2 5 3 + 2.47 403 A Cal State Bakersfield 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.11 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 3- 2 -7.50 10.93 0.68 1.31 30.52
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 7-13 -7.50 10.93 0.68 1.31 -4.48
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 9- 6 -7.50 10.93 0.68 1.31 30.52
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 2- 3 -7.50 10.93 0.68 1.31 -4.48
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 9-10 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 1.31 -7.21
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 11- 3 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 1.31 19.60
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 7- 2 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 1.31 19.60
3 A Toledo ( 6-13, 93.3) 13- 7 -6.63 11.80 0.68 1.31 32.79
3 H Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 1-11 -3.13 15.29 -0.68 1.31 -2.50
3 H Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 3- 6 -3.13 15.29 -0.68 1.31 -2.50
3 H UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 3- 8 -1.48 16.94 -0.68 1.31 -1.42
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 9-15 -5.34 13.08 0.68 1.31 -3.07
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 10-17 -5.34 13.08 0.68 1.31 -3.07
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 6-15 -5.34 13.08 0.68 1.31 -3.07
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 9-15 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 1.31 -3.79
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 14- 4 -7.01 11.41 0.68 1.31 31.79
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 5- 4 -7.01 11.41 0.68 1.31 31.79
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 2- 8 -7.01 11.41 0.68 1.31 -4.16
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 5-10 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 1.31 -3.83
3 A Utah (25-26, 94.8) 9-16 -5.09 13.33 0.68 1.31 -2.90
3 A Utah (25-26, 94.8) 5- 9 -5.09 13.33 0.68 1.31 -2.90
3 A BYU (28-27, 94.7) 3-13 -5.15 13.28 0.68 1.31 -2.94
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144.25
|
winning pts = 196.5904 losing points = -52.3372
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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